Opinion polling for the 2014 European Parliament election in France

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2014 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 25 May 2014.

Contents

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

National results for LO, NPA, ND, EC, AEI, NC, FV, and DLR lists were not provided by the Ministry of the Interior in the 2014 European elections. These lists, respectively, received 1.17%, 0.39%, 2.90%, 0.67%, 1.12%, 1.41%, 0.74%, and 3.82% of the vote in the 8, 5, 7, 6, 5, 7, 8, and 8 constituencies, respectively, in which they presented lists.

Opinion polling for the European Parliament election, 2014 (France).png

Voting intentions

Starting on 10 April 2014, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). [1]

Regionalist lists received 0.25% of the vote in 2009; this total is included in that for other lists, which would otherwise have been 4.45%.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
DVG EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR DVD FN EXD DIV
2014 election 25 May 201457.57%1.60% (EXG)6.33%13.98%3.18%8.95%(DVG)(DIV)(DIV)9.94%20.81%(DVD)(DVD)(DVD)5.98%24.86%0.01%4.37%
Ipsos 22–23 May 20141,54758%1%1%7.5%16.5%8.5%2.5%1%9.5%21%1%0.5%3%24%3%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 May 20141,69157.5%0.5%1%7.5%16%10%2.5%1%0.5%9.5%21.5%0.5%2.5%1%23.5%2.5%
Ipsos 21–22 May 20141,56158.5%0.5%1%8.5%17.5%9%1.5%1%9.5%21%0.5%0.5%3%24%2.5%
CSA 20–22 May 20141,89760%1%1%8%16%9%2%<0.5%10%21%0.5%0.5%2%23.5%5.5%
Harris Interactive 20–22 May 20141,4310.5%1%7%16%9%3%1%11%21%1%2%23%4.5%
Ipsos 20–22 May 20141,54058.5%0.5%1.5%8%17.5%9%1.5%1%9.5%21.5%0.5%<0.5%3%23.5%3%
OpinionWay 20–22 May 20142,94860%1%1%7%17%9%3%1%1%11%21%1%0.5%2.5%21%3%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 May 20141,69158.5%0.5%1%8%16.5%10%2.5%0.5%0.5%9.5%22%0.5%2.5%0.5%23.5%2%
YouGov 19–22 May 20141,09255%0.9%1.4%9.1%16.7%6.6%1.6%1.7%1.4%6.8%21.1%0.7%0.1%3.2%26.1%2.7%
Ipsos 19–21 May 20141,26658.5%1%1%7.5%17%8%2%1%9%22.5%1%<0.5%3%23.5%3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–21 May 20141,69158.5%0.5%1%8%17%9.5%2%1%0.5%10%22%0.5%2%0.5%23.5%2%
Ipsos 16–20 May 20141,54559%1%1%7%17%8%1.5%1%9%23%1%<0.5%3.5%23.5%3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–20 May 20141,61059.5%0.5%1.5%7.5%17.5%9%2%1%0.5%10%21.5%0.5%1.5%1%23.5%2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–19 May 20141,50760%0.5%2%7.5%17%9.5%2%1%0.5%10%21.5%0.5%1.5%1%23.5%2%
Ipsos 15–18 May 20141,53859.5%1%1%7%17.5%8%2%1.5%8.5%22%0.5%<0.5%3.5%24%3.5%
Ipsos 14–17 May 20141,51659.5%1.5%1%7%17%8.5%2.5%1.5%8%21.5%0.5%<0.5%3.5%24%3.5%
BVA 15–16 May 20141,0451%1%8%17%9%1.5%1%9.5%21%1%1%2%23%4%
OpinionWay 14–16 May 20141,01763%1%1%8%16%9%2.5%<1%10.5%23%0.5%<1%2.5%22%4%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 May 20141,42460%0.5%1.5%7.5%17%9.5%2.5%0.5%0.5%10%22%<0.5%1.5%1%23%3%
Ipsos 13–16 May 20141,50760%1.5%1%7%17%8%2.5%2%7.5%22.5%0.5%0.5%3%24%3%
CSA 13–15 May 201499464%1%1.5%6.5%18%8%2%<0.5%9%21%<0.5%<0.5%2%25%6%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 May 20141,40760.5%0.5%1%7.5%16.5%10%2%1%0.5%10%22.5%<0.5%1.5%1%23.5%2.5%
Ipsos 12–15 May 20141,50761%1%1.5%7%17%8%2.5%2%7.5%23%0.5%0.5%3%24%2.5%
Harris Interactive 12–14 May 20141,4291%2%7%16.5%10%2%1%8%21%1%3%22%5.5%
Ipsos 12–14 May 20141,00762%1%1.5%7.5%17%8.5%2%2%8%23%0.5%0.5%3%24%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–14 May 20141,31160.5%0.5%1%7.5%16.5%10%2%1%0.5%9.5%22.5%<0.5%1.5%1%24%2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–13 May 20141,20661%0.5%1%7.5%17%10%1.5%1%0.5%9.5%22.5%0.5%1%1%24%2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–12 May 20141,11861%0.5%1.5%7.5%17%9.5%2%1%0.5%9.5%22%0.5%1.5%1%24%2%
