Opinion polling for the 2008 Canadian federal election

Last updated

Polls leading up to the 2008 Canadian federal election.

Contents

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2008 Canadian federal election.svg

Polls

The dates listed are normally the date the survey was concluded. Most news and political affairs sources use the convention of using the last date that the poll was conducted in order to establish the inclusion/exclusion of current events.

Polling firmLast date
of polling
Source CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC
Election 2008 October 14, 2008 HTML 37.626.218.210.06.8
Asking Canadians [1] October 13, 2008

HTML

38.022.622.69.57.1
EKOS Research Associates October 13, 2008

HTML

34.826.419.49.89.6
Angus Reid Strategies October 13, 2008

PDF

37272097
Nanos Research October 12, 2008

PDF

34.226.721.49.58.2
EKOS Research Associates October 12, 2008

HTML

3426181011
Harris-Decima October 12, 2008

PDF

342519119
Strategic CounselOctober 11, 2008

HTML

3328181011
Nanos Research October 11, 2008

PDF

332722109
Harris-Decima October 11, 2008

PDF

352618109
EKOS Research Associates October 11, 2008

HTML

3427181011
Strategic CounselOctober 10, 2008

HTML

35281999
Harris-Decima October 10, 2008

PDF

352518911
Nanos Research October 10, 2008

PDF

322822108
Angus Reid Strategies October 10, 2008

PDF

38281996
EKOS Research Associates October 10, 2008

HTML

3426191011
Ipsos Reid October 9, 2008

HTML

34291898
Segma October 9, 2008

PDF

3523211010
Nanos Research October 9, 2008

PDF

332722108
Harris-Decima October 9, 2008

PDF

342618912
EKOS Research Associates October 9, 2008

HTML

3624191011
Nanos Research October 8, 2008

PDF

332920107
Harris-Decima October 8, 2008

PDF

322719812
EKOS Research Associates October 8, 2008

HTML

3524201011
Nanos Research October 7, 2008

PDF

332920117
Angus Reid Strategies October 7, 2008

PDF

352718910
Harris-Decima October 7, 2008

PDF

312720812
EKOS Research Associates October 7, 2008

HTML

3425201011
Harris-Decima October 6, 2008

PDF

312621813
Nanos Research October 6, 2008

PDF

343118116
EKOS Research Associates October 6, 2008

HTML

3326191012
Harris-Decima October 5, 2008

PDF

322521812
Nanos Research October 5, 2008

PDF

342920116
EKOS Research Associates October 5, 2008

HTML

3525191010
Harris-Decima October 4, 2008

PDF

342420813
Nanos Research October 4, 2008

PDF

343019107
EKOS Research Associates October 4, 2008

HTML

3625181010
Angus Reid Strategies October 3, 2008

PDF

402519116
Harris-Decima October 3, 2008

PDF

352220913
Nanos Research October 3, 2008

PDF

352819108
EKOS Research Associates October 3, 2008

HTML

3625191010
Ipsos Reid October 2, 2008

HTML

3723191110
Harris-Decima October 2, 2008

PDF

372218912
Nanos Research October 2, 2008 PDF 353018109
EKOS Research Associates October 2, 2008

HTML

3624191011
Harris-Decima October 1, 2008

PDF

362318912
Nanos Research October 1, 2008 PDF 372619108
EKOS Research Associates October 1, 2008

HTML

3425191011
Harris-Decima September 30, 2008

PDF Archived 2009-03-27 at the Wayback Machine

3624171011
Nanos Research September 30, 2008 PDF 362620109
EKOS Research Associates September 30, 2008

HTML

3425201011
