Opinion polling for the 2002 French presidential election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002.

Contents

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

The Sofres poll conducted from 4 to 5 April 2002, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 19 April 2002. Until the law of 19 February 2002 amended the law of 19 July 1977, the publication of voting intention polls was prohibited in the week before the election. The law of 19 February 2002 also extended the ban on the publication of polls to include surveys conducted before the electoral silence. [1]

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2002.png

28 March to 18 April 2002

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Laguiller
LO 		Gluckstein
PT 		Besancenot
LCR 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Taubira
PRG 		Chevènement
MDC 		Mamère
LV 		Lepage
Cap21 		Bayrou
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Madelin
DL 		Boutin
FRS 		Miguet
RCF 		Pasqua
RPF 		Saint-
Josse
CPNT 		Mégret
MNR 		Le Pen
FN
2002 election 21 Apr 2002–28.40%5.72%0.47%4.25%3.37%16.18%2.32%5.33%5.25%1.88%6.84%19.88%3.91%1.19%––4.23%2.34%16.86%
BVA 18 Apr 2002631–8%0.5%3.5%5%18%2%6%5%1%6%19%5%1%––4%2%14%
CSA 17–18 Apr 20021,000–7%0.5%3%5%18%2.5%6.5%5%1.5%6%19.5%3.5%1.5%––4%2.5%14%
Ipsos 17–18 Apr 2002989–7%0.5%4%5%18%1%6.5%6.5%1%6%20%4%1%––3%2.5%14%
Sofres 17–18 Apr 20021,000–6.5%0.5%4%6%18%1.5%6.5%6%1%6%19.5%5%1.5%––4%1.5%12.5%
Louis Harris 16–17 Apr 2002592–8%0%2%5%18%1%6%7%1%7%20%5%2%––3%2%13%
Ipsos 15–16 Apr 20021,005–7%0.5%2.5%5.5%18%1.5%6%6.5%1%5%22%4%1%––3.5%3%13%
Sofres 13–15 Apr 20021,000–8%0.5%2.5%6%18%1%6%5%1.5%6%20%5%1.5%––3.5%2.5%13%
Ifop 12–13 Apr 20021,006–7%0.5%4%5.5%16.5%1.5%8.5%6.5%2%6.5%20%3.5%0.5%––4%3%10.5%
BVA 10–13 Apr 2002749–9%0.5%2%5%18%1.5%6%6%1.5%6%18.5%5%1%––4%2%14%
Ifop 11–12 Apr 2002951–8%0.5%3.5%5.5%17%2%8%7%2%6.5%19%3.5%0.5%––4.5%3%9.5%
CSA 10–11 Apr 20021,000–8%0.5%1.5%5.5%19%1%7%6.5%1.5%5.5%21%3.5%1%––3.5%3%12%
Sofres 10–11 Apr 20021,000–8%0.5%2.5%6%19%1.5%6%4.5%1.5%5%22%5%0.5%––3%2%13%
Ifop 5–6 Apr 20021,004–8.5%0.5%1%5%17.5%1%8%8%1.5%5.5%21%3.5%1%––4%1%13%
Ipsos 5–6 Apr 2002952–11%0%1%5%19%0.5%8.5%5%1%5%23%3.5%0.5%––3.5%1.5%12%
BVA 4–6 Apr 2002657–11%–1%5%20%1%6%6.5%1.5%5%20%3.5%0.5%–0.5%3.5%3%12%
Sofres*4–5 Apr 20021,000–8.5%0%1%5.5%21%1%6%7%1%6%21%3.5%1.5%––3%1.5%12.5%
CSA 3–4 Apr 20021,000–8.5%0.5%1%4%18.5%0.5%8%8.5%1.5%4.5%22%3%1.5%––5%1.5%11.5%
Sofres 3–4 Apr 20021,000–9%0%0.5%6%19%1%7%5%1%4%24%4%1.5%0%–4%2%12%
Ipsos 29–30 Mar 2002938–10%–1%5%20%0.5%8%5%0.5%5%24%3%1%–2%3.5%1.5%10%
11%–1%5%21%0.5%10.5%5%0.5%5.5%27%3.5%1%–4%4.5%––
Louis Harris 29–30 Mar 20021,001–10%–1%6%21%0.5%8%6%1%4.5%21%3.5%1.5%–2%3%1%10%
BVA 28–30 Mar 2002661–11%–0.5%6%20%0.5%6.5%6.5%0.5%5%20%4%1%–2%2%1.5%13%

