Opinion polling for the 2012 French presidential election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.

Contents

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). [1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2012. [2]

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Jean-Pierre Chevènement of the Citizen and Republican Movement (MRC) withdrew his candidacy on 1 February 2012 after failing to secure significant support. [3] Christine Boutin of the Christian Democratic Party (PCD) renounced her candidacy on 13 February and announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy, [4] as did Hervé Morin of the New Centre (NC) on 16 February, [5] followed by Frédéric Nihous for Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions (CPNT) on 22 February. [6] On 15 March, Dominique de Villepin of United Republic (RS) announced that he would not secure enough sponsorships to become a candidate "barring a republican miracle", effectively ending his campaign, [7] and Corinne Lepage of Cap21 was absent from the official list of candidates published on 19 March, having also failed to secure at least 500 sponsorships. [8]

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012.png

Official campaign

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Hollande
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012–20.52%0.56%1.15%11.10%28.63%2.31%9.13%27.18%1.79%17.90%0.25%
Ifop-Fiducial*18–20 Apr 20121,72325%0.5%1%13.5%27.5%2.5%10%27%1.5%16.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 20122,592–0.5%1%13.5%27%3%10.5%27%1.5%16%<0.5%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Apr 20122,16124%<0.5%1.5%14%30%2%10%26.5%2%14%<0.5%
CSA 18–19 Apr 20121,005–1%1.5%14.5%28%2%10.5%25%1.5%16%<0.5%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Apr 20121,068–0.5%1.5%12%27.5%3%11%26.5%2%16%<0.5%
Ipsos 18–19 Apr 20121,02117%<0.5%1.5%14%29%2%10%25.5%1.5%16%0.5%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Apr 20121,00022%<0.5%1%13%27%3%10%27%2%17%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 20122,588–0.5%1%13.5%26%2.5%11%28%1.5%16%<0.5%
LH2 17–18 Apr 2012956–1%1%15%27%2.5%10%26.5%1.5%15.5%0%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 20122,552–0.5%1%13.5%26%3%11%27.5%1.5%16%<0.5%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 16–17 Apr 20121,161–<0.5%1%13%29.5%2%12%27.5%1%14%<0.5%
CSA 16–17 Apr 2012886–0.5%1%15%29%2%10%24%1.5%17%<0.5%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 20121,00226%0.5%2%13%27.5%2%10%27.5%1.5%16%0%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 20121,709–0.5%1%13.5%26.5%3%10.5%27.5%1.5%16%<0.5%
Harris Interactive 12–16 Apr 2012991–0.5%1%12%27%2%11%28%1.5%17%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial*12–15 Apr 20121,808–0.5%1%14.5%28%3%9.5%27%1%15.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Apr 20121,711–1%1%14%27.5%2.5%10%27%1%16%<0.5%
Ipsos 13–14 Apr 201289419%1%1%14.5%27%2.5%10%27%1%15.5%0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 20122,562–0.5%0.5%13%27%3%10.5%28%1%16%0.5%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 11–12 Apr 2012885–0.5%0.5%13%30%2%11%27%0.5%15%0.5%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 11–12 Apr 20121,00026%1%0.5%16%28%2.5%9%26%1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 20122,562–0.5%<0.5%13.5%27%3%10%28.5%1.5%16%<0.5%
CSA 10–11 Apr 20121,013–0.5%0.5%17%27%1.5%11%26%1%15%0.5%
LH2 10–11 Apr 2012977–1%1%13%29.5%2.5%10.5%27%1.5%14%<0.5%
OpinionWay 10–11 Apr 20121,007–1%0.5%13%27%2.5%10%28%2%16%0%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–11 Apr 20122,285–0.5%<0.5%14%27%3%10%28%1.5%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 20121,425–0.5%<0.5%14%27.5%2.5%9.5%28%1.5%16.5%<0.5%
Ipsos 6–7 Apr 201295519%0.5%0.5%14.5%28.5%1.5%9.5%29%1%15%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial*5–7 Apr 20121,869–0.5%0.5%14%27%2.5%9.5%28.5%1%16.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–7 Apr 20121,002–0.5%0.5%13.5%27%2.5%10%28%1%17%<0.5%
Harris Interactive 3–6 Apr 20121,033–1%1%13%27%3%10%28%1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 20121,284–0.5%0.5%12.5%26.5%3%10%29%1.5%16.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 20121,060–0.5%1%13%26.5%3%10%28.5%1.5%16%<0.5%
OpinionWay 3–4 Apr 2012969–0.5%1%14%26%2%11%28.5%1%16%0%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 20121,432–0.5%1%12.5%27%3%10.5%28.5%1%16%<0.5%
CSA 2–3 Apr 2012884–0.5%0.5%15%29%1.5%10%30%0.5%13%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012999–0.5%0.5%12.5%27.5%3%11%28.5%1%15.5%<0.5%
Harris Interactive 29 Mar–2 Apr 20121,059–0.5%0.5%14%26%3%10%29%1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012893–0.5%0.5%12.5%27.5%2.5%11%29%1%15.5%<0.5%
Ipsos 30–31 Mar 201288120%1%0.5%14.5%27.5%2%10%29.5%1%14%<0.5%
LH2 30–31 Mar 2012973–0.5%0.5%15%28.5%2%12%27.5%0.5%13.5%0%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 29–31 Mar 20122,555–1%1%14%28%2%11%27%1%15%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2012957–0.5%0.5%13.5%27%2.5%10.5%28.5%1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2012950–0.5%<0.5%14%26.5%2.5%11%28%1%16.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 20121,211–0.5%0.5%14%26.5%2.5%11%27.5%1%16%0.5%
CSA 26–27 Mar 2012876–0.5%0.5%12.5%26%2.5%12.5%30%0.5%15%<0.5%
OpinionWay 26–27 Mar 20121,148–1%0.5%11%27%2%12%28%1%17%0.5%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 26–27 Mar 20121,00026%0.5%0.5%13.5%28%2%10%29%1%15%0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Mar 2012902–<0.5%0.5%13.5%26.5%2.5%11.5%28%1%16%0.5%
Harris Interactive 22–26 Mar 20121,231–0.5%0.5%13%27%3%11%28%1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial*22–25 Mar 20121,769–0.5%0.5%13%27%2%11.5%28.5%1%15.5%0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Mar 2012887–0.5%0.5%13%26.5%2.5%12%28.5%0.5%15.5%0.5%
Ipsos 23–24 Mar 201297821%0.5%0.5%13%28%2%11.5%27.5%1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2012942–0.5%0.5%12%27%3%12%28.5%0.5%16%<0.5%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 21–22 Mar 2012926–<0.5%<0.5%14%29.5%2%12%28%1.5%13%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2012945–0.5%0.5%11%27.5%3%12%28%0.5%17%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Mar 20121,195–0.5%0.5%10.5%28%2.5%12%28%1%17%<0.5%
CSA 19–20 Mar 2012888–<0.5%<0.5%13%28%2%13%30%0.5%13.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Mar 2012876–0.5%0.5%10.5%28%2.5%12%27.5%1%17.5%<0.5%