Strategic CounselSeptember 29, 2008

HTML

392419109
Harris-Decima September 29, 2008

PDF

362618911
Nanos Research September 29, 2008 PDF 372620108
EKOS Research Associates September 29, 2008

HTML

342719910
Harris-Decima September 28, 2008

PDF

36261989
Nanos Research September 28, 2008 PDF 36262099
EKOS Research Associates September 28, 2008

HTML

3426201010
Nanos Research September 27, 2008 PDF 36271999
Harris-Decima September 27, 2008

PDF

36251999
Nanos Research September 26, 2008 PDF 39251989
Harris-Decima September 26, 2008

PDF

38231999
Angus Reid Strategies September 25, 2008

PDF

402121107
Ipsos Reid September 25, 2008

HTML

392318911
Nanos Research September 25, 2008 PDF 39241998
Harris-Decima September 25, 2008

PDF

372418910
EKOS Research Associates September 25, 2008

HTML

3525201010
Nanos Research September 24, 2008 PDF 40251998
EKOS Research Associates September 24, 2008

HTML

3625191011
Harris-Decima September 24, 2008

HTML

362317912
EKOS Research Associates September 23, 2008

HTML

372419911
Harris-Decima September 23, 2008

PDF

372416912
Nanos Research September 23, 2008 PDF 37262197
EKOS Research Associates September 22, 2008

HTML

362519812
Nanos Research September 22, 2008 PDF 38272186
Harris-Decima September 22, 2008

HTML

372417811
EKOS Research Associates September 21, 2008

HTML

372419812
Nanos Research September 21, 2008 PDF 35302276
Harris-Decima September 21, 2008

PDF

382317812
Nanos Research September 20, 2008 PDF 36312077
Harris-Decima September 20, 2008

PDF

392317811
Nanos Research September 19, 2008 PDF 38291877
Harris-Decima September 19, 2008

PDF

382317812
Angus Reid Strategies September 18, 2008

PDF

382419910
Ipsos Reid September 18, 2008

HTML

402715810
EKOS Research Associates September 18, 2008

HTML

362518813
Nanos Research September 18, 2008 PDF 39281877
Harris-Decima September 18, 2008

PDF

382515812
Nanos Research September 17, 2008 PDF 39301876
Harris-Decima September 17, 2008

PDF

362716811
EKOS Research Associates September 17, 2008

HTML

382418812
Nanos Research September 16, 2008 PDF 38311777
Harris-Decima September 16, 2008

PDF

382815810
EKOS Research Associates September 16, 2008

HTML

382419811
Nanos Research September 15, 2008 PDF 38311768
Harris-Decima September 15, 2008

PDF

382716810
EKOS Research Associates September 15, 2008

HTML

382319911
Segma September 15, 2008

PDF

422316710
Nanos Research September 14, 2008 PDF 37311869
Harris-Decima September 14, 2008

PDF

38271689
EKOS Research Associates September 14, 2008

HTML

352519911
Ipsos Reid September 13, 2008

HTML

382913811
Harris-Decima September 13, 2008

PDF

40261589
Nanos Research September 13, 2008

PDF

38301769
Angus Reid Strategies September 12, 2008

PDF

392318910
Nanos Research September 12, 2008

PDF

38301599
EKOS Research Associates September 11, 2008

HTML

362619811
Ipsos Reid September 11, 2008

HTML

382913811
Nanos Research September 11, 2008

HTML

38311499
Harris-Decima September 11, 2008

HTML

41261489
Nanos Research September 10, 2008

HTML

37321399
EKOS Research Associates September 9, 2008

HTML

372619810
Angus Reid Strategies September 9, 2008

PDF

38242197
Harris-Decima September 8, 2008

PDF [ permanent dead link ]