17 October 2001 to 27 March 2002

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Laguiller
LO 		Gluckstein
PT 		Besancenot
LCR 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Taubira
PRG 		Chevènement
MDC 		Dieudonné
LU 		Mamère
LV 		Waechter
MEI 		Larrouturou
ND 		Lepage
Cap21 		Lalonde
GE 		Bayrou
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Madelin
DL 		Boutin
FRS 		Pasqua
RPF 		Saint-
Josse
CPNT 		Mégret
MNR 		Le Pen
FN
Ifop 28–29 Mar 200293610%<0.5%1%4.5%20.5%1%9%–7%0.5%0.5%1%<0.5%5.5%21%2%0.5%2%2.5%1%10%
CSA 27–28 Mar 20021,0039%0.5%1%5%20%0.5%9%–5%––1%–4.5%20%3.5%1.5%1.5%4.5%1.5%12%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 20021,00010%0%1%6%20%0.5%8.5%–6%––0.5%–4.5%21%4%0.5%2%4%0.5%11%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 20021,00010%0%0.5%6%21%0%8%–5%––0.5%–5%22%4%0.5%3%3%1.5%10%
Ifop 23–24 Mar 20021,00510%<0.5%1%6%19%1%10%1%7%<0.5%<0.5%1%<0.5%4%20%3%1%3%2%<0.5%10%
Ipsos 22–23 Mar 200293810%–0.5%5%22%0.5%9%–5.5%––0.5%–5%24%2.5%1%2%2.5%1%9%
Sofres 22–23 Mar 20021,00010%–1%6%21%0.5%7.5%–5.5%––1%–4%23%4%1%1.5%3%1%10%
BVA 21–23 Mar 200264710%–1%5.5%23%1%6.5%–5.5%––1%–4%23%3.5%0.5%1%2.5%1%11%
Ifop 21–22 Mar 20029478%0.5%0.5%5%21%<0.5%9%1%5%0.5%<0.5%0.5%<0.5%4%23%2.5%0.5%3%2%1%12%
CSA 20–21 Mar 20021,0008%1%5%21%0.5%7%–6.5%––0.5%–4%23%4%1%2.5%3.5%1.5%11%
Ifop 15–16 Mar 200293310%0.5%0.5%5%19%0.5%11%1%6%<0.5%<0.5%0.5%<0.5%4%22%3%1%3%3%1%8%
Ipsos 15–16 Mar 20029199%–0.5%5.5%21%0.5%10%–5.5%––1%–4%23%3%1%3%1.5%1.5%10%
9.5%–0.5%5.5%22%0.5%11%–5.5%––1%–4.5%27.5%3%1%6.5%2%––
BVA 14–16 Mar 20027399%–1%6%22%0.5%7%–5%––2%–3.5%25%3.5%0.5%1.5%3%0.5%10%
Sofres 13–16 Mar 20021,0009.5%–1%5.5%21%0.5%6.5%–6%––0.5%–4.5%23.5%4%1%2.5%3%1%10%
Sofres 14–15 Mar 20021,0009%–1%5.5%20%0.5%7%–6%––1%–4%24%4%1%3%2%1%11%
CSA 13–14 Mar 20021,0017%0.5%1%4.5%22%1%8.5%–5.5%––0.5%–3%25.5%3%1%2.5%3%2%9.5%
Ipsos 8–9 Mar 20029338%–0.5%6%22%0.5%11%–6%––0.5%–3%24%3%1%3%2%1.5%8%
8.5%–0.5%6.5%23%0.5%12.5%–6%––0.5%–3.5%27%3%1%4.5%3%––
Louis Harris 8–9 Mar 20026268%–1%5%23%<0.5%10%–5%––1%–3%24%3%1%2%2%2%10%
Sofres 8–9 Mar 20021,0009%–0.5%5.5%22%0.5%7.5%–5%––1%–4%23%4%1%3%1.5%1.5%11%
Ipsos 1–2 Mar 20029258%–1%6%21%0.5%10%–6%––0.5%–4%24%3%0.5%2.5%3%1%9%
BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 20026938%–0.5%6%24%0.5%8%–5%––1%–4%21%4%1%2%2.5%1.5%11%
Ifop 28 Feb–1 Mar 20029419%<0.5%0.5%4%21%0.5%10%2%7%<0.5%0.5%0.5%<0.5%3%22%3%1%3%3%1%8%
CSA 27–28 Feb 20021,0076%0.5%5.5%23.5%0.5%11%–6%––0.5%–4%21%3%1.5%1.5%3.5%2%10%
Sofres 27–28 Feb 20021,0007%–1%5.5%22.5%0.5%10%–6%––0.5%–3%24%3%1%2%2%1%11%
Ifop 22–23 Feb 20029377%<1%<1%5%22%<1%12%2%6%<1%<1%<1%<1%3%23%4%<1%3%3%1%7%
Ipsos 22–23 Feb 20029387%–0.5%6%22%0.5%11%–6%––0.5%–3%25%3%0.5%1.5%3%1.5%9%
