Big Mac Index

Last updated
Big Mac index, November 2022 01 The-Price-of-McDonalds-Big-Mac World-Map.png
Big Mac index, November 2022

The Big Mac Index is a price index published since 1986 by The Economist as an informal way of measuring the purchasing power parity (PPP) between two currencies and providing a test of the extent to which market exchange rates result in goods costing the same in different countries. It "seeks to make exchange-rate theory a bit more digestible." [1] The index compares the relative price worldwide to purchase the Big Mac, a hamburger sold at McDonald's restaurants.

Contents

Overview

A McDonald's Big Mac hamburger BigMacCroatia.jpg
A McDonald's Big Mac hamburger

The Big Mac index was introduced in The Economist in September 1986 by Pam Woodall [2] as a semi-humorous illustration of PPP and has been published by that paper annually since then. Although the Big Mac Index was not intended to be a legitimate tool for exchange rate evaluation, it is now globally recognised and featured in many academic textbooks and reports. [3] The index also gave rise to the word burgernomics. [4]

The theory underpinning the Big Mac index stems from the concept of PPP, which states that the exchange rate between two currencies should equalize the prices charged for an identical basket of goods. [5] However, in reality, sourcing an identical basket of goods in every country provides a complex challenge. According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), over "3,000 consumer goods and services, 30 occupations in government, 200 types of equipment goods and about 15 construction projects" are included in the current PPP calculations. [6] In an effort to simplify this important economic concept, The Economist proposed that a single McDonald's Big Mac could be used instead of a basket of goods. A McDonald's Big Mac was chosen because of the prevalence of the fast food chain worldwide, and because the sandwich remains largely the same across all countries. [7] Although a single sandwich may seem overly simplistic for PPP theory, the price of a Big Mac is derived from the culmination of "many local economic factors, such as the price of the ingredients, local wages, or how much it costs to put up billboards and buy TV ads". [8] As a result, the Big Mac index provides a "reasonable measure of real-world purchasing power". [8]

The purpose of the Big Mac index is to calculate an implied exchange rate between two currencies. In order to calculate the Big Mac index, the price of a Big Mac in a foreign country (in the foreign country's currency) is divided by the price of Big Mac in a base country (in the base country's currency). [9] Typically, the base country used is the United States.

For example, using figures from July 2023: [3]

  1. In Switzerland, a Big Mac costs 6.70 Swiss franc.
  2. In the US, a Big Mac costs $5.58 USD.
  3. The implied exchange rate is 1.20 SFr/USD, that is 6.70SFr/$5.58USD = 1.20.

Consistent with PPP economic theory, the Big Mac index also provides a method to analyse a currency's level of under/over-valuation against a base currency. [9] In order to calculate whether a currency is under/over-valued, the implied exchange rate (as defined by the Big Mac index) must be compared to the actual exchange rate. If the implied exchange rate is greater than the actual exchange rate, then the analysed currency is overvalued against the base currency. If the implied exchange rate is less than the actual exchange rate, then the analysed currency is undervalued against the base currency. [9]

For example, using figures for July 2023: [3]

  1. The implied exchange rate according to the Big Mac index is 1.20 SFr/USD
  2. The actual exchange rate is 0.87 SFr/USD
  3. The Swiss franc is overvalued by 38.5% against the US dollar, that is (1.20-0.87)/0.87 = 38.5%

Variants

Limitations

While economists widely cite the Big Mac index as a reasonable real-world measurement of purchasing power parity, [21] [22] the burger methodology has some limitations.

Map of countries with at least one McDonald's restaurant, showing the lack of restaurants in Africa (2022) McDonaldsWorldLocations.svg
Map of countries with at least one McDonald's restaurant, showing the lack of restaurants in Africa (2022)

The Big Mac Index is limited by geographical coverage, due to the presence of the McDonald's franchise. For example, in Africa McDonald's is only present in Morocco, Egypt, South Africa and Mauritius (there has been a similar index created solely for Africa called the "KFC Index": as the name suggests, instead of using a Big Mac, this index uses KFC's Original 15 pc. bucket to compile its data). [23]

In many countries, eating at international fast-food chain restaurants such as McDonald's is relatively expensive in comparison to eating at a local restaurant, and the demand for Big Macs is not as large in countries such as India as in the United States. Social status of eating at fast food restaurants such as McDonald's in a local market, what proportion of sales might be to expatriates, local taxes, levels of competition, and import duties on selected items may not be representative of the country's economy as a whole.

