2018 London, Ontario municipal election

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2018 London municipal election
Flag of London, Ontario, Canada.svg
  2014 October 22, 2018 2022  
 
ED
PP
Candidate Ed Holder Paul Paolatto
Round 1344,373
58.82%
31,061
41.18%
Round 133,042
34.19%
21,456
22.20%

 
TP
PC
CandidateTanya ParkPaul Cheng
Round 119,656
20.34%
19,161
19.83%

London ontario ward map 2018.png
Map of London's wards used in the 2018 election

Mayor before election

Matt Brown
Independent

Elected mayor

Ed Holder
Independent

The 2018 London municipal election was a municipal election that occurred on October 22, 2018, to elect the Mayor of London, London City Council and the Thames Valley District School Board, London District Catholic School Board, Conseil scolaire catholique Providence and Conseil scolaire Viamonde. The election was held on the same day as elections in every other municipality in Ontario.

Contents

As per the Ontario Municipal Elections Act, 1996, nomination papers for candidates for municipal and school board elections could be filed from May 1, 2018, at which time the campaign period began. [1]

For the first time since Calgary's last use in 1971, a city in Canada used preferential voting to elect members of its city council, the mayor and city councillors. [2]

The major issues facing candidates in this election included Bus Rapid Transit, safe injection sites, affordable rent and social housing stock as well as city unemployment rates. [3]

The use of Instant-runoff voting means (theoretically) that to be elected an aldermanic candidate had to have the majority of the ward vote. In the mayor's case the successful candidate needed to have a majority of the city vote. Where no candidate had majority in first preferences, votes transfers were used to assemble a majority behind one of them. London's rule that only two back-up preferences could be marked (and some voters' not even marking the three choices allowed) meant that in a few of the contests many votes had to be set aside as they had been transferred twice and still had not gone to a candidate with a chance to be elected. Although a majority is required to be elected, that could be a majority of votes still in play. Due to the number of votes being deemed invalid or becoming exhausted, in a few cases the majority accumulated by the winning candidate was less than a majority of valid votes or less than a majority of votes cast.

Holder, the winning mayoral candidate, was elected in the end with 44,373 votes when 48,320 was a majority of valid votes that were cast.

In Ward 5, Cassidy won with 3922 votes, 44 percent of votes cast.

In Ward 8, Lehman won with 3058 votes, 39 percent of votes cast.

In Ward 12, Peloza won with 3139 votes, 48 percent of votes cast.

Ward 13, Kayabaga won with 2325 votes, 41 percent of votes cast.

Ward 14, Hillier won with 2522 votes, 48 percent of votes cast.

The amount of support recorded for the winning candidate is more than shown in those vote totals. Unusually, in the vote count for the 2018 London election, transfers of votes between candidates continued even after a candidate had accumulated a majority of votes still in play and had been declared the winner. In the mayoral contest for example, the winner (Holder) was determined in the 13th round so there was no need for a 14th round where Holder apparently is recorded as accumulating 100 percent of the votes.

That the winner in nine out of 15 of the contests held in London in 2018 was elected with a majority of votes cast is noteworthy though. In other municipal elections where first past the post is used, more than half the winners are elected with just a minority of votes cast. (The 2017 Edmonton municipal election is an example where this happened.)

Perhaps in part due to the large number of "exhausted" votes, the leader in the first count won in the end in all the contests in this election. There were no "turn-overs" caused by the front-runner not having the most overall support.