17 October 2011 to 19 March 2012

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Chevènement
MRC 		Hollande
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Lepage
Cap21 		Villepin
RS 		Morin
NC 		Nihous
CPNT 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Boutin
PCD 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
Harris Interactive 15–19 Mar 20121,097–0.5%1%11%–28%3%12%0.5%–––27%–1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–19 Mar 2012881–0.5%0.5%10.5%–27.5%3%12.5%<0.5%0.5%––27.5%–0.5%17%<0.5%
Ifop 16–17 Mar 2012961–0.5%0.5%11%–27%2.5%13%––––27.5%–0.5%17.5%<0.5%
Ipsos 16–17 Mar 201295020%0.5%0.5%11.5%–28.5%2%13%<0.5%–––27.5%–1.5%15%<0.5%
LH2 16–17 Mar 2012962–0%1%11%–30.5%2.5%12.5%––––27.5%–0.5%14.5%0%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2012928–0.5%0.5%10.5%–26.5%3%13%<0.5%1%––27.5%–0.5%17%<0.5%
OpinionWay 14–15 Mar 20121,183–0.5%1%10%–27.5%2%13%0.5%1%––27.5%–1%16%–
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2012928–0.5%0.5%10%–26.5%2.5%13.5%<0.5%1%––28%–0.5%17%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Mar 20121,187–0.5%0.5%10.5%–27%2%13%0.5%1%––28%–0.5%16.5%<0.5%
CSA 12–13 Mar 2012861–0.5%<0.5%11%–28%1%13%0.5%1%––28%–1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–13 Mar 2012875–0.5%0.5%10%–27.5%2%12.5%0.5%1%––28.5%–0.5%16.5%<0.5%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 12 Mar 20121,00028%0.5%0.5%10%–30%3%11.5%<0.5%1.5%––26%–1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial*11–12 Mar 20121,638–0.5%<0.5%10%–27%2.5%13%0.5%1%––28.5%–1%16%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–12 Mar 2012874–0.5%<0.5%9.5%–28.5%2.5%12%0.5%1%––28%–1%16.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2012922–0.5%0.5%9.5%–29%2.5%11.5%1%1%––27%–0.5%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2012924–<0.5%0.5%9.5%–29%2.5%12%1%1%––26.5%–0.5%17.5%–
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 20121,098–0.5%0.5%8%–29%3%13%0.5%1.5%––26%–1%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 20121,182–<0.5%<0.5%8.5%–29.5%3%12.5%1%1%––26%–0.5%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Mar 2012877–<0.5%<0.5%8%–29.5%3%12.5%1%1%––26%–0.5%18.5%–
CSA 5 Mar 2012888–<0.5%<0.5%10%–30%2%13%0.5%1.5%––28%–<0.5%15%–
Harris Interactive 1–5 Mar 2012975–1%1%9%–27%3%13%1%1%––25%–1%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 1–5 Mar 2012867–0.5%<0.5%7.5%–29%3%12%1%1%––26%–1%19%–
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 2–3 Mar 2012761–1%1%8%–33%2%13%<0.5%2%––25%–1%14%<0.5%
Ipsos 2–3 Mar 201296622%0.5%0.5%9.5%–29.5%2%12.5%0.5%1.5%––25%–1%17.5%–
LH2 2–3 Mar 2012971–1%1%8.5%–30.5%4.5%15%<0.5%1%––23%–0.5%15%–
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–2 Mar 2012912–0.5%0.5%8%–29%3%12%0.5%1.5%––25.5%–1%18.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–1 Mar 2012929–0.5%0.5%8%–29%3%12.5%0.5%1.5%––25.5%–1%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Feb 20121,187–0.5%0.5%8.5%–28%3%12%0.5%1%––26.5%–1.5%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2012888–0.5%0.5%9%–28%2.5%12%0.5%1%––27%–1%18%–
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 27 Feb 20121,00026%<0.5%<0.5%9.5%–30%2.5%10.5%1%1%––28%–<0.5%17%0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial*23–26 Feb 20121,723–0.5%0.5%8.5%–28.5%3%12.5%0.5%1%––27%–1%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Feb 2012882–0.5%0.5%9%–28%3%12%0.5%1%––27%–1%17.5%–
Ipsos 24–25 Feb 201295925%0.5%0.5%8%–31.5%2.5%11.5%0.5%1%––27%–1%16%–
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2012931–0.5%1%8%–27.5%3%12.5%0.5%1.5%–<0.5%26.5%–1%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2012931–0.5%1%8%–28.5%2.5%11.5%0.5%1.5%–<0.5%26.5%–1%18.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 18–22 Feb 20121,180–0.5%0.5%8.5%–29%2.5%11%1%1.5%–<0.5%27%–0.5%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Feb 2012874–0.5%0.5%8.5%–29%2.5%11%1%2%–<0.5%27%–0.5%17.5%–
CSA 20 Feb 2012891–0.5%<0.5%9%–28%3%11%0.5%2%–0.5%27%–1.5%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2012872–0.5%<0.5%9%–29%2.5%11%1%2%–<0.5%27%–0.5%17.5%–
Ipsos 17–18 Feb 201296923%0.5%0.5%9%–32%3%11%1%1.5%–<0.5%25%–0.5%16%–
LH2 17–18 Feb 2012967–1%<0.5%8%–32%3%13%0.5%1.5%–0.5%26%–0.5%14%–
OpinionWay 17–18 Feb 2012975–0.5%0.5%8%–29%2%13%0.5%2%–0.5%27%–0.5%16.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2012938–0.5%<0.5%8.5%–29.5%2.5%12%0.5%2.5%<0.5%<0.5%26%–1%17%–
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 15–16 Feb 2012930–<0.5%<0.5%9%–31%3%13%<0.5%2%<0.5%<0.5%26%–1%15%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2012939–1%<0.5%7.5%–29.5%2.5%11.5%0.5%2.5%<0.5%0.5%26.5%–1%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 11–15 Feb 20121,174–0.5%<0.5%8%–30%3%11.5%1%2%<0.5%0.5%25.5%<0.5%0.5%17.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Feb 2012867–0.5%<0.5%7.5%–30%3.5%11.5%1%2%<0.5%0.5%25.5%<0.5%0.5%17.5%–
Harris Interactive 9–13 Feb 2012954–<0.5%<0.5%8%–28%4%13%1%1%<0.5%<0.5%24%–1%20%–
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2012870–<0.5%0.5%8%–30%3%12%0.5%2%<0.5%0.5%24.5%0.5%0.5%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial*9–12 Feb 20121,723–<0.5%0.5%8.5%–30%3%12.5%0.5%2%<0.5%<0.5%25%<0.5%0.5%17.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2012923–0.5%0.5%8%–31%3%10.5%<0.5%2%0.5%<0.5%24.5%<0.5%0.5%19%–
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2012913–1%<0.5%8%–31%3%10%0.5%1.5%0.5%<0.5%24.5%<0.5%0.5%19.5%–
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 20121,215–0.5%0.5%7%–29%3%13%0.5%1%0.5%0.5%25.5%0.5%0.5%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 4–8 Feb 20121,179–1%<0.5%8%–30.5%3%10.5%0.5%1%0.5%0.5%24%<0.5%0.5%20%–
CSA 6–7 Feb 2012869–0.5%0.5%8%–30%2%13%<0.5%1%<0.5%<0.5%26%0.5%1%17.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Feb 2012871–1%<0.5%8%–30%2.5%11%0.5%1%0.5%0.5%24%<0.5%0.5%20.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2012876–1%0.5%8.5%–30%2.5%11.5%<0.5%1%0.5%0.5%23.5%<0.5%1%19.5%–
