Opinion polling for the 2021 Moldovan parliamentary election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2021 Moldovan parliamentary election.

Party vote

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 51 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament.

.mw-parser-output .div-col{margin-top:0.3em;column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .div-col-small{font-size:90%}.mw-parser-output .div-col-rules{column-rule:1px solid #aaa}.mw-parser-output .div-col dl,.mw-parser-output .div-col ol,.mw-parser-output .div-col ul{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .div-col li,.mw-parser-output .div-col dd{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column} .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} PSRM BECS ACUM PAS PPPDA PDM SOR PCRM PN Opinion polling for the 2021 Moldovan parliamentary election.svg
   PSRM
   BECS
   ACUM
   PAS
   PPPDA
   PDM
   ȘOR
   PCRM
   PN

(excluding Transnistria and diaspora voters)   Exit poll

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample size Red Star with white Hammer & Sickle.svg ACUM.png PDM ȘOR Electoral symbol of the Electoral Bloc "Renato Usatii".png Others LeadGov't
seats
Logo of the Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova.svg Logo of the Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova.svg Logo of the Party of Action and Solidarity.svg Logo of the Platforma DA.svg Partidul Nostru logo.svg
2021 parliamentary election 11 Jul 20211,467,20527.2
32		52.8
63		2.3
0		1.8
0		5.7
6		4.1
0		5.5
0		25.6
31		–
CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD 22:00 UTC+3 [1] 11 Jul 20203,33723.155.81.91.18.14.55.532.7—
CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD 21:00 UTC+3 [2] 11 Jul 20202,76424.055.11.81.18.14.45.431.1—
ASDM [3] 21 Jun–2 Jul 20211,18137.137.45.41.36.85.55.50.3—
BOP [4] 12–27 Jun 20211,16132.5
34		43.5
55		3.5
0		1.7
0		7.8
12		5.9
0		3.2
0		11.0
0		46
CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD [5] 20–30 June 20211,20130.550.92.51.04.75.25.220.5—
ASDM [6] 10–20 Jun 20211,16736.738.54.41.46.95.26.91.8—
CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD [ citation needed ]12–19 June 20211,10428.049.81.91.04.76.310.221.2—
