Latvian parliamentary election, 2018

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Latvian parliamentary election, 2018
Flag of Latvia.svg
  2014 6 October 2018 2022  

All 100 seats of the Saeima
51 seats are needed for a majority
Turnout54.58%
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Vjaceslavs Dombrovskis.jpg Aldis Gobzems in 2018.jpg Janis Bordans.jpg
Candidate Vjačeslavs Dombrovskis Aldis Gobzems Jānis Bordāns
Party Harmony KPV LV JKP
Last election24 seats, 23.48%0 seats, 0.70%
Seats won231616
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 1NewIncrease2.svg 16
Popular vote167,117120,264114,694
Percentage19.80%14.25%13.59%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  11.Saeimas deputats Artis Pabriks (6276356538).jpg Roberts Zile - Latvian part press photos- Citizens' Corner debate on EU citizens and their digital rights (15712487334).jpg Flickr - Saeima - 10.Saeimas deputats Maris Kucinskis.jpg
Candidate Artis Pabriks Roberts Zīle Māris Kučinskis
Party LAKP! National Alliance Liepāja Party
Alliance Development/For! ZZS
Last election0 seats, 0.89% (LA)17 seats, 16.61%21 seats, 19.74%
Seats won131311
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 13Decrease2.svg 4Decrease2.svg 10
Popular vote101,68592,96383,675
Percentage12.04%11.01%9.91%

 Seventh party
  Karins, Krisjanis-9702.jpg
Candidate Krišjānis Kariņš
Party Unity
Alliance New Unity
Last election23 seats, 21.87%
Seats won8
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 15
Popular vote56,542
Percentage6.69%

LV2018win.png
Largest party by municipality:
   Harmony
   KPV LV
   ZZS
   New Unity

Prime Minister before election

Māris Kučinskis
ZZS

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections were held in Latvia following the end of the term of the previous Saeima on 6 October 2018. [1] [2]

Latvia republic in Northeastern Europe

Latvia, officially the Republic of Latvia, is a country in the Baltic region of Northern Europe. Since its independence, Latvia has been referred to as one of the Baltic states. It is bordered by Estonia to the north, Lithuania to the south, Russia to the east, and Belarus to the southeast, and shares a maritime border with Sweden to the west. Latvia has 1,957,200 inhabitants and a territory of 64,589 km2 (24,938 sq mi). The country has a temperate seasonal climate.

Saeima parliament of Latvia

The Saeima is the parliament of the Republic of Latvia. It is a unicameral parliament consisting of 100 members who are elected by proportional representation, with seats allocated to political parties which gain at least 5% of the popular vote. Elections are scheduled to be held once every four years, normally on the first Saturday of October. The most recent elections were held in October 2018.

Contents

Background

The 2014 elections saw Social Democratic Party "Harmony" emerge as the largest party. Although the largest party, Harmony has not participated in the government. A coalition was formed by Unity, the Union of Greens and Farmers and the National Alliance with Laimdota Straujuma as Prime Minister. [3] On 7 December 2015 she resigned after increasing tensions within the ruling coalition. [4] [5] [6] Following her resignation and several scandals around the Unity leader Solvita Āboltiņa, opinion polls showed a rapid decrease of support for Unity. On 13 January 2016 Māris Kučinskis of the Union of Greens and Farmers was nominated to be the next Prime Minister by President Raimonds Vējonis. [7] His government was approved by the Saeima on 11 February.

Social Democratic Party "Harmony" political party in Latvia

The Social Democratic Party "Harmony", also commonly referred to as Harmony (Saskaņa), is a social-democratic political party in Latvia. It is the main catch-all party of the centre-left in Latvian politics. The party was founded in 2010 as the merger of the National Harmony Party (TSP) with New Centre (JC) and the Social Democratic Party (SDP), a breakaway from the Latvian Social Democratic Workers' Party (LSDSP). At that time, all three were members of the former electoral alliance Harmony Centre. The alliance also included the communist Socialist Party of Latvia. The Daugavpils City Party merged into the party in 2011.

