Opinion polling for the 1993 New Zealand general election

Last updated

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 43rd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 1993 election by various research organisations.

Contents

Graphical summary

Opinion polls New Zealand 1993.svg
Local regression of polls conducted

Individual polls

Polls are listed in the table below in chronological order. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Unless otherwise noted the information is sourced from here: [1]

PollDate [nb 1] Labour National Alliance NZ First NewLabour Social Credit
1990 election result [2] 27 Oct 199035.1447.825.160.98
TVNZ Heylen8 Dec 1990325051
TVNZ Heylen2 Feb 1991384642
TVNZ Heylen9 Mar 1991404361
TVNZ Heylen6 Apr 1991423661
TVNZ Heylen6 May 1991433972
TVNZ Heylen8 Jun 1991423573
TVNZ Heylen6 July 1991453763
30 July 1991 – The controversial Mother of all Budgets was delivered by the government
TVNZ Heylen3 Aug 1991433491
TVNZ Heylen31 Aug 1991472793
TVNZ Heylen21 Sep 19914222111
TVNZ Heylen19 Oct 1991433082
TVNZ Heylen23 Nov 199141241092
1 December 1991 – The Alliance party was formally launched
TVNZ Heylen7 Dec 199136262161
TVNZ Heylen1 Feb 199238261852
15 February 1992 – National narrowly wins the Tamaki by-election after Sir Robert Muldoon's resignation.
TVNZ Heylen7 Mar 199236321640
TVNZ Heylen4 Apr 199239311043
TVNZ Heylen29 Apr 199242341032
TVNZ Heylen6 Jun 19924233211
TVNZ Heylen3 Jul 19923737240
TVNZ Heylen8 Aug 19924136201
TVNZ Heylen5 Sep 1992393426
TVNZ Heylen3 Oct 1992423027
TVNZ Heylen7 Nov 1992403028
TVNZ Heylen5 Dec 1992362933
12 December 1992 – Labour wins the Wellington Central by-election after Fran Wilde's resignation.
TVNZ Heylen6 Feb 1993433322
TVNZ Heylen6 Mar 1993462822
TVNZ Heylen3 Apr 1993483019
17 April 1993 – Winston Peters wins the Tauranga by-election as an independent candidate after resigning from both his party and his seat.
TVNZ Heylen1 May 1993452921
TVNZ Heylen29 May 1993402926
TVNZ Heylen3 Jul 1993353721
18 July 1993 – Peters founds the New Zealand First party and is joined by another former National MP Gilbert Myles.
TVNZ Heylen19 Jul 199333401112
TVNZ Heylen8 Aug 199333411015
TVNZ Heylen4 Sep 199336391111
TVNZ Heylen2 Oct 199337371312
TVNZ Heylen17 Oct 199334381610
TVNZ Heylen31 Oct 19933239179
1993 election result [3] 6 Nov 199334.6835.0518.218.40

See also

Notes

  1. These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Elections in New Zealand</span> Political elections for public offices in New Zealand

New Zealand is a representative democracy in which members of the unicameral New Zealand Parliament gain their seats through elections. General elections are usually held every three years; they may be held at an earlier date at the discretion of the prime minister, but that usually only happens in the event of a vote of no confidence or other exceptional circumstances. A by-election is held to fill an electorate vacancy arising during a parliamentary term. The most recent general election took place on 14 October 2023.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1975 New Zealand general election</span> General election in New Zealand

The 1975 New Zealand general election was held on 29 November to elect MPs to the 38th session of the New Zealand Parliament. It was the first general election in New Zealand where 18- to 20-year-olds and all permanent residents of New Zealand were eligible to vote, although only citizens were able to be elected.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Referendums in New Zealand</span>

Referendums are held only occasionally by the Government of New Zealand. Referendums may be government-initiated or held in accordance with the Electoral Act 1993 or the Citizens Initiated Referenda Act 1993. Nineteen referendums have been held so far ; fourteen were government-led, and five were indicative citizen initiatives.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Wellington Central (New Zealand electorate)</span> Electoral district in Wellington, New Zealand

Wellington Central is an electorate, represented by a Member of Parliament in the New Zealand House of Representatives. The current MP for Wellington Central is Tamatha Paul of the Green Party. She has held this position since the 2023 general election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2011 New Zealand general election</span> General election in New Zealand

The 2011 New Zealand general election took place on Saturday 26 November 2011 to determine the membership of the 50th New Zealand Parliament.