Sofres 22–23 Feb 20021,0007.5%–0.5%6%22%0.5%10%–5.5%––0.5%–3%24%4.5%1%1.5%2%0.5%11%
Ifop 21–22 Feb 20029398%<1%<1%5%23%<1%10%2%6%<1%<1%<1%<1%3%25%3%1%2%2%1%7%
Ipsos 15–16 Feb 20029167%–1%6%20%0.5%12%–5%––0.5%–3%25%3%1%3%2%1%10%
BVA 14–16 Feb 20027437%–0.5%5%23%0.5%10%–6%––1%–4%24%3%0.5%1%2.5%1%11%
Sofres 13–15 Feb 20021,0006%–0.5%6%21.5%0%10%–7%––0.5%–3%26%3%0.5%3%3%1%9%
CSA 13–14 Feb 20021,0005.5%–0.5%5%21.5%0.5%10%–6%––1%–3%24.5%5%0.5%1.5%3.5%2%10%
Ipsos 12 Feb 20021,0186%–0.5%6%23%0.5%11%–5%––1%–3%27%3%1%2%2%1%8%
Ipsos 8–9 Feb 20029086%–0.5%7%21%0.5%12%–6%––0.5%–3%23%4%1%3%1.5%1%10%
Ifop 7–8 Feb 20029617%<1%1%5%19%<1%13%2%7%<1%<1%1%<1%3%23%4%1%3%2%1%7%
Ipsos 1–2 Feb 20029256%–0.5%6%23%0.5%12%–6%––1%–4%23%5%1%3%–1%8%
Louis Harris 1–2 Feb 20028446%–1%5%23%0.5%13%–5%––1%–5%23%5%<0.5%2.5%–1%9%
Sofres 1–2 Feb 20021,0006%–1%6.5%22.5%–11%–6%––––4%24%5%–1.5%–1.5%11%
BVA 31 Jan–2 Feb 20027887%–1%5%22%1%10%–7%––1%–4%23%5%0.5%2%–1.5%10%
Ifop 31 Jan–1 Feb 20029637%<1%<1%4%22%<1%11%1%6%<1%<1%1%<1%3%24%4%1%3%–2%10%
CSA 29–30 Jan 20021,0016%–0.5%5%22%1%14%–7%––0.5%–4%23%5%–1.5%–1.5%9%
Ipsos 25–26 Jan 20029627%–0.5%5%22%0.5%12%–5%––1%–4%26%5%0.5%1%–1.5%9%
Ifop 17–18 Jan 20029436%<1%<1%5%20%<1%11%–8%<1%–1%<1%5%24%5%1%3%–1%9%
CSA 17 Jan 20021,0066%–0.5%4.5%22%0.5%11%–7.5%––0.5%–4%27%5%–1%–0.5%10%
Ipsos 11–12 Jan 20029476%–0.5%6%24%0.5%10%–5%––0.5%–5%28%4%0.5%1%–1%8%
Sofres 11–12 Jan 20021,0007%–0.5%6%22%–9%–6%––––4%27%4%–3.5%–2%9%
Ifop 10–11 Jan 20029636%–<1%5%21%<1%11%–8%<1%–1%<1%4%27%3%1%3%–1%8%
Sofres 5 Jan 20028007%–0%6%24%–9%–6%––––3%27%4%–3%–2%9%
Ipsos 4–5 Jan 20029556%–0.5%6%23%0.5%11%–5%––0.5%–4%28%3%0.5%2%–1%9%
Louis Harris 4–5 Jan 20021,0037%–<0.5%5%24%–8%–7%––1%–3%27%4%<0.5%3%–2%9%
BVA 2–5 Jan 20027357%–0.5%6%24%0.5%11%–7%––0.5%–5%21%4%0.5%2%–1%10%
CSA 3–4 Jan 20021,0055%–1%5.5%21.5%0.5%10.5%–6%––––4%28%5%–1%–2%10%
Sofres 14–15 Dec 20011,0007%–0.5%6.5%22%–9%–7%––––3%27%5%–3%–1.5%8.5%
CSA 11–12 Dec 20011,0007%–0.5%5.5%22%–10%–8%––––5%25%5%–2%–1%9%
Ipsos 7–8 Dec 20018406%–0.5%6%22%0.5%12%–6%––1%–4%27%3%0.5%2%–1.5%8%
BVA 29 Nov–1 Dec 20016805%–0.5%5%24%–8%–9%––1%–4%23%4%0.5%4%–1%11%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 20019437%–<1%4%22%–10%–8%<1%–1%–5%26%5%<1%4%–1%6%
Sofres 22–23 Nov 20011,0007%––6.5%22%–8%–6%––––4.5%27%5%–4%–1%9%
CSA 14–15 Nov 20011,0066%–1%5%23%–10%–8%––––4.5%25%4.5%–3%–1%9%
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 20019275%–0.5%6%22%–11%–7%––0.5%–4%27%4%0.5%3%–1.5%8%
BVA 25–27 Oct 20016857%–0.5%5%22%–12%–6%––1%–4%24%5%1%3%–0.5%9%
Ipsos 19–20 Oct 20018295%–0.5%5%23%–12%–6%––0.5%–5%26%5%0.5%4%–1.5%6%
Sofres 19–20 Oct 20011,0006%––6%23%–8.5%–5.5%––––5%27%5%–3%––11%
CSA 17–18 Oct 20011,0057%–0.5%5.5%23%–9%–7%––––5%26%5%–3%–0.5%8.5%

