International Energy Agency

Last updated

International Energy Agency
AbbreviationIEA
Established
  • November 1974;49 years ago (1974-11)
Type Autonomous intergovernmental organisation
Headquarters9, rue de la Fédération, Paris, France
Membership
Official languages
English
Fatih Birol
Deputy Executive Director
Mary Burce Warlick
Website www.iea.org

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is a Paris-based autonomous intergovernmental organisation, established in 1974, that provides policy recommendations, analysis and data on the global energy sector. The 31 member countries and 13 [1] association countries of the IEA represent 75% of global energy demand. [2]

Contents

The IEA was set up under the framework of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in the aftermath of the 1973 oil crisis to respond to physical disruptions in global oil supplies, provide data and statistics about the global oil market and energy sector, promote energy savings and conservation, and establish international technical collaboration. [3] Since its founding, the IEA has also coordinated use of the oil reserves that its members are required to hold.

In subsequent decades, the IEA's role expanded to cover the entire global energy system, encompassing traditional fuels such as gas, and coal as well as cleaner and fast-growing energy sources and technologies including renewable energy sources; solar photovoltaics, wind power, biofuels as well as nuclear power, and hydrogen, and the critical minerals needed for these technologies.

The core activity of the IEA is providing policy advice to its member states and Associated countries to support their energy security and advance their transition to clean energy. [3] Recently, it has focused in particular on supporting global efforts to accelerate clean energy transition, mitigate climate change, reach net zero emissions, and prevent global temperatures from rising above 1.5 °C. [4] [5] All IEA member countries have signed the Paris Agreement which aims to limit warming to 1.5 °C, and two thirds of IEA member governments have made commitments to emission neutrality by 2050.

Carre Suffren, the building where the IEA headquarters is located. 090810 CarreSuffren.jpg
Carré Suffren, the building where the IEA headquarters is located.

The IEA's current executive director is Fatih Birol, who took office in late 2015. [6] [7] IEA publishes a range of reports and other information including its flagship publication, the annual World Energy Outlook , as well as the Net Zero by 2050 report. [8] [9] [10]

History

The IEA was founded on November 18, 1974, after the 1973 oil crisis, to avoid future shocks by helping to ensure reliable energy supplies, promote energy efficiency, ensure energy security and encourage technological research and innovation. [11] [2]

The Agreement on an International Energy Program (IEP Agreement) established the mandates and structure of the IEA, chartering it as an autonomous organisation under the umbrella of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). [2]

The IEA operates autonomously, with its own budget and governance structure. The organization began with 16 founding member countries [12] and has since expanded to 31, with the latest addition being Lithuania in 2022. Full members of the IEA must also be members of the OECD and are required to hold 90 days worth of oil imports as emergency stocks. These emergency stocks can be released to stabilize oil markets worldwide and have been activated five times: January 1991 due to the Gulf War, 2005 after devastation in the Gulf of Mexico from hurricanes Katrina and Rita, 2011 during the Libyan crisis, and twice in 2022 in response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. [2] [13]

In addition to the emergency release mechanism, the IEA's initial mandates include reducing dependence on oil, developing alternative energy sources, energy research and development, and collaboration with oil-producing companies and countries to create a stable energy market. Members are expected to draw up plans on demand reduction and efficiency measures that can be implemented during energy emergencies.

In 2015, the IEA's chief economist Fatih Birol was appointed executive director, the first time an official from within the organization was picked to lead it. [14] They have a mandate to modernize the agency on three major pillars: broadening the IEA's mandate on energy security beyond oil to include natural gas and electricity; increasing engagement in emerging economies through new Association partnerships; and expanding the IEA's core focus on clean energy technology and energy efficiency. [2] [15]

IEA chief Fatih Birol called on policymakers to do more to speed up the energy transition and reduce emissions Fatih Birol Opening Remarks (wne5883) (51716647955).jpg
IEA chief Fatih Birol called on policymakers to do more to speed up the energy transition and reduce emissions