36281599
Segma September 6, 2008

PDF

43251587
EKOS Research Associates September 4, 2008

HTML

3826151011
EKOS Research Associates September 3, 2008

HTML

372419610
Environics September 2, 2008

HTML

38281987
Strategic CounselAugust 31, 2008

PDF Archived 2008-09-12 at the Wayback Machine

37291789
Ipsos Reid August 28, 2008

HTML

343114-10
Angus Reid Strategies August 28, 2008

PDF

36281898
Ipsos Reid August 28, 2008

HTML

333116910
Nanos Research August 27, 2008

PDF

33351787
Harris-Decima August 24, 2008

PDF

33341579
Ipsos Reid August 14, 2008

HTML

363014910
Harris-Decima August 10, 2008

PDF

323315613
Ipsos Reid July 31, 2008

HTML

343014911
Angus Reid Strategies July 30, 2008

PDF

35301798
Ipsos Reid July 10, 2008

HTML

3332131110
Environics July 5, 2008

HTML

353017108
Harris-Decima June 29, 2008

PDF

3031161012
Angus Reid Strategies June 24, 2008

PDF

33301997
Strategic CounselJune 9, 2008

HTML

3230181010
Harris-Decima June 8, 2008

HTML

323115612
Ipsos-Reid May 29, 2008

HTML

362914911
Angus Reid Strategies May 19, 2008

HTML

342718118
Nanos Research May 11, 2008

PDF

333415118
Strategic CounselMay 11, 2008

HTML

343116910
Ipsos-Reid May 8, 2008

HTML

353214-9
Ipsos-Reid May 1, 2008

HTML

342917-11
Angus Reid Strategies April 23, 2008

PDF

33302088
Harris-Decima April 21, 2008

HTML

323314--
Harris-Decima April 13, 2008

HTML

303316911
Strategic CounselApril 13, 2008

HTML

363015810
Ipsos-Reid April 10, 2008

HTML

353016-10
Segma April 9, 2008

HTML

36301599
Nanos Research April 9, 2008

PDF

36361486
Environics April 7, 2008

HTML

352817137
Harris-Decima April 6, 2008

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

313215912
Harris-Decima March 30, 2008

HTML [usurped]

323013912
Angus Reid Strategies March 28, 2008

HTML

36261899
Ipsos-Reid March 20, 2008

HTML

353313108
Harris-Decima March 16, 2008

HTML

32321798
Strategic CounselMarch 16, 2008

HTML

3827141012
Ipsos-Reid March 6, 2008

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

35311599
Harris-Decima March 2, 2008

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

313017813
Angus Reid Strategies March 2, 2008

HTML

342818109
Nanos Research February 20, 2008

PDF

343414108
Angus Reid Strategies February 18, 2008

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

34311798
Harris-Decima February 17, 2008

PDF

35331389
Strategic CounselFebruary 17, 2008

HTML

3927121012
Ipsos-Reid February 14, 2008

HTML

362913910
Léger Marketing February 10, 2008

PDF

37321687
Nanos Research February 4, 2008

PDF

313319108
UniMarketing January 31, 2008

HTML

33331888
Harris-Decima January 27, 2008

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

293216912
Ipsos-Reid January 24, 2008

HTML

372914-10
Strategic CounselJanuary 13, 2008

PDF

3630141110
Ipsos-Reid January 10, 2008

HTML

33351399
Harris-Decima January 6, 2008

PDF

373013109
Environics January 3, 2008

HTML

362217137
Ipsos-Reid December 20, 2007

HTML

35331588
Harris-Decima December 17, 2007

HTML

3032151112
Angus Reid Strategies December 14, 2007

PDF

3328171010
Strategic CounselDecember 9, 2007

PDF

3229161013
Ipsos-Reid December 6, 2007

HTML

352916109
Harris-Decima December 2, 2007

HTML

362817811
Ipsos-Reid November 22, 2007

HTML

39291588
Harris-Decima November 19, 2007

PDF

36281789
Strategic CounselNovember 13, 2007

PDF

343116118
Harris-Decima November 12, 2007

HTML [usurped]

332917812
Strategic CounselNovember 11, 2007

PDF

3232121113
SES Research November 8, 2007

PDF

35341796
Ipsos-Reid November 8, 2007

HTML

42281587
Ipsos-Reid November 1, 2007

HTML

392813127
Harris-Decima October 29, 2007

HTML

332917910
Ipsos-Reid October 25, 2007

HTML

39271798
Unimarketing October 18, 2007

HTML

362519109
Ipsos-Reid October 18, 2007

HTML

40271498
Angus Reid Strategies October 17, 2007

HTML

34291799
Environics October 14, 2007

HTML

332919711
Strategic CounselOctober 14, 2007

HTML

3429151012
Ipsos-Reid October 13, 2007

HTML

40281687
Harris-Decima October 9, 2007

HTML

352817810
Harris-Decima October 3, 2007

HTML

333116710
Harris-Decima September 18, 2007

HTML

322917514
Angus Reid Strategies August 23, 2007

HTML

33291999
SES Research August 14, 2007

PDF

363313108
Strategic CounselAugust 12, 2007

PDF

333317108
Ipsos-Reid July 27, 2007

HTML

34321788
Angus Reid Strategies July 18, 2007

PDF

33281998
Strategic CounselJuly 15, 2007

HTML

3131171010
Environics June 30, 2007

HTML

372817711
Angus Reid Strategies June 18, 2007

PDF

342719108
Decima June 11, 2007

HTML

29321899
Ipsos Reid May 31, 2007

HTML

343116109
Léger Marketing May 27, 2007

PDF

37301489
Ipsos Reid May 24, 2007

HTML

37311679
Angus Reid Strategies May 23, 2007

HTML

35281899
Decima May 20, 2007

HTML

333117810
Strategic CounselMay 17, 2007

HTML

343116109
Ipsos Reid May 17, 2007

HTML

36321497
Ipsos Reid May 10, 2007

HTML

31321799
SES Research May 3, 2007

HTML

323317910
Ipsos Reid May 3, 2007

HTML

35341497
Decima April 29, 2007

HTML

303115913
Ipsos Reid April 26, 2007

HTML

38311488
Strategic CounselApril 24, 2007

PDF

363013912
Decima Research April 21, 2007

HTML [usurped]

