2018 Nevada gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Nevada gubernatorial election
Flag of Nevada.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
  Steve Sisolak (cropped).jpeg Adam Laxalt by Gage Skidmore (cropped)2.jpg
Nominee Steve Sisolak Adam Laxalt
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote480,007440,320
Percentage49.39%45.31%

2018 United States Senate election in Nevada results map by county.svg
2018 Nevada gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
Sisolak:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Laxalt:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Brian Sandoval
Republican

Elected Governor

Steve Sisolak
Democratic

The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Nevada. Incumbent Republican governor Brian Sandoval was ineligible to run for re-election, due to the absolute two-term limit established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight U.S. states (or nine U.S. states and territory) that prohibits its governors or any other state and territorial executive branch officials from serving more than two terms, even if they are nonconsecutive.

Contents

The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 12, 2018. [1] The Republican nominee was Adam Laxalt and the Democratic nominee was Steve Sisolak. Sisolak won the election, becoming the first Democrat to be elected governor of Nevada since Bob Miller won his second full term in 1994, and the first non-incumbent Democrat to win since 1982. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state won by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. As of 2024, this is the only time a Democrat was elected governor of Nevada in the 21st century.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Adam Laxalt
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt
Dan
Schwartz
Jared
Fisher
Undecided
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018400± 4.9%55%4%2%38%
WPA Intelligence (R) August 6–8, 2017302± 5.7%64%5%31%
Doug Schoen (D) July 7–20, 2017600± 4.0%34%30%35%

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
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Laxalt--80-90%
Laxalt--70-80%
Laxalt--60-70% 2018 Nevada gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Laxalt—80–90%
  •   Laxalt—70–80%
  •   Laxalt—60–70%
Republican primary results [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Adam Laxalt 101,651 71.5
Republican Dan Schwartz 12,9199.1
Republican Jared Fisher6,6964.7
Republican Stephanie Carlisle6,4014.5
Republican None of These Candidates 6,1364.3
Republican William Boyd6,0284.2
Republican Stan Lusak1,0110.7
Republican Frederick Conquest7660.5
Republican Edward Dundas5760.4
Total votes141,884 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Steve Sisolak
Federal politicians
  • Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General (2009–2015) [53] [54]
  • Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator from Oregon [55]
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008) [56] [57]
  • Harry Reid, U.S. Senator from Nevada (1987–2017) and Senate Majority Leader (2007–2015) [58]
  • Dina Titus, U.S. Representative from Nevada (3rd district: 2009–2011 and 1st district: 2013–present) [59] [60]
State legislators
City politicians
Chris Giunchigliani
Federal politicians
  • Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), 67th United States Secretary of State (2009–2013) and 2016 Democratic nominee for president [66]
State legislators
Local officials
  • David Bobzien, Reno City Councilmember (at-large) [67]
  • Jenny Brekhus, Reno City Councilmember (Ward 1) [67]
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Giunchigliani
Steve
Sisolak
None of
these
OtherUndecided
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!) May 21–23, 2018608± 4.0%35%38%11%2%13%
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018400± 4.9%16%44%40%
Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani) March 17–19, 2018600± 4.0%31%27%18%23%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
Sisolak--50-60%
Sisolak--40-50%
Sisolak--30-40%
Giunchigliani--30-40%
Giunchigliani--40-50%
Giunchigliani--50-60%
None of These Candidates--<30% 2018 Nevada gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county:
Map legend
  •   Sisolak—50–60%
  •   Sisolak—40–50%
  •   Sisolak—30–40%
  •   Giunchigliani—30–40%
  •   Giunchigliani—40–50%
  •   Giunchigliani—50–60%
  •   None of These Candidates—<30%
Democratic primary results [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Sisolak 72,749 50.0
Democratic Chris Giunchigliani 56,51138.9
Democratic None of These Candidates 5,0693.5
Democratic John Bonaventura4,3513.0
Democratic Henry Thorns2,7611.9
Democratic David Jones2,5111.7
Democratic Asheesh Dewan1,4681.0
Total votes145,420 100.0

