Expert Political Judgment

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
	First edition
Author	Philip E. Tetlock
Language	English
Genre	Non-fiction
Publisher	Princeton University Press
Publication date	2005
Publication place	United States

Last updated November 24, 2025

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a 2005 book by Philip E. Tetlock. The book mentions how experts are often no better at making predictions than most other people, and how when they are wrong, they are rarely held accountable.^[1]^[2]

References

↑ Menand, Louis (28 November 2005). "Everybody's an Expert - The New Yorker". Newyorker.com. Archived from the original on 2025-05-24. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
↑ Kokotajlo, Daniel (2019-02-07). "Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post". AI Impacts. Archived from the original on 2025-05-24. Retrieved 2025-05-24.

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[MyUser_Newyorker.com_January_18_2016c-1] Menand, Louis (28 November 2005). "Everybody's an Expert - The New Yorker". Newyorker.com. Archived from the original on 2025-05-24. Retrieved January 18, 2016.

[2] Kokotajlo, Daniel (2019-02-07). "Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post". AI Impacts. Archived from the original on 2025-05-24. Retrieved 2025-05-24.

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