Demographic history of Jerusalem

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Demographic history of Jerusalem by religion, based on available data


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Christians
Jews
Muslims Demographic history of Jerusalem by religion.png
Demographic history of Jerusalem by religion, based on available data
  Christians
  Jews
  Muslims
Arab and Jew at Arab bazaar, Old City of Jerusalem Christian Quarter IMG 9453.JPG
Arab and Jew at Arab bazaar, Old City of Jerusalem
Jewish Orthodox children in Jerusalem KidsindoorwayC.jpg
Jewish Orthodox children in Jerusalem

Jerusalem's population size and composition has shifted many times over its 5,000 year history.

Contents

Most population data pre-1905 is based on estimates, often from foreign travellers or organisations, since previous census data usually covered wider areas such as the Jerusalem District. [1] These estimates suggest that since the end of the Crusades, Muslims formed the largest group in Jerusalem until the mid-19th century. Between 1838 and 1876, a number of estimates exist which conflict as to whether Jews or Muslims were the largest group during this period, and between 1882 and 1922 estimates conflict as to exactly when Jews became a majority of the population.

In 2020, the population was 951,100, of which Jews comprised 570,100 (59.9%), Muslims 353.800 (37.2%), Christians 16.300 (1.7%), and 10,800 unclassified (1.1%). [2]

Overview

Jerusalemites are of varied national, ethnic and religious denominations and include European, Asian and African Jews, Arabs of Sunni Shafi'i Muslim, Melkite Orthodox, Melkite Catholic, Latin Catholic, and Protestant backgrounds, Armenians of the Armenian Orthodox and Armenian Catholic, Assyrians largely of the Syriac Orthodox Church and Syriac Catholic Church, Maronites, and Copts. [3] Many of these groups were once immigrants or pilgrims that have over time become near-indigenous populations and claim the importance of Jerusalem to their faith as their reason for moving to and being in the city. [3]

Jerusalem's long history of conquests by competing and different powers has resulted in different groups living in the city many of whom have never fully identified or assimilated with a particular power, despite the length of their rule. Though they may have been citizens of that particular kingdom and empire and involved with civic activities and duties, these groups often saw themselves as distinct national groups (see Armenians, for example). [3] The Ottoman millet system, whereby minorities in the Ottoman Empire were given the authority to govern themselves within the framework of the broader system, allowed these groups to retain autonomy and remain separate from other religious and national groups. Some Palestinian residents of the city prefer to use the term Maqdisi or Qudsi as a Palestinian demonym. [4]

Historical population by religion

The tables below provide data on demographic change over time in Jerusalem, with an emphasis on the Jewish population. Readers should be aware that the boundaries of Jerusalem have changed many times over the years and that Jerusalem may also refer to a district or even a subdistrict under Ottoman, British, or Israeli administration, see e.g. Jerusalem District. Thus, year-to-year comparisons may not be valid due to the varying geographic areas covered by the population censuses.

Persian period

The population of Jerusalem during Persian rule in Judea (province of Yehud Medinata ) is estimated at between 1,500 and 2,750. [5]

1st century Judea

During the First Jewish–Roman War (66–73 CE), the population of Jerusalem was estimated at 600,000 persons by Roman historian Tacitus, while Josephus estimated that there were as many as 1,100,000 who were killed in the war—though this number included people who did not belong to the city itself. [6] Josephus also wrote that 97,000 Jews were sold as slaves. After the Roman victory over the Jews, as many as 115,880 dead bodies were carried out through one gate between the months of Nisan and Tammuz. [7]

Modern estimates of Jerusalem's population during the final Roman Siege of Jerusalem in 70 (CE) are variously 70,398 by Wilkinson in 1974, [8] 80,000 by Broshi in 1978, [9] and 60,000–70,000 by Levine in 2002. [10] According to Josephus, the populations of adult male scholarly sects were as follows: over 6,000 Pharisees, more than 4,000 Essenes and "a few" Sadducees. [11] [12] New Testament scholar Cousland notes that "recent estimates of the population of Jerusalem suggest something in the neighbourhood of a hundred thousand". [13] A minimalist view is taken by Hillel Geva, who estimates from archaeological evidence that the population of Jerusalem before its 70 CE destruction was at most 20,000. [14]

Middle Ages

Al-Maqdisi, a 10th-century native of Jerusalem writing prior to the crusades, reports that "everywhere the Christians and Jews have the upper hand and the mosque is void of congregation". [15]

YearJewsMuslimsChristiansTotalOriginal sourceAs quoted in
c. 11300030,00030,000 ?Runciman
12672* ? ? ? Nahmanides, Jewish scholar
1471250* ? ? ? ?Baron
148876* ? ? ? ?Baron
1489200* ? ? ? ?Yaari, 1943 [16]

* Indicates families.