CBS-AXA / IPN-EEfD [7] 2–8 Jun 20211,15432.550.52.00.85.15.04.118.0—
ASDM [8] 24 May–5 Jun 20211,17936.136.54.42.27.34.88.50.4—
RDI [9] 21–28 May 20211,20635.437.63.82.38.74.25.42.2—
iData [10] 19–28 May 20211,22733.439.13.51.210.14.97.8 [lower-alpha 1] 5.7—
ASDM [11] 14–22 May 20211,18535.837.03.32.57.64.49.31.2—
13 May 2021PSRM and PCRM form an electoral alliance. [12]
28 Apr 2021President Maia Sandu dissolves parliament and calls early election.
ASDM [13] 8–20 Apr 20211,18737.6
44		1.8
0		39.7
46		3.2
0		—10.0
11		3.7
0		3.9
0		2.155
iData [14] 20–31 Mar 20211,31433.92.241.34.3
1.29.24.93.07.4—
IMAS [15] 9–23 Mar 20211,11532.74.842.52.02.77.14.33.99.8—
IRI [16] 9 Feb–16 Mar 20212,001244426368618—
iData [17] 19–27 Feb 20211,25232.7
36		1.4
0		43.1
48		5.2
6		0.7
0		10.0
11		3.3
0		3.7
0		10.4
12		47
ASDM [18] 12–20 Feb 20211,19132.73.936.04.22.49.77.43.53.3—
Intellect [19] 9–16 Feb 20211,10331.8
35		2.5
0		35.4
39		3.4
0		5.4
6		8.9
10		9.9
11		2.7
0		3.6
4		45
BOP [20] 28 Jan–14 Feb 20211,10826.63.348.62.80.88.76.23.022.0—
iData [21] 15–31 Jan 20211,26432.8
38		3.3
0		38.0
44		4.9
0		0.9
0		10.8
13		5.0
6		4.3
0		5.2
6		51
ASDM [22] 8–23 Jan 20211,15333.22.933.94.41.112.97.54.00.7—
iData [23] 11–14 Dec 20201,04332.8
36		3.2
0		37.4
41		2.0
0		0.5
0		13.3
15		8.0
9		2.7
0		4.6
5		51
15 Nov 2020PAS candidate Maia Sandu won the presidential election.
7 Nov 2020 PDM left the coalition. ȘOR starts to support the government.
iData [24] 4–7 Nov 20201,07035.7
40		1.7
0		32.1
36		2.0
0		1.9
0		10.0
11		12.2
14		4.4
0		3.6
4		40
ASDM [25] [26] 2–7 Nov 20201,17741.52.223.16.03.310.710.42.718.4—
2020 Presidential election (Round 1)1 Nov 20201,348,70732.6—36.23.3—6.516.94.63.6—
FOP [27] 17–24 Oct 20202,17141.70.333.07.30.65.59.32.38.7—
iData [28] 14–24 Oct 20201,23134.8
40		1.9
0		27.9
32		4.6
0		1.5
0		12.7
15		12.6
14		3.9
0		6.9
8		40
ASDM [29] 11–20 Oct 20201,18340.92.022.86.83.111.310.22.818.1—
BOP [30] 8–20 Oct 20201,20035.01.329.62.71.09.716.14.75.4—
CBS-AXA [31] 10–17 Oct 20201,00134.01.831.22.61.76.310.312.02.8—
Intellect [32] 2–9 Oct 20201,45339.9
44		2.7
0		24.5
27		5.3
6		3.3
0		11.9
13		9.9
11		2.5
0		15.4
17		44
ASDM [33] 26 Sep–8 Oct 20201,16739.72.322.36.13.810.810.44.317.4—
iData [34] 30 Sep–5 Oct 20201,21835.2
41		1.9
0		28.2
33		4.8
0		2.8
0		11.8
14		11.6
13		3.7
0		7.0
8		41
ASDM [35] 6–22 Sep 20201,18937.63.022.57.74.710.410.04.115.1—
Intellect [36] 24 Aug–2 Sep 20201,21335.5
44		4.8
0		24.0
29		2.5
0		2.1
0		13.0
15		11.0
13		7.1
0		11.5
15		44
iData [37] 25–27 Aug 20201,17737.1
45		4.8
0		26.3
32		4.7
0		2.1
0		10.3
12		9.8
12		5.1
0		10.8
13		45
IRI [38] 16 Jul–23 Aug 20202,0172952855107101—
ASDM [39] 5–20 Aug 20201,19139.34.326.84.95.28.46.94.012.5—
Intellect [40] 23–27 Jul 20201,07230.4
37		7.2
9		22.6
27		4.4
0		3.9
0		13.4
16		10.1
12		8.1
0		7.8
10		37
iData [41] 23–26 Jul 20201,21436.9
43		2.7
0		30.5
36		5.4
6		5.3
6		8.5
10		4.8
0		5.9
0		6.4
7		49
ASDM [42] 14–24 Jul 202092143.53.627.94.25.06.55.63.715.6—
Intellect [43] 2–9 Jul 20201,17233.9
36		7.1
7		27.8
29		5.5
6		3.6
0		11.0
12		10.1
11		1.2
0		6.0
7		36
iData [44] 20 Jun–4 Jul 20201,51135.32.230.48.33.89.35.84.84.9—
ASDM [45] 20–27 Jun 20201,12748.72.026.97.03.92.36.11.821.8—
IMAS [46] 14–27 Jun 20201,10535.75.625.63.64.711.67.75.510.1—
BOP [47] 13–23 Jun 20201,20034.04.933.93.85.27.45.45.40.1—
FOP [48] [49] 23–31 May 20201,76746.3
55		1.7
0		30.9
37		7.5
9		3.0
0		3.1
0		4.6
0		2.7
0		15.4
18		55