Electoral system

The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies (Kurzeme, Latgale, Riga (in which overseas votes are counted), Vidzeme and Zemgale) between 13 and 32 seats in size. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method with a national electoral threshold of 5%. [8]

Open list describes any variant of party-list proportional representation where voters have at least some influence on the order in which a party's candidates are elected. This is as opposed to closed list, which allows only active members, party officials, or consultants to determine the order of its candidates and gives the general voter no influence at all on the position of the candidates placed on the party list. Additionally, an open list system allows voters to select individuals rather than parties. Different systems give voter different amounts of influence. Voter's choice is usually called preference vote.

Proportional representation (PR) characterizes electoral systems in which divisions in an electorate are reflected proportionately in the elected body. If n% of the electorate support a particular political party, then roughly n% of seats will be won by that party. The essence of such systems is that all votes contribute to the result - not just a plurality, or a bare majority. The most prevalent forms of proportional representation all require the use of multiple-member voting districts, as it is not possible to fill a single seat in a proportional manner. In fact, the implementations of PR that achieve the highest levels of proportionality tend to include districts with large numbers of seats.

Kurzeme Planning Region Planning Region in Latvia

Kurzeme Region, officially Kurzeme Planning Region is one of the five planning regions of Latvia, it is situated in the western part of Latvia, at the shores of the Baltic Sea and Gulf of Riga. The state institution was founded on 2 October 2006, based on the creation of the region territory as prescribed by Regulations No. 133 of the Cabinet of Ministers as of 25 March 2003, the "Regulations on Territories of Planning Regions".

Electoral alliances

The Movement For! and Latvian Development contested the election in the Development/For! alliance, formed on 20 April 2018. [9]

Movement For!

Movement For! is a liberal political party in Latvia. The party was founded on 26 August 2017 at the House of Culture Rītausma in Riga with 298 party members. The party is one of the members of the Development/For! alliance.

Development/For! political party in Latvia

Development/For! is a liberal, pro-European political alliance in Latvia, made of 3 political parties: Movement For!, Latvian Development and Growth. The alliance was founded on 20 April 2018, and after 2018 Latvian parliamentary election it is the 4th largest party in Latvia. Development/For! positions itself as the only major liberal party in Latvia and states "modern and just Latvia within a unified Europe" as its main goal.

The Social Democratic Workers' Party, the Christian Democratic Union and Proud to Serve Our Latvia  [ lv ] contested the election as the SKG Union  [ lv ] electoral list, [10] the memorandum of which was signed by the leaders of the parties on 28 March 2018. [11] [12]

Latvian Social Democratic Workers Party political party

The Latvian Social Democratic Workers' Party is a social-democratic political party in Latvia. It has a long history but is not currently represented in the parliament of Latvia.

Christian Democratic Union (Latvia) political party

The Christian Democratic Union is a minor Christian-democratic political party in Latvia. It is currently led by Māra Viktorija Zilgalve and Secretary General Armands Agrums.

The long-standing alliance of the Latvian Farmers' Union and the Green Party (in cooperation with the regional For Latvia and Ventspils and Liepāja Party) continued.

Union of Greens and Farmers Latvian political coalition

Union of Greens and Farmers is a green conservative, agrarian political alliance in Latvia. It consists of two political parties: the Latvian Farmers' Union (LZS) and the Latvian Green Party (LZP). It is the third largest bloc in the Saeima. The Union of Greens and Farmers also cooperates closely with two regional parties: For Latvia and Ventspils and the Liepāja Party.

Latvian Farmers Union political party

The Latvian Farmers' Union is a centrist, agrarian political party in Latvia.

The Latvian Green Party is a green political party in Latvia. It was founded on 13 January 1990 and is a member of the European Green Party. Unusually for a green party in Europe, the LZP is generally considered a centre-right party. Leading politicians of the party have often supported reactionary, nationalist, and anti-LGBT positions. The party has only gained representation in the Saeima by forming electoral alliances with other parties.

