Michael R. Strain

Last updated
Michael Strain
Michael Strain.jpg
Michael R. Strain speaks at an AEI Event
Personal details
Political party Republican
Education Marquette University (BA)
New York University (MA)
Cornell University (PhD)

Michael R. Strain is an American economist. He is currently the Director of Economic Policy Studies and the Arthur F. Burns Scholar in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute. [1] He is also Professor of Practice in the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University, [2] a research fellow at the IZA Institute of Labor Economics, [3] and a columnist for Project Syndicate. [4] Strain's research focuses on labor economics, macroeconomics, public finance, and social policy. [5]

Contents

Education and career

Strain graduated from Rockhurst High School in Kansas City, Missouri, before attending Marquette University and graduating magna cum laude. [6]

Strain holds a Ph.D. in economics from Cornell University. In 2005, he joined the Federal Reserve Bank of New York as an assistant economist until 2008 when he joined the Center for Economic Studies at the US Census Bureau. While still working at the US Census Bureau, he took up the job of administrator at the New York Census Research Data Centers in 2011. [7]

In 2012, Strain left the Census Bureau and joined the American Enterprise Institute as a Research Fellow and later became the deputy director of Economic Policy Studies at the institute in 2015. Since becoming AEI's Director of Economic Policy in 2016, Strain leads the work of the institute in the economic policy, financial markets, and health care policy. [8]

He is the editor of The US Labor Market: Questions and Challenges for Public Policy [9] He co-edited, with Stan Veuger, the Economic Freedom and Human Flourishing: Perspectives from Political Philosophy. [10] He is the co-editor of three books: What Has Happened to the American Working Class since the Great Recession? [11] , The US Labor Market: Questions and Challenges for Public Policy [12] , and Economic Freedom and Human Flourishing: Perspectives from Political Philosophy. [13]

Strain has published research articles on the Paycheck Protection Program, fiscal and monetary policy following the 2008 financial crisis, the Earned Income Tax Credit, the gender pay gap, the effects of minimum wage laws and unemployment insurance, the Affordable Care Act, "wage theft" and payday lending, increasing employment, [14] the "socially optimal" top marginal income tax rate, [15] worksharing unemployment insurance programs, the effects of job loss, and the federal budget. [16]

In 2013, National Review's Reihan Salam described him as the "most important conservative reformer, and the one who could have the biggest beneficial impact on the well-being of Americans struggling to climb the economic ladder." [16] [17] He was featured in a 2014 New York Times Magazine cover story as one of the main intellectuals in the reform conservative movement. [7] [18] He contributed a chapter to Room to Grow: Conservative Reforms for a Limited Government and a Thriving Middle Class, a reform conservative manifesto that New York Times columnist David Brooks called "the most coherent and compelling policy agenda the American right has produced this century." [19] He was identified by Karl Rove in 2014 as one of the new "conservative reformers." [20] In 2021 his work was cited by The Economist magazine as contributing “to an intellectual revolution in macroeconomics." [21]

Strain's work on the economic policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic, [22] employment, anti-poverty and upward mobility issues, and economic opportunity has been featured or profiled in many publications, including The New York Times, [23] The Atlantic, and National Review, among others. Strain was cited by The New York Times, [24] The Wall Street Journal, [25] and The Washington Post [26] as being among the first economists to warn that President Biden's stimulus plans could spark inflation. He is a regular guest on major media outlets, including CNBC, MSNBC, and Marketplace Radio. [27] He has testified before Congress and speaks often to a variety of audiences. [28]

In January 2020, Strain published The American Dream is Not Dead: (But Populism Might Kill It), in which he writes that despite popular conceptions about long-term economic stagnation, America is still broadly characterized by upward mobility. Strain argues that when measured properly, wages and incomes have risen over the past several decades. Thus, contrary to what populist politicians and commentators of both parties often say, America's economic system is not “rigged.” [29]