TNS Sofres 9–11 May 20141,50459%2.5%1.5%6%16%8.5%2%1.5%1%8%21%1%<0.5%3%23%5%
OpinionWay 5–9 May 20141,96162%1%1%7%16%9%2%<1%10%23%1%<1%3%22%5%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–7 May 20141,07661%0.5%1.5%7%17.5%9%2.5%1%10%22%0.5%1.5%1%24%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–6 May 20141,03661.5%1%1.5%7%18%9%2%1%10%22.5%<0.5%1.5%0.5%24%2%
YouGov 28 Apr–6 May 20141,0694%3%10%18%7%1%8%21%0%2%24%2%
Harris Interactive 2–5 May 20141,6002%2%8%17%9%2%<0.5%9%21%1%<0.5%3%22%4%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–5 May 201498962%0.5%2%7.5%18%9%2%1.5%10%22.5%<0.5%1.5%0.5%23.5%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 201498962.5%0.5%2%8%18.5%9%1.5%1%10%22.5%<0.5%1.5%23.5%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–30 Apr 201499363%0.5%2.5%8%19%8.5%1%1%10%22.5%<0.5%2%23%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Apr 201499363%0.5%2.5%7.5%19.5%8%1%0.5%10.5%23%<0.5%2%23%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–28 Apr 201499762.5%0.5%2%8%19.5%8%1%0.5%10.5%23%<0.5%2.5%22.5%2%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 20141,83060%1%1%7%18%7%3%2%1%11%22%0.5%0.5%3%20%3%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 201499762%0.5%2%8%19.5%8.5%1%0.5%10%23.5%<0.5%2%22.5%2%
CSA 22–24 Apr 20141,00565%1%1.5%7.5%20%7%2%<0.5%9%22%1%<0.5%2%24%3%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Apr 20141,00061.5%0.5%2%8%19%9%1%1%10%23.5%<0.5%2%22.5%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–23 Apr 201498461%0.5%2%8%19%9%1.5%1%10%23%<0.5%1.5%22.5%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–22 Apr 201498060.5%0.5%2%8.5%19%8%1.5%1.5%10%22.5%<0.5%1.5%23%2%
Ifop-Fiducial*15–19 Apr 20141,8691%3%8%18.5%8.5%1.5%1.5%10%22%<0.5%1.5%23%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–18 Apr 201498960%0.5%2.5%8%19.5%8%1.5%1%10%22.5%<0.5%2%23%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 201498960%0.5%2.5%8%19.5%7.5%1.5%0.5%10.5%22.5%<0.5%2%23.5%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–16 Apr 201499060.5%0.5%2.5%8%20%7.5%1.5%0.5%10%22.5%<0.5%2%23.5%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Apr 201499961%0.5%2%8%20%8%1%0.5%10%22.5%<0.5%1.5%24%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–14 Apr 20141,00861.5%0.5%2%8%20.5%8%1%0.5%9.5%22.5%<0.5%1.5%24%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–11 Apr 20141,00261.5%0.5%2%8.5%20.5%7.5%1%1%9.5%22.5%<0.5%1.5%24%1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Apr 201499761%0.5%2%8%21%7.5%1%0.5%9%23%0.5%1.5%24%1.5%
TNS Sofres 4–6 Apr 20141,5012%1%7%19%9%1.5%9%25%0.5%2%24%
Ifop 31 Mar–4 Apr 20141,8720.5%2.5%7.5%19%8.5%1.5%1.5%8%24%2%22%3%
OpinionWay 31 Mar 20141,0531%1%9%18%7%2%1%12%22%1%3%20%3%
Harris Interactive 30 Mar 20143,0002%7%16%9%2%2%11%20%1%3%22%5%
Ipsos 27–29 Mar 20141,5332%1%8%19%10%2%8%24%0.5%3.5%22%
OpinionWay 23–24 Mar 20141,1581%1%8%17%7%2%10%22%1%3%21%7%
OpinionWay 7–11 Mar 20141,0081%3%9%17%7%1%1%9%22%0%1%4%21%4%
OpinionWay 12–14 Feb 20142,1044%9%16%9%12%22%3%20%5%
Ifop 14–17 Jan 20141,8942%9%18%7%11%21%2.5%23%6.5%
Ifop 1–4 Oct 20131,8932%10%19%6%11%22%2%24%4%
YouGov 7–12 Jun 20131,0142%15%15%5%7%8%5%19%6%18%
CSA 21 May–12 Jun 20133,9521%3%9%19%8%7%6%23%1%20%3%
Ifop 29–31 May 20131,8692%9%21%7.5%7%6.5%21%3%21%2%
Harris Interactive 22–24 May 20131,2792%8%21%10%6%8%23%1%18%3%
2009 election 7 Jun 200959.37%6.10% (EXG)6.05%16.48%0.46%16.28%(DIV)8.46%27.88%(DVD)6.74%6.34%0.51%4.70%

