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All 120 seats in the Assembly 61 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections will be held in Kosovo no later than 2025. If the full four year term of the incumbent Assembly is completed, the election will be held on a Sunday and not earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the mandate. [1]
In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats. [2] They created a coalition with minority parties, including the Serb List, to form a Government. [3]
The Constitution and the Law on General Elections provide that parliamentary elections must be held on a Sunday no earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the four-year mandate of the Assembly, unless it is dissolved earlier. [4] The 8th and current Legislature of the Assembly was constituted on 22 March 2021. Therefore, the next election has to take place on one of the following possible dates:
The exact date will be determined by the president no earlier than 6 months and no later than 4 months before the date of the election. Parliamentary elections can be held earlier under four scenarios described by the constitution.
In all cases, parliamentary elections would have to take place on a Sunday no earlier than 30 days and no later than 45 days after the dissolution. [5]
The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities. [6] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method. [7] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster | Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition) | SL | Other | Abstention | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVV | A | Guxo | LDK | AKR | AAK | NISMA | CLK | |||||||
5 April 2024 | 49.5 | – | 0.6 | 16 | – | 17.1 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 4.3 | – | 32.4 | |||
27 March 2024 | Bedri Hamza is nominated by the Democratic Party of Kosovo for Prime Minister | |||||||||||||
22 February 2024 | 40.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 21.5 | – | 20.4 | 9.0 | – | 0.4 | 4.6 | 19.4 | |||
17 January 2024 | AAK, Social Democratic NISMA and Conservative List of Kosovo form an electoral alliance | |||||||||||||
UBO | 16–23 December 2023 | 48.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 17.9 | – | 18.2 | 6.8 | 1.5 | – | 3.2 | 3.0 | – | 30.3 |
UBO | 23 December 2022 | 42.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 19.8 | 0.2 | 19 | 7.3 | 2 | – | 4.3 | 3.4 | – | 22.8 |
PIPOS | December 2022 | 35.5 | – | 1 | 22.2 | 0.4 | 21.5 | 6 | 2.4 | – | – | 0.2 | – | 13.3 |
UBO | September 2022 | 37.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 22.3 | 0.3 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | – | 5.1 | 2.1 | – | 15 |
PIPOS | August 2022 | 33.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 21.6 | 0.2 | 18.3 | 10.1 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | 11.6 |
PIPOS | 7 July 2022 | 38.1 | – | 1.2 | 25.1 | – | 21.3 | 11.9 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | 13 |
UBO | 18 June 2022 | 39.6 | – | 1.3 | 20.3 | – | 21.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | – | 4.2 | 3.5 | – | 17.7 |
UBO | May 2022 | 38.3 | – | – | 17.7 | – | 19.7 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 |
UBO | 7–15 March 2022 | 41.9 | – | 1.1 | 19.4 | 0.4 | 21.6 | 7.2 | 1 | – | 4.2 | 2.8 | – | 20.3 |
PIPOS | 12 February 2022 | 34.7 | – | – | 24.1 | – | 21.3 | 7.7 | 0.4 | – | – | 0.5 | – | 10.6 |
2021 election | 14 February 2021 | 50.3 | 12.73 | 17.01 | 7.2 | 2.52 | – | 5.09 | – | – | 33.29 |
The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.
Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK | SL | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
April 2024 | 56 | 18 | 19 | 7 [lower-alpha 2] | 10 | 10 | 37 |
February 2024 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 10 [lower-alpha 2] | 10 | 10 | 22 |
December 2023 | 53 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 |
January 2023 | 48 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
December 2022 | 42 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
September 2022 | 42 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
August 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
July 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
June 2022 | 44 | 23 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
May 2022 | 47 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
March 2022 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
February 2022 | 40 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
Pollster | Date | Kurti | Abdixhiku | Krasniqi | Haradinaj | Limaj | Osmani | Pacolli | Kusari-Lila | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PIPOS | February 2024 | 3.07 | 2.13 | 2.05 | 1.89 | 1.65 | 3.06 | – | – | 0.01 |
PIPOS | December 2022 | 26.7 | 20 | 17 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
PIPOS | August 2022 | 2.98 | 2.92 | 2.60 | 2.38 | 2.13 | 3.37 | 2.33 | 2.31 | 0.39 |
PIPOS | February 2022 | 28.9 | 18.6 | 13.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 0.5 | – | 10.3 |
The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.
Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|
UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 48.9 | 51.1 | -2.6 |
UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.
Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|
UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 52.2 | 47.8 | 4.7 |
UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 16.6 |
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