The book received mostly positive reviews. Washington Post columnist George F. Will praised the book as “an inoculation against politically motivated misinformation. [30] ” Former House speaker Paul Ryan wrote: “Without glossing over the real challenges that too many Americans face, Michael Strain makes a persuasive case that the American dream remains alive and well. [31] Lawrence Summers, the former Treasury secretary, described the book as “a welcome antidote to the pervasive pessimism surrounding economic policy debates. [31] ” Robert Verbruggen in National Review wrote he had “one criticism of the book more broadly: There isn’t a whole lot here about how ‘populism could kill’ the American Dream,” but said the book would be “a good gift for that pessimistic reactionary down the street.” [32]

Personal life

Strain is Catholic. [33] [34] Strain and his wife have two children. [35]

Selected publications

Books

Papers

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Milton Friedman</span> American economist and statistician (1912–2006)

Milton Friedman was an American economist and statistician who received the 1976 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his research on consumption analysis, monetary history and theory and the complexity of stabilization policy. With George Stigler, Friedman was among the intellectual leaders of the Chicago school of economics, a neoclassical school of economic thought associated with the work of the faculty at the University of Chicago that rejected Keynesianism in favor of monetarism until the mid-1970s, when it turned to new classical macroeconomics heavily based on the concept of rational expectations. Several students, young professors and academics who were recruited or mentored by Friedman at Chicago went on to become leading economists, including Gary Becker, Robert Fogel, and Robert Lucas Jr.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Inflation</span> Devaluation of currency over a period of time

In economics, inflation is a general increase in the prices of goods and services in an economy. This is usually measured using the consumer price index (CPI). When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services; consequently, inflation corresponds to a reduction in the purchasing power of money. The opposite of CPI inflation is deflation, a decrease in the general price level of goods and services. The common measure of inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a general price index. As prices faced by households do not all increase at the same rate, the consumer price index (CPI) is often used for this purpose.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">American Enterprise Institute</span> American conservative think tank founded in 1938

The American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, known simply as the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), is a center-right think tank based in Washington, D.C., that researches government, politics, economics, and social welfare. AEI is an independent nonprofit organization supported primarily by contributions from foundations, corporations, and individuals.

The Phillips curve is an economic model, named after Bill Phillips, that correlates reduced unemployment with increasing wages in an economy. While Phillips did not directly link employment and inflation, this was a trivial deduction from his statistical findings. Paul Samuelson and Robert Solow made the connection explicit and subsequently Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps put the theoretical structure in place.

Rüdiger Dornbusch was a German economist who worked in the United States for most of his career.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Robert Solow</span> American economist (1924–2023)

Robert Merton Solow, GCIH was an American economist and Nobel laureate whose work on the theory of economic growth culminated in the exogenous growth model named after him. He was Institute Professor Emeritus of Economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where he was a professor from 1949 on. He was awarded the John Bates Clark Medal in 1961, the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1987, and the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2014. Four of his PhD students, George Akerlof, Joseph Stiglitz, Peter Diamond, and William Nordhaus, later received Nobel Memorial Prizes in Economic Sciences in their own right.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Arthur Laffer</span> American economist (1940-)

Arthur Betz Laffer is an American economist and author who first gained prominence during the Reagan administration as a member of Reagan's Economic Policy Advisory Board (1981–1989). Laffer is best known for the Laffer curve, an illustration of the theory that there exists some tax rate between 0% and 100% that will result in maximum tax revenue for government. In certain circumstances, this would allow governments to cut taxes, and simultaneously increase revenue and economic growth.

Herbert Stein was an American economist, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and a member of the board of contributors of The Wall Street Journal. He was the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford. From 1974 to 1984, he was the A. Willis Robertson Professor of Economics at the University of Virginia.