The new category of "Association countries" was created in 2015, [16] allowing countries that do not fit the criteria for IEA membership to become affiliated with the organization and participate in its work. [17] China, Indonesia, and Thailand were the first to join and the IEA now has thirteen [1] Association countries, including Ukraine since July 2022. [18] [19] IEA member and Association countries represent over 75% of global energy consumption. [2]

In 2021, IEA chief Fatih Birol called on policymakers to do more to do more to accelerate the clean energy transition and reduce emissions, saying that "Clean-energy technologies are slowly but surely going to replace the existing energy industry." [20] [21]

After the IEA's 2022 Ministerial meeting, a bi-annual high-level meeting of IEA countries, member countries once again expanded the organisation's mandate to include accelerating the global clean energy transition by "supporting countries in the global effort to attain net zero greenhouse gas emissions in the energy sector by mid-century." [8] [2] The "IEA 3.0" mandate also doubles down on strengthening energy security and recognizes the importance of tracking critical minerals and materials to the clean energy transition. [8] [2]

Leadership

Executive Directors of the International Energy Agency
No.NameCountry of originTook officeLeft officePrevious positionRef.
1 Ulf Lantzke Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 197531 March 1984Special Advisor on Energy Issues to the Secretary General of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) [22] [23] [24]
2 Helga Steeg Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 1 July 198430 September 1994Director-General for Trade, Federal Ministry of Finance of the Federal Republic of Germany [22] [25] [26] [27]
3 Robert Priddle Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  United Kingdom 1 December 199431 December 2002Head of Consumer and Corporate Affairs, UK Department of Energy and Trade and Industry [22] [28]
4 Claude Mandil Flag of France.svg  France 1 February 200331 August 2007Chairman and CEO of the Institut français du pétrole, 2000–2003 [28] [22] [28] [29]
5 Nobuo Tanaka Flag of Japan.svg  Japan 1 September 200731 August 2011Director for Science, Technology and Industry at the OECD, 1992–2007 [22] [22] [30] [31]
6 Maria van der Hoeven Flag of the Netherlands.svg  Netherlands 1 September 201131 August 2015 Minister of Economic Affairs of the Netherlands, 2007–2010 [22] [31]
7 Fatih Birol Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey 1 September 2015IncumbentChief Economist, International Energy Agency [22] [32]

Structure

The IEA's structure includes a Governing Board, Ministerial Meetings, and Standing Groups and Committees. [33]

The Governing Board constitutes the main decision-making body of the organisation. It is composed of member country representatives and meets three to four times a year. [33] The Governing Board is responsible for the IEA's administrative proceedings and approving binding decisions in relation to energy developments. [33]

The IEA Ministerial Meeting is the biennial gathering of energy ministers who determine the broad direction of the IEA. [33] The Ministerial allows for the development of ideas which are subsequently put to the Governing Board. [33]

Standing Groups meet multiple times a year and are made up of officials from member states. The IEA has several Standing Groups and Committees, focusing on energy research and technology, long-term cooperation, emergency preparedness, and other topics. [33]

Membership

The 31 member countries and 13 [1] association countries of the IEA represent 75% of global energy demand. [2]

Member countries

Only OECD member states may join the IEA. Member are required to maintain total oil stock levels equivalent to at least 90 days of the previous year's net imports. [34] [3] Member countries commit to respond to significant oil disruptions through a collective action to allow more crude oil to enter the global market. [3]