In addition, there is no theoretical reason why non-tradable goods and services such as property costs should be equal in different countries: this is the theoretical reason for PPPs being different from market exchange rates over time. The relative cost of high-margin products, such as essential pharmaceutical products or cellular telephony, might compare local capacity and willingness to pay as much as relative currency values.

Nevertheless, McDonald's is also using different commercial strategies which can result in huge differences for a product. Overall, the price of a Big Mac will be a reflection of its local production and delivery cost, the cost of advertising (considerable in some areas), and most importantly what the local market will bear – quite different from country to country, and not all a reflection of relative currency values.

In some markets, a high-volume and low-margin approach makes most sense to maximize profit, while in others a higher margin will generate more profit. Thus the relative prices reflect more than currency values. For example, a hamburger costs only €1 in France, and €1.50 in Belgium, but overall, McDonald's restaurants in both countries cost roughly the same. [24] Prices of Big Macs can also vary greatly between different areas within a country. For example, a Big Mac sold in New York City will be more expensive than one sold at a McDonald's located in a rural area. [25]

One other example is that Russia had one of the cheapest Big Macs at its time in 2019, despite the fact that Moscow was then the most expensive city in the world. [26] [27] Standard food ingredients are cheap in Russia, while restaurants suitable for business dinners with English speaking staff are expensive.

Manipulation

Critics of the presidency of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in Argentina and many economists believe that the government has for years falsified consumer price data to understate the country's true inflation rate. [28] The Economist stated in January 2011 that Big Mac index "does support claims that Argentina's government is cooking the books. The gap between its average annual rate of burger inflation (19%) and its official rate (10%) is far bigger than in any other country." [22] That year the press began reporting on unusual behavior by the more than 200 Argentinean McDonald's restaurants. They no longer prominently advertised Big Macs for sale and the sandwich, both individually and as part of value meals, was being sold for an unusually low price compared to other items. Guillermo Moreno, Secretary of Commerce in the Kirchner government, reportedly forced McDonald's to sell the Big Mac at an artificially low price to manipulate the country's performance on the Big Mac index. [29] [28] In June 2012, the price of the Big Mac value meal suddenly rose by 26%, closer to that of other meals, after The Economist, The New York Times, and other media reported on the unusual pricing. A Buenos Aires newspaper stated "Moreno loses the battle". [29]

Comparison issues

The Big Mac (and virtually all sandwiches) vary from country to country with differing nutritional values, weights and even nominal size differences.

Not all Big Mac burgers offered by the chain are exclusively beef. In India – which is a predominantly Hindu country – beef burgers are not available at any McDonald's outlets. The Chicken Maharaja Mac serves as a substitute for the Big Mac.

There is a lot of variance with the exclusively beef "Big Mac": the Australian version of the Big Mac has 22% fewer calories than the Canadian version, and is 8% lighter than the version sold in Mexico. [30]

On 1 November 2009, all three of the McDonald's in Iceland closed, primarily due to the chain's high cost of importing most of the chain's meat and vegetables, by McDonald's demands and standards, from the Eurozone. At the time, a Big Mac in Iceland cost 650 krona ($5.29), and the 20% price increase that would have been needed to stay in business would have increased that cost to 780 krona ($6.36). [31] [32] Fish and lamb are produced in Iceland, while beef is often imported (but also exported).

Figures

Six most expensive (July 2023) This statistic shows the most expensive places to buy a Big Mac. [33]

  1. Flag of Switzerland (Pantone).svg   Switzerland – $7.73 (6.70 CHF)
  2. Flag of Norway.svg  Norway – $6.92 (70 NOK)
  3. Flag of Uruguay.svg  Uruguay – $6.86 (259 UYU)
  4. Flag of Argentina.svg  Argentina – $5.99 (1,650 ARS)
  5. Flag of Europe.svg  EU – $5.82 (5.28 EUR)
  6. Flag of Sweden.svg  Sweden – $5.74 (60.27 SEK)

Six cheapest (July 2023) This statistic shows the least expensive places to buy a Big Mac. [33]

  1. Flag of the Republic of China.svg  Taiwan – $2.39 (75 TWD)
  2. Flag of Indonesia.svg  Indonesia – $2.52 (38,000 IDR)
  3. Flag of India.svg  India – $2.54 (209 INR)
  4. Flag of Egypt.svg  Egypt – $2.62 (81.00 EGP)
  5. Flag of South Africa.svg  South Africa – $2.81 (49.90 ZAR)
  6. Flag of the Philippines.svg  Philippines – $2.82 (155 PHP)