Early Ottoman era

YearJewsMuslimsChristiansTotalOriginal sourceAs quoted in
1525–15261,1943,7047145,612Ottoman taxation registers*Cohen and Lewis [17]
1538–15391,3637,2878849,534Ottoman taxation registers*Cohen and Lewis [17]
1553–15541,95812,1541,95616,068Ottoman taxation registers*Cohen and Lewis [17]
1596–1597 ?8,740252 ?Ottoman taxation registers*Cohen and Lewis [17]
17232,000 ? ? ?Van Egmont & Heyman, Christian travellers [18]

Modern era

Muslim "relative majority"

Henry Light, who visited Jerusalem in 1814, reported that Muslims comprised the largest portion of the 12,000 person population, but that Jews made the greatest single sect. [19] In 1818, Robert Richardson, family doctor to the Earl of Belmore, estimated the number of Jews to be 10,000, twice the number of Muslims. [20] [21]

Arab boys at Jerusalem YMCA, 1938 Ymca boys jeru.jpg
Arab boys at Jerusalem YMCA, 1938
YearJewsMuslimsChristiansTotalOriginal sourceAs quoted in
18062,0004,0002,7748,774 Ulrich Jasper Seetzen, Frisian explorer [22] Sharkansky, 1996 [23] [24]
18154,000–5,000 ? ?26,000 William Turner [25] Kark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
18173,000–4,00013,0003,25019,750Thomas R. Joliffe [26]
1821>4,0008,000 James Silk Buckingham [27]
18246,00010,0004,00020,000Fisk and King, Writers [28]
18324,00013,0003,56020,560 Ferdinand de Géramb, French monkKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]

Muslim or Jewish "relative majority"

Between 1838 and 1876, conflicting estimates exist regarding whether Muslims or Jews constituted a "relative majority" (or plurality) in the city.

Writing in 1841, the biblical scholar Edward Robinson noted the conflicting demographic estimates regarding Jerusalem during the period, stating in reference to an 1839 estimate attributed to the Moses Montefiore: "As to the Jews, the enumeration in question was made out by themselves, in the expectation of receiving a certain amount of alms for every name returned. It is therefore obvious that they here had as strong a motive to exaggerate their number, as they often have in other circumstances to underrate it. Besides, this number of 7000 rests merely on report; Sir Moses himself has published nothing on the subject; nor could his agent in London afford me any information so late as Nov. 1840." [29] In 1843, Reverend F.C. Ewald, a Christian traveler visiting Jerusalem, reported an influx of 150 Jews from Algiers. He wrote that there were now a large number of Jews from the coast of Africa who were forming a separate congregation. [30]

From the mid-1850s, following the Crimean War, the expansion of Jerusalem outside of the Old City began, with institutions including the Russian Compound, Kerem Avraham, the Schneller Orphanage, Bishop Gobat school and the Mishkenot Sha'ananim marking the beginning of permanent settlement outside the Jerusalem Old City walls. [31] [32]

Between 1856 and 1880, Jewish immigration to Palestine more than doubled, with the majority settling in Jerusalem. [33] The majority of these immigrants were Ashkenazi Jews from Eastern Europe, who subsisted on Halukka. [33]