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3–4 Feb 2012779–<0.5%<0.5%7%–34%2%14%<0.5%1%<0.5%<0.5%26%<0.5%<0.5%16%<0.5%
Ipsos 3–4 Feb 201295326%1%0.5%8.5%–32%2%12.5%<0.5%2%<0.5%<0.5%25%<0.5%<0.5%16%–
3%1%10%–33.5%3%16%<0.5%2%0.5%<0.5%28.5%0.5%1.5%––
LH2 3–4 Feb 2012955–1%–7.5%–34%3%12%0.3%1.5%0%–25.5%0.2%–15%–
Ifop 31 Jan–3 Feb 2012922–1%1%9%–33%3%17%––––33%–3%––
Ifop-Fiducial 0.5%0.5%8%–29.5%2.5%12.5%<0.5%1%0.5%0.5%24.5%<0.5%1%19%–
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2012917–0.5%0.5%7.5%<0.5%30.5%2.5%12.5%<0.5%1%0.5%0.5%24.5%0.5%0.5%18.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 20121,166–0.5%0.5%8%0.5%30.5%2.5%12%<0.5%1%<0.5%<0.5%24.5%0.5%<0.5%19.5%–
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 30–31 Jan 20121,407–<0.5%<0.5%8%<0.5%34%3%12%<0.5%2%<0.5%<0.5%25%<0.5%1%15%–
Ifop-Fiducial 29–31 Jan 2012866–0.5%0.5%7.5%0.5%31%2.5%12%<0.5%1%<0.5%<0.5%23.5%0.5%0.5%20%–
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 30 Jan 20121,00026%<0.5%<0.5%9%<0.5%31.5%3%12%0.5%1.5%<0.5%<0.5%26%<0.5%0.5%16%–
Ifop-Fiducial*29–30 Jan 20121,387–0.5%<0.5%7.5%0.5%31%3%11.5%0.5%1%0.5%<0.5%24.5%<0.5%0.5%19%–
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Jan 2012871–0.5%0.5%8%0.5%29.5%2.5%12.5%0.5%1%0.5%<0.5%23%<0.5%0.5%20.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Jan 2012935–0.5%0.5%8%0.5%28%3%13.5%0.5%1.5%1%<0.5%22%<0.5%0.5%20.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jan 2012926–<0.5%0.5%8%0.5%27%3.5%13.5%0.5%2%0.5%<0.5%23%0.5%0.5%20%–
OpinionWay 23–25 Jan 20121,087–0.5%0.5%8%0.5%27.5%3%14%1%1%1%–24%1%1%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 21–25 Jan 20121,178–0.5%0.5%7.5%0.5%27.5%3%13%0.5%2%0.5%0.5%23%0.5%0.5%20%–
CSA 23–24 Jan 2012898–<0.5%<0.5%9%<0.5%31%2%15%<0.5%1%<0.5%–25%<0.5%<0.5%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Jan 2012864–0.5%0.5%7.5%0.5%27.5%3%13%0.5%2.5%0.5%0.5%23.5%0.5%0.5%19%–
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Jan 2012877–0.5%0.5%7%0.5%27%2.5%13.5%0.5%2.5%0.5%0.5%23.5%0.5%0.5%20%–
Harris Interactive 19–22 Jan 20121,029–0.5%<0.5%8%<0.5%27%4%14%<0.5%1%0.5%0.5%23%0.5%1%20%–
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Jan 2012937–0.5%0.5%8%0.5%26.5%3.5%13%<0.5%3%0.5%<0.5%23%<0.5%<0.5%21%–
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Jan 2012959–0.5%<0.5%7%<0.5%30%4%13%<0.5%1.5%1%<0.5%23%0.5%1.5%18%–
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Jan 2012923–0.5%0.5%8.5%<0.5%27%3.5%12%0.5%2.5%1%<0.5%23%<0.5%<0.5%21%–
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Jan 20121,168–0.5%0.5%8%0.5%28%3%12.5%0.5%1.5%1%<0.5%24%<0.5%<0.5%20%–
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jan 2012864–<0.5%0.5%7.5%0.5%28.5%2.5%12.5%1%1.5%1%<0.5%24.5%<0.5%0.5%19.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Jan 2012872–<0.5%<0.5%7%0.5%28.5%3%12.5%0.5%1.5%0.5%<0.5%25%<0.5%1%20%–
Ipsos 13–14 Jan 201294823%1%<0.5%7.5%<0.5%29%3%14%0.5%3%<0.5%<0.5%23%<0.5%0.5%18%–
LH2 13–14 Jan 2012966–0.5%0%8.5%0.5%30%3%14%0.5%2%0%–23.5%0.5%0%17%–
Ifop-Fiducial*11–13 Jan 20121,550–0.5%0.5%7.5%0.5%28%3%12.5%<0.5%2%0.5%<0.5%24%<0.5%1%20%–
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Jan 2012942–0.5%0.5%6.5%0.5%27%3.5%12.5%<0.5%1.5%0.5%0.5%24%<0.5%1%21.5%–
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Jan 2012943–0.5%0.5%6.5%0.5%27%3.5%13%<0.5%2%1%<0.5%23.5%<0.5%0.5%21.5%–
OpinionWay 10–11 Jan 2012967–0.5%1%6%0.5%27%3%15%0.5%2%1%–25%0.5%1%17%–
CSA 9–10 Jan 2012875–<0.5%0.5%7%<0.5%29%2%13%<0.5%3%<0.5%–26%0.5%<0.5%19%–
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine **6–9 Jan 20122,007–0.5%<0.5%7%1%30%4%11%0.5%2.5%<0.5%<0.5%25%<0.5%0.5%18%–
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 6–7 Jan 2012815–1%<0.5%8%1%28%4%11%1%4%<0.5%<0.5%24%1%<0.5%17%–
Ifop 4–6 Jan 20121,163–0.5%0.5%6%<0.5%28%3%12%0.5%2.5%1%<0.5%26%0.5%0.5%19%–
OpinionWay 16–19 Dec 2011913–0.5%1%7.5%0.5%27%4%14%0.5%2%1%–24%1%1%16%–
Harris Interactive 13–15 Dec 20111,031–0.5%<0.5%6%1%28%4%11%0.5%3%0.5%<0.5%25%0.5%1%19%–
Ifop 13–15 Dec 2011937–<0.5%<0.5%6.5%0.5%27.5%5%11%1%3.5%0.5%<0.5%24%<0.5%0.5%20%–
OpinionWay 13–15 Dec 2011912–0.5%1%6%0.5%29%3%11%0.5%3%1%–25%1%1.5%17%–
CSA 12–13 Dec 2011859–1%0.5%6%1%32%3%11%0.5%2%<0.5%–26%0.5%0.5%16%–
LH2 9–10 Dec 2011953–<0.5%<0.5%6.5%0.5%31.5%4.5%13%<0.5%1%1%–26%1%1%13.5%–
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 2–3 Dec 2011798–<0.5%<0.5%7%1%35%3%9%1%1%<0.5%<0.5%24.5%1%0.5%17%–
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 201195524%1%<0.5%7.5%0.5%32%6%7%0.5%2%<0.5%<0.5%25.5%<0.5%0.5%17%–
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2011934–<0.5%<0.5%7.5%0.5%29.5%4%8.5%0.5%1.5%1%<0.5%26%0.5%1%19.5%–
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 25–26 Nov 20111,00330%0.5%0.5%8%0.5%31%5%7%0.5%1%0.5%–28%<0.5%1%16.5%–
OpinionWay 23–24 Nov 2011952–1%1%7%1%30%5%7%–1%1%–26%1%1%18%–
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Nov 2011784–<0.5%<0.5%5%3%32%4%7%–2%1%<0.5%27%<0.5%1%18%–
LH2 18–19 Nov 2011830–0.5%0%7%1.5%30%6%7%0.5%2%0.5%–29%0.5%0.5%15%–
Ifop 14–16 Nov 20111,146–0.5%0.5%7%<0.5%32.5%4%6%0.5%1.5%0.5%0.5%26%0.5%1%19%–
CSA 14–15 Nov 2011822–1%0.5%5%1%34%4%7%0.5%1.5%1%–27%0.5%1%16%–
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 4–5 Nov 2011796–<0.5%<0.5%5%1%36%5%6%–3%<0.5%<0.5%25%0.5%0.5%18%–
Ifop 2–4 Nov 20111,843–<0.5%0.5%6%<0.5%32.5%4.5%7%1%2%1%<0.5%25.5%<0.5%1%19%–
Ipsos 28–29 Oct 201197025%1%1%6%–35%6%5.5%–2%––24%–0.5%19%–
LH2 21–22 Oct 2011813–0.5%0%6.5%–39%5%8.5%0%1.5%0.5%–24%0%0.5%14%–
Ifop 18–20 Oct 2011941–0.5%0.5%6%<0.5%35%4.5%6.5%0.5%2%1%0.5%25%0.5%0.5%17%–
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 17–18 Oct 2011753–2%<0.5%6%–39%4%7%––––23%––19%–
CSA 17 Oct 2011859–1%0.5%5%–35%3%9%0.5%2%1%–25%1.5%0.5%16%–

