Opinion polling for the 2010 Philippine Senate election

Last updated

Post-filing

Note: Tables only include confirmed candidates by the COMELEC.

The following are results of surveys taken after candidates were confirmed by the COMELEC.

Contents

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample
size		Margin of
error		Candidates
SWS May 2–3, 20102,400±2% Revilla
51%		 Estrada
50%		 Defensor
Santiago
45%		 Drilon
39%		 Enrile
36%		 Cayetano
34%		 Marcos
31%		 Sotto
30%		 Recto
29%		 Osmeña
29%		 Lapid
26%		 Guingona
22%
Pulse Asia [1]

[2]

Apr. 23–25, 20101,800±2% Revilla
52.8%		 Estrada
50%		 Defensor
Santiago
47.9%		 Enrile
40.6%		 Drilon
38.4%		 Cayetano
38.1%		 Sotto
32.3%		 Osmeña
32.2%		 Recto
30.1%		 Marcos
27.7%		 Guingona
23%		 Lapid
21%
SWS [3] Apr. 16–19, 20102,100±2% Revilla
54%		 Estrada
53%		 Defensor
Santiago
44%		 Enrile
36%		 Cayetano
36%		 Drilon
36%		 Sotto
35%		 Recto
30%		 Osmeña
29%		 Marcos
28%		 Lapid
27%		 Remulla
21%
SWS [4] Mar. 19–22, 20102,100±2% Revilla
53%		 Estrada
52%		 Defensor
Santiago
44%		 Cayetano
42%		 Drilon
36%		 Enrile
35%		 Sotto
33%		 Recto
30%		 Marcos
30%		 Lapid
29%		 Osmeña
26%		 Remulla
25%
The Center [5] Feb. 24–28, 20102,400±2% Revilla
49%		 Defensor
Santiago
47%		 Estrada
45%		 Cayetano
44%		 Recto
44%		 Sotto
39%		 Marcos
39%		 Lapid
35%		 Enrile
35%		 Drilon
33%		 Osmeña
31%		 Guingona
28%
SWS [6] Feb. 24–28, 20102,100±2% Revilla
54%		 Cayetano
51%		 Estrada
47%		 Defensor
Santiago
46%		 Drilon
45%		 Recto
41%		 Enrile
40%		 Sotto
39%		 Marcos
32%		 Lapid
31%		 Osmeña
31%		Pimentel
27%
Pulse Asia [7] Feb. 21–25, 20101,800±2% Revilla
53.6%		 Estrada
52.6%		 Defensor
Santiago
49.4%		 Cayetano
45.4%		 Drilon
45%		 Enrile
43.8%		 Sotto
33.2%		 Recto
33.1%		 Osmeña
29.1%		 Marcos
28.2%		 Lapid
25.8%		 Guingona
24.3%
Pulse Asia [8] Jan. 22–26, 20101,800±2% Revilla
51.9%		 Estrada
50.4%		 Cayetano
46.8%		 Drilon
43.2%		 Defensor
Santiago
41.2%		 Enrile
39.7%		 Recto
34.4%		 Osmeña
31.6%		 Sotto
30.5%		 Lapid
29.7%		 Marcos
26.3%		 de
Venecia
24.0%
SWS [9] Jan. 21–24, 20102,100±2% Revilla
58.0%		 Cayetano
57.0%		 Estrada
57.0%		 Defensor
Santiago
50.0%		 Drilon
47.0%		 Enrile
42.0%		 Sotto
41.0%		 Recto
40.0%		 Marcos
39.0%		 Osmeña
38.0%		 Guingona
31.0%		 de
Venecia
30.0%
Pulse Asia [10] Dec. 8–10, 20091,800±2.0% Estrada
55.1%		 Revilla
52.7%		 Defensor
Santiago
51.4%		 Drilon
48.4%		 Cayetano
43.1%		 Recto
43.1%		 Enrile
42.7%		 Osmeña
40.2%		 Sotto
40.2%		 Marcos
31.0%		 Guingona
28.5%		 de
Venecia
24.3%
SWS [9] Dec. 5–10, 20092,100±2.2% Defensor
Santiago
55.0%		 Revilla
54.0%		 Estrada
53.0%		 Cayetano
48.0%		 Drilon
47.0%		 Recto
44.0%		 Sotto
40.0%		 Enrile
37.0%		 Marcos
32.0%		 Osmeña
31.0%		 Guingona
24.0%		 Lapid
23.0%

Graph

Graph for the w:Opinion polling in the Philippine Senate election, 2010. Each candidate's opinion poll (survey) is denoted by a plot point. This is one "period." The lines are moving averages of the last three periods. Opinion polling in the 2010 Philippine Senate election.png
Graph for the w:Opinion polling in the Philippine Senate election, 2010. Each candidate's opinion poll (survey) is denoted by a plot point. This is one "period." The lines are moving averages of the last three periods.

The result of each candidate's opinion poll (survey) result is denoted by a plot point, or a "period" (per.). The lines denote moving averages (mov. avg.) of the last three polls (each poll given equal weight) for each candidate; as pollsters may use different methodologies, it is invalid to plot each period from all pollsters as if it is a single series. Hence, a moving average is used to link all polls from all pollsters into one series. Some candidates may not appear on some polls, and these do not include candidates who are not on the final list but were included in other polls. The twelfth ranking candidate in each poll is denoted by a line, for easy reference.

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References

  1. ↑ "Pulse Asia's April 2010 Filipinos' Senatorial and Party-List Group Preferences for the May 2010 Elections". pulseasia.com.ph. 2010-04-30. Archived from the original on 2010-06-09. Retrieved 2010-04-30.
  2. ↑ "Baraquel, Querubin umangat: Revilla, Estrada nanguna sa survey sa Senado". gmanews.tv. 2010-05-03. Retrieved 2010-04-30.
  3. ↑ "Eleven out of Magic 12 slots all but in the bag?". bworldonline.com. 2010-04-25. Archived from the original on 2015-09-23. Retrieved 2010-04-26.
  4. ↑ "Nine consistently in Magic 12". bworld.com.ph. 2010-03-29. Archived from the original on 2010-05-24. Retrieved 2010-03-29.
  5. ↑ "Re-electionists dominate The Center's senatorial survey". gmanews.tv. 2010-03-24. Retrieved 2010-03-29.
  6. ↑ "Archived copy". BusinessWorld . Archived from the original on 2015-09-23. Retrieved 2010-07-24.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  7. ↑ "Revilla, Estrada lead senatorial race in Pulse survey, Miriam among top gainers". gmanews.tv. 2010-03-09. Retrieved 2010-03-09.
  8. ↑ "Revilla, Estrada top senatorial bets in Pulse Asia's survey". gmanews.tv. 2010-02-05. Retrieved 2010-02-05.
  9. 1 2 "Revilla takes top spot in Senate race". bworldonline.com. 2010-02-01. Archived from the original on 2015-09-23. Retrieved 2010-02-01.
  10. ↑ "Pulse Asia's December 2009 Pre-election Survey". Archived from the original on 2010-06-16. Retrieved 2010-07-24.
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