Unity formed an association in April 2018 with several regional parties under the New Unity alliance. The involved parties are the Kuldīga County Party, For Valmiera and Vidzeme and For Tukums City and County  [ lv ] parties, joined by the Jēkabpils Regional Party. [13] [14] The Latgale Party  [ lv ], after a period of consideration, [15] joined the alliance in July, [16] although its Daugavpils chapter allied itself with The Progressives. [17] The Progressives and Movement For! declined invitations to join the list. [18]

Disqualifications

The Central Election Commission of Latvia used its powers to remove eight candidates from submitted lists. It did so after receiving notification from the Interior Ministry that the individuals in question were disqualified from election to the Saeima under the country's election law. [19] The eight candidates were Aivars Zablockis and Nikolajs Žeļezņakovs (Eurosceptic Action Party), Zigfrīds Laicāns and Valdis Taupmanis (For Alternative), Edgars Krūmiņš (Latvian Association of Regions), Katrīna Brandala (The Progressives), Aivars Silinieks (Latvian Centrist Party) and Tatjana Ždanoka (Latvian Russian Union). [20] Ždanoka has been barred in the past as Latvian courts have found that she was a member of the Communist Party of Latvia after 31 January 1991, making her ineligible. The Election Commission additionally sought information from the Security Police and the Constitution Protection Bureau to confirm her ineligibility. [21]

Prime Minister candidates

PartyCandidate
1 Union of Greens and Farmers Māris Kučinskis
2 New Conservative Party Jānis Bordāns [22]
3 New Unity Krišjānis Kariņš [23]
4 KPV LV Aldis Gobzems [24]
5 Latvian Association of Regions Edvards Smiltēns [25]
6 National Alliance Roberts Zīle [26]
7 Harmony Vjačeslavs Dombrovskis [27]
8 Russian Union Andrejs Mamikins [28]
9 Progressives Roberts Putnis [29]
10 Development/For! Artis Pabriks

Leading candidate by constituency

PartyLeader
RīgaVidzemeLatgaleKurzemeZemgale
1 Union of Greens and Farmers [30] Dana Reizniece-Ozola Māris Kučinskis Jānis Dūklavs Gundars Daudze Augusts Brigmanis
2 Harmony [31] Vjačeslavs Dombrovskis Evija Papule Jānis Krišāns Anrijs Matīss Ivars Zariņš
3 National Alliance [32] Dace Melbārde Raivis Dzintars Edmunds Teirumnieks Ilze Indriksone Edvīns Šņore
4 New Unity Edgars Rinkēvičs Inese Lībiņa-Egnere Aldis Adamovičs Arvils Ašeradens Jānis Reirs
5 Russian Union Andrejs Mamikins Andris Tolmačovs Jevgēņija Krjukova Elita Kosaka Ludmila Ušakova
6 Association of Regions Ieva Brante Edvards Smiltēns Juris Viļums Nellija Kleinberga Inga Bite
7 Progressives [33] Antoņina Ņenaševa Inga Liepa-Meiere Agnese Logina Dace Kavasa Līga Rasnača
8 Development/For! Daniels Pavļuts Artis Pabriks Mārtiņš Bondars Juris Pūce Ilze Viņķele
9 New Conservatives [34] Juta Strīķe Jānis Bordāns Ilga Šuplinska Juris Jurašs Krišjānis Feldmanis
10 KPV LV Artuss Kaimiņš Linda Liepiņa Roberts Spručs Atis Zakatistovs Kaspars Ģirģens
11Latvian Nationalists Andris Rubins Alfrēds Buls Vladislavs Bautris Silvestrs Rubins Kārlis Krūmiņš
12 For Latvia from the Heart Inguna Sudraba Gints Gābers Jānis Valtervitenheims Juris Jaunzems Iveta Čivčiša
13 Eurosceptic Action Party Igors Meļņikovs Jurijs Vasiļjevs Tamāra Meļņikova Andris Perjans Jeļena Pičoha
14For Alternative Einārs Graudiņš Juris Žuravļovs Jānis Kuzins Igors Glazunovs Artūrs Malta
15Latvian Centrist Party Andžejs Ždanovičs Vazgens Sorokins Georgijs Sokolovskis Dainis Grabovskis Edvīns Puķe
16SKG Union Armands Agrums Jānis Dinevičs Daiga Ceipiniece Arvīds Kinstlers Valdis Šakars