Six fastest earned (July 2015) This statistic shows the average working time required to buy one Big Mac in selected cities around the world in 2015. [34]

  1. Flag of Hong Kong.svg  Hong Kong – 8.6 min
  2. Flag of Luxembourg.svg  Luxembourg – 10.3 min
  3. Flag of Japan.svg  Japan, Tokyo – 10.4 min
  4. Flag of Switzerland (Pantone).svg   Switzerland, Zürich – 10.6 min
  5. Flag of the United States.svg  United States, Miami – 10.7 min
  6. Flag of Switzerland (Pantone).svg   Switzerland, Geneva – 10.8 min

Six slowest earned (July 2015) This statistic shows the average working time required to buy one Big Mac in selected cities around the world in 2015. [34]

  1. Flag of Kenya.svg  Kenya, Nairobi – 172.6 min
  2. Flag of the Philippines.svg  Philippines, Manila – 87.5 min
  3. Flag of Mexico.svg  Mexico, Mexico City – 78.4 min
  4. Flag of Indonesia.svg  Indonesia, Jakarta – 66.7 min
  5. Flag of Egypt.svg  Egypt, Cairo – 62.5 min
  6. Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine, Kyiv – 54.7 min

See also

Notes

  1. "Big MacCurrencies". The Economist. 9 April 1998. Archived from the original on 27 December 2017. Retrieved 27 November 2013.
  2. "Pam Woodall". The Economist. 9 June 2011. Archived from the original on 16 October 2014. Retrieved 30 August 2013.
  3. 1 2 3 "The Big Mac index". The Economist. Archived from the original on 5 May 2017. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
  4. Daley, James (6 September 2008). "Burgernomics: Why the price of a Big Mac may hold the key to better investment returns". The Independent . London. Archived from the original on 25 February 2009. Retrieved 24 August 2017.
  5. "What Is the Big Mac index?". Investopedia. Archived from the original on 29 April 2022. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  6. "Purchasing Power Parities - Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) - OECD". www.oecd.org. Archived from the original on 23 April 2022. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  7. "Big Mac Index". Corporate Finance Institute. Archived from the original on 29 June 2022. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  8. 1 2 "Big Mac Index". The Balance. Archived from the original on 22 May 2022. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  9. 1 2 3 "What is the Big Mac index?". IG. Archived from the original on 4 May 2021. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  10. Max, Sarah (30 January 2004). "The price of latte in Lucerne". CNN/Money. Archived from the original on 6 May 2008.
  11. "iPod Index trumps the BigMac one". Sydney Morning Herald. 18 January 2007. Archived from the original on 11 April 2008.
  12. Braconier, Fredrik (10 September 2009). "Ikea-Billy utmanar Big Mac". Svenska Dagbladet. Archived from the original on 11 September 2009. Retrieved 10 September 2009.
  13. "The Local: Billy bookshelf does battle with Big Mac Index". Archived from the original on 12 September 2009. Retrieved 11 September 2009.
  14. "Dagens Handel: Billy-index utmanar Big Mac". Archived from the original on 12 September 2009.
  15. "Ikea Billy Bookshelf Index Shows Lowest Price in U.A.E. (Table)". Bloomberg.com. Archived from the original on 10 October 2015.
  16. "Big Mac Index? Hier kommt der Gold Mac Index: Der GMI von Gold.de". Gold.de (in German). Archived from the original on 14 August 2017. Retrieved 15 August 2017.
  17. Hoefert, Andreas; Hofer, Simone (2006). "Prices and Earnings: A Comparison of Purchasing Power Around the Globe" (PDF). UBS . 2006 Edition. UBS AG, Wealth Management Research: 11. Archived from the original (PDF) on 16 February 2008.
  18. "Chai Latte: Origin, Economic Implications and Global Index". VERSUS. 8 March 2017. Archived from the original on 27 March 2020. Retrieved 27 March 2020.
  19. Binsted, Susannah (25 September 2019). "Finder's Starbucks Index 2019". Archived from the original on 8 October 2019. Retrieved 8 October 2019.
  20. O'Connell, Brian (14 June 2022). "McDonald's Big Mac Used to Measure 'Pay Gap'". Archived from the original on 26 July 2022. Retrieved 26 July 2022.
  21. McConnell, Campbell; Brue, Stanley (2004). Microeconomics, 16th ed. McGraw Hill. p. 473. ISBN   978-0-07-287561-4.
  22. 1 2 "Lies, flame-grilled lies and statistics". The Economist. 27 January 2011. Archived from the original on 14 January 2018. Retrieved 10 June 2012.
  23. Faramawy, Sondos (27 July 2016). "The KFC Index Report by Sagaci Research". sagacireserch.com. Sagaci Research. Archived from the original on 10 July 2019. Retrieved 20 August 2019.
  24. "McDonalds meal: Countries Compared". nationmaster.com. NationMaster. Archived from the original on 20 August 2019. Retrieved 20 August 2019.
  25. Hawk, William. "Expenditures of urban and rural households in 2011". bls.gov. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Archived from the original on 20 August 2019. Retrieved 20 August 2019.
  26. "Big Mac Index Counts Ruble as Most Undervalued Currency". themoscowtimes.com. Stichting 2 Oktober. 16 July 2019. Archived from the original on 16 July 2019. Retrieved 20 August 2019.
  27. "Moscow Is Now the World's Most Expensive City". amanet.org. American Management Association. Archived from the original on 20 August 2019. Retrieved 20 August 2019.
  28. 1 2 Politi, Daniel (24 November 2011). "Argentina's Big Mac Attack". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 21 June 2012. Retrieved 10 June 2012.
  29. 1 2 Sanguinetti, Andrew (8 June 2012). "Moreno pierde la batalla: el Big Mac sale del freezer y aumenta 26% su precio". El Cronista (in Spanish). Buenos Aires, Argentina. Retrieved 15 June 2012.
  30. "Big Mac? Not really, as Australian version of burger downsized". The Advertiser (Adelaide) . 13 June 2009. Archived from the original on 29 December 2015. Retrieved 3 November 2016.
  31. Iceland Says Bye to the Big Mac Archived 28 October 2009 at the Wayback Machine , CBS News, 26 October 2009
  32. Archived at Ghostarchive and the Wayback Machine : "McDonalds leaves Iceland. Golden arch removed from Reykjavik restaurant. – YouTube". YouTube .
  33. 1 2 "The Big Mac index". The Economist . 3 August 2023. Archived from the original on 29 June 2018. Retrieved 7 May 2013.
  34. 1 2 "Prices and earnings 2015" (PDF). UBS. September 2015.[ dead link ] Alt URL Archived 12 November 2020 at the Wayback Machine

