Nariman Behravesh

Last updated

Nariman Behravesh
Born
Iran
Alma mater
Occupation(s)Author, adviser, chief economist
Employer IHS Markit
Website LinkedIn page Twitter page

Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist at the consulting firm IHS Markit, and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates (McGraw Hill).

Contents

Directing the economic forecasting process at IHS Markit, Behravesh is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China, and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa who cover economic, financial, and political developments in 200 countries. [1]

Behravesh is quoted in the media on such topics as the outlook for the US and global economies, exchange rates, the budget deficit, the trade deficit, globalization, country risk, and sovereign debt crises. [2]

Early life

A native of Iran and the son of an Iranian father and an English mother, Behravesh grew up in the Middle East and Europe and is fluent in Italian, French, Persian, and Turkish. He obtained his BS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and earned his master's and Ph.D. in economics at the University of Pennsylvania in 1978, studying with Nobel Prize winner and econometrics pioneer Lawrence Klein, founder of WEFA (Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates). [3] [4]

Behravesh and his wife, Ann, an attorney, live in Lexington, Massachusetts, and have three children and two grandchildren. [4]

Career

Behravesh serves as the Chief Economist at IHS Inc. Before joining IHS, he was Chief Economist and Executive Vice President of Global Insight, Inc. (now an IHS company). Prior to that, he was Chief International Economist for Standard & Poor's. [5]

He also held a number of other positions, including president and CEO of Oxford Economics U.S.A. and Group Senior Vice President of WEFA. Early in his career, Behravesh worked as a principal analyst at the Congressional Budget Office and as a senior economist at the Philadelphia Federal Reserve. [3] He has been covering the global economy for over 40 years. [6] [7]

Behravesh has been a featured speaker at global conferences, including IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates CERA Week and the World Economic Forum in Davos. [2]

In 2018 he was honored with the Lawrence R. Klein Award from Arizona State University's W. P. Carey School of Business. [7] Economics professor Dennis Hoffman said that Behravesh "had the most accurate projections of all the Blue Chip contributors for inflation and unemployment over the entire period, and was consistently solid on GDP. His average forecast error was remarkably low, among the best we have seen in the 30-plus years of the award." [7]

Media appearances

Behravesh appears on national radio and television programs, including BBC World Business Report , NBC Nightly News , CNN Headline News , The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer (PBS), Your World with Neil Cavuto (Fox News), CNBC's Closing Bell , Bloomberg TV's World Financial Report, and All Things Considered on National Public Radio. He is cited in business publications such as The Wall Street Journal , The New York Times , The Financial Times , USA Today , Investor's Business Daily , Business Week , Newsweek , Fortune , Forbes , and U.S. News & World Report . [8] Behravesh was the host of the PBS television series, "Inside the Global Economy". [6]

Honors

Behravesh is a "Bloomberg Best", and ranked as one of Bloomberg's Top 10 economists in 2009 and 2010. MarketWatch named IHS Global Insight "Forecaster of the Year" in 2009, and bestowed the company several Forecaster of the Month accolades since. He and his team ranked first on the 2004 USA Today ranking of economic forecasters, and on Reuters' 2004 survey of major currency exchange rate forecasters. In 2008, he was ranked #2 by USA Today. On The Wall Street Journal's annual ranking of US forecasters, Behravesh was ranked #3 (out of 56) for 2006, and he was the only forecaster to place in the top six for 2003, 2004, and 2006. [9]

Publications

Behravesh is the author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates (McGraw Hill). [10] He has authored articles in European Affairs and Credit Week, co-authored two books -Economics U$A and Microcomputers, Corporate Planning and Decision Support Systems, and was a contributing author to a book on scenario analysis, entitled Learning From the Future. [11] [12] [13] His op-ed pieces have appeared in the Financial Times , Newsweek International , London Times , and the Boston Globe . [9]

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Lawrence Klein</span> American economist

Lawrence Robert Klein was an American economist. For his work in creating computer models to forecast economic trends in the field of econometrics in the Department of Economics at the University of Pennsylvania, he was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1980 specifically "for the creation of econometric models and their application to the analysis of economic fluctuations and economic policies." Due to his efforts, such models have become widespread among economists. Harvard University professor Martin Feldstein told the Wall Street Journal that Klein "was the first to create the statistical models that embodied Keynesian economics," tools still used by the Federal Reserve Bank and other central banks.

Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, Inc was an economics forecasting and consulting organization founded by Nobel Prize winner Lawrence Klein.

Data Resources Inc or DRI was co-founded in 1969 by Donald Marron and Otto Eckstein. Marron is best known as the former CEO of PaineWebber and founder of Lightyear Capital. Eckstein was a Harvard University economics professor, economic consultant to Lyndon Baines Johnson and member of the Council of Economic Advisors; he is best known for the development of the theory of core inflation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Global Insight</span> Economics forecasting organization

Global Insight is an economics forecasting organization, serving over 3,800 clients in industry, finance and government, with revenues of over $95 million and employing more than 600 staff in 23 offices in 13 countries. It is a division of S&P Global after its acquisition of IHS Inc.

Economic forecasting is the process of making predictions about the economy. Forecasts can be carried out at a high level of aggregation—for example for GDP, inflation, unemployment or the fiscal deficit—or at a more disaggregated level, for specific sectors of the economy or even specific firms. Economic forecasting is a measure to find out the future prosperity of a pattern of investment and is the key activity in economic analysis. Many institutions engage in economic forecasting: national governments, banks and central banks, consultants and private sector entities such as think-tanks, companies and international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and the OECD. A broad range of forecasts are collected and compiled by "Consensus Economics". Some forecasts are produced annually, but many are updated more frequently.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Stanley Fischer</span> Israeli American economist (born 1943)

Stanley Fischer is an Israeli-American economist who served as the 20th Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve from 2014 to 2017. Fischer previously served as the 8th Governor of the Bank of Israel from 2005 to 2013. Born in Northern Rhodesia, he holds dual citizenship in Israel and the United States. He previously served as First Deputy Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund and as Chief Economist of the World Bank. On January 10, 2014, President Barack Obama nominated Fischer to the position of Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve. He is a senior advisor at BlackRock. On September 6, 2017, Stanley Fischer announced that he was resigning as Vice-Chair for personal reasons effective October 13, 2017, two days before his 74th birthday.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Daniel Yergin</span> American author and speaker (born 1947)

Daniel Howard Yergin is an American author, speaker, energy expert, and economic historian. Yergin is vice chairman of S&P Global. He was formerly vice chairman of IHS Markit, which merged with S&P in 2022. He founded Cambridge Energy Research Associates, which IHS Markit acquired in 2004. He has authored or co-authored several books on energy and world economics, including the Pulitzer Prize–winning The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, (1991) The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World (2011), and The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations (2020).

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Erasmus University Rotterdam</span> Public university in the Netherlands

Erasmus University Rotterdam is a public research university located in Rotterdam, Netherlands. The university is named after Desiderius Erasmus Roterodamus, a 15th-century humanist and theologian.

Sung Won Sohn is a Korean American economist, noted for his skill in economic forecasting. He is currently Professor of Economics at Loyola Marymount University and President of SS Economics, an economic consulting firm.

Economics education or economic education is a field within economics that focuses on two main themes:

Brian S. Wesbury is an American economist focusing on macroeconomics and economic forecasting. He is the economics editor and a monthly contributor for The American Spectator, in addition to appearing on television stations such as CNBC, Fox Business, Fox News, and Bloomberg TV frequently. He is a member of the Academic Advisory Council of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and for five years served as an adjunct professor of economics at Wheaton College in Wheaton, Illinois.