CountryMembershipNotes
Flag of Australia (converted).svg  Australia 1979 [22]
Flag of Austria.svg  Austria 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Belgium (civil).svg  Belgium 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg  Canada 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of the Czech Republic.svg  Czech Republic 2001 [22]
Flag of Denmark.svg  Denmark 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Estonia.svg  Estonia 2014
Flag of Finland.svg  Finland 1992 [22]
Flag of France.svg  France 1992 [22]
Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Greece.svg  Greece 1976 [22]
Flag of Hungary.svg  Hungary 1997 [22]
Flag of Ireland.svg  Ireland 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Italy.svg  Italy 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Japan.svg  Japan 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Lithuania.svg  Lithuania 2022
Flag of Luxembourg.svg  Luxembourg 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Mexico.svg  Mexico 2018
Flag of the Netherlands.svg  Netherlands 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of New Zealand.svg  New Zealand 1977 [22]
Flag of Norway.svg  Norway 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member (under a special Agreement) [22]
Flag of Portugal.svg  Portugal 1981 [22]
Flag of Poland.svg  Poland 2 October 2007 [36]
Flag of Slovakia.svg  Slovakia 7 March 2007 [37]
Flag of South Korea.svg  South Korea 20 April 2001 [38]
Flag of Spain.svg  Spain 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Sweden.svg  Sweden 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Switzerland (Pantone).svg   Switzerland 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  United Kingdom 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]
Flag of the United States.svg  United States 18 November 1974 [35] Founding member [22]

Accession countries

Accession countries are those going through the process of becoming full members. The process involves authorisation by the Governing Board, discussions with the executive director, and the sharing of information related to the criteria for membership with the Secretariat. [39]

The following countries are currently undergoing the accession process:

Association countries

Association was formally launched in 2015 and currently includes 13 [1] countries. The IEA collaborates with Association countries on a wide range of energy-related issues determined through joint programmes of work. Association countries may also participate in most Standing Groups and Ministerial meetings. [40] Egypt and Argentina joined as Association countries in March 2022, [8] [41] and Ukraine was formally invited on 16 June 2022, and joined in July 2022. [42]

Flag of Argentina.svg  Argentina
Flag of Brazil.svg  Brazil
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China
Flag of Egypt.svg  Egypt
Flag of India.svg  India
Flag of Indonesia.svg  Indonesia
Flag of Kenya.svg  Kenya
Flag of Morocco.svg  Morocco
Flag of Senegal.svg  Senegal
Flag of Singapore.svg  Singapore
Flag of South Africa.svg  South Africa
Flag of Thailand.svg  Thailand
Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine

Areas of work

The IEA produces analyses on all energy sources and technologies, on global and regional markets, as well as specific country-level reports and studies on key technologies, minerals, and materials for the clean energy transition. It also produces comprehensive data and statistics for over 150 countries.

The IEA's analytical work is split into various categories including policy recommendations, tracking, market forecasts, technical roadmapping, and scenario analysis.

Data

The IEA publishes comprehensive data, statistics, and analysis that inform national energy policies and support long-term planning for energy sector investments. The IEA analyses and releases data and information on trends in energy supply, demand, prices, public research and development, and energy efficiency metrics. The data also serves to track short- and long-term trends in countries energy transitions. [43]

The Policies and Measures Database (PAMS) makes available to the public data on government policies and programs to reduce carbon emissions, support energy efficiency, and improve the development and use of renewable and clean energy sources. The database compiles data from several IEA and International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) data sources dating back to 1999 and includes information on past, current, and planned policy measures. [44]

Scenarios

IEA publications give projections based on sets of assumptions called scenarios. Currently-used scenarios include:

Older scenarios include:

Key publications

World Energy Outlook (WEO)

The annual World Energy Outlook (WEO) is the International Energy Agency's (IEA) flagship publication on global energy projections and analysis. [54] It contains medium to long-term energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business regarding energy security, environmental protection and economic development. The first WEO was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. [54]

The World Energy Outlook uses three scenarios to examine future energy trends. The Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario is normative, in that it is designed to achieve specific outcomes – an emissions trajectory consistent with keeping the temperature rise in 2100 below 1.5 °C (with a 50% probability), universal access to modern energy services and major improvements in air quality – and shows a pathway to reach it. [55] The Announced Pledges Scenario, and the Stated Policies Scenario are exploratory, in that they define a set of starting conditions, such as policies and targets, and then see where they lead based on model representations of energy systems, including market dynamics and technological progress. The scenarios are not predictions but enable policy-makers and other readers to compare different possible versions of the future and the levers and actions that produce them, with the aim of stimulating insights about the future of global energy. [55]
A 2022 report on renewable energy Renewables 2022.pdf
A 2022 report on renewable energy

