Opinion polling for the 2019 Argentine general election

Last updated

This table provides a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted in the run-up to the 2019 Argentine general election, scheduled to take place on 27 October 2019, with a second round to take place on 24 November 2019, should no candidate obtain the necessary number of votes in the first round.

Contents

Polls conducted since the submission of candidacies

The following opinion polls were conducted after the deadline for the submission of candidacies before the National Electoral Chamber, on 22 June 2019.

Primaries

DatePollsterSample
size		 Alberto
Fernández 		Mauricio
Macri 		Roberto
Lavagna 		Nicolás
Del Caño 		José Luis
Espert 		Juan José
G. Centurión 		UndecidedLead
30 September 2019Opinaia [1] 300048307232318
11 August 2019 Primary Election –47.732.18.22.92.22.6–15.6
11-13 July 2019Synopsis [2] 226040.638.18.91.53.9–4.92.5
11 July 2019Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [3] 193433.532.511.33.85.1–1.01
2-11 July 2019Universidad de San Andrés [2] 226029255331154
29 June 2019Meridional [4] 193442.534.58.82.711.5–11.38
28 June 2019Synopsis [5] 226140.336.29.11.14.1–8.14.2
23 June 2019CEOP [6] 150043.732.39.32.13.9–8.711.4
23 June 2019Trespuntozero [7] 14004233.47.90.92.52.56.98.6

Polls conducted before the submission of candidacies

The following opinion polls were conducted before the deadline for the submission of candidacies before the National Electoral Chamber, on 22 June 2019.

First round

DatePolling firm Citizen's Unity Let's Change Federal Alternative FIT RxA
Kirchner Kicillof Scioli Rossi Macri Vidal Massa Lavagna Urtubey Del Caño Solá
13 March 2019Centro de Estudios de Opinión Pública [8] 31.4---27.3-10.88.52.92.6-
10 March 2019Raúl Aragón & Asociados [9] 28.4---26.9-10.99.19.74.1-
7 March 2019Universidad de San Andrés [10] 23---24-5116--
8 March 2019M&R Asociados / Query Argentina [11] 27.9---26.9--12.1-5.3-
27.8----30.2-11.4-5.1-
----27.4--21.7-10.2-
-----29-20.1-10.6-
8 March 2019Oh! Panel [12] 24---22931024.1-
21 February 2019Circuitos [13] 33.8---29.4-6.18.7-5.8-
17 February 2019Hugo Haime & Asociados [14] 37.7---27.1-19.3--5.9-
41.6---26.7---12.97.6-
41.8---26.7--14.6-5.8-
12 February 2019Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados [15] 28.4---26.9-10.99.19.74.1-
10 February 2019Centro de Estudios de Opinión Pública [16] 34.3---31.4-8.6--2.9-
4 February 2019M&R Asociados / Query Argentina [17] 33.7---29.2-9.1--5.2-
4 February 2019Aragón y Asociados [18] 30---29-13----
2 February 2019Consultora de Imagen y Gestión Política [19] 34.96---28.16-6.5114.47---
27 January 2019Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados [20] 32.4---29.2-9.5-5.74.5-
25 January 2019Consultora de Imagen y Gestión Política [21] 34.6---32.1-10----
25 January 2019Reyes Filadoro [22] 34---28-9----
25 January 2019Del Franco [22] 29.3---27.2-13.8----
25 January 2019Aresco [22] 31.9---30.7-8.6----
25 January 2019Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [23] 38.2---34.6-8.5----
23 January 2019Opinaia [20] 30---30-11--3-
30---30--11-4-
31---30---84-
21 January 2019Circuitos [24] 33.2---30.1-9.8--6.4-
15 January 2019Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [24] 31.8---22.8-7.4-90.9-
11 January 2019Synopsis [25] 27.6---29.1-6.713.12.82.2-
--5.69.927.8-7.515.63.52.73.2
8 January 2019Quality Politics Argentina [26] 30.7-6.32.529.3-10.8-5.72.83.4
8 January 2019Dicen [27] [28] 34---30-10--3-
--23-28-12--3-
8 January 2019Analogías [29] --27.6-23-12--5.7-
1 January 2019Opinaia [30] 26---27-11--4-
27---28---85-
23 December 2018Federico González y Asociados [31] 27.7-4.2-29.2-14.1-6.13.42.7
-11.26.71.529.5-17.1-7.94.64.2
12 December 2018Opina Argentina [32] 34---30-11-55-
3 December 2018Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados [33] 31.9---28.1-10-6.44.4-
38.9---37.9------
2 December 2018M&R Asociados / Query Argentina [34] 29.1---28.4-9.1--5.5-
29 November 2018Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [35] 35.3---25.5-17.1----
26 November 2018Opinaia [36] 28---28---84-
27---28-11--3-
27----3012--4-