The natural rate of unemployment is the name that was given to a key concept in the study of economic activity. Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps, tackling this 'human' problem in the 1960s, both received the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for their work, and the development of the concept is cited as a main motivation behind the prize. A simplistic summary of the concept is: 'The natural rate of unemployment, when an economy is in a steady state of "full employment", is the proportion of the workforce who are unemployed'. Put another way, this concept clarifies that the economic term "full employment" does not mean "zero unemployment". It represents the hypothetical unemployment rate consistent with aggregate production being at the "long-run" level. This level is consistent with aggregate production in the absence of various temporary frictions such as incomplete price adjustment in labor and goods markets. The natural rate of unemployment therefore corresponds to the unemployment rate prevailing under a classical view of determination of activity.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Dale T. Mortensen</span> American economist

Dale Thomas Mortensen was an American economist, a professor at Northwestern University, and a winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Edmund Phelps</span> American economist

Edmund Strother Phelps is an American economist and the recipient of the 2006 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Patrick Minford</span> British macroeconomist (born 1943)

Anthony Patrick Leslie Minford is a British macroeconomist who is professor of applied economics at Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, a position he has held since 1997. He was Edward Gonner Professor of Applied Economics at the University of Liverpool from 1976 to 1997. In 2016, Minford was a notable member of the Economists for Brexit group which, in opposition to the consensus view of economists, advocated the UK leaving the European Union and claimed large economic benefits, which did not occur.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Michael Boskin</span> American businessman

Michael Jay Boskin is the T. M. Friedman Professor of Economics and senior fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution. He also is chief executive officer and president of Boskin & Co., an economic consulting company.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Heather Boushey</span> American economist (born 1970)

Heather Marie Boushey is an American economist. Boushey currently serves as a member of President Joe Biden's Council of Economic Advisers. She also serves as the Chief Economist for the Invest in America Cabinet at the White House. She previously was the president and CEO of the Washington Center for Equitable Growth. She has also worked as an economist at the Center for American Progress and the United States Congress Joint Economic Committee.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kevin Hassett</span> American economist (born 1962)

Kevin Allen Hassett is an American economist who is a former Senior Advisor and Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers in the Trump administration from 2017 to 2019. He has written several books and coauthored Dow 36,000, published in 1999, which argued that the stock market was about to have a massive swing upward. Shortly thereafter, the dot-com bubble burst, causing a massive decline in stock market prices, though the Dow was soon to recover. It finally did reach 36,000 as the Covid pandemic receded in late 2021.

Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is a theoretical level of unemployment below which inflation would be expected to rise. It was first introduced as NIRU by Franco Modigliani and Lucas Papademos in 1975, as an improvement over the "natural rate of unemployment" concept, which was proposed earlier by Milton Friedman.

Simon H. Johnson is a British American economist. He is the Ronald A. Kurtz Professor of Entrepreneurship at the MIT Sloan School of Management and a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He has held a wide variety of academic and policy-related positions, including professor of economics at Duke University's Fuqua School of Business. From March 2007 through the end of August 2008, he was Chief Economist of the International Monetary Fund.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">History of macroeconomic thought</span>

Macroeconomic theory has its origins in the study of business cycles and monetary theory. In general, early theorists believed monetary factors could not affect real factors such as real output. John Maynard Keynes attacked some of these "classical" theories and produced a general theory that described the whole economy in terms of aggregates rather than individual, microeconomic parts. Attempting to explain unemployment and recessions, he noticed the tendency for people and businesses to hoard cash and avoid investment during a recession. He argued that this invalidated the assumptions of classical economists who thought that markets always clear, leaving no surplus of goods and no willing labor left idle.

Disequilibrium macroeconomics is a tradition of research centered on the role of disequilibrium in economics. This approach is also known as non-Walrasian theory, equilibrium with rationing, the non-market clearing approach, and non-tâtonnement theory. Early work in the area was done by Don Patinkin, Robert W. Clower, and Axel Leijonhufvud. Their work was formalized into general disequilibrium models, which were very influential in the 1970s. American economists had mostly abandoned these models by the late 1970s, but French economists continued work in the tradition and developed fixprice models.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Adriana Kugler</span> American economist (born 1969)

Adriana Debora Kugler is an American economist who serves as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. She previously served as U.S. executive director at the World Bank, nominated by President Joe Biden and confirmed by the U.S. Senate in April 2022. She is a professor of public policy at Georgetown University's McCourt School of Public Policy and is currently on leave from her tenured position at Georgetown. She served as the Chief Economist to U.S. Labor Secretary Hilda L. Solis from September 6, 2011 to January 4, 2013.