15 February to 16 October 2001

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Laguiller
LO 		Besancenot
LCR 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Chevènement
MDC 		Dieudonné
LU 		Mamère
LV 		Lipietz
LV 		Voynet
LV 		Waechter
MEI 		Lepage
Cap21 		Lalonde
GE 		Bayrou
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Madelin
DL 		Boutin
FRS 		Pasqua
RPF 		Villiers
MPF 		Mégret
MNR 		Le Pen
FN
Ifop 11–12 Oct 20017616%<1%5%23%10%–8%––<1%1%–6%24%4%<1%5%––7%
7%<1%5%26%11%––2%–<1%1%–5%26%4%<1%5%––7%
BVA 27–29 Sep 20017736%1%6%26%8%––3%––0.5%–5%25%7%0.5%3%–1%8%
CSA 11–12 Sep 20011,0007%1%6%24%9%––4%––––6%26%6%–2%–1%8%
Sofres 7–8 Sep 20011,0007%–6%27%9%––2%––––5%26%5%0.5%4%–1.5%7%
BVA 30 Aug–1 Sep 20016826%1%4%25%6%––4%–––1%6%26%5%1%6%–2%7%
CSA 16–17 Jul 20011,0057%–7%26%6%––3%––––5%30%5%–3%–1%7%
BVA 5–7 Jul 20016057%1%6%26%5%––5%––2%–5%25%5%2%2%–2%7%
Sofres 22–23 Jun 20011,0007%–6%27%6%––3%––––5%26%5%1%4%––10%
9%–7%27.5%7%––3%––––6.5%31%9%–––––
CSA 20–21 Jun 20011,0006.5%–6.5%27%5%––4%––––6%28%6%–2%–2%7%
BVA 14–16 Jun 20016588%–7%24%6%–7%–––––6%23%5%–5%–1%8%
Ipsos 8–9 Jun 20018396%–6%27%4%–5%–––––5%30%3%3%3%–2%6%
6%–6%27%4%–5%–––––5%32%3%3%––2%7%
6%–6%28%4%–5%–––––5%33%4%4%5%–––
6%–6%28%5%–6%–––––6%38%5%–––––
CSA 29–30 May 20019006%–8%28%4%–5%–––––5%27%5%–2%–2%8%
Sofres 15–16 May 20018406%–5.5%27%5%–7%–––––6%26%5%–3%–1.5%8%
BVA 10–12 May 20016407%–6%27%3%–7%–––––6%25%5%–6%––8%
CSA 26–27 Apr 20019226%–6%25%5%–5%–––––7%30%3%–3%–2%8%
BVA 20–21 Apr 20017338%–5%26%4%–––7%–––6%24%7%–6%––7%
Sofres 28–29 Mar 20011,0006.5%–5%28%3%–5.5%–––––5%27%5%–3.5%–3%8.5%
CSA 26 Mar 20011,0005%–5%28%3%–7%–––––7%28%4%–4%–2%7%
BVA 22–24 Mar 20016786%–6%26%5%–8%–––––6%25%5%–6%––7%
BVA 22–24 Feb 20016577.5%–6%28%4%–5%–––––5%26%6%–4.5%––8%
Ifop 15–16 Feb 20018056%–5%27%5%4%7%–––––4%24%3%–5%2%–8%