YearJewsMuslimsChristiansTotalOriginal sourceAs quoted in
18383,0004,5003,50011,000 Edward Robinson Edward Robinson, 1841 [34]
18447,1205,0003,39015,510 Ernst-Gustav Schultz, Prussian consul [35]
18457,50015,00010,00032,000+Joseph Schwarz [36]
18467,5156,1003,55817,173Titus Tobler, Swiss explorer [37] Kark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
184710,00025,00010,00045,000French consul estimatesAlexander Scholch, 1985 [38]
18498953,0741,8725,841Official Ottoman census obtained by the Prussian consul Georg Rosen, showing male subjectsAlexander Scholch, 1985 [39]
18492,084 ? ? ?Moses Montefiore census, showing number of Jewish families [40]
185013,860 ? ? ?Dr. Ascher, Anglo-Jewish Association[ full citation needed ]
18515,58012,2867,48825,354Official census (only Ottoman citizens) [41] Kark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
18538,0004,0003,49015,490César Famin, French diplomatFamin [42]
18565,7009,3003,00018,000 Ludwig August von Frankl, Austrian writerKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24] [43]
18577,000 ? ?10–15,000HaMaggid periodicalKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
18628,0006,0003,80017,800HaCarmel periodicalKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
18648,0004,5002,50015,000British consulateDore Gold, 2009 [44]
18668,0004,0004,00016,000 John Murray travel guidebookKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
1867 ? ? ?14,000Mark Twain, Innocents Abroad, Chapter 52 [45]
18674,000–
5,000
6,000 ? ?Ellen-Clare Miller, Missionary [46]
18693,200*n/an/an/aRabbi H. J. SneersohnNew York Times [47]
18699,0005,0004,00018,000Hebrew Christian Mutual Aid Society [48] [49]
18697,9777,5005,37320,850Liévin de Hamme, Franciscan missionaryKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
18714,00013,0007,00024,000 Karl Baedeker travel guidebookKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
18723,7806,1504,42814,358Ottoman salname (official annals) for 1871–72Alexander Scholch, 1985 [50]
187410,0005,0005,50020,500British consul in Jerusalem report to the House of CommonsParliamentary Papers [51]
187613,00015,0008,00036,000Bernhard Neumann [52] Kark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]

Jews as absolute or relative majority

Published in 1883, the PEF Survey of Palestine volume which covered the region noted that "The number of the Jews has of late increased at the rate of 1,000 to 1,500 per annum. Since 1875 the population of Jerusalem has rapidly increased. The number of Jews is now estimated at 15,000 to 20,000, and the population, including the inhabitants of the new suburbs, reaches a total of about 40,000 souls." [53]

In 1881–82, a group of Jews arrived from Yemen as a result of messianic fervor, in the phase known as the First Aliyah. [54] [55] After living in the Old City for several years, they moved to the hills facing the City of David, where they lived in caves. [56] In 1884, the community, numbering 200, moved to new stone houses built for them by a Jewish charity. [57]

The Jewish population of Jerusalem, as for wider Palestine, increased further during the Third Aliyah of 1919–23 following the Balfour Declaration. Prior to this, a British survey in 1919 noted that most Jews in Jerusalem were largely Orthodox and that a minority were Zionists. [58]

YearJewsMuslimsChristiansTotalOriginal sourceAs quoted in
18829,0007,0005,00021,000WilsonKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
188315,000–20,000 ? ?40,000 PEF Survey of Palestine PEF Survey of Palestine [53]
188515,0006,00014,00035,000GoldmannKark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001 [24]
188925,00014,000 ?>39,000GilbertMartin Gilbert, 2008 [59]
1893>50% ? ?~40,000Albert Shaw, WriterShaw, 1894 [60]
189628,1128,5608,74845,420Calendar of Palestine for the year 5656Harrel and Stendel, 1974
190513,30011,0008,10032,400 1905 Ottoman census (only Ottoman citizens)U.O.Schmelz [61]
192233,97113,41314,66962,578Census of Palestine (British) [62] Harrel and Stendel, 1974
193151,20019,90019,30090,053Census of Palestine (British)Harrel and Stendel, 1974
194497,00030,60029,400157,000 ?Harrel and Stendel, 1974
1967195,70054,96312,646263,307Harrel, 1974

After Jerusalem Law

YearJewsMuslimsChristiansTotalProportion of Jewish residentsOriginal source
1980292,300 ? ?407,10071.8%Jerusalem Municipality[ citation needed ]
1985327,700 ? ?457,70071.6%Jerusalem Municipality
1987340,000121,00014,000475,00071.6%Jerusalem Municipality
1988353,800125,20014,400493,50071.7%Jerusalem Municipality [63]
1990378,200131,80014,400524,40072.1%Jerusalem Municipality
1995417,100182,70014,100617,00067.6%Jerusalem Municipality [63]
1996421,200 ? ?602,10070.0%Jerusalem Municipality
2000448,800 ? ?657,50068.3%Jerusalem Municipality [63]
2004464,500 ? ?693,20067.0%Jerusalem Municipality [63]
2005469,300 ? ?706,40066.4%Jerusalem Municipality
2007489,480 ? ?746,30065.6%Jerusalem Municipality
2011497,000281,00014,000801,00062.0%Israel Central Bureau of Statistics [63]
2015524,700307,30012,400857,80061.2%Israel Central Bureau of Statistics [63]
2016536,600319,80015,800882,70060.8%Israel Central Bureau of Statistics [63]
2017546,100328,60015,900901,30060.6%
Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research [63]
2018555,800336,70016,000919,40060.5%Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research [63]
2019563,200345,80016,200936,40060.1%Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research [63]
2020570,100353,80016,300951,10059.9%Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research [63]