Independents

Declared

Endorsements

Ryan Bundy
  • Donna Cox, Nye County Commissioner [78]
  • Ron Paul, former U.S. Representative [79]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [80] TossupOctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [81] TossupNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [82] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [83] Tilt D (flip)November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [84] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [85] TossupNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [86] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [87] [lower-alpha 1] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Politico [88] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Governing [89] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Adam Laxalt (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Steve Sisolak (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
City politicians
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt (R)
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Jared
Lord (L)
Ryan
Bundy (I)
None of
these
OtherUndecided
HarrisX November 3–5, 2018600± 4.0%44%45%
HarrisX November 2–4, 2018600± 4.0%45%44%
Emerson College November 1–4, 20181,197± 3.0%47%48%4%2%
HarrisX November 1–3, 2018600± 4.0%45%44%
HarrisX October 31 – November 2, 2018600± 4.0%47%43%
HarrisX October 30 – November 1, 2018600± 4.0%46%43%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29 – November 1, 20182,587± 1.9%47%45%4%4%
HarrisX October 29–31, 2018600± 4.0%45%45%
HarrisX October 24–30, 20181,400± 2.6%43%45%
CNN/SSRS October 24–29, 2018622 LV± 4.8%45%46%2%5%0%2%
807 RV± 4.2%40%44%3%9%0%3%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 24–26, 2018773± 3.5%44%46%10%
Ipsos October 12–19, 20181,137± 3.0%46%41%4%9%
Vox Populi Polling October 13–15, 2018614± 3.7%48%52%
Emerson College October 10–12, 2018625± 4.2%46%41%3%11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–10, 2018642± 4.0%46%45%8%
Marist College September 30 – October 3, 2018574 LV± 5.5%44%40%8%2%<1%6%
46%45%3%<1%6%
780 RV± 4.5%41%40%8%2%<1%8%
44%45%4%<1%7%
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS September 19 – October 2, 2018513± 5.0%46%40%2%12%
CNN/SSRS September 25–29, 2018693 LV± 4.6%41%45%5%7%0%1%
851 RV± 4.1%38%41%5%12%1%2%
Ipsos Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 7–17, 20181,039± 4.0%43%40%5%12%
Gravis Marketing September 11–12, 2018700± 3.7%38%50%8%
Suffolk University Archived December 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 5–10, 2018500± 4.4%35%37%5%4%2%1% [lower-alpha 1] 15%
Suffolk University Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 24–29, 2018500± 4.4%42%41%2%1%4%2% [lower-alpha 2] 7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Laxalt) July 21–24, 2018600± 4.0%45%40%3%4% [lower-alpha 3] 8%
Gravis Marketing June 23–26, 2018630± 3.9%43%41%17%
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018600± 4.0%37%43%20%
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 20181,103± 4.4%37%34%29%
Remington (R-Laxalt) May 23–24, 20171,021± 3.1%46%37%17%
Hypothetical polling
with Chris Giunchigliani
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt (R)
Chris
Giunchigliani (D)
Undecided
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018600± 4.0%40%38%22%
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 20181,103± 4.4%39%34%27%

Results

While Sisolak only won two of the state’s counties, those two counties account for more than 80% of the total state population. His overwhelming victory in Clark County, home of Las Vegas, and his narrow victory in Washoe County were enough to pull him over the finish line. Sisolak became the first Democrat to be elected Governor of Nevada since Bob Miller’s successful re-election bid in 1994.

2018 Nevada gubernatorial election [93]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Steve Sisolak 480,007 49.39% +25.51%
Republican Adam Laxalt 440,32045.31%-25.27%
None of These Candidates 18,8651.94%-0.94%
Independent Ryan Bundy 13,8911.43%N/A
Independent American Russell Best10,0761.04%-1.62%
Libertarian Jared Lord8,6400.89%N/A
Total votes971,799 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county

County Laxalt Votes Sisolak Votes None VotesOthersVotes
Washoe 46.37%87,22648.74%91,6841.95%3,6692.94%5,519
Humboldt 73.26%4,06119.25%1,0672.13%1185.36%297
Elko 75.44%11,44417.17%2,6041.40%2135.99%909
Pershing 71.15%1,25520.41%3602.15%386.30%111
Churchill 73.21%7,03319.45%1,8692.02%1945.31%511
Lander 75.13%1,57115.11%3162.73%577.02%147
Eureka 80.45%6098.06%612.61%208.85%67
White Pine 72.69%2,35817.54%5692.28%747.49%243
Storey 62.57%1,47630.56%7211.70%405.17%122
Carson City 53.26%12,08040.78%9,2492.07%4693.90%883
Douglas 64.88%16,89730.57%7,9621.57%4082.98%778
Lyon 67.95%14,21125.19%5,2671.92%4014.94%1,034
Mineral 58.98%1,06729.85%5404.31%786.86%124
Esmeralda 73.58%27313.75%512.16%810.52%39
Nye 63.47%11,10326.33%4,6071.88%3298.31%1,455
Lincoln 73.77%1,44013.63%2661.90%3710.71%209
Clark 40.84%266,21654.12%352,8141.95%12,7123.09%20,159

While Laxalt won 15 of Nevada's county-level jurisdictions (14 counties and the independent city of Carson City), Sisolak carried the two largest, Clark (home to Las Vegas) and Washoe (home to Reno). Sisolak ultimately prevailed by winning his home county, Clark, by over 86,000 votes, double his statewide margin of 39,700 votes.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional districts

Sisolak won 3 of 4 congressional districts. [94]

DistrictSisolakLaxaltRepresentative
1st 62.23%31.79% Dina Titus
2nd 41.38%53.22% Mark Amodei
3rd 49.85%45.8% Susie Lee
4th 50.33%43.78% Steven Horsford

See also

Notes

  1. Russell Best (IA) with 1%
  2. Russell Best (AI) with 2%
  3. Russell Best (AI) with 4%

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References

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  28. 1 2 Laxalt, Adam. "Hear why Lt. Gov. Mark Hutchison is on Team Laxalt and why you need to get out and vote in this election. Thanks for your support, Lt. Governor!" via www.facebook.com.
  29. 1 2 @AdamLaxalt (September 13, 2018). "Hear why @Hutch4Nevada is on #TeamLaxalt and why you need to get out and vote in this election. Thanks for your support, Lt. Governor! #NVGOV" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  30. 1 2 Adam Paul Laxalt [@AdamLaxalt] (November 1, 2018). "Former Governor Bob List is making phone calls in Clark County today. Have you signed up for a volunteer shift? Join Governor List and @TeamLaxalt and help get the vote out. Only a few days left! #nvgov" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  31. 1 2 Adam Paul Laxalt [@AdamLaxalt] (October 12, 2018). "It was an honor to have @Gov_Martinez on the campaign trail with us today. Thank you, Governor! #nvgov" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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