21 August 1998 to 14 February 2001

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Laguiller
LO 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Chevènement
MDC 		Voynet
LV 		Bové
SE 		Bayrou
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Séguin
RPR 		Madelin
DL 		Boutin
FRS 		Pasqua
RPF 		Villiers
MPF 		Saint-Josse
CPNT 		Mégret
MNR 		Le Pen
FN
Ipsos 9–10 Feb 20019556%5%30%4%3%–5%29%–5%–4%–––9%
Sofres 2–3 Feb 20011,0006%7%30%3.5%5%–5%24%–6%–3.5%––2%8%
BVA 1–3 Feb 20016677%6%29%4%4%–7%26%–5%–5%–––7%
BVA 11–13 Jan 20016347%6%27%3%4%–7%28%–5%–5%–––8%
CSA 5–6 Jan 20011,0006%7%29%3%5%–7%23%–5%–5%––1%9%
Ipsos 5 Dec 20008184%5%29%5%4%–8%25%–5%–7%2%–1%5%
Sofres 1–2 Dec 20001,0006%6%30%6%5%–6%22%–6.5%–6%––1%5.5%
BVA 30 Nov–2 Dec 20009458%6%28%2%4%–7%26%–4%–6%–––9%
Ifop 27 Nov 20008036%6%27%4%5%–5%24%–5%<1%6%4%––8%
CSA 14–15 Nov 20001,0006%5.5%28%5%4%–6%27%–––7.5%––1%10%
BVA 8–10 Nov 20006368%7%30%–4%–6%27%–3%–5%–––10%
BVA 6–8 Oct 20006277%8%29%–3%–4%30%–4%–7%–––8%
Ipsos 29–30 Sep 20009395%7%28%6%3%–6%27%–––10%––2%6%
BVA 7–9 Sep 20005817%7%27%–4%–6%32%–3%–10%–––4%
CSA 6–7 Sep 20001,0006%5.5%25%7%5.5%–4%30%–––7.5%––1%8.5%
BVA 20–22 Jul 20006806%6%32%–4%–4%31%–3%–8%–––6%
Ipsos 15 Jul 20008745%6%29%–4%6%4%32%–––6%––2%6%
CSA 28–29 Jun 20001,0007%7%28%–5%–4%33%–––7%––2%7%
BVA 15–17 Jun 20006386.5%6%33%–3%–4%29%–2.5%–8%–––8%
BVA 11–13 May 20006915.5%7%31%–4%–4%30%–3%–8.5%–––7%
CSA 10–13 May 20001,0006%6%27%–5%–5%34%–––6%––3%8%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 20008253%7%32%–3%–3%33%–––9%–3%1%6%
BVA 13–15 Apr 20005356%7%31%–3.5%–4%29%–3%–9%–––7.5%
BVA 16–18 Mar 20009847%6.5%31%–4%–4%26.5%–3%–11%–––7%
Ipsos 10–11 Mar 20009205%6%30%–4%–3%30%–––10%–4%2%6%
Ifop 2–3 Mar 20009417%6%27%–6%–6%26%–––13%–––9%
8%6%30%–6%–8%–17%––16%–––9%
CSA 28–29 Feb 20001,0007%6%29%–4%–5%29%–––9%––3%8%
BVA 17–19 Feb 20006156%6.5%31.5%–4%–5%24%–4%–10%–––9%
BVA 13–15 Jan 20005675%6.5%31.5%–3%–4%24%–3%–11%–––12%
CSA 4–5 Jan 20001,0005.5%7.5%31%–5%–5.5%28%–––8.5%––1%8%
Sofres 27–29 Dec 19999957%7%29%–6%–6%26%–––10%––2%7%
CSA 3–4 Nov 19991,0005%8%32%–5%–5%30%––––6%–1%8%
CSA 1–2 Sep 19991,0005%6%30%–5%–6%31%––––8%–1%8%
CSA 1–2 Jul 19991,0045%7%31%–5%–6%31%––––8%–2%5%
CSA 6–7 May 19991,0024.5%7%29%–4.5%–5%34%––––5%–3%8%
CSA 5–6 Mar 19991,0034.5%9%30%–3.5%–5%35%––––3%–3%7%
CSA 18–19 Dec 19981,0065%8%28%–5%–5%31%––––4%–5%9%
BVA 10–13 Dec 19986125%7%29%–5%–4%32%–8%–––––10%
CSA 21–22 Aug 19981,0035%10%31%–5%–5%30%––––3%––11%

