Mr. Market

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Mr. Market is an allegory created by investor Benjamin Graham. Benjamin Graham (1894-1976) portrait on 23 March 1950.jpg
Mr. Market is an allegory created by investor Benjamin Graham.

Mr. Market is an allegory created by investor Benjamin Graham to describe what he believed were the irrational or contradictory traits of the stock market and the risks of following groupthink. [1] [2] [3] Mr. Market was first introduced in his 1949 book, The Intelligent Investor . [4] [5] [1]

Contents

Allegory

Character

Mr. Market is described by Benjamin Graham as a fickle investor primarily ruled by his emotions from day-to-day. Comedy and tragedy masks without background.svg
Mr. Market is described by Benjamin Graham as a fickle investor primarily ruled by his emotions from day-to-day.

Graham asks the reader to imagine that they are one of the two owners of a business, along with a partner called Mr. Market. [7] [8] [2] The partner frequently offers to sell their share of the business or to buy the reader's share. [9] [10] [6] This partner is what today would be called manic-depressive, with their estimate of the business's value going from very pessimistic to wildly optimistic. [2] [3] [11] The reader is always free to decline the partner's offer, since they will soon come back with an entirely different offer. [12] [13] [14]

Traits

Mr. Market is often identified as having human behavioral manic-depressive characteristics, [2] [3] [11] he:

  1. Is emotional, euphoric, moody
  2. Is often irrational
  3. Offers that transactions are strictly at your option
  4. Is there to serve you, not to guide you.
  5. Is in the short run a voting machine, in the long run a weighing machine.
  6. Will offer you a chance to buy low, and sell high.
  7. Is frequently efficient…but not always.

This behavior of Mr. Market allows the investor to wait until Mr. Market is in a 'pessimistic mood' and offers low sale price. [15] [16] [17] The investor has the option to buy at that low price. [1] [5] [16] Therefore, patience is an important virtue when dealing with Mr. Market. [1] [5] [16]

Influence

Warren Buffett has frequently advocated investors heed the lessons of Mr. Market. Warren Buffett in 2010.jpg
Warren Buffett has frequently advocated investors heed the lessons of Mr. Market.

Since its introduction in Graham's 1949 book The Intelligent Investor , it has been cited many times to explain that the stock market tends to fluctuate. [19] [2] [20] The example makes it clear that the sole reason for the change in price is Mr. Market's emotions. [21] [22] [6] A rational person will sell if the price is high and buy if the price is low. [23] [24] [25] He would not sell because the price has gone down or buy because the price has gone up. [26] [27] [28] Graham instead believes that it is important to focus on whether the stock valuation of a company is reasonable after calculating its value through fundamental analysis. [4] [29] [30] Warren Buffett has frequently quoted Graham's 1949 book, The Intelligent Investor. [18] [5] [31] Chapter eight covers Mr. Market and Warren Buffett thinks that this is the best part of the book. [5] [32] Buffett described it as "by far the best book on investing ever written". [32] [33]

Elaine Wyatt wrote in her 1994 book Financial Times - The Money Companion, "Before you begin your trek into the nitty-gritty of investing, you should meet Mr. Market. Mr. Market is the creation of Benjamin Graham, who in 1949 wrote a book called The Intelligent Investor. Graham's influence has reached every corner of the financial world". [34] Janet Lowe observed in her 1997 book, Value Investing Made Easy, "James Grant is such a devotee of Graham that he named his book Minding Mr. Market after a parable Graham often used". [10] In his 1999 work, The Warren Buffett Portfolio, author Robert G. Hagstrom commented, "The well-known story of Mr. Market is a brilliant lesson on how and why stock prices periodically depart from rationality." [35] Hagstrom observed that the Mr. Market parable, "is a lesson learned well by Buffett, that he in turn urges all others to embrace." [18] Hagstrom pointed out, "It is easy to see why Warren Buffett has, on several occasions, shared the story of Mr. Market with Berkshire Hathaway shareholders." [18]

Writing in his 2001 book, J.K. Lasser's Pick Stocks Like Warren Buffett, author Warren Boroson called Benjamin Graham's Mr. Market concept, "a famous metaphor he invented". [36] Mark Hirschey commented in 2003 in his work Tech Stock Valuation, "In his classic book, The Intelligent Investor, Benjamin Graham ... describes the relationship between the intelligent long-term investor and market fluctuation using his now famous Mr. Market metaphor." [37]

In his 2015 book Heroes and Villains of Finance, author Adam Baldwin wrote that, "Famously, Graham used the analogy of 'Mr. Market' in order to portray his value investing strategy". [38] In his 2016 work on shareholder activism, Dear Chairman, author Jeff Gramm observed, "The Intelligent Investor is most famous for the parable of Mr. Market and the concept of 'margin of safety'." [7]

