Opinion polling for the 2009 European Parliament election in France

Last updated

This is a list of public opinion polls conducted for the 2009 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 7 June 2009.

Contents

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the seven major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Because the Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.

Opinion polling for the European Parliament election, 2009 (France).png

Voting intentions

Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with one asterisk (*), while the hypothetical poll conducted for the Left Party by Ifop in January 2009 is marked with two asterisks (**). The Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200959.37%1.20%4.88%6.05%16.48%16.28%3.63%8.46%27.88%4.80% (Libertas)1.77%6.34%0.51%1.73%
Ipsos 5–6 Jun 20098881.5%5%6.5%18%16.5%1.5%8.5%28.5%5%1%5.5%2.5%
Ifop 4–5 Jun 200985663%1.5%5%6%20%12%12%27.5%4.5%1.5%5.5%4.5%
CSA [ dead link ]3–4 Jun 20098751%5%6%20%11%2%14%25%6%1%7%2%
TNS Sofres 3–4 Jun 20091,0001.5%4.5%6.5%19%15.5%1.5%12.5%27%4%1%5%2%
Ipsos 2–3 Jun 20091,00260%1.5%6.5%6%21%11%1.5%11%27%6%1%5.5%2%
OpinionWay 2–3 Jun 20094,97056%2.5%5%6%20%12%2%12.5%26%5%0.5%6.5%2%
TNS Sofres 2 Jun 20091,0002.5%5.5%6.5%20%13.5%2%11%27%4%1%4%3%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20093,5271.5%6.5%6%21.5%11%1.5%11%26%4.5%0.5%8.5%1.5%
Ipsos 29–30 May 200986160%1.5%7%5.5%21%11%2%12%26%6%0.5%5.5%2%
Ifop 28–29 May 200985863%1%7%7%21%9.5%13%27%5%1%6%2.5%
CSA [ dead link ]27–28 May 20098622%5%6%21%9%2%13%25%6%1%8%2%
TNS Sofres 27–28 May 20091,0002.5%6%7%20%11%1.5%13%26%4.5%0.5%6%2%
OpinionWay 25–27 May 20095,5811%6%5%20%10%2.5%13%26%6%0.5%7%3%
TNS Sofres 25–26 May 20091,0002%6%7%19%11%1.5%14%26%4%0.5%6%3%
Ipsos 22–23 May 200986163%2%7%5%20%10.5%13%26%6%1%5.5%4%
CSA [ dead link ]19–20 May 20099031%6%5%21%9%2%14%26%6%1%7%2%
OpinionWay 15–18 May 20094,7242%6%5%21%10%2%13%28%5.5%0.5%6%1%
Ipsos 15–16 May 20098622%7%5%22%10%11%28%6%1%5%3%
Viavoice 13–15 May 20091,0102%6%6%22%9%13%27%5%2%6%2%
CSA [ dead link ]13–14 May 20091,0032%5%4%22%10%2%13%28%5%1%6%2%
OpinionWay 7–10 May 20095,0792%7%5%22%9%1%13%27%5%1%7%1%
Ifop 6–7 May 20098862%7%6.5%21.5%7%13.5%27%5%1%7.5%2%
Ifop*29 Apr–7 May 20091,7412%7.5%6.5%21.5%8%14%26%5%7.5%2%
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 20098612%7%6%23%10%11%27%6%1%5%2%
Ifop 23–24 Apr 20098533%7%5.5%22.5%7.5%14%26.5%5%1%7.5%0.5%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 20091,0057%5%23%10%12%28%5%1%6%3%
CSA [ dead link ]15–16 Apr 20099042%7%3%25%10%12%27%5%1%8%
Ipsos 13–14 Mar 20098872%9%6%24%9%10%27%6%1%5.5%0.5%
Ifop 12–13 Feb 20098623%9%4%23%7%14.5%26%5%2%6%0.5%
Ifop**22–23 Jan 200987614.5%22.5%7%14%25.5%6%2.5%1.5%6.5%
Ifop 27–28 Nov 20088814%8%4%22%11%12%2%22%4%3%1%7%
2004 election 13 Jun 200457.24%2.56%5.25%28.90%7.41%1.91%11.96% (UDF)16.64%6.67%1.73%9.81%7.16%

By constituency

Nord-Ouest

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200960.21%2.08%5.80%6.84%18.10%12.10%3.56%8.67%24.22%4.26%2.40%10.18%1.52%0.28%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095005%9%5%22%8%1%11%23%5%9%1%1%

Ouest

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200957.64%1.25%5.13%4.58%17.29%16.65%3.73%8.48%27.16%10.27%0.59%3.06%1.82%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095002%6%3%24%12%1%16%22%7%5%2%

Est

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200960.90%1.46%5.64%3.89%17.24%14.28%4.26%9.44%29.20%4.10%2.33%7.57%0.58%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095001.5%7%6%20%9%1.5%10%24%5%15%1%

Sud-Ouest

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200955.50%1.02%5.62%8.16%17.72%15.83%4.24%8.61%26.89%3.06%1.28%5.94%0.92%0.74%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095002%8%7%21%11%2%12%24%3%8%2%
Ifop 12–13 May 20097032%7%7%23%8.5%3%13%23.5%5%5.5%2.5%

Sud-Est

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200960.36%0.84%4.33%5.90%14.49%18.27%3.75%7.37%29.34%4.29%1.99%8.49%0.92%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095001.5%5.5%6%22%9%1%8.5%29%7%9.5%1%

Massif-Central Centre

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200957.43%1.40%5.45%8.06%17.79%13.58%3.45%8.15%28.51%4.90%1.43%5.12%1.88%0.27%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095001%6%6%23%11%2%10%27%3%9%2%

Île-de-France

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PAS DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 200957.94%0.74%3.48%6.32%13.58%20.86%2.97%8.52%29.60%3.28%2.44%4.40%1.30%2.51%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 20095001%3%7%18%16%2%11%30.5%3%1%5%0.5%2%
TNS Sofres 14–16 May 20091,0001%3%5.5%21.5%14%3%12%33%1%0.5%4%0.5%1%

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