Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election

Last updated May 29, 2024

This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election .

Polling for senatorial elections

Pollsters usually do face-to-face interviews on respondents. They sometimes present respondents with a mock ballot on which the respondent will mark his or her choices for the Senate. The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."

Pollsters, aside from publishing preferences per candidate, also include other data such as averages on how many candidates the respondents included on their preferences.

Survey details

Date/s administered	Pollster	Sample size	Margin of error
Mar 11–14, 2024^[1]	OCTA	1,200	±3.0%
Mar 6–10, 2024^[2]	Pulse Asia	–	–
Dec 10–14, 2023^[3]	OCTA	1,200	±3.0%
Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023^[4]	OCTA	1,200	±3.0%
Sep 20–30, 2023^[5]	RP-MDF	10,000	±1.0%
Apr 15–18, 2023^[6]	SWS	1,200	±3.0%

Per candidate

By voter preferences

Before October 2024

Candidate		Party	Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS^[6]	Sep 20–30, 2023 RP-MDF^[5]	Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023 OCTA^[4]	Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA^[3]	Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia^[2]	Mar 11–14, 2024 OCTA^[1]
Candidate		Party
	Benjamin Abalos Jr.	PFP	8%	40.3%	15%	18%	12.9%	21%
	Ernesto Abella	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.6%	–
	Persida Acosta	Independent	–	–	–	–	8.9%	–
	Pantaleon Alvarez	Reporma	2%	–	–	–	3.3%	–
	Bam Aquino	KANP	7%	–	13%	12%	17.3%	7.3%
	Lorraine Badoy-Partosa	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.5%	–
	Teddy Baguilat	Liberal	2%	–	–	–	0.3%	–
	Carl Balita	Aksyon	0.5%	–	–	–	2.5%	2.6%
	Herbert Bautista	NPC	8%	17.1%	10%	12%	11.0%	11.7%
	Greco Belgica	PDDS	1%	–	–	–	1.4%	–
	Abigail Binay	NPC	–	–	10%	11%	29.1%	14.1%
	Jejomar Binay	UNA	15%	–	–	25%	–	–
	Jimmy Bondoc	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.8%	–
	Jose Calida	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.7%	–
	Pia Cayetano	Nacionalista	23%	39.6%	36%	30%	37.7%	26%
	Neri Colmenares	Makabayan	4%	–	6%	8%	4.4%	5.4%
	Dingdong Dantes	Independent	–	–	–	–	10.4%	–
	Noli de Castro	Aksyon	9%	20.2%	19%	12%	–	13.7%
	Leila de Lima	Liberal	5%	–	6%	7%	9.3%	8.6%
	Mike Defensor	PFP	–	–	14%	7%	8.9%	11.3%
	Ronald dela Rosa	PDP	9%	51.7%	39%	47%	33.2%	33%
	Chel Diokno	KANP	7%	–	12%	7%	11.2%	7.3%
	Franklin Drilon	Liberal	8%	–	13%	12%	16.1%	14.5%
	Paolo Duterte	HNP	–	–	13%	14%	13.1%	15.1%
	Rodrigo Duterte	PDP	25%	–	–	–	47.7%	38%
	Sebastian Duterte	HNP	–	–	–	–	13.5%	16.8%
	Guillermo Eleazar	Reporma	7%	–	8%	–	10.4%	4.8%
	Ted Failon	Independent	–	–	–	–	14.6%	–
	Duke Frasco	NUP	–	–	–	–	1.4%	–
	Larry Gadon	KBL	5%	–	4%	–	4.6%	3.4%
	George Garcia	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.9%	–
	Gwendolyn Garcia	One Cebu	4%	–	5%	–	5.2%	5.9%
	Rex Gatchalian	NPC	10%	–	–	–	–	–
	Bong Go	PDP	20%	68.7%	49%	53%	44.2%	50%
	Ferdinand Golez	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.6%	–
	Richard Gomez	PFP	7%	–	14%	11%	11.6%	12.7%
	Dick Gordon	Bagumbayan	6%	–	16%	14%	14.8%	17.6%
	Samira Gutoc	Aksyon	1%	–	–	–	–	2.1%
	Gringo Honasan	Independent	10%	–	19%	18%	17.5%	17.6%
	Edwin Jubahib	PFP	0.5%	–	–	–	–	–
	Panfilo Lacson	Independent	16%	36.9%	32%	32%	28.6%	34%
	Rey Langit	PDP	1%	–	–	–	1.3%	1.7%
	Lito Lapid	NPC	17%	25.3%	26%	20%	25.4%	22%
	Wilbert Lee	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.4%	–
	Benjamin Magalong	NPC	–	–	–	–	3.1%	–
	Hermilando Mandanas	PDP	–	–	2%	–	0.6%	–
	Richard Mata	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.4%	–
	Rodante Marcoleta	PDP	3%	–	8%	–	2.4%	2.2%
	Imee Marcos	Nacionalista	18%	55.8%	39%	42%	32.1%	29%
	Eric Martinez	PDP	–	–	–	–	0.8%	–
	Cesar Montano	Independent	–	–	–	–	8.4%	–
	Isko Moreno	Aksyon	14%	36.5%	35%	32%	31.5%	27%
	Ariel Nepomuceno	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.3%	–
	Victor Neri	Independent	–	–	3%	–	2.2%	3.8%
	Willie Ong	Aksyon	–	24.7%	21%	17%	24.6%	21%
	Serge Osmeña	Independent	6%	–	–	–	–	–
	Manny Pacquiao	PROMDI	19%	37.2%	26%	28%	33.7%	32%
	Salvador Panelo	PDP	2%	–	3%	–	0.8%	2.5%
	Francis Pangilinan	Liberal	8%	19.8%	19%	15%	22.2%	14.9%
	Emmanuel Piñol	NPC	2%	–	–	–	3.5%	–
	Ariel Querubin	Nacionalista	–	–	–	–	1.0%	–
	Apollo Quiboloy	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.2%	–
	Ralph Recto	Nacionalista	7%	–	14%	15%	18.8%	13.9%
	Jesus Crispin Remulla	NUP	1%	–	–	–	3.6%	–
	Bong Revilla	Lakas	13%	63.8%	32%	35%	29.6%	30%
	Willie Revillame	Independent	–	19.4%	13%	18%	25.9%	14.3%
	Leni Robredo	Liberal	10%	50.9%	15%	17%	13.6%	11.7%
	Vic Rodriguez	Independent	–	–	–	–	0.9%	–
	Martin Romualdez	Lakas	5%	53.4%	–	–	–	–
	Yedda Marie Romualdez	Lakas	–	–	–	–	1.5%	–
	Harry Roque	PRP	4%	–	8%	7%	5.0%	5.8%
	Mar Roxas	Liberal	10%	–	11%	15%	13.6%	11.7%
	Phillip Salvador	PDP	–	–	6%	–	3.9%	3.6%
	Vilma Santos	Nacionalista	3%	–	–	–	–	–
	Tito Sotto	NPC	18%	68.9%	42%	48%	51.8%	52%
	Vico Sotto	Independent	18%	–	–	–	–	–
	Anthony Taberna	Independent	–	–	–	–	–	3.7%
	Gilbert Teodoro	PRP	5%	–	18%	19%	15.2%	12.6%
	Francis Tolentino	PDP	6%	63.6%	28%	33%	16.7%	22%
	Antonio Trillanes	Liberal	6%	–	10%	11%	13.0%	10.2%
	Ben Tulfo	Independent	–	–	–	–	30.5%	43%
	Erwin Tulfo	ACT-CIS	32%	64.5%	60%	76%	57.1%	58%
	Luis Raymund Villafuerte	NUP	–	–	2%	–	2.8%	2.8%
	Camille Villar	Nacionalista	6%	–	–	–	–	–
	Kathryna Yu-Pimentel	PDP	–	–	4%	–	5.7%	4.1%
Don't know			3%		1%		3.5%
Refused			4%		3%		1.7%
None			7%				1.0%
Invalid votes (13 or more names)