CBS-AXA [50] 5–11 May 20201,00329.85.329.16.111.42.96.19.20.7—
ASDM [51] 1–7 May 20201,14148.62.621.97.48.72.14.41.726.7—
iData [52] 26 Apr–4 May 202093148.13.322.76.88.23.76.86.225.4—
CBS-AXA [53] 31 Mar–12 Apr 20201,00441.6
52		6.8
6		21.2
26		5.0
6		7.8
10		4.5
0		2.8
0		9.6
0		25.4
26		62
iData [54] 30 Mar–4 Apr 2020101050.33.921.39.38.71.82.12.529.0—
iData [55] 13–15 Mar 202032643.97.227.610.04.13.31.22.716.3—
FOP [56] 22 Feb–7 Mar 20201,79847.62.028.76.34.73.93.43.419.9—
IMAS [57] 7–19 Feb 202090542.15.427.92.09.36.02.74.214.2—
ASDM [58] 10–16 Feb 20201,17345.14.719.75.611.84.23.72.025.4—
Intellect [59] [60] 16–23 Jan 20201,13440.6
51		3.4
0		27.9
36		4.1
0		10.7
11		4.8
0		3.5
0		5.0
0		8.6
15		62
ASDM [61] 2–13 Jan 20201,18944.05.821.46.310.04.83.04.722.6—
BOP [62] 7–23 Dec 20191,18740.34.225.54.810.84.23.67.314.8—
IMAS [63] 2–14 Dec 20191,09038.36.027.02.013.55.04.53.611.3—
IRI [64] 16 Nov–8 Dec 20191,2043842741354511—
FOP [65] 23–30 Nov 20191,20148.02.630.06.47.01.93.01.118.0—
14 Nov 2019 Chicu Cabinet is formed by PSRM and PDM.
2019 local elections (Round 1)20 Oct 20191,173,83427.13.823.516.56.54.5—3.6—
IMAS [66] 7–22 Sep 20191,50043.74.925.14.311.45.3—5.318.6—
ASDM [67] 11–20 Sep 20191,18942.93.622.610.09.43.04.5—20.3—
CBS-AXA [68] [69] 2–14 Aug 20191,10641.9
50		3.7
0		27.3
33		8.7
10		6.7
8		4.6
0		3.0
0		4.3
0		14.6
17		93
iData [70] 17–28 Jul 20191,82541.9
48		3.4
0		29.3
34		8.2
10		8.1
9		3.0
0		1.6
0		4.5
0		12.6
14		92
ASDM [71] 11–22 Jun 20191,19144.73.334.17.65.02.31.010.6—
iData [72] 12–13 Jun 201972039.82.832.7 [lower-alpha 2] 11.36.31.75.47.1—
8 Jun 2019 Sandu Cabinet is formed by PSRM and ACUM.
7–15 Jun 2019 2019 Moldovan constitutional crisis
ASDM [73] 1–10 May 20191,18938.43.123.523.85.81.81.114.6–
IMAS [74] 17 Mar–5 Apr 20191,11034.82.727.126.86.11.31.37.7–
2019 parliamentary election 24 Feb 20191,416,35931.2
35		3.8
0		26.9
26		23.6
30		8.3
7		3.0
0		3.4
0		4.3
5		–
  1. ↑ AUR 4.8%
  2. ↑ 21.8 for PAS, 8.2 for PPDA, and 2.7 for ACUM.

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References

  1. ↑ "Prezentarea rezultatelor finale sondajului AFTER POLL 2021". youtube.com (in Romanian). 11 July 2021. Retrieved 11 July 2021.
  2. ↑ "Rezultatele sondajului AFTER POLL 2021 (rezultate preliminare)". youtube.com (in Romanian). 11 July 2021. Retrieved 11 July 2021.
  3. ↑ "Sondaj al Asociației Sociologilor și Demografilor: patru formațiuni ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri parlamentare anticipate" (in Romanian). Ziarul de Gardă. 2021-07-05. Retrieved 2021-07-05.
  4. ↑ "PAS - mai aproape de o majoritate in Parlament? Ce arata sondajul BOP - FOTO" (in Romanian). Pro TV. Retrieved 2021-07-05.
  5. ↑ "PAS și BeCS ar acumula cele mai multe voturi la alegerile din 11 iulie, sondaj". ipn.md (in Romanian). 1 July 2021. Retrieved 1 July 2021.
  6. ↑ "VIDEO/ Sondaj Asociația Sociologilor și Demografilor: Trei formațiuni politice ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri parlamentare anticipate". zdg.md (in Romanian). 2021-06-23. Retrieved 2021-06-25.
  7. ↑ "Alegeri parlamentare – AfterPoll 2021" (PDF). ipn.md (in Romanian). IPN. 2021-06-09.
  8. ↑ "În Parlament ajung doar trei concurenți electorali: PAS, Blocul Comuniștilor și socialiștilor și PP Șor (Sondaj)". Ziarul de Gardă (in Romanian). 2021-06-08. Retrieved 2021-06-05.
  9. ↑ "Stările sociale și politice ale Moldova (21-28 mai 2021)". Ziarul de Gardă (in Russian). 2021-06-05. Retrieved 2021-06-05.