8 July to 16 October 2011

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Chevènement
MRC 		Hollande
PS 		Aubry
PS 		Royal
PS 		Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Villepin
RS 		Borloo
PR 		Nihous
CPNT 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Fillon
UMP 		Juppé
UMP 		Boutin
PCD 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN
Ipsos 30 Sep–1 Oct 201196227%1%0.5%8%–32%–––5%5.5%4%6.5%–21%–––0.5%16%
2%0.5%7%––29%––5%6%5%7%–22%–––0.5%16%
1.5%0.5%9%–––22%–7%8.5%4%8%–23%–––0.5%16%
LH2 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011843–0.5%0%8%–31%–––7%8%2%7%–21%––0.5%0%15%
1%0%10%––25%––7.5%9%3%9%–21%––0%0%14.5%
0.5%0%8.5%–30%–––7.5%7.5%3%11%––15%–1%1%15%
0%0%9%–30%–––8.5%8%3%9%–––16%0%0.5%16%
CSA 19–20 Sep 2011835–1.5%0.5%6%–28%–––4%7%5%5%–24%––0.5%0.5%18%
0.5%0.5%6%––27%––5%6%5%5%–25%––0.5%0.5%19%
1%0.5%8%–––19%–6%7%5%6%–26%––1%0.5%20%
Harris Interactive 31 Aug–5 Sep 2011888–1%<1%3%–28.5%–––8%7%3%7%–23.5%–––1%18%
1%<1%5%––24%––7%8%3%7%–24%–––1%20%
<1%1%7%–––15%–10%9%4%9%–24%–––1%20%
Ipsos 2–3 Sep 201196331%2%0.5%5%–30%–––5%6%4.5%7%–22%–––1%17%
2.5%0.5%5.5%––27%––6%6%3.5%7%–23%–––1%18%
2%0.5%8.5%–––19%–7%7%5%9%–23%–––1%18%
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011818–0.5%0%4%–35%–––6%6%2%6%–27%––2%0.5%11%
0.5%0%5%––30%––4.5%6%3.5%8.5%–27%––2%1%12%
1%0.5%5%–––18%–10%8%4%10%–29%––2%0.5%12%
Ifop 30 Aug–2 Sep 20111,918–<0.5%0.5%6%0.5%29%–––6%6%2.5%6%0.5%23.5%––0.5%0.5%18.5%
<0.5%0.5%6%1%–25%––6%6.5%3%6.5%1%24%––0.5%0.5%19.5%
<0.5%0.5%7%1.5%––17%–9%8%3%8%1%25%––0.5%0.5%19%
CSA 22–23 Aug 2011863–1%0.5%6.5%–27%–––5%7%3%8%–26%––0.5%0.5%15%
0.5%0.5%7%––26%––5%7%4%8%–26%––0.5%0.5%15%
1%1%9%–––19%–7%9%4%8%–26%––0.5%0.5%15%
Ifop 19–21 Jul 2011948–<0.5%<0.5%4%0.5%28%–––7%6.5%2.5%7.5%<0.5%23%––0.5%0.5%20%
0.5%0.5%4%1%–25%––7%7.5%2%8%<0.5%23.5%––0.5%0.5%20%
0.5%0.5%6%1%––16%–9.5%9%3%8.5%<0.5%25%––0.5%<0.5%20.5%
CSA 11 Jul 2011850–2%0.5%7%–26%–––5%6%2%8%–26%––0.5%1%16%
1%0.5%6.5%––25%––5%6%2%9%–27%––1%1%16%
1%0.5%8.5%–––17%–7%6%2%11%–28%––1%1%17%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 8–9 Jul 2011782–1%<0.5%4%–31%–––5%6%4%9%–23%––1%<0.5%16%
1%1%5%––28%––5%7%4%7%–24%––1%<0.5%17%
1%<0.5%7%––––20%7%7%4%10%–25%––1%<0.5%18%
Ipsos 8–9 Jul 201195531%2%1%5%–29%–––7.5%5%3%8%–22%–––0.5%17%
2%1%4.5%––29%––7%5%3%8%–22%–––0.5%18%
3%1%7%–––17%–9%6%3.5%11%–24%–––0.5%18%
LH2 8–9 Jul 2011827–1%0.5%5%1%29%–––6%11%3%7.5%–21%––1%1%13%
1.5%0%5%1%–26%––6%10%4.5%8%–21.5%––0.5%1%15%
1.5%0%7%2%––13.5%–10%13%4%10%–23%––0%1%15%

13 May to 7 July 2011

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		(nominee)
NPA 		Martin
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Chevènement
MRC 		Hollande
PS 		Aubry
PS 		Royal
PS 		Delanoë
PS 		Fabius
PS 		Hulot
SE 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Villepin
RS 		Borloo
PR 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN
Ifop 21–23 Jun 2011937–0.5%0.5%–6.5%1.5%26.5%––––6.5%–6%3%7%21%<0.5%21%
0.5%0.5%–7%1%26%–––––6.5%6%3%7.5%21%0.5%20.5%
CSA 20–21 Jun 2011825–1%1.5%–7%–27%––––7%–5%3%9%23%0.5%16%
1%2%–7%––23%–––7.5%–7%3%10%23%0.5%16%
1%2%–10%–––15%––9%–8%4%10.5%24%0.5%16%
1%1.5%–7%–27%–––––4%7%3%10%23%0.5%16%
1%2%–7%––25.5%––––4%6%4%11%23%0.5%16%
1%2%–8.5%–––17%–––5%9%4%13%24%0.5%16%
Ipsos 18–20 Jun 201196530%1.5%0.5%–7%–32%––––7.5%–5%3%7%19%0.5%17%
1%0.5%–7%––30%–––7%–5%4%8%19%0.5%18%
2%1%–9.5%–––19%––8.5%–7%4.5%11%19%0.5%18%
Ifop 9–10 Jun 2011923–0.5%0.5%–6%1.5%26%––––6%–7%3%6%22%0.5%21%
0.5%1%–6.5%1%–23%–––6%–8%3.5%6.5%21.5%0.5%22%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 20111,449–0%–0%7%–27%––––6%–6%2%7%23%1%21%
0%–0%7%––25%–––6%–6%2%7%24%1%22%
0%–0%8%–––17%––7%–7%3%9%26%1%22%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 May 2011960–1%1%–6%–27%––––12%–4%5%6%21%<0.5%17%
1%1%–5%––24%–––12%–6%5%7%22%<0.5%17%
2%1%–6%–29%––––13%–8%––22%–19%
2%1%–6%––26%–––13%–10%––23%–19%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 May 201196032%1%–<0.5%3.5%–31%––––8%–5.5%3%7%22%–19%
1%–<0.5%3%–28%–––––7%5.5%3.5%8%24%–20%
1%–<0.5%4%––28%–––9%–5%3%7%24%–19%
1%–<0.5%7%–––18%––10.5%–7%3.5%9%24%–20%
1%–<0.5%5.5%––––17.5%–12%–6%3.5%9.5%24.5%–20.5%
1%–0.5%6%–––––15%11%–8%4%9.5%24.5%–20.5%
Ifop 17–19 May 20111,897–0.5%1%–6%1%26%––––6%–5%3.5%6.5%22.5%1%21%
Ipsos 18 May 20111,01427%2%0.5%–4%–29%––––11%–5%3%9%19%0.5%17%
1%0.5%–4%––27%–––11%–5%4%9%21%0.5%17%
2%0.5%–6%–––16%––13%–7%6%12%19%0.5%18%
CSA 16 May 2011838–1%2%–5%–23%––––6%–7%4%8%22%2%20%
1%2%–5%––23%–––6%–7%4%8%23%2%19%
1%2%–5%–––18%––6%–9%4%10%23%2%20%
Ipsos 13–14 May 2011948–2%1%–6%–26%––––11%–5%4%8%19%1%17%
2%1%–5%––25%–––9%–6%5%9%19%1%18%
2%1%–8%–––16%––12%–7%6%11%19%1%17%