17 April 1996 to 20 August 1998

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Laguiller
LO 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Voynet
LV 		Léotard
UDF 		Balladur
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Séguin
RPR 		Villiers
MPF 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
CSA 18 Aug 19971,000–5%9%29.5%4%3%–36.5%––13%–
5%8.5%31.5%5%7%––29%–14%–
CSA 17–19 Apr 19961,000–4%8%26%2%–16%25%–5%14%0%
1995 election 23 Apr 1995–21.62%5.30%8.64%23.30%3.32%–18.58%20.84%–4.74%15.00%0.28%

By department

Paris
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Laguiller
LO 		Gluckstein
PT 		Besancenot
LCR 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Taubira
PRG 		Chevènement
MDC 		Mamère
LV 		Lepage
Cap21 		Bayrou
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Madelin
DL 		Boutin
FRS 		Saint-
Josse
CPNT 		Mégret
MNR 		Le Pen
FN
2002 election 21 Apr 2002–29.81%3.05%0.34%3.42%2.19%19.94%3.78%6.62%7.39%2.46%7.91%24.01%6.50%1.49%0.52%1.02%9.35%
Ipsos 20–21 Mar 2002804–10%–1%3%23%0.5%10%6%1%4%27%4%1%0.5%1%6%
Réunion
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Laguiller
LO 		Gluckstein
PT 		Besancenot
LCR 		Hue
PCF 		Jospin
PS 		Taubira
PRG 		Chevènement
MDC 		Mamère
LV 		Lepage
Cap21 		Bayrou
UDF 		Chirac
RPR 		Madelin
DL 		Boutin
FRS 		Pasqua
RPF 		Saint-
Josse
CPNT 		Mégret
MNR 		Le Pen
FN
2002 election 21 Apr 2002–43.68%2.55%0.22%1.93%1.18%39.01%2.10%3.13%2.14%0.95%2.50%37.15%1.05%0.91%–0.49%0.87%3.81%
Ipsos 25–26 Feb 2002838–5%–<0.5%4%38%2%6%3%<0.5%1%37%1%<0.5%<0.5%<0.5%<0.5%1%

Second round

The Sofres poll conducted from 4 to 5 April 2002, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 3 May 2002. [1]

Chirac–Le Pen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Chirac
RPR 		Le Pen
FN
2002 election 5 May 2002–20.29%82.21%17.79%
CSA 3 May 20021,000–80%20%
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 20021,012–79%21%
Ipsos 26–27 Apr 2002922–78%22%
CSA 23–24 Apr 20021,000–81%19%
CSA 21 Apr 20021,000–77%23%
Ipsos 21 Apr 20021,043–80%20%
Sofres 21 Apr 20021,000–78%22%