Net Zero by 2050: a roadmap for the global energy sector

Net Zero by 2050 was published in May 2021 and presented the first comprehensive pathway for the global energy sector to reach net zero emissions by 2050. The report introduced the Net Zero Emissions scenario, showing how to transition to net zero by 2050 while maintaining secure and affordable energy supplies, extending energy access, and encouraging robust economic growth. The report was the basis for a game created by the IEA and the Financial Times in which players compete to see if they can reduce emissions to net zero. [56] [48]

Energy Technology Perspectives (ETP)

First issued in 2006, ETP is a bi-annual guidebook on clean energy technology. The publication focuses on challenges, growth areas, and strengths of emerging clean energy technologies and their contribution to global energy and environmental policy-making. [57]

Global EV Outlook (GEVO)

Published annually with the support of the members of the Electric Vehicles Initiative, GEVO highlights and analyses recent developments in EVs and electric mobility. The publication combines historical analysis with projections to 2030 for topics such as charging infrastructure, CO2 emissions, energy use, and related policy developments. The report includes policy recommendations to advance EV adoption. [58]

Oil Market Report

First published in 1983, the monthly Oil Market Report analyses the global oil market, providing data and forecasts aimed for an audience of industry, financial, and government officials as well as an academic and NGO audience. Country specific analysis on trade and production tracks both OECD and non-OECD states. [59]

Electricity Market Report

The Electricity Market Report provides regular forecasts for global electricity demand, supply, generation and emissions, with a special focus on recent developments. [60]

Gas Market Report

The Gas Market Report is updated quarterly, providing the latest developments and data for global gas markets. [60]

Energy Efficiency

Energy Efficiency is an annual report on global progress and developments in the crucial role that efficient appliances, equipment, buildings, transport and industry play in reducing energy use and the resulting emissions. [60]

Renewable Energy Market Update

The Renewable Energy Market Update surveys new additions in global renewable power capacity and demand for biofuel. The report, which is updated several times a year, also discusses important variables and policy implications that may affect projections for the years to come. [61]

World Energy Investment

The annual World Energy Investment tracks investment across the energy world, examining how investors are assessing risks and opportunities across all areas of fuel and electricity supply, critical minerals, efficiency and research and development. [60]

Tracking Clean Energy Progress

TCEP reports on the status of 46 critical energy technologies and sectors needed to achieve net zero emissions by mid-century, and provides recommendations on how to accelerate their development and deployment. [60]

Country Reviews

Since 1976, the IEA has published in-depth energy policy reviews. These country policy reviews are typically conducted every five years for member countries, and cover the full range of the country's energy systems and policies, with recent reports placing particular focus on progress towards reaching climate goals. The most recent reports were on Norway, Poland, Belgium, and Canada. The IEA also produces in-depth energy reviews of its accession and association countries, as well as partner countries. [60]

Energy Efficiency

In its focus on energy efficiency, the IEA convenes policy leaders and other stakeholders with an eye toward scaling up progress on energy efficiency as a way to mitigate climate change, contribute to energy security, and deliver economic, and support economies and communities. [62] The IEA has created Energy Efficiency Indicators based on over ten years of data to highlight the drivers of individual nations' energy use in order to track energy efficiency and improve national policies. The data covers major sectors such as residential services, industry, and transport. [63]

Clean Energy Transitions Programme

CETP's focus is to "accelerate global clean energy transitions, particularly in major emerging economies." The program supports governments whose energy policies will be key to the global energy transition and involves collaborative analytics, technology cooperation, stakeholder convenings, and training and capacity-building. CETP has identified Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and South Africa as priority countries as well as the regions of Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa. [64] [65]

