David Betz

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David Betz
Occupations Professor, academic
Years active2002-present

David J. Betz is a Canadian professor and researcher in the field of war studies. [1] Betz is professor of war in the modern world at the Department of War Studies, King's College London, having joined the department in 2002. He is also a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

Contents

Career

During his tenure at King’s College London, Betz has published extensively on warfare, counterinsurgency, and cybersecurity. In 2011, Betz argued that concerns about cyberwarfare had close relation to the alarmism found in military circles over aviation a century earlier in Cyberwar Is Not Coming. [2] In Carnage and Connectivity (2015), Betz analysed the impact of global connectivity on military power. In 2017, he co-authored Putting the Strategy Back into Strategic Communications, advocating for a more robust strategic foundation in communications theory. [3] [4]

Betz also addressed the application of ethics and morals in modern battlefield contexts in War, ‘Moral Forces’, and the ‘Virus of Strategism’ (2014). [5]

Influence

Betz' 2024 book The Guarded Age: Fortification in the 21st Century [6] has been reviewed for the US Naval Institute, with reviewer Lieutenant Colonel Dillon Fishman describing it as "a trenchant social commentary that speaks to an audience broader than specialists". [7]

Betz has since found a wider public audience with the publication of Civil War Comes to the West in Military Magazine in 2022, which relied on comparative analyses, drew on the work of other experts in his field, and applied these insights to Europe and North America in an age of growing racial and political polarisation. He was particularly inspired by the work of How Civil Wars Start: And How to Stop Them by Rohr Professor of International Relations Barbara F. Walter. This has since been followed by another entry to the two-part series. [8] [9] [10] Betz featured on several widely viewed British podcasts in 2025 and 2026, including Triggernometry and Maiden Mother Matriarch, discussing the risk of civil war in the UK based on Civil War Comes to the West. [11] [12]

Reactions

The conservative commentator Rod Dreher, writing in The European Conservative, commended Betz' work: "What makes his warnings especially chilling is that he delivers them calmly, driven by data and logical analysis. He is the furthest thing from a wild‑eyed apocalypticist shouting on a street corner." [13] Ben Quinn of The Guardian referenced Betz in a 2026 article arguing his predictions of civil war were no longer confined to a small minority and noted that 33% of Britons polled by YouGov in a 2024 survey believed that a civil war was somewhat or very likely in the next decade. [14] [15]

Betz's work has been criticised as being in the "porous space between the extreme right and its more mainstream variants", helping to give an "air of respectability" to ideas like race war, "that would until recently have been considered beyond the pale". [16] In the New Statesman, Phil Tinline compared Betz's predictions to "the fear Enoch Powell stoked in April 1968 in his “rivers of blood” speech." [17]

References

  1. London, King's College (9 June 2025). "Professor David J Betz". King's College London. Retrieved 4 August 2025.
  2. Betz, David (2011). "'Cyberwar' is Not Coming". Infinity Journal. 1 (2): 1–9.
  3. Betz, David (2015). Carnage and Connectivity: Landmarks in the Decline of Conventional Military Power. Oxford University Press. ISBN   9780190264857.
  4. Betz, David James; Phillips, Vaughan (2017). "Putting the Strategy Back into Strategic Communications". Defence Strategic Communications. 3 (Autumn): 41–69.
  5. Betz, David (2014). "War, 'Moral Forces', and the 'Virus of Strategism'". Infinity Journal / The Strategy Bridge Special Edition.
  6. Betz, David (2024). The Guarded Age: Fortification in the 21st Century. Polity.
  7. "Book Reviews". U.S. Naval Institute. 1 April 2024. Retrieved 4 August 2025.
  8. Betz, David (2023). "Civil War Comes to the West". Military Strategy Magazine. 9 (1): 20–26.
  9. Betz, David (2025). "Civil War Comes to the West, Part II: Strategic Realities". Military Strategy Magazine. 10 (2): 6–16.
  10. Tetzlaff-Deas, Benedict (3 June 2025). "Military expert gives chilling British 'civil war' warning over 'feral cities'". Daily Mirror. Retrieved 4 August 2025.
  11. Triggernometry (20 July 2025). Are We Headed for Civil War? - David Betz . Retrieved 19 August 2025 via YouTube.
  12. Maiden Mother Matriarch (12 February 2025). The Coming British Civil War - David Betz . Retrieved 19 August 2025 via YouTube.
  13. Dreher, Rod (12 August 2025). "Civil War Approaches". The European Conservative. Retrieved 6 January 2026. Betz's message has gained far more attention this year, thanks to podcast interviews like this one… What makes his warnings especially chilling is that he delivers them calmly, driven by data and logical analysis. He is the furthest thing from a wild‑eyed apocalypticist shouting on a street corner.
  14. Quinn, Ben (4 January 2026). "'Once whispered, now discussed': the rise of dubious claims of civil war in the UK". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 January 2026.
  15. "How likely do you think it is, if at all, that a civil war will occur in Great Britain in the next 10 years?". YouGov. YouGov. 6 August 2024. Retrieved 12 January 2026.
  16. Merrick, John (13 November 2025). "All Betz Are Off". The Ideas Letter.
  17. Tinline, Phil (13 August 2025). "Visions of an English civil war". New Statesman.