Although ranked ballots were expected to increase the civility of the election, it failed to prevent the creation of two negative websites targeting former city councillor, Virginia Ridley (ward 10), and city councillor, Maureen Cassidy (ward 5). [4] The controversy has since triggered an OPP investigation into the behaviour of several organizations and candidates in the 2018 municipal election. [5]

Mayor

The mayoralty was an open seat, as incumbent mayor Matt Brown was not running for re-election. [6]

London, Ontario mayoral election, 2018 [7]
Candidate % 1st PrefCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Count 8Count 9Count 10Count 11Count 12Count 13Count 14
Ed Holder 34.233,04233,056 33,073 33,101 33,135 33,183 33,240 33,280 33,325 33,391 33,543 38,690 44,373 57,609
Paul Paolatto22.221,45621,464 21,471 21,487 21,516 21,541 21,579 21,604 21,637 21,675 21,856 25,943 31,061
Tanya Park20.319,65619,676 19,690 19,740 19,781 19,801 19,828 19,960 20,071 20,199 20,434 22,415
Paul Cheng19.819,16119,175 19,190 19,211 19,238 19,254 19,329 19,362 19,396 19,442 19,616
Mohamed Moussa1.0919922 925 933 949 1,023 1,035 1,043 1,063 1,077
Sean M. O'Connell0.4370372 380 389 401 406 416 442 483
David Millie0.3337343 347 358 380 385 391 401
Nina McCutcheon0.4340344 351 361 364 375 384
Vahide Bahramporian0.4348351 351 357 363 368
Ali Hamadi0.3304304 304 306 311
Dan Lenart0.3255258 263 275
Jordan Minter0.2212217 224
Carlos Murray0.1127131
Jonas White0.1111
Electorate: 244,962  Valid: 96,638  Spoilt: 1,297  Quota: 48,320  Turnout: 40.0%  
    Analysis of transferred votes, ranked in order of 1st preference votes
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Ed Holder 1457,609100.0%
    Paul Paolatto1331,06141.2%
    Tanya Park1222,41525.8%
    Paul Cheng1119,61620.6%
    Mohamed Moussa101,0771.1%
    Sean M. O'Connell94830.5%
    Vahide Bahramporian63680.4%
    Nina McCutcheon73840.4%
    David Millie84010.4%
    Al Hamadi53110.3%
    Dan Lenart42750.3%
    Jordan Minter32240.2%
    Carlos Murray21310.2%
    Jonas White11110.1%
    Eligible votes96,63859.6%
    Exhausted votes39,02940.4%

    City Council

    Ward 1 results [8]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Michael van Holst (X)12,58150.7%
    Melanie O'Brien11,33226.2%
    Bud Polhill11,17823.1%
    Eligible votes5,091100.0%
    Ward 2 results [9]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Shawn Lewis13,48163.9%
    Bill Armstrong (X)11,79933.1%
    Alan Jackson*11633.0%
    Eligible votes5,443100.0%

    *Withdrew in September 2018 [10]