People-Centered Clean Energy Transition

As part of its work on the energy transition, the IEA convenes the Global Commission for People-Centred Clean Energy Transitions to "ensure the benefits and costs involved in the transformation of our energy system are distributed fairly and in a way that protects the most vulnerable in society." The approach focuses on skill development, jobs, worker protections, economic development, equity and fairness, social inclusion, and engaging individuals as stakeholders in the process. [66] The commission is composed of national leaders, government ministers, and representatives from civil society. In October 2021, the Commission published a report for twelve recommendations for a people-centered approach to the clean energy transition. [67] [66]

Resilience of the Energy Sector to Climate Change Impacts

Given the implications of climate change impacts for energy security, the IEA also works to understand climate impacts on energy systems and provide guidance on measures to improve their resilience to these impacts. This includes an assessment of hydropower under different climate scenarios [68] [69] [70] and a report focused on climate hazards for power systems and measures to enhance their climate resilience. [71] The IEA also provides an overview of the level of climate hazards in its member countries, along with key planning and policy documents to address energy sector climate resilience. [72]

Technology Collaboration Programs (TCPs)

TCPs provide support to independent, international groups of government and industry experts to research, develop, and commercialise energy technologies and related issues. Over 6,000 experts are involved in TCPs across approximately 300 organisations in 55 countries. Examples of TCPs include the Energy in Buildings and Communities (EBC), Photovoltaic Power Systems (PVPS), and Hybrid and Electric Vehicles (HEV).

Criticism

Bias against renewable energy

Real development of global photovoltaics additions vs. predictions by the IEA, 2002-2016 Reality versus IEA predictions - annual photovoltaic additions 2002-2016.png
Real development of global photovoltaics additions vs. predictions by the IEA, 2002–2016

The IEA has been criticised for systematically underestimating the role of renewable energy sources in future energy systems such as photovoltaics and their cost reductions. [73] [74] [75]

In the past, the IEA has been criticized by environmental groups for underplaying the role of renewable energy technologies in favor of nuclear [76] and fossil fuels. [77] In 2009, Guy Pearse stated that the IEA has consistently underestimated the potential for renewable energy alternatives. [78]

The Energy Watch Group (EWG), a coalition of scientists and politicians which analyses official energy industry predictions, claims that the IEA has had an institutional bias towards traditional energy sources and has been using "misleading data" to undermine the case for renewable energy, such as wind and solar. A 2008 EWG report compares IEA projections about the growth of wind power capacity and finds that it has consistently underestimated the amount of energy the wind power industry can deliver. [79]

For example, in 1998, the IEA predicted global wind electricity generation would total 47.4 GW by 2020, but EWG's report states that this level was reached by the end of 2004. [80] The report also said that the IEA has not learned the lesson of previous underestimates, and last year net additions of wind power globally were four times greater than the average IEA estimate from its 1995–2004 predictions. [79] This pattern seems to have continued through 2016. [81]

Amid discontent from across the renewables sector at the IEA's performance as a global energy watchdog, the International Renewable Energy Agency was formed on January 26, 2009. The aim is to have the agency fully operational by 2010 with an initial annual budget of €25M. [82]

The IEA's current forecasts for solar power do not accord with the exponential growth in the sector. The misleading projections have perpetuated the impression that the growth of solar power requires huge subsidies, and has the potential to discourage investment in solar energy market and consequently, hold back even faster growth. [83] [84]

In 2018 the IEA was criticized in Davos by Saudi Arabia's Oil Minister Al-Falih, for hyping the US shale oil industry amid forecasts of oversupply for the oil market in their January Oil Market Report. Al-Falih was exasperated with those claims, arguing that natural depletion, and strong demand growth meant that there was plenty of room for new supplies, while the shale drillers would not crash the market. He further said that the IEA is overstating the role of shale in a global market, and how the core job of the IEA, is not to take things out of context. [85]

Accuracy of forecasting

Ahead of the launch of the 2009 World Energy Outlook , the British daily newspaper The Guardian , referring to an unidentified senior IEA official, alleged that the agency was deliberately downplaying the risk of peak oil under pressures from the US. According to a second unidentified former senior IEA official it was "imperative not to anger the Americans" and that the world has already entered the "peak oil zone". [86]