Second round

DatePolling firm Citizen's Unity Let's Change Federal Alternative RxA
Kirchner Kicillof Scioli Rossi Macri Vidal Massa Lavagna Urtubey Solá
13 March 2019Centro de Estudios de Opinión Pública [8] 37.4---34.3-----
10 March 2019Hugo Haime y Asociados [37] 51---39-----
----32-55---
----34--50--
----33---49-
9 March 2019Synopsis [38] 49.2---50.8-----
----49.8----50.2
---48.351.7-----
----48.8-51.2---
----41.158.9----
----45.9---54.1-
40.6------59.3--
47.1----52.9----
8 March 2019M&R Asociados / Query Argentina [11] 35.7---35.1-----
35.9----36.7----
----34.4--35.2--
-----32.6-32.2--
8 March 2019Oh! Panel [12] 38---41-----
----30--37--
31----48----
-----36-35--
7 March 2019Universidad de San Andrés [10] 33.1---45.6-----
----30.3--38--
23 February 2019Opinaia [39] 43---41-----
21 February 2019Circuitos [13] 42.5---39.9-----
17 February 2019Hugo Haime & Asociados [14] 51---39.1-----
----32.3-55.5---
----33.2---49.6-
----34.650.4----
12 February 2019Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados [15] 38.6---38-----
10 February 2019Centro de Estudios de Opinión Pública [16] 40.4---40.3-----
----33.7--29.7--
4 February 2019M&R Asociados / Query Argentina [17] 40---38.9-----
2 February 2019Consultora de Imagen y Gestión Política [19] 45---40-----
----31.5-36--
----38----35
----32-26---
27 January 2019Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados [20] 38.9---37.9-----
23 January 2019Opinaia [20] 40---43-----
----36-35---
----34--37--
-34--41-----
21 January 2019Circuitos [24] 42.7---43.8-----
----40.6-24.3---
15 January 2019Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [24] 33.4---29.1-----
----27.4-25.2---
----24.4---25.1-
----25.8--31--
----29.3----20.5
8 January 2019Quality Politics Argentina [26] 51.7---48.3-----
----46.8----53.2
-47.9--52.1-----
---51.748.3-----
----51.4-48.6---
----44.6---55.5-
8 January 2019Dicen [27] [28] 44---41-----
--43-41-----
30 December 2018Centro de Estudios de la Opinión Pública [40] 32.9---32-----
----32.6-31.6---
----33.6----29.2
----31.6--26.4--
24 December 2018Isonomía [41] 39---47-----
----39-43---
37----55----
23 December 2018Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [42] 41.1---36.6-----
23 December 2018Federico González y Asociados [31] 37.2---40.2-----
----38.1-39.9---
21 December 2018Consultora de Imagen y Gestión Política [43] 42.19---42.93-----
----42.93----34
----37.22--38.21--
12 December 2018Opina Argentina [32] 44---39-----
44----42----
9 December 2018Synopsis [44] 47.1---52.9-----
---47.752.3-----
-49.3--50.7-----
--47.8-52.2-----
----50.5-49.5---
----45.6---54.4-
----48.7----51.3
3 December 2018Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados [33] 38.9---37.9-----
2 December 2018M&R Asociados / Query Argentina [33] 35.9---35.3-----
29 November 2018Gustavo Córdoba y Asociados [35] 43.6---34.2-----
43.1----36.1----
----28.4-29.4---
----26.7---21.7-
24 November 2018Consultora de Imagen y Gestión Política [45] 34.58---32.08-----
21 November 2018Aresco [45] 39.3---38.8-----
12 March 2018Grupo de Opinión Pública [46] 37.2---44.1-----
37.3----50----
----37-37.4---
-----42.337.2---
-36.5--41.5-----
-33.1---50.9----
----37.7---24.7-
-----47.2--22.4-
----40.1----33.7
-----49.1---29.5
10 March 2018Synopsis [47] 32.5---49.4-----
----42.6-32.6---
----38.7---30-

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Civic Coalition ARI</span> Political party in Argentina

Civic Coalition ARI, until October 2009 known as Support for an Egalitarian Republic, is a centrist political party in Argentina founded in 2002 by Elisa Carrió.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mauricio Macri</span> President of Argentina from 2015 to 2019