By constituency

Est

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN DIV
2014 election 25 May 201456.85%1.36%0.33%5.24%13.24%6.41%2.44%0.37%2.34%9.19%22.72%1.29%0.53%4.16%28.98%1.38%
Ifop 15–19 Apr 20146661.5%3%6.5%15.5%12.5%1.5%7.5%24%0.5%26%1.5%

Île-de-France

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN DIV
2014 election 25 May 201461.02%0.85%0.84%6.48%14.28%9.68%3.06%2.34%1.74%11.99%21.79%2.16%1.20%3.82%17.00%2.79%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–19 May 20147030.5%3.5%7%17%9%2.5%1.5%0.5%10%21%2%<0.5%2.5%20%3%

Sud-Est

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG
EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN R&PS DIV
2014 election 25 May 201457.04%0.90%5.96%11.88%9.32%3.15%2.14%8.44%22.40%1.50%0.43%3.92%28.18%0.75%1.03%
Ifop 23–28 Apr 20146861%2%7%13%11%1.5%1%8.5%28%<0.5%<0.5%2.5%23%1.5%<0.5%
OpinionWay 19–21 Feb 20141,0522%9%15%9%8%25%3%26%3%

See also

Related Research Articles

An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll, is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A person who conducts polls is referred to as a pollster.

Opinion polling for the 2006 Peruvian national election was carried out by pollsters authorized by the National Election Jury both in the races for the Presidency and Congress.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French presidential election, which was held on 23 April 2017 with a run-off on 7 May 2017.

Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns well over 240 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002.

Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 11 and 18 June 2017.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2012.

In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2007.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2007 with a run-off on 6 May 2007.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 9 and 16 June 2002.

The 2020 French municipal elections were held from 15 March to 28 June to renew the municipal councils of the approximately 35,000 French communes. The first round took place on 15 March and the second round was postponed to 28 June due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French regional elections, which were held in two rounds on 6 and 13 December 2015.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French departmental elections, which were held in two rounds on 22 and 29 March 2015.

This is a list of public opinion polls conducted for the 2009 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 7 June 2009.

Opinion polling on the presidency of Emmanuel Macron has been regularly conducted by French pollsters since the start of his five–year term. Public opinion on various issues has also been tracked.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2019 European Parliament election in France, was held on 26 May 2019.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 French legislative election, which were held in two rounds on 12 and 19 June 2022. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission and utilize the quota method.

References

  1. "Les élections européennes en temps réel avec l'Euro-Rolling 2014 Ifop - Fiducial - Paris Match" (PDF). Ifop. 9 April 2014. Retrieved 27 April 2018.