The Guardian also referred to a team of scientists from Uppsala University in Sweden who studied the 2008 World Energy Outlook and concluded the forecasts of the IEA were unattainable. According to their peer-reviewed report, oil production in 2030 would not exceed 75 million barrels per day (11.9×10^6 m3/d) while the IEA forecasts a production of 105 million barrels per day (16.7×10^6 m3/d). The lead author of the report, Kjell Aleklett, has claimed that IEA's reports are "political documents". [87] Other research from the same group has thoroughly reviewed oil projections done by the IEA World Energy Outlook. [88]

The anticorruption NGO Global Witness wrote in its report Heads in the Sand that "Global Witness' analysis demonstrates that the Agency continues to retain an overly-optimistic, and therefore misleading, view about potential future oil production." According to Global Witness, "the Agency's over-confidence, despite credible data, external analysis and underlying fundamentals all strongly suggesting a more precautionary approach, has had a disastrous global impact." [89]

In 2023, the IEA predicted that demand for fossil fuels such as oil, natural gas and coal would reach an all-time high by 2030. [90] OPEC rejected the IEA's forecast, saying "what makes such predictions so dangerous, is that they are often accompanied by calls to stop investing in new oil and gas projects." [91] [92]

Restricting access to data

In 2021, the IEA was publicly criticized by more than 30 international academics and researchers at Our World in Data for publishing its detailed, global energy data behind paywalls, "[making] it unusable in the public discourse and [preventing] many researchers from accessing it". [93] [94] [95] [96] The authors of the Our World in Data open letter suggested that "countries that fund the IEA drop the requirement to place data behind paywalls and increase their funding". [95]

In January 2022, the IEA announced plans to make all its data and analyses freely available and open-access, a move endorsed by its executive director and governing board. This initiative was awaiting final endorsement from IEA member countries to become effective. [97]

In October 2023, the IEA made the World Energy Outlook 2023 dataset available for non-commercial use under a Creative Commons license. This dataset encompasses global aggregated data for various scenarios, alongside detailed regional and country-specific data up to 2050. [98]

See also

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An energy transition is a major structural change to energy supply and consumption in an energy system. Currently, a transition to sustainable energy is underway to limit climate change. As much sustainable energy is renewable it is also known as the renewable energy transition. The current transition aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from energy quickly and sustainably, mostly by phasing-down fossil fuels and changing as many processes as possible to operate on low carbon electricity. A previous energy transition perhaps took place during the Industrial Revolution from 1760 onwards, from wood and other biomass to coal, followed by oil and later natural gas.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Climate change in Malaysia</span> Impact of global warming on the south-east Asian country and mitigating and adaptating to it

Climate change is having a considerable impact in Malaysia. Increasing temperatures are likely to greatly increase the number of heatwaves occurring annually. Variations in precipitation may increase the frequency of droughts and floods in various local areas. Sea level rise may inundate some coastal areas. These impacts are expected to have numerous environmental and socioeconomic effects, exacerbating existing environmental issues and reinforcing inequality.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Greenhouse gas emissions by China</span> Emissions of gases harmful to the climate from China

China's greenhouse gas emissions are the largest of any country in the world both in production and consumption terms, and stem mainly from coal burning, including coal power, coal mining, and blast furnaces producing iron and steel. When measuring production-based emissions, China emitted over 14 gigatonnes (Gt) CO2eq of greenhouse gases in 2019, 27% of the world total. When measuring in consumption-based terms, which adds emissions associated with imported goods and extracts those associated with exported goods, China accounts for 13 gigatonnes (Gt) or 25% of global emissions.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">World energy supply and consumption</span> Global production and usage of energy

World energy supply and consumption refers to the global supply of energy resources and its consumption. Throughout its lifecycle, global energy supplies have multiple different stages such as initial production, refinement activities, trade of energy resources, and final consumption of the energy.

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