Mauricio Macri is an Argentine businessman and politician who served as the President of Argentina from 2015 to 2019. He has been the leader of the Republican Proposal (PRO) party since its founding in 2005. He previously served as 5th Chief of Government of Buenos Aires from 2007 to 2015, and was a member of the Chamber of Deputies representing Buenos Aires from 2005 to 2007. Ideologically, he identifies himself as a liberal and conservative on the Argentine centre-right.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Republican Proposal</span> Political party in Argentina

Republican Proposal is a right-wing political party in Argentina. It is usually referred to by its abbreviation, PRO. PRO was formed as an electoral alliance in 2005, but was transformed into a national party in 2010. It is the major component of the Juntos por el Cambio coalition, and its leader is former Argentine president Mauricio Macri, who is the party's president since May 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Federal Peronism</span> Political ideology in Argentina

Federal Peronism, also known as Dissident Peronism, is the faction or branch of either moderate, centrist or right-wing Peronism, that is currently identified mostly by its opposition to Kirchnerism, the left-wing faction of Peronism.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2015 Argentine general election</span>

General elections were held in Argentina on 25 October 2015 to elect the President and National Congress, and followed primary elections which were held on 9 August 2015. A second round of voting between the two leading candidates took place on 22 November, after surprisingly close results forced a runoff. On the first runoff voting ever held for an Argentine Presidential Election, Buenos Aires Mayor Mauricio Macri narrowly defeated Front for Victory candidate and Buenos Aires Province Governor Daniel Scioli with 51.34% of votes. Macri's vote count of nearly 13 million votes made it the highest number of votes any candidate has ever received in Argentinian history, until Javier Milei obtained over 14 million votes in the second round of the 2023 presidential election. He took office on 10 December, making him the first freely elected president in almost a century who was not either a Radical or a Peronist.

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner was the President of Argentina between 2007 and 2015 and the Vice President of Argentina between 2019 and 2023.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Renewal Front</span> Political party in Argentina

The Frente Renovador (FR) is an Argentine peronist political party. The party is a member of the center-left political coalition Union for the Homeland. In 2019, the party was legally recognized after obtaining definitive legal status in the electoral districts of Buenos Aires Province, Autonomous City of Buenos Aires, Santa Cruz, Tucumán, Santiago del Estero, Santa Fe, La Pampa and Chubut.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Juntos por el Cambio</span> Argentine political coalition

Juntos por el Cambio is a political coalition in Argentina. A big tent coalition, it was created in 2015 as Cambiemos, and renamed in 2019. It is composed of Republican Proposal, Radical Civic Union, Civic Coalition ARI and United Republicans.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Juliana Awada</span> First Lady of Argentina from 2015 to 2019

María Juliana Awada is an Argentine businesswoman who served as the first lady of Argentina from 2015 to 2019. She is the first woman in this role to have received the distinction of the Knight Grand Cross of the Order of Isabella the Catholic in 70 years and the second in history after Eva Perón in 1947. In 2016, she was chosen as the most elegant First Lady in the world by ¡Hola! magazine.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Inauguration of Mauricio Macri</span> Argentine presidential inauguration ceremony

The inauguration of Mauricio Macri as president of Argentina took place on December 10, 2015. It followed a rocky presidential transition and a dispute over ceremonial protocol between outgoing president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and president-elect Mauricio Macri.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Citizen's Unity</span> Former political coalition in Argentina

Citizen's Unity was a centre-left Kirchnerist political coalition in Argentina for the 2017 legislative elections led by the former President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner.

The Frente de Todos was a centre-left political coalition political parties in Argentina formed to support President Alberto Fernández and Vice President Cristina Kirchner.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Inauguration of Alberto Fernández</span>

The inauguration of Alberto Fernández as president of Argentina took place on 10 December 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Fernando Iglesias (Argentine politician)</span> Argentine politician

Fernando Adolfo Iglesias is an Argentine journalist, writer, politician, and volleyball player. Currently he is a National Deputy elected in Buenos Aires. He is a member of the center right party Republican Proposal.