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hyperinflation</span> Rapidly accelerating inflation

In economics, hyperinflation is a very high and typically accelerating inflation. It quickly erodes the real value of the local currency, as the prices of all goods increase. This causes people to minimize their holdings in that currency as they usually switch to more stable foreign currencies. When measured in stable foreign currencies, prices typically remain stable. Effective capital controls and currency substitution (“dollarization”) are the orthodox solutions to ending short-term hyperinflation; however there are significant social and economic costs to these policies. Ineffective implementations of these solutions often exacerbate the situation. Many governments choose to attempt to solve structural issues without resorting to those solutions, with the goal of bringing inflation down slowly while minimizing social costs of further economic shocks.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Inflation</span> Devaluation of currency over a period of time

In economics, inflation is a general increase in the prices of goods and services in an economy. This is usually measured using the consumer price index (CPI). When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services; consequently, inflation corresponds to a reduction in the purchasing power of money. The opposite of CPI inflation is deflation, a decrease in the general price level of goods and services. The common measure of inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a general price index. As prices faced by households do not all increase at the same rate, the consumer price index (CPI) is often used for this purpose.

Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a measure of the price of specific goods in different countries and is used to compare the absolute purchasing power of the countries' currencies. PPP is effectively the ratio of the price of a market basket at one location divided by the price of the basket of goods at a different location. The PPP inflation and exchange rate may differ from the market exchange rate because of tariffs, and other transaction costs.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Exchange rate</span> Rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another

In finance, an exchange rate is the rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another currency. Currencies are most commonly national currencies, but may be sub-national as in the case of Hong Kong or supra-national as in the case of the euro.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">World economy</span> Economy of the world

The world economy or global economy is the economy of all humans in the world, referring to the global economic system, which includes all economic activities conducted both within and between nations, including production, consumption, economic management, work in general, financial transactions and trade of goods and services. In some contexts, the two terms are distinct: the "international" or "global economy" is measured separately and distinguished from national economies, while the "world economy" is simply an aggregate of the separate countries' measurements. Beyond the minimum standard concerning value in production, use and exchange, the definitions, representations, models and valuations of the world economy vary widely. It is inseparable from the geography and ecology of planet Earth.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Big Mac</span> Hamburger sold by McDonalds

The Big Mac is a hamburger sold by the international fast food restaurant chain McDonald's. It was introduced in the Greater Pittsburgh area in 1967 and across the United States in 1968. It is one of the company's flagship products and signature dishes. The Big Mac contains two beef patties, cheese, shredded lettuce, pickles, minced onions, and a Thousand Island-type dressing advertised as "special sauce", on a three-slice sesame-seed bun.