Markit was a British financial information and services company with over 4,000 employees, founded in 2003 as an independent source of credit derivative pricing. The company provides independent data, trade processing of derivatives, foreign exchange and loans, customised technology platforms and managed services. The company aims to enhance transparency, reduce financial risk and improve operational efficiency. Its client base includes institutional participants in the financial marketplace. On 12 July 2016, Markit and IHS Inc. merged in an all-stock merger of equals to form IHS Markit. IHS Markit later merged with S&P Global on 28 February 2022.

AREMOS is a data management and econometrics software package released by Global Insight. It was most popular in the late 1980s and 1990s, when it was used by leading economists. Developed as a DOS application by Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates - WEFA now IHS Markit, it has gone through many iterations. Thomsons' Datastream macroeconomic databases which were accessible with AREMOS, were a key selling point.

The Guanghua School of Management is the business school of Peking University in Beijing, China. The school offers undergraduate, master's, and doctoral programs, with a total enrollment of more than 3,000 students. In addition to full-time academic programs, the School runs an EMBA program and MPAcc program, as well as several other non-degree, customized Executive Education Programs. Guanghua was ranked #54 in the top 100 Global MBA rankings by the Financial Times for its International MBA program, and #8 for its Master of Finance program in 2012. It has consistently been regarded as one of the top business schools in China, often recognized for faculty research, academic teaching, and admission selectivity. Notable members of the faculty include celebrated economists Li Yining and Zhang Weiying. The school's current dean is Liu Qiao.

IHS Markit Ltd was an information services provider that completed a merger with S&P Global in 2022. Headquartered in London, it was formed in 2016 with the merger of IHS Inc. and Markit Ltd.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mark Zandi</span> American economist (born 1959)

Mark M. Zandi is an American economist who is the chief economist of Moody's Analytics, where he directs economic research.

The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) is the largest international association of applied economists, strategists, academics, and policy-makers committed to the application of economics. Founded in 1959, it is one of the member organizations of the Allied Social Science Associations. According to the association's website, "NABE's mission is to provide leadership in the use and understanding of economics.".

David D. Hale was an American economist and author. He was a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, and a recipient of the William F Butler Award from the National Association for Business Economics. Hale held a B.Sc. degree in international economic affairs from the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service and a M.Sc. degree in economic history from the London School of Economics.

Atif Rehman Mian is a Pakistani-American economist who serves as the John H. Laporte Jr. Class of 1967 Professor of Economics, Public Policy, and Finance at Princeton University, and as the Director of the Julis-Rabinowitz Center for Public Policy and Finance at the Princeton School of Public and International Affairs. He received a Guggenheim Fellowship in 2021, and was elected Fellow of the Econometric Society in 2021.

Jeff Currie is an economist and the former Global Head of Commodities Research in the Global Investment Research Division at Goldman Sachs. He rose to prominence during the 2000s by forecasting the commodity super-cycle and oil spiking above $100 a barrel. He has been labelled a "maverick" for making bold calls that 'pack a punch'. During the 2010s he was known for forecasting oil prices to stay 'lower for longer' to end the shale supply glut, whilst in more recent times his stance has shifted from bearish to considerably bullish, calling for a new commodities "supercycle" in late 2020 driven by underinvestment in supply, a process he has dubbed "the revenge of the old economy."

References

  1. "IHS Executives" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  2. 1 2 "WEF Global Agenda Councils" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  3. 1 2 "Economic Forecasting: Should you buy it?"
  4. 1 2 "MIT Alumni". Archived from the original on January 27, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  5. "AM 2018 Main Page - Speakers". nabe.com.
  6. 1 2 "Businessweek Executive Profile" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.[ dead link ]
  7. 1 2 3 "When it comes to the economy, what does 2018 have in store?". ASU News. September 21, 2017.
  8. "Behravesh Nariman". becboston.org.
  9. 1 2 "Executive Profile" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  10. "Spin-Free Economics" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  11. "Microcomputers, Corporate Planning and Decision Support Systems" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  12. "Economics U$A" . Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  13. Fahey, Liam; Randall, Robert M. (November 10, 1997). Learning From the Future. John Wiley & Sons. ISBN   9780471303527 . Retrieved January 27, 2014.