Opinion polling for the 2014 European Parliament election in France

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2014 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 25 May 2014.

Contents

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

National results for LO, NPA, ND, EC, AEI, NC, FV, and DLR lists were not provided by the Ministry of the Interior in the 2014 European elections. These lists, respectively, received 1.17%, 0.39%, 2.90%, 0.67%, 1.12%, 1.41%, 0.74%, and 3.82% of the vote in the 8, 5, 7, 6, 5, 7, 8, and 8 constituencies, respectively, in which they presented lists.

Opinion polling for the European Parliament election, 2014 (France).png

Voting intentions

Starting on 10 April 2014, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). [1]

Regionalist lists received 0.25% of the vote in 2009; this total is included in that for other lists, which would otherwise have been 4.45%.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG 		DVG EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR DVD FN EXD DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014–57.57%1.60% (EXG)6.33%13.98%3.18%8.95%(DVG)(DIV)(DIV)9.94%20.81%(DVD)(DVD)(DVD)5.98%24.86%0.01%4.37%
Ipsos 22–23 May 20141,54758%1%1%7.5%16.5%–8.5%2.5%1%–9.5%21%1%0.5%3%–24%–3%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 May 20141,69157.5%0.5%1%7.5%16%–10%2.5%1%0.5%9.5%21.5%–0.5%2.5%1%23.5%–2.5%
Ipsos 21–22 May 20141,56158.5%0.5%1%8.5%17.5%–9%1.5%1%–9.5%21%0.5%0.5%3%–24%–2.5%
CSA 20–22 May 20141,89760%1%1%8%16%–9%2%<0.5%–10%21%0.5%0.5%2%–23.5%–5.5%
Harris Interactive 20–22 May 20141,431–0.5%1%7%16%–9%3%1%–11%21%1%–2%–23%–4.5%
Ipsos 20–22 May 20141,54058.5%0.5%1.5%8%17.5%–9%1.5%1%–9.5%21.5%0.5%<0.5%3%–23.5%–3%
OpinionWay 20–22 May 20142,94860%1%1%7%17%–9%3%1%1%11%21%1%0.5%2.5%–21%–3%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 May 20141,69158.5%0.5%1%8%16.5%–10%2.5%0.5%0.5%9.5%22%–0.5%2.5%0.5%23.5%–2%
YouGov 19–22 May 20141,09255%0.9%1.4%9.1%16.7%–6.6%1.6%1.7%1.4%6.8%21.1%0.7%0.1%3.2%–26.1%–2.7%
Ipsos 19–21 May 20141,26658.5%1%1%7.5%17%–8%2%1%–9%22.5%1%<0.5%3%–23.5%–3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–21 May 20141,69158.5%0.5%1%8%17%–9.5%2%1%0.5%10%22%–0.5%2%0.5%23.5%–2%
Ipsos 16–20 May 20141,54559%1%1%7%17%–8%1.5%1%–9%23%1%<0.5%3.5%–23.5%–3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–20 May 20141,61059.5%0.5%1.5%7.5%17.5%–9%2%1%0.5%10%21.5%–0.5%1.5%1%23.5%–2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–19 May 20141,50760%0.5%2%7.5%17%–9.5%2%1%0.5%10%21.5%–0.5%1.5%1%23.5%–2%
Ipsos 15–18 May 20141,53859.5%1%1%7%17.5%–8%2%1.5%–8.5%22%0.5%<0.5%3.5%–24%–3.5%
Ipsos 14–17 May 20141,51659.5%1.5%1%7%17%–8.5%2.5%1.5%–8%21.5%0.5%<0.5%3.5%–24%–3.5%
BVA 15–16 May 20141,045–1%1%8%17%–9%1.5%1%–9.5%21%1%1%2%–23%–4%
OpinionWay 14–16 May 20141,01763%1%1%8%16%–9%2.5%<1%–10.5%23%0.5%<1%2.5%–22%–4%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 May 20141,42460%0.5%1.5%7.5%17%–9.5%2.5%0.5%0.5%10%22%–<0.5%1.5%1%23%–3%
Ipsos 13–16 May 20141,50760%1.5%1%7%17%–8%2.5%2%–7.5%22.5%0.5%0.5%3%–24%–3%
CSA 13–15 May 201499464%1%1.5%6.5%18%–8%2%<0.5%–9%21%<0.5%<0.5%2%–25%–6%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 May 20141,40760.5%0.5%1%7.5%16.5%–10%2%1%0.5%10%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%1%23.5%–2.5%
Ipsos 12–15 May 20141,50761%1%1.5%7%17%–8%2.5%2%–7.5%23%0.5%0.5%3%–24%–2.5%
Harris Interactive 12–14 May 20141,429–1%2%7%16.5%–10%2%1%–8%21%1%–3%–22%–5.5%
Ipsos 12–14 May 20141,00762%1%1.5%7.5%17%–8.5%2%2%–8%23%0.5%0.5%3%–24%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–14 May 20141,31160.5%0.5%1%7.5%16.5%–10%2%1%0.5%9.5%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%1%24%–2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–13 May 20141,20661%0.5%1%7.5%17%–10%1.5%1%0.5%9.5%22.5%–0.5%1%1%24%–2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–12 May 20141,11861%0.5%1.5%7.5%17%–9.5%2%1%0.5%9.5%22%–0.5%1.5%1%24%–2%
