Opinion polling for the 2014 Ukrainian presidential election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls for the 2014 Ukrainian presidential election.

Contents

First round

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background is shaded in the two leading candidates respective colours. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is bolded. If no candidate obtains an absolute majority in the first round, then the two highest polling candidates will contest a run-off second ballot. [1] The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two candidates with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such a date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

DatePolling firm
Sergii Tigipko.jpg
Tihipko
Ind.
Dobkin01.jpg
Dobkin
PoR
2014-09-12 - Vitali Klitschko - 9019.jpg
Klitschko
UDAR
Yulia Tymoshenko 2008.jpg
Tymoshenko
FA
Oleh Tyahnybok 2013.jpg
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Symonenko Petr.png
Symonenko
CPU
Poroshenko 2010 (cropped).jpg
Poroshenko
Ind.
Maidan Kiev 2014.04.13 12-09.JPG
Liashko
Rad. 		OthersLead
13–19 May Ukrainian National Academy of Pedagogic Sciences [lower-alpha 1] 8.0––13.3––45.07.66.731.7
6–8 May GfK [lower-alpha 1] 10.64.6–10.41.53.247.96.420.437.3
25–29 Apr Razumkov Centre 6.74.2–14.81.94.547.75.015.233.9
Oleg Tsarov officially withdraws [2]
9–16 Apr SOCIS, KIIS, RATING, Razumkov Centre 7.46.0–14.02.15.648.44.611.934.4
28 Mar – 2 Apr Razumkov Centre, RATING 8.85.2–19.12.34.642.35.512.223.2
Serhiy Tihipko is expelled from the Party of Regions [3]
31 Mar Advanced Legal Initiatives [lower-alpha 1] 19.61.2–12.73.63.542.02.314.922.4
Mykhailo Dobkin is selected by Party of Regions as their Presidential nominee, Viktor Yanukovych is officially expelled from the Party of Regions
Vitali Klitschko withdraws in order to run for the mayoralty of Kyiv, and endorses Poroshenko
14–26 Mar International Republican Institute [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 2] 7.03.013.014.03.04.027.0–18.013.0
14–19 Mar SOCIS, KIIS, RATING, Razumkov Centre 10.05.312.912.02.55.036.25.011.123.3
4–18 Mar GfK [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 2] 8.55.019.012.01.57.039.5–7.920.5
Viktor Yanukovych officially withdraws
1–6 Mar Social Monitoring Centre 11.4–14.215.53.76.413.73–1.3
25 Feb – 4 Mar SOCIS 9.6–21.314.13.66.430.9–14.39.6
28 Feb – 3 Mar KIIS [lower-alpha 1] 13.3–20.113.92.88.332.8–8.812.7
–6.320.515.43.99.535.9–8.815.4

Before the Yanukovych ouster and Crimean crisis

DatePolling firm
Viktor Yanukovych Greece 2011 (cropped).jpg
Yanukovych
PoR
2014-09-12 - Vitali Klitschko - 9019.jpg
Klitschko
UDAR
Yulia Tymoshenko 2008.jpg
Tymoshenko
FA
Oleh Tyahnybok 2013.jpg
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Symonenko Petr.png
Symonenko
CPU
Poroshenko 2010 (cropped).jpg
Poroshenko
Ind. 		OthersLead
24 Jan – 1 Feb SOCIS 29.222.819.12.84.315.96.06.4
17–26 Jan SOCIS 29.521.620.84.75.713.04.67.9
Before 2014
23–27 Dec 2013 R&B Group [lower-alpha 1] 36.019.911.25.75.411.010.716.1
7–17 Dec 2013 RATING [lower-alpha 1] 28.222.723.25.56.38.06.15.0
26 Oct – 8 Nov 2013 IFES [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 2] 31.030.017.06.09.0–7.01.0
30 Sep – 8 Oct 2013 Razumkov Centre [lower-alpha 1] 26.320.918.15.17.74.117.85.4
26 Sep – 6 Oct 2013 RATING [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 2] 28.025.022.08.08.02.06.03.0
15–25 Sep 2013 R&B Group [lower-alpha 1] 32.518.317.04.87.75.014.714.2
21–30 May 2013 KIIS [lower-alpha 1] 27.230.2–11.07.0–24.63.0
21–24 Dec 2012 Razumkov Centre [lower-alpha 1] 32.616.618.67.48.8–16.014.0
2012
17 Jan 2010 2010 election results 35.3–25.11.43.5–21.610.2

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 This survey shows its poll results without disregarding those who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). In order to obtain results comparable to other surveys and the official election results, the result shown in this table will be that obtained, with a simple rule of three, from disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals offered in the survey.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Some opinion polls round their data so that in the end up showing a .0 or a .5 value. This practise is maintained for these polls when disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals so as to avoid different interpretations of the same value.

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References

  1. ↑ Q&A: Ukraine presidential election, BBC News (7 February 2010)
  2. ↑ "Царев снялся с выборов : Новости УНИАН". Unian.net. 29 April 2014.
  3. ↑ "Tigipko accuses Party of Regions of betraying interests of Ukraine". Kyivpost.com. 7 April 2014.
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