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 49th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the 2011 election by various organisations. The main four are Television New Zealand, TV3, The New Zealand Herald and Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

The 2011 New Zealand voting system referendum was a referendum on whether to keep the existing mixed member proportional (MMP) voting system, or to change to another voting system, for electing Members of Parliament to New Zealand's House of Representatives. It was held on 26 November 2011 in conjunction with the 2011 general election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 New Zealand general election</span> General election in New Zealand

The 2014 New Zealand general election took place on Saturday 20 September 2014 to determine the membership of the 51st New Zealand Parliament.

Wellington, was a parliamentary electorate in Wellington, New Zealand. It existed from 1853 to 1905 with a break in the 1880s. It was a multi-member electorate. The electorate was represented, over the years, by 24 members of parliament.

Opinion polling for the 2014 New Zealand general election has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 50th New Zealand Parliament by various organisations. The five main polling organisations are Fairfax Media, MediaWorks New Zealand, The New Zealand Herald, Roy Morgan Research, and Television New Zealand. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1992 Tamaki by-election</span> New Zealand by-election

The Tamaki by-election 1992 was a by-election held in the Tāmaki electorate during the 43rd New Zealand Parliament, on 15 February 1992. It was caused by the resignation of incumbent MP Sir Robert Muldoon and was won by Clem Simich with a majority of 1,252. The by-election was also notable as the first contested by the recently formed Alliance Party, and for their success in coming second ahead of the Labour Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1992 Wellington Central by-election</span> New Zealand by-election

The 1992 Wellington Central by-election was a by-election held in the Wellington Central electorate during the 43rd New Zealand Parliament, on 12 December 1992. It was caused by the resignation of incumbent MP Fran Wilde after her election as mayor of Wellington and was won by Chris Laidlaw with a majority of 855.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2017 New Zealand general election</span>

The 2017 New Zealand general election took place on Saturday 23 September 2017 to determine the membership of the 52nd New Zealand Parliament. The previous parliament was elected on 20 September 2014 and was officially dissolved on 22 August 2017. Voters elected 120 members to the House of Representatives under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) voting system, a proportional representation system in which 71 members were elected from single-member electorates and 49 members were elected from closed party lists. Around 3.57 million people were registered to vote in the election, with 2.63 million (79.8%) turning out. Advance voting proved popular, with 1.24 million votes cast before election day, more than the previous two elections combined.

Various organisations commissioned opinion polls for the 2017 New Zealand general election during the term of the 51st New Zealand Parliament (2014–2017). Roy Morgan Research polled monthly, with MediaWorks New Zealand and Television New Zealand polling less frequently. The last The New Zealand Herald was in December 2015, and Fairfax Media discontinued their poll after the 2014 election. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varied by organisation and date, but were typically 800–1000 participants with a margin of error of just over 3%.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Election Commission of India</span> Election regulatory body of India

The Election Commission of India (ECI) is a constitutional body established by the Constitution of India empowered to conduct free and fair elections in India. The Election commission is headed by a Chief Election Commissioner and consists of two other Election Commissioners.

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 52nd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2020 general election, which elects the 53rd Parliament. The 52nd Parliament was elected on 23 September 2017 and dissolved on 6 September 2020. The 2020 election was originally due to take place on Saturday 19 September 2020, but due to a second COVID-19 outbreak it was delayed until Saturday 17 October 2020.

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 46th New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2002 election by various organisations.

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 53rd New Zealand Parliament (2020–2023) for the 2023 New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand conducted by Verian and Discovery New Zealand (Newshub) conducted by Reid Research, along with monthly polls by Roy Morgan, and by Curia. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 45th New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 1999 election by various organisations.

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 44th New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 1996 election by various research organisations.

References

  1. "Historical Pollling Data 1974–2021". Patrick Leyland. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
  2. "New Zealand Elections 1972–1993". New Zealand Election Study. Retrieved 17 December 2011.
  3. "Elections to the New Zealand House of Representatives". Election Resources on the Internet. Retrieved 17 December 2011.