TNS Sofres 9–11 May 20141,50459%2.5%1.5%6%16%–8.5%2%1.5%1%8%21%1%<0.5%3%–23%–5%
OpinionWay 5–9 May 20141,96162%1%1%7%16%–9%2%<1%–10%23%1%<1%3%–22%–5%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–7 May 20141,07661%0.5%1.5%7%17.5%–9%2.5%1%–10%22%–0.5%1.5%1%24%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–6 May 20141,03661.5%1%1.5%7%18%–9%2%1%–10%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%0.5%24%–2%
YouGov 28 Apr–6 May 20141,069–4%3%10%18%–7%–1%–8%21%–0%2%–24%–2%
Harris Interactive 2–5 May 20141,600–2%2%8%17%–9%2%<0.5%–9%21%1%<0.5%3%–22%–4%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–5 May 201498962%0.5%2%7.5%18%–9%2%1.5%–10%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%0.5%23.5%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 201498962.5%0.5%2%8%18.5%–9%1.5%1%–10%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%–23.5%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–30 Apr 201499363%0.5%2.5%8%19%–8.5%1%1%–10%22.5%–<0.5%2%–23%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Apr 201499363%0.5%2.5%7.5%19.5%–8%1%0.5%–10.5%23%–<0.5%2%–23%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–28 Apr 201499762.5%0.5%2%8%19.5%–8%1%0.5%–10.5%23%–<0.5%2.5%–22.5%–2%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 20141,83060%1%1%7%18%–7%3%2%1%11%22%0.5%0.5%3%–20%–3%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 201499762%0.5%2%8%19.5%–8.5%1%0.5%–10%23.5%–<0.5%2%–22.5%–2%
CSA 22–24 Apr 20141,00565%1%1.5%7.5%20%–7%2%<0.5%–9%22%1%<0.5%2%–24%–3%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Apr 20141,00061.5%0.5%2%8%19%–9%1%1%–10%23.5%–<0.5%2%–22.5%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–23 Apr 201498461%0.5%2%8%19%–9%1.5%1%–10%23%–<0.5%1.5%–22.5%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–22 Apr 201498060.5%0.5%2%8.5%19%–8%1.5%1.5%–10%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%–23%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial*15–19 Apr 20141,869–1%3%8%18.5%–8.5%1.5%1.5%–10%22%–<0.5%1.5%–23%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–18 Apr 201498960%0.5%2.5%8%19.5%–8%1.5%1%–10%22.5%–<0.5%2%–23%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 201498960%0.5%2.5%8%19.5%–7.5%1.5%0.5%–10.5%22.5%–<0.5%2%–23.5%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–16 Apr 201499060.5%0.5%2.5%8%20%–7.5%1.5%0.5%–10%22.5%–<0.5%2%–23.5%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Apr 201499961%0.5%2%8%20%–8%1%0.5%–10%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%–24%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–14 Apr 20141,00861.5%0.5%2%8%20.5%–8%1%0.5%–9.5%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%–24%–2%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–11 Apr 20141,00261.5%0.5%2%8.5%20.5%–7.5%1%1%–9.5%22.5%–<0.5%1.5%–24%–1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Apr 201499761%0.5%2%8%21%–7.5%1%0.5%–9%23%–0.5%1.5%–24%–1.5%
TNS Sofres 4–6 Apr 20141,501–2%1%7%19%–9%–1.5%–9%25%–0.5%2%–24%––
Ifop 31 Mar–4 Apr 20141,872–0.5%2.5%7.5%19%–8.5%1.5%1.5%–8%24%––2%–22%–3%
OpinionWay 31 Mar 20141,053–1%1%9%18%–7%2%–1%12%22%1%–3%–20%–3%
Harris Interactive 30 Mar 20143,000–2%7%16%–9%2%2%–11%20%1%–3%–22%–5%
Ipsos 27–29 Mar 20141,533–2%1%8%19%–10%–2%–8%24%–0.5%3.5%–22%––
OpinionWay 23–24 Mar 20141,158–1%1%8%17%–7%2%–10%22%–1%3%–21%–7%
OpinionWay 7–11 Mar 20141,008–1%3%9%17%–7%1%1%–9%22%0%1%4%–21%–4%
OpinionWay 12–14 Feb 20142,104––4%9%16%–9%–––12%22%––3%–20%–5%
Ifop 14–17 Jan 20141,894––2%9%18%–7%–––11%21%––2.5%–23%–6.5%
Ifop 1–4 Oct 20131,893––2%10%19%–6%–––11%22%––2%–24%–4%
YouGov 7–12 Jun 20131,014––2%15%15%5%7%–––8%5%19%–––6%18%––
CSA 21 May–12 Jun 20133,952–1%3%9%19%–8%–––7%6%23%––1%–20%–3%
Ifop 29–31 May 20131,869––2%9%21%–7.5%–––7%6.5%21%––3%–21%–2%
Harris Interactive 22–24 May 20131,279–2%8%21%–10%–––6%8%23%––1%–18%–3%
2009 election 7 Jun 2009–59.37%6.10% (EXG)6.05%16.48%0.46%16.28%––(DIV)8.46%–27.88%––(DVD)6.74%6.34%0.51%4.70%