28 February to 12 May 2011

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Arthaud
LO 		Besancenot
NPA 		(nominee)
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Chevènement
MRC 		Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Aubry
PS 		Hollande
PS 		Royal
PS 		Hulot
SE 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Villepin
RS 		Morin
NC 		Borloo
PR/UMP 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN
Ifop 10–12 May 20119330.5%–1%5.5%1%26%–––7%–5.5%4%–5.5%21.5%0.5%22%
0.5%–1%5%1.5%––23%–7.5%–6%3.5%–6.5%22%0.5%23%
0.5%–1%5.5%1%28%–––6%–7%––6.5%22%–22.5%
LH2 6–7 May 20115751%–1%4%3%23%–––11%–8%6%–9%16%1%17%
5650.5%–1%4%2%–22%––11%–7%4.5%–11%19%1%17%
5750.5%–1%4%2%––21.5%–11%–7%5%–10%19%1%18%
5600.5%–1%6%2%–––15%13.5%–8%5%–11%20%1%17%
5611%–0.5%5%1%24%––––9%8%5.5%–9%18%1%18%
CSA 26 Apr 20118311%4%–5%–26%–––9%–5%4%–4%21%1%20%
1%4%–5%–27%–––9%–7%5%––22%1%19%
1%4%–5%–27%–––8%–6%––8%21%1%19%
1%5%–5%–28%–––9%–8%–––23%2%19%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 20119170.5%4%–5%–27%–––7%–5%4%–7.5%20%1%19%
0.5%4%–4.5%––20%––8.5%–6.5%4%–9.5%21.5%1%20%
1%4.5%–4.5%–––21%–8%–6%4.5%–8.5%21%1%20%
0.5%4%–6%––––16%9%–6.5%5%–11%21%1%20%
1%5%–5.5%–30%–––8.5%–7%–––22.5%–20.5%
0.5%5%–5%–25%––––5.5%6%4%–8%21%1%19%
Harris Interactive 19–20 Apr 20119261%4%–4%–30%–––6%–4%3%–7%19%1%21%
1%5%–5%––21%––5%–5%5%–9%20%1%23%
1%5%–5%–––22%–6%–5%5%–8%19%1%23%
1%5%–6%––––15%8%–7%6%–10%19%1%22%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 20119910.8%2.9%–4.2%1.9%–21.7%–––7.4%8.5%3.7%–7.8%19.1%1.4%20.6%
CSA 28–29 Mar 20118411%9%–4%–33%––––3%7%4.5%2%–18%0.5%18%
0.5%9%–3%––26%–––3%8%7%2%–22%0.5%19%
0.5%11%–3.5%–––24%––4%6%7%2%–22%1%19%
0.5%9%–6%––––17%–5%10%7.5%3%–22%1%19%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 25–26 Mar 20118261%7%–4%–29%–––7%–4%6%5%–17%1%19%
0.5%6%–4%––24%––8%–5%7%6%–19%0.5%20%
Ipsos 25–26 Mar 20119651%6%–4%–34%––––5%5%5%1%–17%1%21%
1%6%–4%––25%–––5%7%8%1%–20%1%22%
1%6%–5%–––23%––5%7%8%1%–21%1%22%
2%7%–6%––––17%–7%8%9%1%–20%1%22%
Ipsos 14 Mar 20119482%6%–5%–33%––––5%5%5%1%–18%1%19%
2%6%–5%––23%–––5%8%7%1%–21%1%21%
2%7%–5%–––23%––5%8%6%1%–21%1%21%
2%7%–6%––––17%–7%10%7%1%–21%1%21%
CSA 9–10 Mar 20118531%8%–6%–30%––––4%5%4%1%–19%1%21%
1%8%–5%––22%–––3%6%6%1%–24%1%23%
1%8%–5%–––18%––5%8%7%1%–24%1%22%
1%8%–5%––––19%–6%7%6%1%–24%1%22%
Ifop 7–9 Mar 20111,0461%4%–5%–29%––––5.5%6%3%1%–23%1.5%21%
1%4%–5%––24%–––6%7%4.5%1.5%–24%1%22%
1%4%–5%–––23%––6.5%7.5%4%2%–24%1%22%
1%5%–6%––––19%–7%8%5%2%–24%1%22%
Harris Interactive 5–6 Mar 20111,3471%6%–7%–23%––––7%6%4%1%–20%1%24%
1%6%–6%–––20%––7%8%5%1%–21%1%24%
Harris Interactive 28 Feb–3 Mar 20111,6181%5%–5%––21%–––7%8%7%1%–21%1%23%

20 August 2010 to 27 February 2011

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Schivardi
POI 		Arthaud
LO 		Besancenot
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Aubry
PS 		Hollande
PS 		Royal
PS 		Montebourg
PS 		Hulot
SE 		Joly
EELV/EE 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Villepin
RS/UMP 		Morin
NC 		Borloo
PR/UMP 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Fillon
UMP 		Copé
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN
CSA 21–22 Feb 20111,005–1%8%6%28%–––––4%5.5%5%1%–23%––0.5%18%
–1%8%6%33%–––––5%4.5%5%1%––18%–0.5%18%
–1%8%6%34%–––––4%5.5%9%1%–––12%0.5%19%
–1%8%7%33%–––––5%5.5%9%1%12%–––0.5%18%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Feb 20111,000–1%7%6.5%29%–––––6%5%3.5%4%–21%–––17%
–0.5%7%7%–24%––––6%5%4.5%4.5%–24%–––17.5%
–1%8%7%––22%–––6.5%5%5%4%–23%–––18.5%
–1%8%7.5%–––19%––8%5%5%5%–24%–––17.5%
–1%8%7.5%––––15%–8%6%5.5%5%–25%–––19%
Ifop 16–17 Feb 2011949–1%5.5%6%26%–––––7%7%4%2%–22%––0.5%19%
–1%5%5.5%–22%––––7%8%5%2.5%–23%––1%20%
CSA 14–15 Feb 20111,005–1%7%6%29%–––––5%8%4%––22%––1%17%
–1%7%6%–22%––––6%9%5%––26%––1%17%
–1%7%7%––20%–––6%10%5%––26%––1%17%
–1%7%8%–––18%––7%10%5%––26%––1%17%
OpinionWay 20–21 Jan 20119820%1%5%9%29%––––6%–5%–––25%––2%18%
0%1%5%8%–25%–––6%–7%–––28%––2%18%
0%1%5%7%28%–––––8%6%–––25%––2%18%
0%1%4%7%–22%––––10%8%–––28%––2%18%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011847–2%5%5%30%–––––6%6%5%––23%––1%17%
–1%6%5%–22%––––6%9%6%––27%––1%17%
–1%6%5%––20%–––8%9%7%––26%––1%17%
–1%4%5%–––21%––8%10%7%––26%––1%17%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 Jan 2011804–<0.5%7%4%31%–––––6%5%3%–2%25%–––17%
–<0.5%7%5%–23%––––5%6%5%–5%27%–––17%
Ifop 12–13 Jan 2011830–1%3.5%6.5%–23%–––6%–8%6%2%–26.5%––1%16.5%
CSA 7–8 Jan 20111,001–1%7%5%30%–––––4%6%3%––25%––1%18%
–1%6%6%–22%––––4%9%6%––28%––1%17%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Nov 20101,000–1.5%6.5%6%27%–––––6.5%6%4%–5%24%–––13.5%
–1%6.5%6%–23%––––8%7%4%–6.5%25%–––13%
–1%7%6.5%––16.5%–––8%8%5%–8.5%25.5%–––14%
–1%6.5%7%–––17%––9%7%4%–8.5%26%–––14%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010811–1%4.5%6%29%–––––6%7.5%6%2%–24%––1%13%
–1%5%6%–22%––––7.5%9%7%2.5%–27%––1%12%
–1%6%7%––18%–––8%9.5%8.5%2%–27%––1%12%
–1%5.5%7.5%–––18%––8%9.5%7.5%2%–27%––1%13%
Ifop 16–18 Nov 2010931–0.5%4%6.5%–23%––––7%7%5%–7%26%––1%13%
Harris Interactive Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–10 Nov 2010910–0.5%4.5%7%–20%––––11%8%9%––26%–––14%
–0.5%4.5%7%–20%––––11%9%8%–––26%––14%
Ifop 12–14 Oct 2010930–1%5%5%–25%––––7%8.5%7%––26%––1.5%14%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 Sep 2010962–2%7%5%28%–––––9%8%8.5%1.5%––20%––11%
–1%5%4%–25%––––10%10%10%3%––21%––11%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 Aug 20101,000–1%9%5%25%–––––9%6%6%1%–26%–––12%
–1%7%4%–22%––––9%7%7%2%–28%–––13%
–1%8%5%––16%–––11%7%8%2%–29%–––13%
–1%8%5%–––16%––12%7%7%2%–29%–––13%