302918811
Ipsos Reid April 19, 2007

HTML

39291697
Decima Research April 15, 2007

HTML

343115711
Ipsos Reid April 12, 2007

HTML

38321488
SES Research April 5, 2007

PDF

363316106
Decima Research April 5, 2007

HTML

39301388
Environics April 3, 2007

HTML

362816812
Ipsos Reid March 28, 2007

HTML

36311589
Angus Reid Strategies March 28, 2007

PDF

3922171011
Decima Research March 25, 2007

HTML

353113810
Léger Marketing March 25, 2007

HTML

41271496
Ipsos-Reid March 22, 2007

HTML

40291497
Strategic CounselMarch 21, 2007

HTML

39311389
Ipsos-Reid March 15, 2007

HTML

36341298
Strategic CounselMarch 13, 2007

HTML

363115910
Angus Reid Strategies March 7, 2007

HTML

382815108
Decima Research March 4, 2007

HTML Archived 2007-09-27 at the Wayback Machine

352915711
Ipsos-Reid March 3, 2007

HTML

36321588
Angus Reid Strategies February 27, 2007

HTML

402615108
Decima Research February 26, 2007

HTML

362713813
Ipsos-Reid February 24, 2007

HTML

36341398
Decima ResearchFebruary 18, 2007

HTML

323015911
Strategic CounselFebruary 18, 2007

HTML

3429141112
Decima ResearchFebruary 12, 2007

HTML

32331598
SES Research February 8, 2007

PDF

333317107
Léger Marketing February 4, 2007

PDF

38311487
Decima ResearchJanuary 22, 2007

HTML

323313139
Léger MarketingJanuary 21, 2007

HTML

35321389
Ipsos-ReidJanuary 18, 2007

HTML

333713--
Decima ResearchJanuary 15, 2007

HTML

323313109
Strategic CounselJanuary 14, 2007

HTML

313515118
Environics December 30, 2006

HTML

343214811
Decima ResearchDecember 30, 2006

HTML

343115108
Ipsos-ReidDecember 14, 2006

HTML

343613105
Decima ResearchDecember 13, 2006

HTML

323512117
EKOS December 9, 2006

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

33401098
Ipsos-ReidDecember 7, 2006

HTML

323813115
Decima ResearchDecember 3, 2006 PDF 3135121011
Strategic CounselDecember 3, 2006 HTML 313714117
Léger MarketingNovember 26, 2006

HTML [ permanent dead link ]

343215106
Decima ResearchNovember 13, 2006 HTML 3133151010
SES ResearchNovember 9, 2006 PDF 343216135
EnvironicsNovember 6, 2006 HTML 33321995
Decima ResearchNovember 5, 2006 HTML 312818109
Ipsos-ReidNovember 2, 2006 HTML 37291995
Decima ResearchOctober 16, 2006

HTML [ dead link ]