By constituency

Est

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG 		EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014–56.85%1.36%0.33%5.24%13.24%6.41%2.44%0.37%2.34%9.19%22.72%1.29%0.53%4.16%28.98%1.38%
Ifop 15–19 Apr 2014666–1.5%3%6.5%15.5%12.5%1.5%––7.5%24%––0.5%26%1.5%

Île-de-France

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG 		EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014–61.02%0.85%0.84%6.48%14.28%9.68%3.06%2.34%1.74%11.99%21.79%2.16%1.20%3.82%17.00%2.79%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–19 May 2014703–0.5%3.5%7%17%9%2.5%1.5%0.5%10%21%2%<0.5%2.5%20%3%

Sud-Est

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. LO NPA FG PS
PRG 		EELV ND EC AEI MoDem UDI UMP NC FV DLR FN R&PS DIV
2014 election 25 May 2014–57.04%0.90%–5.96%11.88%9.32%3.15%–2.14%8.44%22.40%1.50%0.43%3.92%28.18%0.75%1.03%
Ifop 23–28 Apr 2014686–1%2%7%13%11%1.5%1%–8.5%28%<0.5%<0.5%2.5%23%1.5%<0.5%
OpinionWay 19–21 Feb 20141,052––2%9%15%9%–––8%25%––3%26%–3%

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Les élections européennes en temps réel avec l'Euro-Rolling 2014 Ifop - Fiducial - Paris Match" (PDF). Ifop. 9 April 2014. Retrieved 27 April 2018.
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