  10. ↑ "(SONDAJ) Patru formațiuni, cu șanse de a accede în Parlament; AUR ar avea un scor egal cu Renato Usatîi". cotidianul.md (in Romanian). Adevarul. 1 June 2021.
  11. ↑ "Sondaj: Sandu, Dodon și Voronin, în top trei cei mai de încredere politicieni. PAS și BECS, diferență de un procent, la parlamentare". agora.md. Retrieved 2021-05-28.
  12. ↑ "Ultima oră! CEC a înregistrat blocul electoral al PCRM și PSRM" (in Romanian).
  13. ↑ "Sondaj ASDM: Trei partide ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare s-ar organiza alegeri parlamentare" (in Romanian).
  14. ↑ "Anticipate - da sau ba? Ce partide ar accede în Parlament și ce părere au cetățenii despre un eventual scrutin (FOTO, VIDEO)" (in Romanian).
  15. ↑ "Trei partide ar accede în Parlament în cazul eventualelor alegeri (SONDAJ)" (in Romanian).
  16. ↑ "Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova" (PDF).
  17. ↑ "Sondaj: Ce partide ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri parlamentare anticipate" (in Romanian).
  18. ↑ "Sondaj. Ce partide ar accede in Parlament, daca duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri parlamentare anticipate - FOTO" (in Romanian).
  19. ↑ "Sondaj. Ce partide ar accede in Parlament, daca duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri parlamentare" (in Romanian).
  20. ↑ "Barometrul de Opinie Publică" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  21. ↑ "SONDAJ iData/ Patru partide, cu șanse de a accede în Parlament, la eventuale anticipate" (in Romanian).
  22. ↑ "Sondaj ASDM: Patru partide ar accede în noul Parlament" (in Romanian).
  23. ↑ "SONDAJ. Ce partide ar intra în Parlament și câte mandate ar lua, dacă duminică s-ar organiza anticipate" (in Romanian).
  24. ↑ "(SONDAJ) Patru partide, cu șanse de a accede în Parlament în cazul unui scrutin duminica viitoare" (in Romanian).
  25. ↑ "Sondaj: În viitorul Parlament au șanse de a accede 5 partide politice" (in Romanian).
  26. ↑ "Partidele care ar putea ajunge în Parlament în urma anticipatelor - sondajul Asociației Sociologilor și Demografilor" (in Romanian).
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  28. ↑ "(sondaj) iData: cei mai mulți moldoveni vor vota la prezidențiale pentru Igor Dodon și Maia Sandu. Cine are mai multe șanse" (in Romanian).
  29. ↑ "Sondaj ASDM // Cinci partide ar accede în noul Legislativ" (in Romanian).
  30. ↑ "Sondaj BOP // Patru partide ar putea ajunge în noul Parlament" (in Romanian).
  31. ↑ "OCTOMBRIE 2020 – Evoluția percepțiilor privind dezinformarea în contextul pandemiei COVID-19 și preferințe politice" (Powerpoint presentation) (in Romanian).
  32. ↑ "SONDAJ// Dacă duminica viitoare s-ar organiza alegeri parlamentare, PSRM ar obține cele mai multe mandate în Legislativ" (in Romanian).
  33. ↑ "Sondaj ASDM // Cinci partide ar accede în noul Parlament" (in Romanian).
  34. ↑ "Sondaj iData: Platforma DA nu ar intra în viitorul Parlament, în schimb am putea avea deputați ai partidului condus de Usatîi (GRAFIC)" (in Romanian).
  35. ↑ "Cinci partide ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri (SONDAJ)" (in Romanian).
  36. ↑ "Un nou sondaj de opinie: Patru partide acced în Parlament, în caz de alegeri" (in Romanian).
  37. ↑ "Barometrul Electoral 2020 ediția de august" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  38. ↑ "Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova" (PDF).
  39. ↑ "Sondaj/ Cinci partide ar ajunge în Legislativ în urma unor eventuale alegeri parlamentare. Candidații care s-ar duela în turul II la prezidențiale" (in Romanian).
  40. ↑ "Alegeri în sondaj: 5 partide politice ar accede în Legislativ în cazul unui scrutin parlamentar" (in Romanian).
  41. ↑ "Barometrul Electoral 2020 ediția de iulie" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  42. ↑ "Sondaj – Partidele politice care ar ajunge în Parlament, după alegeri parlamentare anticipate și cum s-ar împărți voturile la un scrutin prezidențial" (in Romanian).