See also

Related Research Articles

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Warren Buffett</span> American business magnate and philanthropist (born 1930)

Warren Edward Buffett is an American business magnate, investor, and philanthropist. He is currently the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. He is one of the best-known fundamental investors in the world as a result of his immense investment success possessing a net worth of $104 billion as of March 2023, making him the fifth-richest person in the world.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Berkshire Hathaway</span> American multinational conglomerate holding company

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is an American multinational conglomerate holding company headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, United States. Its main business and source of capital is insurance, from which it invests the float in a broad portfolio of subsidiaries, equity positions and other securities. The company has been overseen since 1965 by its chairman and CEO Warren Buffett and vice chairman Charlie Munger, who are known for their advocacy of value investing principles. Under their direction, the company's book value has grown at an average rate of 20%, compared to about 10% from the S&P 500 index with dividends included over the same period, while employing large amounts of capital and minimal debt.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Benjamin Graham</span> American economist, professor, and investor

Benjamin Graham was a British-born American economist, professor and investor. He is widely known as the "father of value investing", and wrote two of the founding texts in neoclassical investing: Security Analysis (1934) with David Dodd, and The Intelligent Investor (1949). His investment philosophy stressed investor psychology, minimal debt, buy-and-hold investing, fundamental analysis, concentrated diversification, buying within the margin of safety, activist investing, and contrarian mindsets.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Value investing</span> Investment paradigm

Value investing is an investment paradigm that involves buying securities that appear underpriced by some form of fundamental analysis. The various forms of value investing derive from the investment philosophy first taught by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd at Columbia Business School in 1928, and subsequently developed in their 1934 text Security Analysis.

Contrarian investing is an investment strategy that is characterized by purchasing and selling in contrast to the prevailing sentiment of the time.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">David Dodd</span> American educator and economist

David LeFevre Dodd was an American educator, financial analyst, author, economist, and investor. In his student years, Dodd was a protégé and colleague of Benjamin Graham at Columbia Business School.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Philip Arthur Fisher</span>

Philip Arthur Fisher was an American stock investor best known as the author of Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, a guide to investing that has remained in print since it was first published in 1958. Along with Thomas Rowe Price, Jr., Fisher is one of the early proponents of the growth investing strategy.

<i>The Intelligent Investor</i> 1949 book by Benjamin Graham

The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham, first published in 1949, is a widely acclaimed book on value investing. The book provides strategies on how to successfully use value investing in the stock market. Historically, the book has been one of the most popular books on investing and Graham's legacy remains.

A margin of safety is the difference between the intrinsic value of a stock and its market price.

<i>Security Analysis</i> (book) 1934 book by Benjamin Graham

Security Analysis is a book written by professors Benjamin Graham and David Dodd of Columbia Business School, which laid the intellectual foundation for what would later be called value investing. The first edition was published in 1934, shortly after the Wall Street crash and start of the Great Depression. Among other terms, Graham and Dodd coined the term margin of safety in Security Analysis.

Growth investing is a type of investment strategy focused on capital appreciation. Those who follow this style, known as growth investors, invest in companies that exhibit signs of above-average growth, even if the share price appears expensive in terms of metrics such as price-to-earnings or price-to-book ratios. In typical usage, the term "growth investing" contrasts with the strategy known as value investing.

An undervalued stock is defined as a stock that is selling at a price significantly below what is assumed to be its intrinsic value. For example, if a stock is selling for $50, but it is worth $100 based on predictable future cash flows, then it is an undervalued stock. The undervalued stock has the intrinsic value below the investment's true intrinsic value.

Owner earnings is a valuation method detailed by Warren Buffett in Berkshire Hathaway's annual report in 1986. He stated that the value of a company is simply the total of the net cash flows expected to occur over the life of the business, minus any reinvestment of earnings.

"The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville" is an article by Warren Buffett promoting value investing, published in the Fall, 1984 issue of Hermes, Columbia Business School magazine. It was based on a speech given on May 17, 1984, at the Columbia University School of Business in honor of the 50th anniversary of the publication of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd's book Security Analysis. The speech and article challenged the idea that equity markets are efficient through a study of nine successful investment funds generating long-term returns above the market index. All these funds were managed by Benjamin Graham's alumni, following the same "Graham-and-Doddsville" value investing strategy but each investing in different assets and stocks.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Stock</span> Shares into which ownership of the corporation is divided

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Walter Schloss</span> American Investor, fund manager, and philanthropist (1916–2012)

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References

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Further reading