<i>Pasaron cosas</i> Resounding sentence by Mauricio Macri

Veníamos bien, pero de golpe pasaron cosas or simply abbreviated as pasaron cosas, is a phrase that was uttered by Mauricio Macri, former president of Argentina on 17 June 2018 during an interview with Jorge Lanata, well-known for being a fervent opponent of kirchnerism as well of the austere policies of Macri, while trying to justify the worsening of the country's economic situation in the last two months, in which an exchange rate run occurred that culminated in the resignation of the president of the Central Bank of Argentina, Federico Sturzenegger on 14 June, while resigning to the post, it was left an erratic accumulated inflation of 95% and a devaluation of the peso of 175%. By pronouncing the phrase, Macri sought to release the government from any responsibility regarding the country's crisis, stating that it was the product of a greater worldwide situation, in which the world was in a "very volatile financial situation", remainings of the financial crisis of 2007–2008.

<i>Primer tiempo</i> 2021 book by Mauricio Macri

Primer tiempo is a 2021 memoir by Mauricio Macri, president of Argentina from 2015 to 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Avanza Libertad</span> Argentine political coalition

Avanza Libertad, originally founded in 2019 as Frente Despertar, was an Argentine right-wing political coalition. Renamed in 2020, Avanza Libertad had legal status in the Buenos Aires Province. Ideologically, it is libertarian conservative, supportive of economic liberalism, ultraconservatism, and critical of both Kirchnerism and Juntos por el Cambio. Led by José Luis Espert, is a far-right coalition, with its being compared to Spain's Vox.

On 1 September 2022, a man attempted to assassinate Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, the vice president and former president of Argentina. The assailant approached Fernández de Kirchner as she met with supporters outside of her official residence in Recoleta, Buenos Aires, and attempted to shoot her in the head with a semi-automatic pistol. The pistol failed to fire, and the suspect was immediately arrested on scene.

This article contains polls on voters' intentions regarding the 2023 Argentine general election, which will elect the country's president and vice president for the 2023–2027 period.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Union for the Homeland</span> Argentine political coalition

The Union for the Homeland is a political and electoral coalition of Peronist political parties in Argentina who are the main opposition coalition since December 2023.