These official Israeli statistics refer to the expanded Israel municipality of Jerusalem. This includes not only the area of the pre-1967 Israeli and Jordanian municipalities, but also outlying Palestinian villages and neighbourhoods east of the city, which were not part of Jordanian East Jerusalem prior to 1967. Demographic data from 1967 to 2012 showed continues growth of Arab population, both in relative and absolute numbers, and the declining of Jewish population share in the overall population of the city. In 1967, Jews were 73.4% of city population, while in 2010 the Jewish population shrank to 64%. In the same period the Arab population increased from 26,5% in 1967 to 36% in 2010. [64] [65] In 1999, the Jewish total fertility rate was 3.8 children per woman, while the Palestinian rate was 4.4. This led to concerns that Arabs would eventually become a majority of the city's population.

Between 1999 and 2010, the demographic trends reversed themselves, with the Jewish fertility rate increasing and the Arab rate decreasing. In addition, the number of Jewish immigrants from abroad choosing to settle in Jerusalem steadily increased. By 2010, there was a higher Jewish than Arab growth rate. That year, the city's birth rate was placed at 4.2 children for Jewish mothers, compared with 3.9 children for Arab mothers. In addition, 2,250 Jewish immigrants from abroad settled in Jerusalem. The Jewish fertility rate is believed to be still currently increasing, while the Arab fertility rate remains on the decline. [66]