Per party

Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.

Seats won

Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.

Date	Pollster	ACT-CIS	Aksyon	KANP	Lakas	LP	NP	NPC	PDP	PFP	PRP	PROMDI	UNA	Ind
Date	Pollster
2024
Mar 11–14	OCTA^[1]	1	2	0	1	0	2	2	4	1	0	1	0	2
Mar 6–10	Pulse Asia^[2]	1	2	0	1	0	2	3	3	0	0	1	0	3
2023
Dec 10–14	OCTA^[3]	1	1	0	1	0	2	2	3	0	0	1	1	1
Sep 30–Oct 4	OCTA^[4]	1	2	0	1	0	2	2	3	0	0	1	0	1
Sep 20–30	RP-MDF^[5]	1	1	0	2	1	2	1	3	1	0	1	0	1
Apr 15–18	SWS^[6]	1	1	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	2

Seats after the election

Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.

Date	Pollster	ACT-CIS	Akbayan	Aksyon	KANP	Lakas	LP	NP	NPC	PDP	PFP	PRP	PROMDI	PMP	UNA	Ind
Date	Pollster
2024
Mar 11–14	OCTA^[1]	1	1	2	0	1	0	3	6	5	1	0	1	1	0	6
Mar 6–10	Pulse Asia^[2]	1	1	2	0	1	0	3	7	4	0	0	1	1	0	7
2023
Dec 10–14	OCTA^[3]	1	1	1	0	1	0	3	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5
Sep 30–Oct 4	OCTA^[4]	1	1	2	0	1	0	3	6	4	0	0	1	1	0	5
Sep 20–30	RP-MDF^[5]	1	1	1	0	2	1	3	6	4	1	0	1	1	0	5
Apr 15–18	SWS^[6]	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	6	3	0	0	1	1	1	6

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References

1 2 3 4 "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA Research senatorial survey". GMANetwork.com. April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
1 2 3 4 "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election". Pulse Asia. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
1 2 3 4 Pelonia, Ada (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA's 2025 senatorial survey anew". DZRH. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
1 2 3 4 De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (October 23, 2023). "Erwin Tulfo still most preferred bet for 2025 senatorial race — survey". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
1 2 3 4 "Sotto, Go lead 2025 senatorial survey — RPMD". Manila Standard. October 16, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
1 2 3 4 "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)". SWS. June 13, 2023. Retrieved March 31, 2023.

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[OCTAMar2024-1] 1 2 3 4 "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA Research senatorial survey". GMANetwork.com. April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[PulseAsiaMarch2024-2] 1 2 3 4 "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election". Pulse Asia. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[OCTADec2023-3] 1 2 3 4 Pelonia, Ada (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA's 2025 senatorial survey anew". DZRH. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[OCTASep2023-4] 1 2 3 4 De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (October 23, 2023). "Erwin Tulfo still most preferred bet for 2025 senatorial race — survey". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[RPMDSept2023-5] 1 2 3 4 "Sotto, Go lead 2025 senatorial survey — RPMD". Manila Standard. October 16, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[SWSApril2023-6] 1 2 3 4 "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)". SWS. June 13, 2023. Retrieved March 31, 2023.

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