Green bubble

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The green bubble is an economic theory that the world is facing an over-investment in renewable energy and that the current levels of debts in many clean technology companies are unsustainable. As the interest rate rises many clean technology projects will go bust, a major setback for the renewable energy industry.

Contents

The term has been mentioned by several experts and articles, such as The Green Bubble [1] written by Per Wimmer, a Wired article [2] discussing the fates of solar energy companies such as Solyndra, and a New Republic article by Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger covering the phenomenon. [3]

Others disagree with the theory of a green bubble and claim the industry will face lower costs from technological improvements and economies of scale as larger companies merge the smaller and less competitive companies.

History

The history of green technology, also known as renewable energy, is not quite new. According to Alexis Madrigal, author of "Powering the Dream: The History and Promise of Green Technology", a large number of windmills and solar heaters already existed in the early 20th century. Despite the fact that various green technologies have been used for centuries, the history of minor technologies is quite obscure since there are a few credible records. [4]

From the early 21st century, there has been a large development and investment in renewable energy industry such as hydroelectricity, wind power, solar thermal, and geothermal. It is known that a "mini green bubble" had already taken place between 2005 and 2007, being terminated by the recession in 2007. [5] The bubble made a drastic fluctuation in stock prices of companies with respect to green technology; for instance, the stock price of World Water & Solar technologies Inc., which deals with solar powered water pumps, once experienced a steep rise from 5 cents to $2.50 in 2007, subsequently facing a decline to 29 cents after the Great Recession. [5]

However, the whole amount of global investment on renewable energy still increased until 2011, from $40 billion in 2004 to $279 billion in 2011. By contrast, the amount of investment decreased between 2011 and 2013, from $279 billion to $214 billion. This decline is said to be attributed to the improvement in the efficiency of technology costs. [6]

Whether a green bubble has formed

Are We Headed Toward a Green Bubble?, [5] an Entrepreneur article by Julie Bennet, suggests that a small green bubble deflated during the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 and the green market was in a pivotal time in 2010: If the economy was recovered, the green market may have emerged or simply a green bubble may have exploded. The article argued high promises from the green tech sector that may not be accomplished. For example, CleanEdge predicted that global markets for bio fuels, wind and solar energy would reach $325 billion by 2018. However, only 3.4% of total electricity expended in the U.S. came from renewal energy in 2010, while other related industries, including electric cars and solar energy, are still not competitive in their markets.[ needs update ]

Juliet Eilperin's Wired article "Why the Clean Tech Boom Went Bust" [2] provided some evidence regarding the fact that the green technology sector was not growing as fast as the market expected. The article argued that in 2009, the Obama administration tried to increase the investment in green technology markets, providing US$150 billion for development. Green technology markets may receive more subsidies for development than any other technology industries, Eliperin indicated. Another fact provided by Eilperin's article is the highly divided nature of the green technology market. According to Ernst & Young, the green technology market is divided into 46 different categories and It could be possible to find some specific markets with emerging bubbles. [7]

Reid Lifset in "Beyond the Green Bubble" provided a new point: the green technology market is following the issue-attention cycle studied by Downs in "Up and down the ecology, 1972", which basically emphasized the cycle idea of a market governed by public policy. Lifset suggested that there was a green bubble before the subprime crisis, which could have provided opportunities for new investors in the market. He also argued that the green technology market will maintain its enthusiasm, mostly encouraged by government agencies. [8]

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">NRG Energy</span> Energy company serving customers in the northeast United States and Texas

NRG Energy, Inc. is an American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity. Their portfolio includes natural gas generation, coal generation, oil generation, nuclear generation, wind generation, utility-scale generation, and distributed solar generation. NRG serves over 7 million retail customers in 24 US states including Texas, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio; the District of Columbia, and eight provinces in Canada.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Clean technology</span> Any process, product, or service that reduces negative environmental impacts

Clean technology, also called cleantech or climatetech, is any process, product, or service that reduces negative environmental impacts through significant energy efficiency improvements, the sustainable use of resources, or environmental protection activities. Clean technology includes a broad range of technology related to recycling, renewable energy, information technology, green transportation, electric motors, green chemistry, lighting, grey water, and more. Environmental finance is a method by which new clean technology projects can obtain financing through the generation of carbon credits. A project that is developed with concern for climate change mitigation is also known as a carbon project.

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The renewable-energy industry is the part of the energy industry focusing on new and appropriate renewable energy technologies. Investors worldwide have paid greater attention to this emerging industry in recent years. In many cases, this has translated into rapid renewable energy commercialization and considerable industry expansion. The wind power, solar power and hydroelectric power industries provide good examples of this.

eSolar Concentrating solar power

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2009 energy efficiency and renewable energy research investment</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Clean Energy Finance Corporation</span> Australian Government-owned green bank

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Green bank</span> Financial institution providing funding exclusively for decarbonization projects

A green bank is a financial institution, typically public or quasi-public, that employs innovative financing techniques and market development tools in collaboration with the private sector to expedite the deployment of clean energy technologies. Green banks use public funds to leverage private investment in clean energy technologies that, despite their commercial viability, have struggled to establish a widespread presence in consumer markets. Green banks aim to reduce energy costs for ratepayers, stimulate private sector investment and economic activity, and expedite the transition to a low-carbon economy.

Green hydrogen (GH2 or GH2) is hydrogen produced by the electrolysis of water, using renewable electricity. Production of green hydrogen causes significantly lower greenhouse gas emissions than production of grey hydrogen, which is derived from fossil fuels without carbon capture.

References

  1. Wimmer, Per (2015). The Green Bubbe. LID Publishing. ISBN   978-1-907794-89-6.
  2. 1 2 "Why the Clean Tech Boom Went Bust". Wired. Vol. 20, no. 2. January 20, 2012.
  3. Nordhaus, Ted (May 20, 2009). "The Green Bubble". New Republic.
  4. Madrigal, Alexis (2011). Powering the dream : the history and promise of green technology . Cambridge, MA, Da Capo Press. ISBN   978-0-306-81885-1.
  5. 1 2 3 Bennett, Julie (2010). "green bubble?". Entrepreneur. 38: 51–54.
  6. McCarthy, Niall (September 16, 2014). "Global Renewable Energy Investment Fell in 2013".
  7. Dempsey, P. (November 2008). "Analysis: Green bubble?". Engineering & Technology. 3 (20): 12–13. doi:10.1049/et:20082021.
  8. Lifset, Reid (February 19, 2009). "Beyond the Green Bubble". Journal of Industrial Ecology. 13 (1): 1–3. doi:10.1111/j.1530-9290.2009.00110.x. ISSN   1088-1980.