Jospin–Chirac

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2002 Jospin-Chirac.png

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Jospin
PS 		Chirac
RPR
BVA 18 Apr 2002579–50%50%
CSA 17–18 Apr 20021,000–50%50%
Ipsos 17–18 Apr 2002989–49%51%
Sofres 17–18 Apr 20021,000–50%50%
Louis Harris 16–17 Apr 2002577–49%51%
Ipsos 15–16 Apr 20021,005–49%51%
Sofres 13–15 Apr 20021,000–49%51%
Ifop 12–13 Apr 20021,006–49%51%
BVA 10–13 Apr 2002641–50%50%
Ifop 11–12 Apr 2002951–49.5%50.5%
CSA 10–11 Apr 20021,000–48%52%
Sofres 10–11 Apr 20021,000–50%50%
Ifop 5–6 Apr 20021,004–48.5%51.5%
Ipsos 5–6 Apr 2002952–49%51%
BVA 4–6 Apr 2002595–52%48%
Sofres*4–5 Apr 20021,000–51%49%
CSA 3–4 Apr 20021,000–50%50%
Sofres 3–4 Apr 20021,000–49%51%
Ipsos 29–30 Mar 2002938–49%51%
Louis Harris 29–30 Mar 20021,001–51%49%
BVA 28–30 Mar 2002594–52%48%
Ifop 28–29 Mar 2002936–51%49%
CSA 27–28 Mar 20021,003–50.5%49.5%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 20021,000–52%48%
Sofres 27–28 Mar 20021,000–51%49%
Ifop 23–24 Mar 20021,005–50%50%
Ipsos 22–23 Mar 2002938–50%50%
Sofres 22–23 Mar 20021,000–51%49%
BVA 21–23 Mar 2002588–52%48%
Ifop 21–22 Mar 2002947–50%50%
CSA 20–21 Mar 20021,000–50%50%
Ifop 15–16 Mar 2002933–51.5%48.5%
Ipsos 15–16 Mar 2002919–50%50%
BVA 14–16 Mar 2002641–51%49%
Sofres 13–16 Mar 20021,000–51%49%
Sofres 14–15 Mar 20021,000–50.5%49.5%
CSA 13–14 Mar 20021,001–51%49%
Ipsos 8–9 Mar 2002933–51%49%
Louis Harris 8–9 Mar 2002603–52%48%
Sofres 8–9 Mar 20021,000–51.5%48.5%
Ipsos 1–2 Mar 2002925–50%50%
BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2002630–52%48%
Ifop 28 Feb–1 Mar 2002941–51%49%
CSA 27–28 Feb 20021,007–52%48%
Sofres 27–28 Feb 20021,000–51%49%
Ifop 22–23 Feb 2002937–51%49%
Ipsos 22–23 Feb 2002938–49%51%
Sofres 22–23 Feb 20021,000–51%49%
Ifop 21–22 Feb 2002939–50%50%
Ipsos 15–16 Feb 2002916–47%53%
BVA 14–16 Feb 2002713–50%50%
Sofres 13–15 Feb 20021,000–50%50%
CSA 13–14 Feb 20021,000–47%53%
Ipsos 12 Feb 20021,018–47%53%
Ipsos 8–9 Feb 2002908–49%51%
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2002961–48%52%
Ipsos 1–2 Feb 2002925–49%51%
Louis Harris 1–2 Feb 2002839–51%49%
Sofres 1–2 Feb 20021,000–50%50%
BVA 31 Jan–2 Feb 2002697–51%49%
Ifop 31 Jan–1 Feb 2002963–50%50%
CSA 29–30 Jan 20021,001–48%52%
Ipsos 25–26 Jan 2002962–48%52%
Ifop 17–18 Jan 2002943–49%51%
CSA 17 Jan 20021,006–47%53%
Ipsos 11–12 Jan 2002947–48%52%
Sofres 11–12 Jan 20021,000–49%51%
Ifop 10–11 Jan 2002963–48%52%
Sofres 5 Jan 2002800–49%51%
Ipsos 4–5 Jan 2002955–48%52%
Louis Harris 4–5 Jan 20021,003–49%51%
BVA 2–5 Jan 2002735–52%48%
CSA 3–4 Jan 20021,005–47%53%
Sofres 14–15 Dec 20011,000–49%51%
CSA 11–12 Dec 20011,000–48%52%
Ipsos 7–8 Dec 2001840–49%51%
Sofres 6–7 Dec 2001846–48%52%
BVA 29 Nov–1 Dec 2001608–50%50%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2001943–49%51%
Sofres 22–23 Nov 20011,000–49%51%
CSA 14–15 Nov 20011,006–47%53%
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2001927–47%53%
BVA 25–27 Oct 2001622–49%51%
Ipsos 19–20 Oct 2001829–48%52%
Sofres 19–20 Oct 20011,000–48%52%
CSA 17–18 Oct 20011,005–47%53%
Ifop 11–12 Oct 2001761–49%51%
BVA 27–29 Sep 2001704–49%51%
CSA 11–12 Sep 20011,000–47%53%
Sofres 7–8 Sep 20011,000–51%49%
BVA 30 Aug–1 Sep 2001634–49%51%
CSA 16–17 Jul 20011,005–47%53%
BVA 5–7 Jul 2001571–52%48%
Ifop 5–6 Jul 2001826–50%50%
Sofres 22–23 Jun 20011,000–51%49%