Other parties

Opinion polls

Polling firmCommissionerFieldwork dateSample Size SDPS V ZZS NA LRA NSL LKS VL LA JKP GKL KPV PAR P Won't voteDon't knowOtherLead
FACTUM 24 - 30 September 2018 2,500219111231(n/a)(Par)15(SKG)1213316
Norstat September 2018 12.76.110.761.41.30.8(n/a)(Par)7.7(SKG)8.42.62.16.932.47.82
Poll of Polls 23 September 2018 228131232(n/a)(Par)13(SKG)111069
SKDS [37] Latvijas Televīzija September 2018 about 1,00017.23.89.46.92.21.51.7(n/a)(Par)5.2(SKG)6.251.212.725.51.67.8
FACTUM 17 - 23 September 2018 2,381199121232(n/a)(Par)16(SKG)1111223
FACTUM 10 - 16 September 2018 1,1642110101333(n/a)(Par)14(SKG)1112237
Kantar TNS Delfi 8 – 12 September 2018 1,20014.93.29.84.30.40.30.4(n/a)(Par)5.3(SKG)9.34.00.85385.15.1
Poll of Polls September 2018 247121133(n/a)(Par)13(SKG)139811
FACTUM 3 – 9 September 2018 1,29321991443(n/a)(Par)15(SKG)139236
Norstat LNT 10 - 14 September 2018 50113.93.395.41.41.9(n/a)(Par)6.1(SKG)7.94.71736.26.24.9
FACTUM 30 August – 5 September 2018 1,94722891342(n/a)(Par)15(SKG)1310347
Norstat TV3 Latvija September 2018 14.93.395.71.8(n/a)(Par)6.9(SKG)6.64.55.437.64.35.9
FACTUM 27 August – 2 September 2018 1,91524791232(n/a)(Par)15(SKG)1211359
SKDS Latvijas Televīzija August 2018 900337.917.89.44.52.71.9(n/a)(Par)4.4(SKG)11.64.81.40.815.2
SKDSWeb August 2018 90024.75.89.210.542.65.2(n/a)(Par)7.3(SKG)17.78.43.10.17
FACTUM 25–31 August 2018 1,750237101233(n/a)(Par)15(SKG)1312348
FACTUM 22–28 August 2018 1,337227111223(n/a)(Par)13(SKG)1511347
FACTUM 20–26 August 2018 1,340217121222(n/a)(Par)12(SKG)1711364
Poll of Polls August 2018 2351413202(n/a)(Par)9(SKG)131099
FACTUM 13–19 August 2018 1,4332161212414(n/a)(Par)10(SKG)1610345
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija August 2018 ~90021.55.111.56.12.91.81.2(n/a)(Par)2.9(SKG)7.53.11.412.023.00.110
FACTUM 1–6 August 2018 1951113214(n/a)(Par)10(SKG)1614253
FACTUM 26 July – 1 August 2018 1951212212(n/a)(Par)12(SKG)1812251
FACTUM 17–23 July 2018 1,4941951214412(n/a)(Par)10(SKG)1411335
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija July 2018 1,00021.42.912.46.81.11.90.7(n/a)(Par)3.9(SKG)74.40.59
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija June 2018 1,00021.02.714.46.11.71.51.2(n/a)(Par)4.0(SKG)4.44.71.113.223.70.06.6
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija May 2018 1,00019.13.714.671.71.61.3(n/a)(Par)2.4(SKG)330.613.727.50.44.5
NorstatTV3 Latvija May 2018 1,00016.36.217.19.13.22.1(n/a)1.86.1(SKG)3.53.61.826.72.60.8
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija April 2018 1,00023.24.912.88.32.82.13.7(SKG)2.41.712.224.70.410.4
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija March 2018 1,00020.44.913.96.31.60.91.00.30.73.61.91.20.312.930.00.46.5
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija February 2018 1,00021.24.614.57.82.14.11.913.12520.26.7
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija January 2018 1,00020.42.915.35.82.51.04.12.01.416,5262.15.2
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija December 2017 20.73.514.37.33.61.80.30.80.93.01.51.50.215.3250.56.4
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija November 2017 19.83.815.37.02.42.13.91.61.214262.94.5
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija October 2017 22.53.513.19.53.42.23.91.21.213.823.52.29.4
SKDS September 2017 20.24.411.77.62.31.44.12.01.913.729.41.28.5
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija August 2017 20.93.113.16.84.31.65.50.815.926.11.97.8
SKDS July 2017 21.23.713.85.84.52.04.21.417.024.12.47.4
SKDS June 2017 22.34.014.55.43.03.42.93.512.426.91.77.8
SKDS April 2017 23.04.114.66.45.12.22.03.812.424.12.38.4
SKDS March 2017 21.24.213.17.93.91.92.94.014.324.02.68.1
SKDS January 2017 21.04.210.56.93.81.96.215.026.04.510.5
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija December 2016 17.84.512.57.44.22.46.515.127.12.55.3
Latvijas Fakti September 2016 17.95.017.37.32.52.80.70.30.60.70.03.413.028.60.00.6
August 201618.75.218.77.52.22.30.80.30.50.40.13.611.628.10.0Tie
July 201618.66.118.27.12.12.11.30.40.40.30.24.39.429.30.00.4
SKDS July 2016 17.86.317.59.12.11.95.916.819.63.00.3
SKDSLatvijas Televīzija June 2016 19.25.417.17.82.33.18.411.322.72.72.1
Latvijas Fakti May 2016 19.14.119.96.22.41.41.30.70.40.20.36.112.425.60.00.8
Latvijas Fakti April 2016 16.73.720.08.14.02.20.70.71.00.90.111.929.80.03.3
Latvijas Fakti March 2016 17.95.520.29.04.62.30.70.61.30.60.414.722.40.02.3
Latvijas Fakti February 2016 18.55.418.18.33.92.81.30.50.10.617.522.11.00.4
Latvijas Fakti February 2016 20.15.921.28.74.62.20.70.41.00.511.923.90.01.1
Latvijas Fakti January 2016 18.75.316.88.14.71.60.40.30.70.212.630.70.01.9
Latvijas Fakti December 2015 19.55.515.68.75.01.90.40.50.30.311.531.00.03.9
Latvijas Fakti November 2015 18.18.114.98.25.63.60.50.50.50.612.626.80.03.2
Latvijas Fakti October 2015 20.57.215.17.94.42.00.30.70.30.113.028.40.05.4
Latvijas Fakti August 2015 21.78.013.610.04.42.812.725.11.78.1
Latvijas Fakti April 2015 20.510.313.39.04.83.91.00.211.524.51.07.2
Latvijas Fakti February 2015 18.49.812.77.73.63.415.326.52.65.7
2014 election 23.021.919.716.66.76.91.61.20.9-------0.41.1