3230151110
Strategic CounselOctober 15, 2006 HTML 323217119
EKOSOctober 12, 2006

HTML

3631.716.29.96.2
EnvironicsOctober 12, 200637281897
Strategic CounselSeptember 17, 2006

HTML

352619128
EKOSSeptember 14, 2006

PDF

38.728.817.08.47.0
Decima ResearchSeptember 4, 20063430141110
Decima ResearchAugust 28, 2006

PDF

332819108
Ipsos-ReidAugust 24, 2006382917105
SES ResearchAugust 23, 2006 PDF 363018115
Decima ResearchAugust 13, 2006 PDF 362915107
Decima ResearchJuly 31, 2006 PDF 323116118
Strategic CounselJuly 30, 2006 HTML 382915118
Ipsos-ReidJuly 27, 2006 HTML 392717107
Decima ResearchJuly 23, 2006 HTML 363017--
Decima Research
(without Greens)
July 16, 2006 PDF 36301911-
Decima Research
(with Greens)
July 16, 2006 PDF 362916108
Strategic CounselJuly 16, 2006 HTML 372618118
EnvironicsJune 23, 2006 HTML 39252194
Decima ResearchJune 18, 2006 HTML 38281910-
Strategic CounselJune 8, 2006 PDF Archived 2008-09-12 at the Wayback Machine 36271999
Decima ResearchMay 28, 2006 PDF 3829218-
Ipsos-ReidMay 18, 2006 HTML 43251595
SES ResearchMay 9, 2006 PDF 38281996
Strategic CounselMay 3, 2006 HTML 353116109
Decima ResearchApril 23, 2006 HTML 41261910-
Strategic CounselApril 9, 2006 HTML 392914115
EnvironicsMarch 31, 2006 HTML 412221105
Decima ResearchMarch 26, 2006 HTML 39281911-
Ipsos-ReidMarch 23, 2006 HTML 38281995
Decima ResearchMarch 13, 2006 HTML 37281910-
Decima ResearchFebruary 27, 2006 HTML 35282110-
Ipsos-ReidFebruary 23, 2006 HTML 39272085
Strategic CounselFebruary 21, 2006 HTML 3928198-
Decima ResearchFebruary 13, 2006 PDF 3525248-
SES ResearchFebruary 9, 2006 PDF 33341897
Election 2006 January 23, 2006 HTML 36.330.217.510.54.5

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best prime minister:

Polling firmLast date
of polling
Source Stephen Harper Stéphane Dion Jack Layton Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
Nanos Research October 5, 2008 PDF 33182134
Nanos Research October 4, 2008 PDF 32201934
Nanos Research October 3, 2008 PDF 32171944
Nanos Research October 2, 2008 PDF 32181755
Nanos Research September 28, 2008 PDF 35141844
Angus Reid Strategies September 25, 2008 PDF 3391832
Angus Reid Strategies September 20, 2008 PDF 3281945
Nanos Research September 18, 2008 PDF 38141733
Nanos Research September 15, 2008 PDF 36141833
Nanos Research September 14, 2008 PDF 34141844
Angus Reid Strategies September 12, 2008 PDF 3691643
Decima Research September 8, 2008 PDF 4322---
Segma September 6, 2008 PDF 42151644
EKOS Research Associates September 4, 2008 HTML 32121935
Angus Reid Strategies August 28, 2008 PDF 3613---
Nanos Research August 27, 2008 PDF 36151754
Ipsos-Reid February 14, 2008 HTML 4125186-
Léger Marketing February 10, 2008 HTML 321518--
Nanos Research February 8, 2008 PDF 35142168
Nanos Research January 3, 2008 HTML 42121654
Nanos Research November 8, 2007 PDF 37131765
Segma October 18, 2007 HTML 40101614
Angus Reid Strategies October 17, 2007 PDF 3010---
Environics October 17, 2007 HTML 37121954
Nanos Research August 4, 2007 PDF 31231865
Angus Reid Strategies July 16, 2007 HTML 3314---
Angus Reid Strategies June 18, 2007 PDF 3317---
Nanos Research April 5, 2007 HTML 42171674
Ipsos-Reid February 19, 2007 HTML 4629--

Sometimes the information is further broken down, as in this Strategic Counsel [2] poll conducted from February 15 to February 18, 2007:

LeaderClearest Vision for CanadaMost Decisive LeaderMost Charismatic
Stephen Harper 505335
Stéphane Dion 221920
Jack Layton 202036
Gilles Duceppe 8810

The Strategic Counsel [3] also conducts occasional polls of the overall impression of the party leaders: favourable or not favourable (favourable percentage shown). [4]

Date of Polling Stephen Harper Stéphane Dion Jack Layton Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
January 13, 20085839556256
January 14, 20075459596358

See also

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References

  1. The numbers from the poll were divided by 0.84 to remove the 16% of undecided voters (this is done for the sake of comparison, since all the other polls on this page also removed the undecided voters % from their numbers)
  2. "Latest poll shows Dion, Liberals losing support". CTVNews. February 20, 2007. Archived from the original on September 16, 2008.
  3. "Strategic Counsel, A Report To The Globe and Mail and CTV" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-09-07. Retrieved 2008-09-08.
  4. "Dion's approval rating down across country: poll". CTVNews. January 14, 2008. Archived from the original on September 16, 2008.
Projections and predictions