  43. ↑ "Sondaj: Ce partide ar vota moldovenii în cazul alegerilor parlamentare anticipate" (in Romanian).
  44. ↑ "Sandu sau Dodon? Cine ar castiga, daca duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegerile prezidentiale - Sondaj/VIDEO" (in Romanian).
  45. ↑ "Sondaj ASDM: Patru partide ar accede în noul Parlament" (in Romanian).
  46. ↑ "barometrul socio-politic" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  47. ↑ "Sondaj BOP: Cinci partide ar accede în Legislativ în caz de alegeri parlamentare: PCRM la limita pragului" (in Romanian).
  48. ↑ "SONDAJ SOCIO-POLITIC realizat la solicitarea canalului de televiziune TVC 21" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  49. ↑ "Cum s-ar împărți mandatele în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar fi organizate anticipatele (Sondaj)" (in Romanian).
  50. ↑ "MAI 2020 – STUDIU SOCIO-POLITIC" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  51. ↑ "În parlamentul Moldovei ar accede PSRM, PAS, PDM şi platforma DA" (in Romanian).
  52. ↑ "SONDAJ // Care partid se bucură de cea mai mare încredere a cetățenilor" (in Romanian).
  53. ↑ "(sondaj) 5 partide ar accede în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegeri. Vezi care sunt acestea" (in Romanian).
  54. ↑ "SONDAJ: Patru partide ar accede în legislativ, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc alegerile parlamentare anticipate" (in Romanian).
  55. ↑ "LIVE! iData prezintă Barometrul Electoral 2020, ediția de martie: „Studiu de percepție și atitudini a populației privind COVID-19"" (in Romanian).
  56. ↑ "SONDAJ SOCIO-POLITIC realizat la solicitarea canalului de televiziune TVC 21" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  57. ↑ "(sondaj IMAS) Care partide ar accede în Parlament. În ce condiții PCRM ar putea să se facă cu deputați" (in Romanian).
  58. ↑ "SONDAJ: Candidatul independent și reprezentantul PSRM conduc în cursa electorală pentru alegerile parlamentare noi din circumscripția uninominală hîncești" (in Romanian).
  59. ↑ "SONDAJ: În parlamentul Moldovei ar accede doar trei partide" (in Romanian).
  60. ↑ "SONDAJ INTELLECT GROUP: Doar trei partide ar intra în parlament - PSRM, PAS și PDM" (in Romanian).
  61. ↑ "SONDAJ: Patru partide ar accede în Legislativ, dacă duminica viitoare vor fi alegeri parlamentare" (in Romanian).
  62. ↑ "Decembrie 2019 Barometrul opinei publice Republica Moldova" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  63. ↑ "barometrul socio-politic" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  64. ↑ "Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova" (PDF).
  65. ↑ "SONDAJ SOCIO-POLITIC realizat la solicitarea portalului "Politics.MD"" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  66. ↑ "barometrul socio-politic" (PDF) (in Romanian).
  67. ↑ "SONDAJ: Candidaţii psrm şi acum vor ajunge în turul doi al alegerilor primarului de Chişinău" (in Romanian).
  68. ↑ "(SONDAJ) Patru partide ar accede în Parlament în cazul unor alegeri duminica viitoare" (in Romanian).
  69. ↑ "Sondaj CBS Axa: peste 50% din moldoveni consideră că alianța ACUM-PSRM trebuie să guverneze patru ani" (in Romanian).
  70. ↑ "SONDAJ // Patru partide ar intra în Parlament, dacă duminica viitoare ar avea loc ALEGERI. PSRM – 48 de mandate, PAS – 34 mandate, PPDA – 10 mandate și PD – 9 mandate" (in Romanian).
  71. ↑ "SONDAJ: Majoritatea cetăţenilor consideră că Partidul Democrat se face vinovat de criza politică din Moldova" (in Romanian).
  72. ↑ "iDATA: Aproape 50% dintre cetăţenii Republicii Moldova consideră legitim guvernul condus de Maia Sandu" (in Romanian).
  73. ↑ "Posibilele alegeri parlamentare anticipate în Moldova nu vor schimba substanţial raportul de forţe – Sondaj" (in Romanian).
  74. ↑ "barometrul socio-politic" (PDF) (in Romanian).
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