See also

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  20. Richardson, Robert (1822). Travels Along the Mediterranean and Parts Adjacent: In Company with the Earl of Belmore, During the Years 1816-17-18: Extending as Far as the Second Cataract of the Nile, Jerusalem, Damascus, Balbec, &c. ... T. Cadell. pp. 256–.
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  28. Fisk and King, 'Description of Jerusalem,' in The Christian Magazine, July 1824, page 220. Mendon Association, 1824. (The figures are preceded by the comment "the following estimate seems to us as probably correct as any one we have heard". The authors also note that, "some think the Jews more numerous than the Mussulmans.")
  29. Edward Robinson (1841). "Biblical Researches in Palestine, Mount Sinai and Arabia Petraea: A Journal ..." Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  30. Jerusalem Illustrated History Altas, Martin Gilbert, Jerusalem 1830–1850, p.37
  31. Sephardi entrepreneurs in Jerusalem: the Valero family 1800–1948 By Joseph B. Glass, Ruth Kark. p.174
  32. Kark, Ruth; Oren-Nordheim, Michal (2001). Jerusalem and Its Environs: Quarters, Neighborhoods, Villages, 1800–1948. Wayne State University Press. pp. 74, table on p.82–86. ISBN   0-8143-2909-8. The beginning of construction outside the Jerusalem Old City in the mid-19th century was linked to the changing relations between the Ottoman government and the European powers. After the Crimean War, various rights and privileges were extended to non-Muslims who now enjoyed greater tolerance and more security of life and property. All of this directly influenced the expansion of Jerusalem beyond the city walls. From the mid-1850s to the early 1860s, several new buildings rose outside the walls, among them the mission house of the English consul, James Finn, in what came to be known as Abraham's Vineyard (Kerem Avraham), the Protestant school built by Bishop Samuel Gobat on Mount Zion; the Russian Compound; the Mishkenot Sha'ananim houses: and the Schneller Orphanage complex. These complexes were all built by foreigners, with funds from abroad, as semi-autonomous compounds encompassed by walls and with gates that were closed at night. Their appearance was European, and they stood out against the Middle-Eastern-style buildings of Palestine.
  33. 1 2 S. Zalman Abramov (1918-05-13). Perpetual Dilemma: Jewish Religion in the Jewish State. Fairleigh Dickinson Univ Press. ISBN   9780838616871 . Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  34. Edward Robinson, Biblical Researches in Palestine, Mount Sinai and Arabia Petraea: a journal of travels in the year 1838, Volume 2, 1841, page 85
  35. "Jerusalem, eine Vorlesung" . Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  36. A Descriptive and Historical Sketch of Palestine, 1850, p.273, originally published in Hebrew in 1845 as Tebu'ot ha-Areẓ
  37. Titus Tobler (1867). Bibliographica geographica Palaestinae: Zunächst kritische uebersicht gedruckter und ungedruckter beschreibungen der reisen ins Heilige Land. S. Hirzel.
  38. Scholch 1985, p. 492.
  39. Scholch 1985, p. 491.
  40. "Montefiore Families". Montefiorecensuses.org. Retrieved 2022-10-20.
  41. Wolff, Press, "The Jewish Yishuv", pp 427-433, as quotes in Kark and Oren-Nordheim
  42. "Histoire de la rivalité et du protectorat des églises chrétiennes en Orient" . Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  43. Ludwig August Frankl (1858). Nach Jerusalem!: Palästina. Nies'sche Buchdruckerei (Carl B. Lorch). Die Gesammtzahl der Juden in der heiligen Stadt ist nach amtlicher Erhebung 5,700 Seelen; sie stellt somit den dritten Theil der Gesammtbevölkerung dar, welche 18,000 Seelen umfaßt, und überragt die christliche um das Doppelte. Jerusalem zählt 3000 Christen, darunter 1000 Lateiner und 2000 Griechen und Armenier. Von den Juden sind 1700 österreichische Unterthanen und in Schuß Genommene, während Desterreich nur 100 christliche Unterthanen, alle Secten zusammengenommen, in der heiligen Stadt zählt.
  44. Gold, Dore (2009). The Fight For Jerusalem. Regnery publishing. p. 120. ISBN   978-1-59698-102-7. : Gold's source: "Report on the Commerce of Jerusalem in the Year 1863", May 1864, in the National Archives (UK), Foreign Office (FO) 195/808
  45. Mark Twain, Chapter 52, Innocents Abroad
  46. Ellen Clare Miller, Eastern Sketches – notes of scenery, schools and tent life in Syria and Palestine. Edinburgh: William Oliphant and Company. 1871. Page 126: 'It is difficult to obtain a correct estimate of the number of inhabitants of Jerusalem...'
  47. The New York Times , February 19, 1869 ; See also I. Harold Scharfman, The First Rabbi, Pangloss Press, 1988, page 524 which reports the figure as 3,100.
  48. Burns, Jabez. Help-Book for Travelers to The East. 1870. Page 75
  49. Hebrew Christian Mutual Aid Society. Almanack of 1869
  50. Scholch 1985, p. 486, Table 1 (families): Figures multiplied by 6 to estimate population, following Cohen and Lewis p.14-15
  51. Parliamentary Papers, House of Commons and Command (1874), page 992
  52. Die heilige Stadt und deren Bewohner in ihren naturhistorischen, culturgeschichtlichen, socialen und medicinischen Verhältnissen. Published by Der Verfasser, page 216; 512 pages
  53. 1 2 Survey of Western Palestine, Volume III: Judea, page 163
  54. Tudor Parfitt (1997). The road to redemption: the Jews of the Yemen, 1900–1950. Brill's series in Jewish Studies, vol 17. Brill Academic Publishers. p. 53.
  55. Nini, Yehuda (1991). The Jews of the Yemen, 1800–1914. Taylor & Francis. pp. 205–207. ISBN   978-3-7186-5041-5.
  56. Wisemon, Tamar (2008-02-28). "Streetwise: Yemenite steps". Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  57. Man, Nadav (9 January 2010). "Behind the lens of Hannah and Efraim Degani – part 7". Ynet .
  58. Rhett, Maryanne A. (19 November 2015). The Global History of the Balfour Declaration: Declared Nation. Routledge. ISBN   978-1-317-31276-5.
  59. Gilbert, Martin (2008). Israel: A History. Black Swan. p. 9. ISBN   978-0-552-77428-4.
  60. Review Of Reviews. Volume IX. Jan–Jun, 1894. Albert Shaw, Editor. Page 98. "The present population of Jerusalem is not far from forty thousand, and more than half are Jews."
  61. Gād G. Gîlbar (1990). Ottoman Palestine, 1800–1914: Studies in Economic and Social History. Brill Archive. p. 35. ISBN   90-04-07785-5.
  62. "1922 Palestine Census". Archive.org. Retrieved 23 October 2019.
  63. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "Statistical Yearbook of Jerusalem" (PDF). Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research . Retrieved 11 January 2024.
  64. "Jerusalem : Facts and Trends 2012" (PDF). Jiis.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-05-05. Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  65. "Is Jerusalem Being "Judaized"? | Jerusalem Center For Public Affairs". Jcpa.org. 2003-03-01. Retrieved 2015-10-23.
  66. "Press release : Population : End of 2011 (provisional data)" (PDF). Jiis.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-03-04. Retrieved 2015-10-23.

Bibliography