Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April of 2027.

Contents

First round

If a candidate receives an absolute majority (50%+1, including blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.

Polling
firm		Fieldwork
date		Sample
size
Ifop 16–18 Apr 20241,0901%2%5%13%–––3%–––2%22%–––––––2.5%–8%2.5%30%–9%
1.5%0.5%4.5%14%–––3%–––2%–––––––26%––5%2%33%–7%
2%1.5%6%15%–––5.5%–––3%––––12%–––2%–8.5%2%–36%6.5%
1.5%1.5%5%16%–––4.5%–––2.5%–––––14%––2%–8%3%–35%7%
1%2%4%14%–––4%–––3%20%–––––––2%–7%2%–35%6%
1.5%1.5%4.5%13%–––4.5%–––2%–––––––24%2%–5%3%–34%5%
1.5%1%5%13%–––4%–––2.5%–––––––24%2%6%–2%–33%6%
1%2%5.5%12%––––8%––––––––––24%2%–5%2%–32%6.5%
1.5%2%5%–7%––3.5%–––3%–––––––26%3%–5%2.5%–35%6.5%
Cluster17 2–5 April 20241,686–2%––29%––––––––––––––25%––4.5%3%–31%6.5%
–3%–18%–––––––––––––––31%––5%4%–32%7%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 20241,0811.5%1.5%4%14%–––2%–––2%22%–––––––3%–5.5%2.5%–36%6%
1.5%1.5%4.5%14%–––2%–––2.5%–––––––22%3%–4.5%2.5%–36%6%
Ifop 9–10 Jan 20241,1441%2%5%14.5%–––4%–––1%24%–––––––2.5%–6%3%28%–9%
0.5%1.5%6%15%–––3.5%–––1.5%–––––––26%2.5%–6%2.5%27%–8%
0.5%2%6.5%14%–––3.5%–––1.5%23%–––––––2.5%–6%2%–32%6.5%
0.5%1.5%6%13%–––3%–––2%–––––––25%2.5%–5%2%–33%6.5%
Ifop 24–25 Oct 20231,1791%1%6%14%–––5%–––2%19%–––––––4%–6%3%–33%6%
1.5%1.5%6%15%–––6%–––2%––––16%–––3.5%–6%2.5%–33%7%
1.5%1%7%15%–––5.5%–––2%–––––18%––3%–6%2.5%–32%6.5%
1.5%2%7.5%–7%––4%–––2%–––––––26%2.5%–6%3%–32%6.5%
1%2%6%14%–––4%–––1%–––––––25%2.5%–5%2%–31%6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep 20232,5251%2%6%16%–7%–––5%–––––––16%––––7%2%–32%6%
1%2%6%16%–8%–––6%––––––14%–––––7%2%–32%6%
1%2%6%16%–9%–––5%–––11%––––––––9%2%–33%6%
1%2%6%17%–10%–––7%––––5%–––––––10%3%–33%6%
1%2%5%16%–8%–––7%––12%–––––––––8%2%–32%7%
1%2%6%17%–9%–––6%–––––9%––––––9%2%–33%6%
1%2%6%16%–10%–––6%––––––––8%–––9%3%–33%6%
1%2%6%16%–5%–––5%–––––––––22%––5%2%–30%6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr 20231,0381%3%–17%–––6%––2%––––––––32%––7%–23%–9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 20231,3201%1%4%16%–5%–––4%–––––––––24%––5%2%–30%7%
1%1%5%18%–7%–––5%–––––––16%––––5%2%–32%7%
1%1%5%19%–8%–––5%––––––10%–––––7%2%–33%8%
1%1%4%17%––3%––4%–––––––––24%––5%2%–31%7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 20231,1051%2.5%5%17%–––3%–––1%–––––––26%2%–5%2.5%–29%6%
1%2.5%–22%–––––––––––––––28%2.5%–4%3%–31%6%
1%2.5%6%20%–––2%–––1%–––––18%––2.5%–6%3%–32%6%
0.5%2.5%5%20%–––3%–––2%––––11%–––2%–8%4%–35%7%
1%1.5%6.5%20%–––2%–––1%––––––9%–3%–10%3%–36%7%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022–0.56%0.76%2.28%21.95%––––4.63%––––––––––3.13%––2.06%–23.15%7.07%

Second round

This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) in the first round (50%+1). The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.

Attal vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm		Fieldwork
date		Sample
size		 Gabriel Attal, February 2023.jpg Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg
Attal
RE 		Le Pen
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 20241,08147%53%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 20241,08149%51%

Philippe vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm		Fieldwork
date		Sample
size		 Edouard Philippe a Chalons-en-Champagne en 2023. (cropped).jpg Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg
Philippe
HOR 		Le Pen
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 20241,08149%51%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 20241,08150%50%

Mélenchon vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm		Fieldwork
date		Sample
size		 Jean-Luc Melenchon 2022 (cropped).jpg Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg
Mélenchon
LFI 		Le Pen
RN
Cluster17 2–5 April 20241,68635%65%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 20241,08136%64%

Ruffin vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm		Fieldwork
date		Sample
size		 Francois Ruffin (cropped).jpg Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg
Ruffin
Picardie Debout  [ fr ]		 Le Pen
RN
Cluster17 2–5 April 20241,68650%50%

Scenario polling

Re-run of the 2022 election

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round

Polling
firm		Fieldwork
date		Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct 20231,5800.5%0.5%5%17.5%2%5%24.5%3%3.5%3%29.5%6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 20231,0051%1%5%19%2%4%23%3%3%2%32%5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 20231,8080.5%1%4%18.5%1.5%5%23%2.5%3.5%2.5%31%7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 20231,1050.5%1%5%17%2%5%25%1.5%4%2%31%6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 20222,1510.5%1%3%20%1%5%30%2.5%3%2.5%25.5%6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 20221,1250.5%1%3%17%2%6%29%1.5%3%2%30%5%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022–0.56%0.76%2.28%21.95%1.74%4.63%27.85%3.13%4.78%2.06%23.15%7.07%

Second round

Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention Emmanuel Macron in 2019(cropped).jpg Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg
Macron [lower-alpha 1]
RE 		Le Pen
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 20231,005–46%54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 20231,808–45%55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 20222,151–51.5%48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 20221,125–53%47%
2022 election 24 Apr 2022–28.01%58.55%41.45%

Footnotes

  1. 1 2 Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

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