Opinion polling for the 2019 Tunisian presidential election

Last updated

Polling for the 2019 Tunisian presidential election, which took place on 15 September 2019, with a runoff on 13 October 2019.

Contents

Second round

Polls

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Karoui
QT
Saïed

First round

Polls

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Chahed
TT
Karoui
QT
Saïed
Moussi
PDL
Marzouki
MTV
M. Abbou
CD
Jomaa
AE
Hammami
FP
Saïd
Marzouk
MT
Mraïhi
Aïdi
BW
Hamdi
CA
Makhlouf
Jalloul
NT
Jebali
Riahi
Mourou
ME
Zbidi
Emrhod Consulting 15 September 20198.71%15.26%18.95%4.59%2.95%3.38%1.56%1.27%7.66%5.15%0.8%3.79%0.38%12.59%9.9%
Sigma Conseil15 September 201938 9007.5%15.5%19.5%5.1%3.1%4.3%0.2%1.7%7.4%0.3%5.8%0.3%0.4%4%0.3%0.2%11%9.4%
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Chahed
TT
Karoui
QT
Saïed
Moussi
PDL
Marzouki
MTV
M. Abbou
CD
Jomaa
AE
Hammami
FP
Saïd
Marzouk
MT
Morjane
TT
Aïdi
BW
Hamdi
CA
Zenaidi
Jalloul
NT
Jebali
Riahi
Chebbi
MD
Zbidi
25 July 2019The Independent High Authority for Elections moves up the election and runoff dates from 17 November 2019 and 24 November 2019 to 15 September 2019 and 22 September 2019 respectively in order to find a successor in accordance with the 90-day interim presidency period called for by the Constitution
25 July 2019 Beji Caid Essebsi passes away in office at the age of 92; Mohamed Ennaceur sworn in as Interim President of Tunisia on a 90-day interim basis
23 July 2019 Abdelkarim Zbidi announces that he will not run for the election [1]
16 July 2019Electoral period begins; no further polls are allowed
Emrhod Consulting 10–13 July 201912007.8%23%14%5.2%3.1%2.8%2.6%1.4%2%1.6%1%1%
Sigma Conseil [2] 3–9 July 201920567%23%20%12%7%5%3%1%3%1%1%3%
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Chahed
TT
Karoui
QT
Saïed
Moussi
PDL
Marzouki
MTV
M. Abbou
CD
Jomaa
AE
Hammami
FP
Saïd
Marzouk
MT
Morjane
IND then TT
S. Abbou
CD
Ghannouchi
ME
Caid Essebsi
NT
Aïdi
BW
Hamdi
CA
Brahim
AT
Zenaidi
Jalloul
NT
Jebali
Riahi
Chebbi
MD
23 June 2019 Yassine Brahim announces that he will not run for the election [3]
18 June 2019Amendments to the electoral law approved by the ARP [4]
Emrhod Consulting 14–17 June 201912005.8%26.5%15.2%5%1.5%2.3%1.5%1.2%1.9%1.2%1.9%
Benchmark Consulting June 2019100210.1%7.9%19.2%11.6%5.6%6.8%2.1%1%
Sigma Conseil 1–8 June 201927067.4%23.8%23.2%10.8%6.3%6.6%3.9%1.8%1%0.9%4%1.6%1.8%1%0.9%1.4%
Benchmark Consulting [5] 2–6 May 20199.5%17.5%14.3%4.4%10.7%5.9%2.7%2.7%2.1%
Sigma Conseil [6] 2–3 May 20197877.4%21.8%22.4%12.4%4.5%4.5%3.4%0.8%3.8%4%1.4%1.8%1.4%1.8%1.3%
Elka Consulting [7] 29 April - 3 May 201912164%32%17%6%7%3%3%2%5%2%1%1%1%
Emrhod Consulting 27–30 April 201910009.8%8.1%7.5%5.2%3.2%2.8%2.4%1.6%1.2%1%1%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.2%
6 April 2019 Beji Caid Essebsi announces that he will not seek re-election [8]
Emrhod Consulting 27–29 March 2019150014.6%0.2%13.3%5.7%2.7%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.2%
IIEOP and FSSA [9] March 201920%19.2%7.4%9.2%5.2%4%12.5%5.7%
Sigma Conseil [10] March 201919.3%1.3%12.1%7.1%11.7%4.7%5.3%6.7%2.8%2.3%1.9%3.1%6.7%3.3%1.6%
Emrhod Consulting 22–24 February 2019105413.7%4.4%4.6%5.2%1.3%0.2%1.8%2.3%0.5%0.7%2.4%1.1%4.8%0.5%0.5%0.3%
16 February 2019 Samia Abbou announces that she will not run for the election [11]
Sigma Conseil 11–14 February 201980513.8%5.6%1.2%4%1.1%1.3%2%1.9%1.3%1.3%1.4%4.9%1.5%0.3%0.5%0.7%0.3%
12 January 2019 Rached Ghannouchi announces that he will not run for the election [12]
Emrhod Consulting 24–26 December 201810278%4.8%0.5%3.8%2.5%0.9%1.8%3.2%0.3%1.2%2.7%0.8%6.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.9%0.5%
IIEOP and FSSA [13] 21–25 December 2018120316.6%14.4%12%14.2%
Emrhod Consulting 16–19 November 201896511.8%0.4%0.2%6.2%3.7%1%1.5%1.8%1%2%2.1%0.5%8.6%0.2%1%1.2%0.3%
Election results 23 November 2014 N/A33.43%N/A7.82%0.80%N/A1.27%N/A39.46%N/A5.75%N/A0.74%N/A5.55%1.04%

See also

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