29 October 2009 to 19 August 2010

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Arthaud
LO 		Besancenot
NPA 		Buffet
PCF 		Mélenchon
FG 		Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Aubry
PS 		Hollande
PS 		Royal
PS 		Duflot
EE/LV 		Joly
EE 		Tapie
PRG 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Villepin
RS/UMP 		Morin
NC 		Borloo
PR/UMP 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Fillon
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN
Ifop 8–9 Jul 20108341%7%–5%–26%––4%––9%10%––26%–1%11%
CSA 7–8 Jul 20108090.5%7%2.5%––30%––5%––9%–2%–31%––13%
Ifop 3–4 Jun 20109811%5%–6%–24%––5%–3%8%7%––27%–1%13%
Ifop 27–28 May 20108141%7%–5%29%–––5%––8%6%––25%–1%13%
1%5%–5%–24%––5%––11%8%––27%–1%13%
2%7%–6%––18%–5%––12%9%––27%–2%12%
1%7%–6%–––18%6%––12%9%––28%–1%12%
CSA 19–20 May 20107791%6%3%––30%––5%––8%–––36%––11%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 23–24 Apr 20109471%5%–6%–24%–––12%–7%––6%28%––11%
Ifop 20–22 Apr 20109341%3%–6%–25%––8%––7%7%–3%25%–2%13%
Ifop 25–26 Mar 20108551%5%–6%–27%––9%––7%6%––26%–2%11%
CSA 24–25 Mar 20108432%5%2%––31%––6%––7%–––35%––12%
CSA 2–3 Mar 20107573%6%3%–27%–––10%––11%7%–––25%–8%
3%7%3%––21%––11%––11%9%–––27%–8%
CSA 2–3 Feb 20108021%7%3%–22%–––9%––10%10%––29%––9%
1%6%3%––19%––8%––12%10%––32%––9%
Ifop 29–30 Oct 20098921%9%3%––20%––5%––14%8%––28%–1%11%

31 October 2007 to 28 October 2009

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Schivardi
PT 		Laguiller
LO 		Besancenot
LCR/NPA 		Buffet
PCF 		Bové
SE 		Royal
PS 		Aubry
PS 		Voynet
LV 		Nihous
CPNT 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Villiers
MPF 		Le Pen
FN
OpinionWay 17–18 Jun 20091,006–0.5%1%8%3%4%21%–4%0.5%13%33%3%9%
0.5%1%9%2%5%–19%4%0.5%14%33%3%9%
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr 20091,014–0.5%2%9%2%1%21%–3%0.5%20%30%4%7%
Ifop 23–24 Apr 2009854–1%2%8%3%1%20.5%–4%2%19%28%4%7.5%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 20081,005–0%1%8%2%2%27%–1%1%16%33%2%7%
CSA 26 Feb 2008856–<0.5%2%7%2%1%26%–1%<0.5%19%32%1%9%
Ifop 31 Oct–2 Nov 20071,008–0.5%1.5%7%2%1.5%22%–1.5%1%17%35%2%9%
2007 election 22 Apr 2007–16.23%0.34%1.33%4.08%1.93%1.32%25.87%–1.57%1.15%18.57%31.18%2.23%10.44%

By region

Corsica
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Hollande
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012–25.73%0.31%1.17%9.85%24.28%2.29%5.01%31.41%1.07%24.39%0.21%
OpinionWay Archived 1 March 2018 at the Wayback Machine 4–5 Apr 2012502–0.5%1%12%28%3%10%32%0.5%13%0%
Réunion
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Hollande
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012–34.41%0.60%0.87%6.73%53.29%2.13%6.83%17.96%1.00%10.31%0.29%
Ipsos 12–16 Apr 2012451–0.5%1%12%43%3.5%10.5%18.5%0%11%0%
Ipsos 20–27 Mar 2012446–2%0.5%12.5%39%2.5%9.5%24%0.5%9.5%0%
French residents overseas
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Hollande
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Lepage
Cap21 		Villepin
RS 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012–60.93%0.28%0.70%8.31%28.32%5.44%11.37%––38.01%1.25%5.95%0.36%
OpinionWay 12–23 Mar 20122,031–0%0.5%8%27%4%13%0.5%2%37%1%7%–

By commune

Aubagne
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Arthaud
LO 		Poutou
NPA 		Mélenchon
FG 		Hollande
PS 		Joly
EELV 		Bayrou
MoDem 		Sarkozy
UMP 		Dupont-Aignan
DLR 		Le Pen
FN 		Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012–18.73%0.34%0.75%18.67%21.06%2.08%5.83%25.50%1.43%24.15%0.18%
CSA 29–30 Mar 2012801–1%1%24%22%2%6%23%0%21%0%

Second round

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). [1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2012. [2]