CSA 20–21 Jun 20011,000–48%52%
BVA 14–16 Jun 2001652–49%51%
Ipsos 8–9 Jun 2001839–48%52%
CSA 29–30 May 2001900–49%51%
Sofres 15–16 May 2001840–50%50%
BVA 10–12 May 2001614–51%49%
CSA 26–27 Apr 2001922–47%53%
Ifop 26–27 Apr 2001831–51%49%
BVA 20–21 Apr 2001710–52%48%
Sofres 28–29 Mar 20011,000–52%48%
CSA 26 Mar 20011,000–49%51%
BVA 22–24 Mar 2001632–52%48%
BVA 22–24 Feb 2001628–52%48%
Ifop 15–16 Feb 2001805–51%49%
Ipsos 9–10 Feb 2001955–51%49%
Sofres 2–3 Feb 20011,000–53%47%
BVA 1–3 Feb 2001654–54%46%
BVA 11–13 Jan 2001617–51%49%
CSA 5–6 Jan 20011,000–54%46%
Ipsos 5 Dec 2000818–49%51%
BVA 30 Nov–2 Dec 2000945–51%49%
Ifop 30 Nov–1 Dec 2000947–51%49%
CSA 14–15 Nov 20001,000–49%51%
BVA 8–10 Nov 2000597–53%47%
Sofres 11–13 Oct 20001,000–52%48%
BVA 6–8 Oct 2000576–49%51%
Ipsos 29–30 Sep 2000939–51%49%
Ifop 25 Sep 2000804–49%51%
BVA 7–9 Sep 2000934–45%55%
CSA 6–7 Sep 20001,000–48%52%
Ifop 1–4 Sep 2000982–49%51%
BVA 20–22 Jul 2000658–49%51%
Ifop 6–7 Jul 2000947–47%53%
CSA 28–29 Jun 20001,000–51%49%
BVA 15–17 Jun 2000616–50%50%
BVA 11–13 May 2000680–47%53%
CSA 10–13 May 20001,000–47%53%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2000825–48%52%
Ifop 27–28 Apr 2000952–47%53%
BVA 13–15 Apr 2000523–49%51%
BVA 16–18 Mar 2000984–50.5%49.5%
Ipsos 10–11 Mar 2000920–47%53%
CSA 28–29 Feb 20001,000–48%52%
BVA 17–19 Feb 2000560–51%49%
BVA 13–15 Jan 2000545–51%49%
Ifop 6–7 Jan 2000943–51%49%
CSA 4–5 Jan 20001,000–52%48%
Sofres 27–29 Dec 1999995–53%47%
BVA 9–11 Dec 1999573–53%47%
BVA 18–20 Nov 1999926–51%49%
CSA 3–4 Nov 19991,000–52%48%
BVA 14–16 Oct 1999977–51%49%
BVA 16–18 Sep 1999671–52%48%
CSA 1–2 Sep 19991,000–50%50%
BVA 15–17 Jul 1999574–48%52%
CSA 1–2 Jul 19991,004–51%49%
CSA 6–7 May 19991,002–46%54%
Ifop 29–30 Apr 1999953–50%50%
CSA 5–6 Mar 19991,003–50%50%
Ifop 4 Jan 1999804–47%53%
CSA 18–19 Dec 19981,006–49%51%
BVA 10–13 Dec 1998564–49%51%
Ifop 4–5 Dec 1998957–47%53%
CSA 23–24 Oct 19981,003–50%50%
CSA 21–22 Aug 19981,003–51%49%
Ifop 3–4 Apr 1998953–51%49%
BVA 5–6 Dec 1997964–56%44%
Ifop 16–17 Oct 1997950–53%47%
CSA 18 Aug 19971,000–51%49%
CSA 17–19 Apr 19961,000–49%51%
BVA 26–27 Apr 1996953–53%47%
1995 election 7 May 1995–20.34%47.36%52.64%

By department

Paris
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Jospin
PS 		Chirac
RPR
Ipsos 20–21 Mar 2002804–47%53%
1995 election 7 May 1995–22.57%39.83%60.17%
Réunion
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Jospin
PS 		Chirac
RPR
Ipsos 25–26 Feb 2002838–52%48%
1995 election 7 May 1995–25.13%56.00%44.00%

Chevènement–Chirac

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Chevènement
MDC 		Chirac
RPR
Sofres 6–7 Dec 200184640%60%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 200194340%60%

Jospin–Chevènement

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Jospin
PS 		Chevènement
MDC
Sofres 6–7 Dec 200184656%44%

Aubry–Chirac

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Aubry
PS 		Chirac
RPR
Sofres 11–13 Oct 20001,00048%52%

Jospin–Séguin

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Jospin
PS 		Séguin
RPR
Sofres 11–13 Oct 20001,00062%38%

See also

Related Research Articles

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References

  1. 1 2 François Wenz-Dumas (19 April 2002). "Fin des sondages". Libération. Retrieved 22 April 2018.
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