    Ward 3 results [11]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Mo Mohamed Salih (X)13,42172.8%
    Harry Prince11,28127.2%
    Eligible votes4,702100.0%
    Ward 4 results [12]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Jesse Helmer (X)12,55950.5%
    Stephen William Orser11,19123.5%
    Tricia Lystar11,00319.8%
    Connor Garrett11803.6%
    Xuemei Jiang11302.6%
    Eligible votes5,063100.0%
    Ward 5 results [13]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Maureen Cassidy (X)64,741100.0%
    Randy Warden53,81649.3%
    Charles Knott41,83321.6%
    Stephanie Marentette Di Battista393710.7%
    Shane Clarke28099.0%
    Shiv Chokhani1881.0%
    Eligible votes9,00252.7%
    Exhausted votes4,26147.3%
    Ward 6 results [14]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Philip Squire (X)13,95969.5%
    Mike Bloxam11,73730.5%
    Eligible votes5,696100.0%
    Ward 7 results [15]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Josh Morgan (X)16,11775.2%
    Joe Kolenko12,02024.8%
    Eligible votes8,137100.0%
    Ward 8 results [16]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Steve Lehman93,823100.0%
    Matt Reid82,90448.7%
    Bill Downie71,28219.3%
    Tariq Khan61,05914.6%
    Morena Hernandez57439.9%
    Osam Ali44646.1%
    Nour Hamid33744.8%
    Matthew Greer21912.4%
    Moon Inthavong11121.4%
    Eligible votes7,83548.7%
    Exhausted votes4,01251.2%
    Ward 9 results [17]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Anna Hopkins (X)34,94854.4%
    Matt Millar32,60628.7%
    Kyle Thompson31,53616.9%
    Ben Charlebois29229.9%
    Veronica Marie Warner12402.5%
    Eligible votes9,41896.5%
    Exhausted votes3283.5%
    Ward 10 results [18]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Paul Van Meerbergen14,40253.1%
    Virginia Ridley (X)13,04036.7%
    Kevin May14044.9%
    Gary Manley12983.6%
    Thomas Risley11401.7%
    Eligible votes8,284100.0%
    Ward 11 results [19]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Stephen Turner (X)14,25554.1%
    Rachel Powell11,80322.9%
    Vicki Van Linden16718.5%
    Paul-Michael Anderson15096.5%
    Menno Meijer14195.3%
    Eric H. Deleeuw12092.7%
    Eligible votes7,866100.0%
    Ward 12 results [20]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Elizabeth Peloza53,40358.3%
    Eric Weniger52,43441.7%
    Gord Evans41,06117.2%
    Rowa Mohamed373011.4%
    Faisal Mahmood22193.4%
    Jesse Haidar11322.0%
    Eligible votes6,54689.2%
    Exhausted votes70910.8%
    Ward 13 results [21]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Arielle Kayabaga 82,804100.0%
    John Fyfe-Millar72,18648.5%
    Jonathan Hughes61,10021.6%
    Kevin Wilbee583115.3%
    Ben Benedict43917.5%
    Gil Warren33586.3%
    David Lundquist22404.2%
    Rod Morley1571.0%
    Eligible votes5,71449.1%
    Exhausted votes2,91050.9%
    Ward 14 results [22]
    CandidateMaximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Steven Hillier43,370100.0%
    Jared Zaifman (X)32,12845.8%
    Allan Tipping278715.8%
    Annette Swalwell164712.4%
    Eligible votes5,22964.4%
    Exhausted votes1,85935.6%

    School Board Trustee

    TVDSB Wards 7, 8, 9, 10, 13

    Elected: Jake Skinner, Joyce Bennett

    TVDSB Wards 1, 11, 12, 14

    Elected: Lori-Ann Pizzolato, Sherry Polhill

    TVDSB Wards 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

    Elected: Peter Cuddy, Corrine Rahman

    LDCSB Wards 5, 6, 7

    Elected: Gabe Pizzuti

    LDCSB Wards 11, 12, 13

    Elected: John Jevnikar

    LDCSB Wards 1, 14

    Elected: Pedro Almeida

    LDCSB Wards 2, 3, 4

    Elected: Sandra Cruz

    LDCSB Wards 8, 9, 10

    Elected: Linda Steel [23]

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    References

    1. "Municipal Election Resources - 2018 Regular Election". Ministry of Municipal Affairs . Retrieved July 15, 2017.
    2. Stacey, Megan (October 24, 2018). "London city clerk praised for smooth shift to ranked ballots". The London Free Press.
    3. "Municipal Election Issues". Archived from the original on August 25, 2018. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
    4. Dubinski, Kate (October 22, 2018). "How did London's municipal election campaign turn so nasty?". CBC. Retrieved January 19, 2020.
    5. Stacey, Megan (January 15, 2020). "Everything we know about Blackridge, attack websites and London's 2018 election fallout". The London Free Press. Retrieved January 19, 2020.
    6. "London Mayor Matt Brown won't seek a second term". CBC London, April 6, 2018.
    7. "Mayor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 24, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
    8. "Ward 1 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    9. "Ward 2 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    10. Stacey, Megan (September 5, 2018). "London city hall: Ward 2 candidate drops out, endorses competitor". The London Free Press.
    11. "Ward 3 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
    12. "Ward 4 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
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    21. "Ward 13 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
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    23. "2018 Official Municipal Election Results". www.london.ca. Archived from the original on March 21, 2020. Retrieved March 21, 2020.
    Preceded by
    2014 election
    List of London, Ontario municipal elections Succeeded by
    2022 election