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for Latvian Saeima election, 2018.png

Results

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Harmony 167,11719.8023–1
Who owns the state? 120,26414.2516New
New Conservative Party 114,69413.5916+16
Development/For! 101,68512.0413+13
National Alliance 92,96311.0113–4
Union of Greens and Farmers 83,6759.9111–10
New Unity 56,5426.698–15
Latvian Association of Regions 35,0184.140–8
Latvian Russian Union 27,0143.2000
The Progressives 22,0782.610New
For Latvia from the Heart 7,1140.840–7
Latvian Nationalists4,2450.500New
For an Alternative2,9000.340New
SKG Union (LSDSPKDS–GKL)1,7350.200New
Eurosceptic Action Party1,0590.120New
Latvian Centrist Party8970.100New
Invalid/blank votes5,925
Total844,9251001000
Registered voters/turnout1,548,10054.58
Source: CVK

Coalition talks

Political leaders met on 18 October with the president Raimonds Vējonis. While they couldn't agree on a name for a Prime Minister, they reiterated their intention to form a coalition government, and to exclude Harmony from any coalition, if needed by gathering five or even all six remaining parties. [38]

On November 14, 2018, Development/For!, National Alliance, and New Unity pulled out of coalition talks with the New Conservative Party and KPV LV, making a five-way centre-right coalition government, hopeless. [39]

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References

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