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012 Hollande-Sarkozy.png

Hollande–Sarkozy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Hollande
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012–19.65%51.64%48.36%
Ifop-Fiducial Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine *2–4 May 20121,76618%52%48%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 20121,225–52%48%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3 May 20122,161–52.5%47.5%
CSA 3 May 20121,002–53%47%
Ipsos 3 May 20121,01818%52.5%47.5%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3 May 20121,00020%53.5%46.5%
Harris Interactive 2–3 May 20121,072–53%47%
OpinionWay 2–3 May 20122,009–52.5%47.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2012968–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 20121,229–53%47%
LH2 27 Apr–2 May 20121,077–53%47%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 30 Apr–1 May 20121,38720%53.5%46.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–1 May 2012904–53.5%46.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–30 Apr 2012898–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial*26–29 Apr 20121,876–54%46%
Ipsos 27–28 Apr 201298818%53%47%
LH2 27–28 Apr 2012958–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2012963–55%45%
Harris Interactive 25–26 Apr 20121,032–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2012966–54.5%45.5%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 24–25 Apr 20122,285–54.5%45.5%
CSA 24–25 Apr 20121,009–54%46%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 24–25 Apr 20121,00021%55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 20121,507–55%45%
OpinionWay Archived 28 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine 23–24 Apr 20121,145–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–24 Apr 20121,185–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–23 Apr 2012865–55%45%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 22 Apr 2012678–53%47%
CSA 22 Apr 20121,009–56%44%
Harris Interactive 22 Apr 20121,088–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial*22 Apr 20121,004–54.5%45.5%
Ipsos 22 Apr 20121,09019%54%46%
OpinionWay 22 Apr 20127,900–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial*18–20 Apr 20121,723–54.5%45.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 20122,592–54%46%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Apr 20122,161–57%43%
CSA 18–19 Apr 20121,005–57%43%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Apr 20121,068–54%46%
Ipsos 18–19 Apr 20121,021–56%44%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Apr 20121,000–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 20122,588–53.5%46.5%
LH2 17–18 Apr 2012956–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 20122,552–54%46%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 16–17 Apr 20121,161–56%44%
CSA 16–17 Apr 2012886–58%42%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 20121,00226%55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 20121,709–54.5%45.5%
Harris Interactive 12–16 Apr 2012991–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial*12–15 Apr 20121,808–55.5%44.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Apr 20121,711–55%45%
Ipsos 13–14 Apr 2012894–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 20122,562–54.5%45.5%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 11–12 Apr 2012885–56%44%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 11–12 Apr 20121,000–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 20122,562–54%46%
CSA 10–11 Apr 20121,013–57%43%
LH2 10–11 Apr 2012977–55%45%
OpinionWay 10–11 Apr 20121,007–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–11 Apr 20122,285–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 20121,425–54%46%
Ipsos 6–7 Apr 2012955–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial*5–7 Apr 20121,869–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–7 Apr 20121,002–53.5%46.5%
Harris Interactive 3–6 Apr 20121,033–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 20121,284–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 20121,060–53%47%
OpinionWay 3–4 Apr 2012969–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 20121,432–53.5%46.5%
CSA 2–3 Apr 2012884–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012999–53.5%46.5%
Harris Interactive 29 Mar–2 Apr 20121,059–53%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012893–54%46%
Ipsos 30–31 Mar 2012881–55%45%
LH2 30–31 Mar 2012973–54%46%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 29–31 Mar 20122,555–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2012957–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2012950–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 20121,211–54%46%
CSA 26–27 Mar 2012876–53%47%
OpinionWay 26–27 Mar 20121,148–54%46%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 26–27 Mar 20121,000–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Mar 2012902–54%46%
Harris Interactive 22–26 Mar 20121,231–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial*22–25 Mar 20121,769–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Mar 2012887–53.5%46.5%
Ipsos 23–24 Mar 2012978–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2012942–54%46%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 21–22 Mar 2012926–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2012945–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Mar 20121,195–55%45%
CSA 19–20 Mar 2012888–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Mar 2012876–54.5%45.5%
Harris Interactive 15–19 Mar 20121,097–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–19 Mar 2012881–54%46%
Ifop 16–17 Mar 2012961–54%46%
Ipsos 16–17 Mar 2012950–56%44%
LH2 16–17 Mar 2012962–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2012928–54%46%
OpinionWay 14–15 Mar 20121,183–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2012928–53.5%46.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Mar 20121,187–54%46%
CSA 12–13 Mar 2012861–54%46%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–13 Mar 2012875–54%46%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 12 Mar 20121,000–58%42%
Ifop-Fiducial*11–12 Mar 20121,638–54.5%45.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–12 Mar 2012874–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2012922–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2012924–55%45%
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 20121,098–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 20121,182–55.5%44.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Mar 2012877–56%44%
CSA 5 Mar 2012888–56%44%
Harris Interactive 1–5 Mar 2012975–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–5 Mar 2012867–56.5%43.5%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 2–3 Mar 2012761–59%41%
Ipsos 2–3 Mar 2012966–58%42%
LH2 2–3 Mar 2012971–58%42%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–2 Mar 2012912–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–1 Mar 2012929–56.5%43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Feb 20121,187–55.5%44.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2012888–55%45%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 27 Feb 20121,000–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial*23–26 Feb 20121,723–56.5%43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Feb 2012882–55.5%44.5%
Ipsos 24–25 Feb 2012959–58%42%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2012931–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2012931–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–22 Feb 20121,180–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Feb 2012874–56%44%
CSA 20 Feb 2012891–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2012872–56%44%
Ipsos 17–18 Feb 2012969–59%41%
LH2 17–18 Feb 2012967–55%45%
OpinionWay 17–18 Feb 2012975–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2012938–56%44%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 15–16 Feb 2012930–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2012939–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–15 Feb 20121,174–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Feb 2012867–57%43%
Harris Interactive 9–13 Feb 2012954–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2012870–57.5%42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial*9–12 Feb 20121,723–57.5%42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2012923–57.5%42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2012913–57.5%42.5%
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 20121,215–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–8 Feb 20121,179–57.5%42.5%
CSA 6–7 Feb 2012869–60%40%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Feb 2012871–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2012876–58%42%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3–4 Feb 2012779–58%42%
Ipsos 3–4 Feb 2012953–59%41%
LH2 3–4 Feb 2012955–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Jan–3 Feb 2012922–57.5%42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2012917–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 20121,166–57%43%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 30–31 Jan 20121,407–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–31 Jan 2012866–58%42%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 30 Jan 20121,000–58%42%
Ifop-Fiducial*29–30 Jan 20121,387–58%42%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Jan 2012871–57.5%42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Jan 2012935–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jan 2012926–56%44%
OpinionWay 23–25 Jan 20121,087–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–25 Jan 20121,178–57%43%
CSA 23–24 Jan 2012898–60%40%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Jan 2012864–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Jan 2012877–56.5%43.5%
Harris Interactive 19–22 Jan 20121,029–55%45%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Jan 2012937–57%43%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Jan 2012959–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Jan 2012923–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Jan 20121,168–56.5%43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jan 2012864–56%44%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Jan 2012872–56%44%
Ipsos 13–14 Jan 2012948–59%41%
LH2 13–14 Jan 2012966–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial*11–13 Jan 20121,550–57%43%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Jan 2012942–56.5%43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Jan 2012943–57%43%
OpinionWay 10–11 Jan 2012967–55%45%
CSA 9–10 Jan 2012875–57%43%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine **6–9 Jan 20122,007–59%41%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 6–7 Jan 2012815–57%43%
Ifop 4–6 Jan 20121,163–54%46%
OpinionWay 16–19 Dec 2011913–57%43%
Harris Interactive 13–15 Dec 20111,031–57%43%
Ifop 13–15 Dec 2011937–56%44%
OpinionWay 13–15 Dec 2011912–57%43%
CSA 12–13 Dec 2011859–58%42%
LH2 9–10 Dec 2011953–57%43%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 2–3 Dec 2011798–59%41%
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2011955–60%40%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2011934–56%44%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 25–26 Nov 20111,003–60%40%
OpinionWay 23–24 Nov 2011952–58%42%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Nov 2011784–58%42%
LH2 18–19 Nov 2011830–58%42%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2011822–59%41%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 4–5 Nov 2011796–61%39%
Ifop 2–4 Nov 20111,843–57%43%
Ipsos 28–29 Oct 2011970–62%38%
LH2 21–22 Oct 2011813–60%40%
Ifop 18–20 Oct 2011941–60%40%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 17–18 Oct 2011753–64%36%
CSA 17 Oct 2011859–62%38%
LH2 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011843–60%40%
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011818–57%43%
Ifop 30 Aug–2 Sep 20111,918–59%41%
Ifop 19–21 Jul 2011948–57%43%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 8–9 Jul 2011782–58%42%
LH2 8–9 Jul 2011827–60%40%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 20111,449–60%40%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 May 2011960–62%38%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 May 2011960–58%42%
LH2 6–7 May 2011576–60%40%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011917–56%44%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Feb 20111,000–56%44%
CSA 14–15 Feb 20111,005–54%46%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011847–55%45%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Nov 20101,000–55%45%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010811–53%47%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 Aug 20101,000–50%50%
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009910–43%57%