References

  1. ↑ Dos nuevas encuestas presidenciales: ¿cómo está la pelea entre Alberto Fernández y Macri?, Clarin.com
  2. 1 2 "La guerra de encuestas, sin freno: tres nuevos sondeos con la pelea presidencial" [No end to the poll war: three new presidential election poll]. Clarin (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-07-23.
  3. ↑ "Elecciones 2019: encuesta da como ganador a Alberto Fernández en un posible balotaje" [Elections 2019: poll gives Alberto Fernández the winner in a possible ballot]. El Destape (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-07-15.
  4. ↑ "El factor Espert irrumpe como tercero en discordia". Comunas del Litoral (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 June 2019.
  5. ↑ "La polarización levantó a Mauricio Macri: se acercó a los Fernández en las PASO y hay empate para un balotaje". Clarín (in Spanish). 28 June 2019. Retrieved 28 June 2019.
  6. ↑ "El Frente de Todos con una clara ventaja". Página/12 (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 June 2019.
  7. ↑ "Nuevas encuestas: mejoran los números de Mauricio Macri, pero sigue debajo de los Fernández". Clarín (in Spanish). 23 June 2019. Retrieved 24 June 2019.
  8. 1 2 Granovsky, Martín (2019-03-17). "Mauricio Macri pierde en primera o en segunda | Mal pronóstico para el Gobierno si se votara hoy". PAGINA12. Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  9. ↑ "Encuesta: ¿qué porcentaje de argentinos quiere un cambio de gobierno?". Grupo la Provincia (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  10. 1 2 "Encuesta: el peor momento de Macri, clima de ballottage y el 'candidato ideal'". www.cronista.com. 2019-03-12. Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  11. 1 2 Clarín.com. "Encuesta exclusiva: cuatro escenarios electorales y una llamativa paridad". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  12. 1 2 "Dólar a $51 y duelo Vidal-Lavagna: qué dice la primera encuesta de marzo". www.cronista.com. 2019-03-08. Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  13. 1 2 "Encuestas 2019: sigue creciendo la imagen negativa de Macri en la Provincia". El Destape Web (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  14. 1 2 "Dos encuestas afirman que Cristina le ganaría un ballotage a Macri". www.lapoliticaonline.com. Retrieved 2019-03-27.
  15. 1 2 Clarín.com. "La guerra de encuestas, sin freno: Macri, Cristina y cinco nuevos sondeos electorales". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  16. 1 2 Kollmann, Raúl (2019-02-10). "La avenida del medio cada vez es menos ancha | El horizonte electoral donde ocho de cada diez están preocupados por el declive económico". PAGINA12. Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  17. 1 2 Clarín.com. "Primera encuesta tras la unificación en Provincia: Macri y Vidal vs. Cristina y Kicillof". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  18. ↑ "Cristina patea el tablero: más de un sondeo la da ganándole a Macri en octubre". www.cronista.com. Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  19. 1 2 "Según un sondeo, Cristina le saca casi 7 puntos a Macri". El Destape Web (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  20. 1 2 3 4 Clarín.com. "Cinco encuestas de enero: lo mejor y lo peor para Mauricio Macri y Cristina Kirchner". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  21. ↑ "Elecciones 2019: las encuestas dan ganadora a Cristina en primera vuelta". El Destape. 25 January 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2019.
  22. 1 2 3 "Elecciones 2019: las encuestas dan ganadora a Cristina en primera vuelta". El Destape. 25 January 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2019.
  23. ↑ "Elecciones 2019: las encuestas dan ganadora a Cristina en primera vuelta". El Destape. 25 January 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2019.
  24. 1 2 3 4 "Le encuesta que le da dolor de cabeza a Macri y un candidato sorpresa en el podio". www.cronista.com. Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  25. ↑ Clarín.com. "Encuesta exclusiva: con Lavagna repunta el PJ Federal, pero sigue debajo de Macri y Cristina". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  26. 1 2 "Encuestas 2019: según QPA, Cristina Kirchner derrota a Mauricio Macri en balotaje". El destape. 8 January 2019. Retrieved 10 January 2019.
  27. 1 2 Kollmann, Raúl (2019-01-08). "Las encuestas que entusiasman a Scioli | El ex gobernador se lanza la semana que viene". PAGINA12. Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  28. 1 2 "Elecciones 2019: encuesta muestra a CFK como ganadora de un balotaje contra Macri". El Destape Web (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  29. ↑ Kollmann, Raúl (8 January 2019). "Las encuestas que entusiasman a Scioli". Página 12. Retrieved 8 January 2019.
  30. ↑ Clarín.com. "Encuesta exclusiva: midieron a 13 potenciales candidatos y reprobaron 11". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  31. 1 2 Clarín.com. "Nueva encuesta: cómo cambian las chances de Mauricio Macri con o sin Cristina Kirchner". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  32. 1 2 Paladini, Eduardo (12 December 2018). "Nueva encuesta presidencial: la variante Vidal y tres escenarios para 2019". Clarín. Retrieved 27 December 2018.
  33. 1 2 3 Clarín.com. "Cuatro nuevas encuestas electorales confirman la polarización entre Mauricio Macri y Cristina Kirchner". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  34. ↑ Paladini, Eduardo (6 December 2018). "Cuatro nuevas encuestas electorales confirman la polarización entre Mauricio Macri y Cristina Kirchner". Clarín. Retrieved 27 December 2018.
  35. 1 2 "El Peronismo Federal no logra ser "Alternativa" en 2019". Agencia Digital de Noticias. 29 November 2018. Retrieved 27 December 2018.
  36. ↑ Clarín.com. "Encuesta exclusiva: Mauricio Macri frenó su caída y hay empate técnico con Cristina Kirchner". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-29.
  37. ↑ Plata), LPO (La. "Dos encuestas afirman que Cristina le ganaría un ballotage a Macri". www.lapoliticaonline.com. Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  38. ↑ Clarín.com. "Encuesta: Macri - Cristina en espejo y dos balotajes alternativos". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  39. ↑ Clarín.com. "Encuesta exclusiva: alto rechazo electoral a los principales candidatos presidenciales". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  40. ↑ Kollmann, Raúl (2018-12-30). "Un frente opositor seduce | El 43 por ciento quiere la unidad". PAGINA12. Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  41. ↑ "Contexto Tucumán". www.contextotucuman.com. Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  42. ↑ "Los números de la última encuesta del año que hunden a Macri y favorecen a Cristina". El Destape Web (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  43. ↑ Clarín.com. "Primera encuesta del año y un dato clave: las preferencias de los indecisos". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  44. ↑ Clarín.com. "Exclusivo: una encuesta explica con cifras por qué las mayores chances de Mauricio Macri son contra Cristina Kirchner". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  45. 1 2 "Cristina le gana a Macri: cuatro encuestas favorecen a la expresidenta". La Voz (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  46. ↑ Clarín.com. "Otras dos encuestadoras midieron la reelección de Macri: una también preguntó por Vidal". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
  47. ↑ Clarín.com. "Encuesta nacional: midieron a cinco opositores para un balotaje contra Mauricio Macri". www.clarin.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2019-03-30.
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.