References

  1. "Michael R. Strain - The American Enterprise Institute".
  2. "Michael R Strain". Georgetown University Faculty. Retrieved 17 August 2023.
  3. "Registered Author: Michael R. Strain". econpapers.repec.org. Retrieved 2019-04-10.
  4. "Michael Strain - Project Syndicate".
  5. "AEI - Michael R. Strain".
  6. "Michael R. Strain | AEI Scholar". AEI. Retrieved 2019-05-16.
  7. 1 2 Tanenhaus, Sam (2 July 2014). "Can the G.O.P. Be a Party of Ideas?". The New York Times.
  8. "This conservative economist cares more about unemployment than Obama does". The Washington Post .
  9. "The US Labor Market: Questions and Challenges for Public Policy".
  10. Jayabalan, Kishore (29 August 2017). "Review of "Economic Freedom and Human Flourishing: Perspectives from Political Philosophy" edited by Michael R. Strain and Stan A. Veuger". Journal of Markets & Morality. 20 (1).
  11. "What Has Happened to the American Working Class since the Great Recession?". AAPSS. 2021-05-27. Retrieved 2022-11-28.
  12. "The US Labor Market: Questions and Challenges for Public Policy". American Enterprise Institute - AEI. Retrieved 2022-11-28.
  13. "Economic Freedom and Human Flourishing: Perspectives from Political Philosophy". American Enterprise Institute - AEI. Retrieved 2022-11-28.
  14. "A Jobs Agenda for the Right".
  15. "Should the top tax rate be 73 percent?". The Washington Post .
  16. 1 2 "Michael Strain's New Jobs Agenda". National Review .
  17. "North Carolina's Unemployment Insurance Experiment". National Review .
  18. "Behind the Cover Story: Sam Tanenhaus on the G.O.P.'s New Intellectuals". 7 July 2014.
  19. Brooks, David (10 June 2014). "The New Right". The New York Times.
  20. "The New Republican Reformers".
  21. "Changing central banks—and governments". The Economist.
  22. "What Will Biden's Covid-19 Stimulus Plan Look Like?".
  23. Brooks, David (10 January 2014). "Movement on the Right". The New York Times.
  24. Tankersley, Jim; Smialek, Jeanna (2021-02-15). "Biden and the Fed Leave 1970s Inflation Fears Behind". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 2022-11-28.
  25. Ip, Greg. "On Inflation, Economics Has Some Explaining to Do". WSJ. Retrieved 2022-11-28.
  26. "Biden's rescue plan made inflation worse but the economy better". The Washington Post.
  27. "Corporate tax cuts at heart of tax reform: AEI's Michael Strain". CNBC .
  28. "Virtual Hearing - More than a Shot in the Arm: The Need for Additional COVID-19 Stimulus".
  29. Strain, Michael R. (25 February 2020). The American Dream Is Not Dead: (But Populism Could Kill It) (New Threats to Freedom Series). Templeton Press. ISBN   978-1599475578.
  30. Will, George. "The false bipartisan narrative on the economy". The Washington Post .
  31. 1 2 "The American Dream Is Not Dead: But Populism Could Kill It".
  32. "How Much Does It Suck to Live in Modern America?". National Review . 27 February 2020.
  33. "Yes, Paul Ryan Can Be Pro-Capitalist and a Catholic". Bloomberg. 29 August 2017.
  34. "Debate over poverty highlights talk of economics and the family".
  35. "Birth, the Great Equalizer". National Review. 2017-10-23. Retrieved 2019-05-16.
  36. "Publications by Michael R. Strain".