The Balassa–Samuelson effect, also known as Harrod–Balassa–Samuelson effect, the Ricardo–Viner–Harrod–Balassa–Samuelson–Penn–Bhagwati effect, or productivity biased purchasing power parity (PPP) is the tendency for consumer prices to be systematically higher in more developed countries than in less developed countries. This observation about the systematic differences in consumer prices is called the "Penn effect". The Balassa–Samuelson hypothesis is the proposition that this can be explained by the greater variation in productivity between developed and less developed countries in the traded goods' sectors which in turn affects wages and prices in the non-tradable goods sectors.

In statistics, economics, and finance, an index is a statistical measure of change in a representative group of individual data points. These data may be derived from any number of sources, including company performance, prices, productivity, and employment. Economic indices track economic health from different perspectives. Examples include the consumer price index, which measures changes in retail prices paid by consumers, and the cost-of-living index (COLI), which measures the relative cost of living over time.

The law of one price (LOOP) states that in the absence of trade frictions, and under conditions of free competition and price flexibility, identical goods sold in different locations must sell for the same price when prices are expressed in a common currency. This law is derived from the assumption of the inevitable elimination of all arbitrage.

The Penn effect is the economic finding that commodity prices are higher in countries with higher income.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">McDonald's</span> American fast food restaurant corporation

McDonald's Corporation is an American multinational fast food chain, founded in 1940 as a restaurant operated by Richard and Maurice McDonald, in San Bernardino, California, United States. They rechristened their business as a hamburger stand, and later turned the company into a franchise, with the Golden Arches logo being introduced in 1953 at a location in Phoenix, Arizona. In 1955, Ray Kroc, a businessman, joined the company as a franchise agent and in 1961 bought out the McDonald brothers. Previously headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois, it moved to nearby Chicago in June 2018. McDonald's is also a real estate company through its ownership of around 70% of restaurant buildings and 45% of the underlying land.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">J curve</span>

A J curve is any of a variety of J-shaped diagrams where a curve initially falls, then steeply rises above the starting point.


Revaluation is a change in a price of a good or product, or especially of a currency, in which case it is specifically an official rise of the value of the currency in relation to a foreign currency in a fixed exchange rate system. In contrast, a devaluation is an official reduction in the value of the currency. Under floating exchange rates, a rise in a currency's value is an appreciation. Altering the face value of a currency without changing its purchasing power is a redenomination, not a revaluation.

The international dollar, also known as Geary–Khamis dollar, is a hypothetical unit of currency that has the same purchasing power parity that the U.S. dollar had in the United States at a given point in time. It is mainly used in economics and financial statistics for various purposes, most notably to determine and compare the purchasing power parity and gross domestic product of various countries and markets. The year 1990 or 2000 is often used as a benchmark year for comparisons that run through time. The unit is often abbreviated, e.g. 2000 US dollars or 2000 International$.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Christmas Price Index</span> Humorous economic indicator

The Christmas Price Index is a tongue-in-cheek economic indicator, maintained by the U.S. bank PNC Wealth Management, which tracks the cost in USD of the items in the carol "The Twelve Days of Christmas". The woman responsible for maintaining the list since 1986 is Rebekah M. McCahan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Metro (restaurant chain)</span> Icelandic fast food chain which replaced McDonalds in 2009

Metro is an Icelandic fast food restaurant chain. It replaced McDonald's after McDonald's left Iceland on 30 October 2009, as a result of the 2008–2011 Icelandic financial crisis and high import tariff on imported ingredients. The franchise holder, Lyst Hr., refused to increase the prices of their products, to stay competitive with local restaurants who used ingredients sourced locally. The franchise owner decided to close down all McDonald's operations and replaced them with their own franchise, Metro.

This glossary of economics is a list of definitions of terms and concepts used in economics, its sub-disciplines, and related fields.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">KFC Index</span>

The KFC Index is an informal guide to measure purchasing power parity comparing exchange rates in African countries. Inspired by the Big Mac Index, the key difference between the two indices is that the KFC Index focuses solely on Africa; the Big Mac Index coverage is worldwide but not as applicable to Africa since McDonald's has little presence there, whereas KFC chains operate in almost 20 countries across the continent.