By first round vote

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Jean-Luc Mélenchon
(11.10% in the first round)		 François Bayrou
(9.13% in the first round)		 Marine Le Pen
(17.90% in the first round)
Hollande Sarkozy No vote Hollande Sarkozy No vote Hollande Sarkozy No vote
Ifop-Fiducial Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine *2–4 May 20121,76684%4%12%29%42%29%16%54%30%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 20121,22584%4%12%31%37%32%19%55%26%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3 May 20122,16187%4%9%36%40%24%22%57%21%
CSA 3 May 20121,00281%7%12%25%38%37%17%57%26%
Ipsos 3 May 20121,01876%6%18%30%38%32%15%54%31%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3 May 20121,00085%2%13%37%32%31%7%52%41%
Harris Interactive 2–3 May 20121,07291%4%5%42%41%17%20%58%22%
OpinionWay 2–3 May 20122,00977%9%14%35%39%26%19%50%31%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 201296886%5%9%32%34%34%18%50%32%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 20121,22982%5%10%26%32%42%16%45%39%
LH2 27 Apr–2 May 20121,07793%2%5%39%31%30%22%50%28%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 30 Apr–1 May 20121,38787%4%9%36%36%28%21%57%22%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–1 May 201290485%6%9%28%32%40%15%46%39%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–30 Apr 201289886%4%10%33%27%40%18%44%38%
Ifop-Fiducial*26–29 Apr 20121,87680%6%14%28%31%41%18%43%39%
Ipsos 27–28 Apr 201298880%3%17%34%40%26%14%54%32%
LH2 27–28 Apr 201295873%2%25%30%31%39%20%45%35%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 201296385%4%11%33%31%36%23%45%32%
Harris Interactive 25–26 Apr 20121,03292%2%6%41%36%23%21%48%31%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 201296681%5%14%33%37%30%23%45%32%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 24–25 Apr 20122,28589%5%6%38%41%21%26%47%27%
CSA 24–25 Apr 20121,00985%5%10%42%36%22%23%53%24%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 24–25 Apr 20121,00082%6%12%32%39%29%16%51%33%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 20121,50781%3%16%40%35%25%21%44%35%
OpinionWay Archived 28 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine 23–24 Apr 20121,14591%2%7%36%41%23%27%47%26%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–24 Apr 20121,18582%3%15%43%34%23%21%43%36%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–23 Apr 201286582%2%16%44%35%21%22%42%36%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 22 Apr 201267890%6%4%36%39%25%20%57%23%
CSA 22 Apr 20121,00991%3%6%40%25%35%27%52%21%
Harris Interactive 22 Apr 20121,08883%2%15%38%32%30%17%44%39%
Ifop-Fiducial*22 Apr 20121,00483%6%11%32%38%30%31%48%21%
Ipsos 22 Apr 20121,09086%3%11%33%32%35%18%60%22%
OpinionWay 22 Apr 20127,90077%5%18%34%37%29%18%37%45%

By region

Corsica
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Hollande
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012–23.67%44.13%55.87%
OpinionWay 27–30 Apr 2012404–47%53%
Réunion
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Hollande
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012–27.14%71.49%28.51%
Ipsos 12–16 Apr 2012451–74%26%
Ipsos 20–27 Mar 2012446–67%33%
French residents overseas
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Hollande
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012–57.82%46.95%53.05%
OpinionWay 12–23 Mar 20122,031–74%26%

By commune

Aubagne
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Hollande
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012–19.10%48.59%51.41%
CSA 29–30 Mar 2012801–57%43%

Aubry–Sarkozy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Aubry
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
LH2 30 Sep–1 Oct 201184357%43%
LH2 2–3 Sep 201181854%46%
Ifop 30 Aug–2 Sep 20111,91854%46%
Ifop 19–21 Jul 201194853%47%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 8–9 Jul 201178258%42%
LH2 8–9 Jul 201182758%42%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 20111,44958%42%
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 May 201196059%41%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 May 201196056%44%
LH2 6–7 May 201156556%44%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 201191755%45%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 201199156.0%44.0%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Feb 20111,00056%44%
CSA 14–15 Feb 20111,00554%46%
CSA 17–18 Jan 201184756%44%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 Jan 201180457%43%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Nov 20101,00055%45%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 201081152%48%
Harris Interactive Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–10 Nov 201091051%49%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 Aug 20101,00053%47%
CSA 7–8 Jul 201080952%48%
CSA 19–20 May 201077951%49%
CSA 24–25 Mar 201084352%48%
CSA 2–3 Feb 201080248%52%
CSA 4–5 Nov 200991047%53%

Royal–Sarkozy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. Royal
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011818–49%51%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 20111,449–51%49%
LH2 6–7 May 2011554–50%50%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011917–51%49%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Feb 20111,000–52%48%
CSA 14–15 Feb 20111,005–50%50%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011847–50%50%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Nov 20101,000–52%48%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010811–53%47%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 Aug 20101,000–49%51%
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009910–45%55%
LH2 2–3 May 20081,004–53%47%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 20081,005–50%50%
CSA 26 Feb 2008856–51%49%
Ifop 31 Oct–2 Nov 20071,008–45%55%
2007 election 6 May 2007–16.03%46.94%53.06%

Strauss-Kahn–Sarkozy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
BVA Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 8–9 Jul 201178254%46%
LH2 6–7 May 201157465%35%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 201191761%39%
TNS Sofres Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 18–19 Feb 20111,00063%37%
CSA 14–15 Feb 20111,00561%39%
CSA 17–18 Jan 201184764%36%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 Jan 201180464%36%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Nov 20101,00062%38%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 201081159%41%
TNS Sofres Archived 23 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 Aug 20101,00059%41%
CSA 2–3 Feb 201080252%48%
CSA 4–5 Nov 200991051%49%

Sarkozy–Le Pen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Sarkozy
UMP 		Le Pen
FN
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 20111,44963%37%
LH2 6–7 May 201151774%26%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 201191773%27%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 201199163.3%36.7%

Hollande–Le Pen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Hollande
PS 		Le Pen
FN
LH2 6–7 May 201158476%24%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 201191772%28%

Aubry–Le Pen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Aubry
PS 		Le Pen
FN
LH2 6–7 May 201156271%29%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 201191769%31%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 201199163.2%36.8%

Strauss-Kahn–Le Pen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Le Pen
FN
LH2 6–7 May 201158977%23%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 201191775%25%

Aubry–Fillon

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Aubry
PS 		Fillon
UMP
Harris Interactive Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–10 Nov 201091049%51%
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 Sep 201096251%49%
CSA 2–3 Mar 201075751%49%

Strauss-Kahn–Fillon

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Strauss-Kahn
PS 		Fillon
UMP
BVA Archived 24 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 Sep 201096255%45%
CSA 2–3 Mar 201075754%46%

Delanoë–Sarkozy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Delanoë
PS 		Sarkozy
UMP
CSA 4–5 Nov 200991047%53%

Bayrou–Sarkozy

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Bayrou
MoDem 		Sarkozy
UMP
CSA 4–5 Nov 200991049%51%

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 "" La présidentielle en temps réel " avec le rolling Ifop – Paris Match – Europe 1 – Fiducial" (PDF). Ifop. 11 January 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  2. 1 2 "Communiqué du 20 avril 2012". Commission des sondages. 20 April 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  3. ↑ Sylvia Zappi (1 February 2012). "Sans moyens ni soutiens, Chevènement a tenté son baroud d'honneur". Le Monde. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  4. ↑ Béatrice Houchard (13 February 2012). "Christine Boutin retire sa candidature". Le Figaro. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  5. ↑ "Présidentielle : Hervé Morin se retire et se rallie à Nicolas Sarkozy". Sud Ouest. Agence France-Presse. 16 February 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  6. ↑ "Nihous renonce à se présenter et soutient Sarkozy". RTL. 22 February 2012. Archived from the original on 24 February 2018. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  7. ↑ ""Sauf miracle", Dominique de Villepin ne sera pas candidat à la présidentielle". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 15 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
  8. ↑ "Dix candidats en lice pour l'élection présidentielle". Le Parisien. 19 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
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