Opinion polling for the 2016 Peruvian general election

Last updated

Since the previous elections in 2011, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2016 Peruvian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order. The first round of the election was held on 10 April, and the run-off between Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski was held on 5 June 2016.

Contents

Opinion polls

Presidential election

The following graph shows the weighted polls

PollsterDateRespondents Keiko Fujimori
Fuerza popular.svg
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski
Peruanos Por el Kambio.png
Verónika Mendoza
Logo-frente-amplio-Peru-alt.svg
Alfredo Barnechea
Lampa-AP.gif
Alan García
Gregorio Santos
Alejandro Toledo
Logo del partido Peru Posible.png
Julio Guzmán
César Acuña
Alianza para el Progreso Peru.svg
Daniel Urresti
Logo - Partido Nacionalista Peruano.svg
OtherBlank/NoneUndecided
2016 general elections10 April 2016N/A39.921.118.775.841.3N/AN/AN/A3.5N/AN/A
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [1] 30 March–1 April 20161,7813316158521---2108
CPI/Correo [2] 30 March–1 April 20161,80037.315.413.78.36.23.21.1---1.28.84.7
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [3] 28–30 March 20161,78136171510421---249
GFK/La República [4] 28–30 March 20161,8283516.1149.75.52.70.7---0.59.95.9
Vox Populi/ATV [5] 25–29 March 20161,30831.214.110.312.95.6-----1.810.613.6
CPI/Correo [6] 25–27 March 20161,30834.61510.911.361.81---1.9116.5
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [7] 22–24 March 20161,79132161211612---299
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [8] 18–20 March 20161,20034.417.310.513.74.21.30.8---2.510.74.6
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [9] 15–17 March 20161,79231151212621---2910
CPI/Correo [10] 13–16 March 20161,65037.615.39.311.76.52.11.4---29.84.3
GFK/La República [11] 11–15 March 20161,61133.815.97.511.85.81.61.8---1.5119.3
Vox Populi/ATV [12] 11–14 March 20161,20033.19.57.9125.80.51.3--0.20.38.819.5
JNE9–11 March 2016Guzmán and Acuña disqualified / Urresti withdrawn
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [13] 6–8 March 20161,20037148970.80.8--0.93.6414.9
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [14] 5–10 March 20161,8513214996-----81210
GFK/La República [15] 27 February–1 March 20161,55237.710.15.66.74.5-1.7---3.413.117.2
GFK/La República [16] 27 February–1 March 20161,55234.66.93.75.14.3-1.616.63.6-2.88.412.4
CPI/Correo [17] 19–23 February 20161,65037.76.84.13.86.41.71.818.37.311.59.24.4
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [18] 13–18 February 20161,815309445-2186-589
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [19] 8–10 February 20161,2003511234-217813410
CPI/Correo [20] 5–9 February 20161,65034.17.72.72.16.21.82.214.112.61.54.27.73.1
GFK/La República [21] 22–26 January 20161,56332.69.51.9-6.5-2.710.4100.93.49.512.6
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [22] 12–14 January 20161,81533132-8-35132768
CPI/Correo [23] 9–12 January 20161,50032.113.12.3-7.2-3.2515.22.27.59.13.1
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [24] 8–11 January 20161,20035142-6-341035415
GFK/La República [25] 11–15 December 20151,26730112-5-328211719
CPI/Correo [26] 7–10 December 20151,45033.117.62.4-8.2-4.8-12.12.2510.64.1
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [27] 5–10 December 20151,8463316218-5-132497
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [28] 27 November–2 December 20151,20035142-7-40.4120.22.9176
GFK/La República [29] 20–24 November 20151,3653291-6-317-61917
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [30] 7–13 November 20151,8353416219-5-101598
CPI/Correo [31] 1–5 November 20151,45033.517.12.41.17.8-4.2-9.82.15.711.74.6
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [32] 29 October–3 November 20151,20035191-7-50.390.22.2138
GFK/La República [33] 17–20 October 20151,30833111-8-3-4251720
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [34] 9–14 October 20151,8353414219-5-621397
CPI/Correo [35] 5–9 October 20151,45032.915.81.9-7.8-5.3-3.33.112.611.65.7
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [36] 1–5 October 20151,20037181-8-5-434138
GFK/La República [37] 19–23 September 20151,30534120.5-6-4-325.51714
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [38] 6–10 September 20151,20036161-7150.643412.410
CPI/Correo [39] 23–28 August 20151,45034.214.71.9-8-5.8-3.63.615.610.83.8
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [40] 3–7 August 20151,2003417--6-3-4591210
GFK/La República [41] 18–23 July 20151,3193112--814-3291713
Datum/Gestión/Perú 21 [42] 22–23 July 20151,2003317--925-332420
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [43] 11–16 July 20151,8393315--1115-431585

Parliamentary election

The following graph shows the weighted polls.

PollsterDateRespondents Fuerza popular.svg
Popular Force
Peruanos Por el Kambio.png
Peruvians for Change
Logo-frente-amplio-Peru-alt.svg
Broad Front
Alianza para el Progreso Peru.svg
Alliance for the Progress of Peru
No image.svg
Popular Alliance
Lampa-AP.gif
Popular Action

Direct Democracy
Logo del partido Peru Posible.png
Possible Peru
Logo - Partido Nacionalista Peruano.svg
Peruvian Nationalist Party

All for Peru

National Solidarity-UPP Alliance
OtherBlank/NoneUndecided
2016 general elections 10 April 2016N/A36.316.513.99.28.37.24.32.4N/AN/AN/A1.8N/AN/A
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [44] 30 March-1 April 20161,800251310.55.66.15.711.2--1.10.730.1N/A
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [45] 22-24 March 20161,73424.512.97.53.866.11.21.5--1.8433.6N/A
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [46] 15–17 March 20161,7921811475913--241224
CPI/Correo [47] 13–16 March 20161,65026.611.65.37.26.161.71.8--1.80.99.921
GFK/La República [48] 11–15 March 20161,61121.510.234.36.47.3-----8.59.429.4
GFK/La República [49] 27 February–1 March 20161,55222.75.52.24.653.6-1.6-6.31.13.110.334
CPI/Correo [50] 19–23 February 20161,65024.17.32.97.47.52.9-1.81.17.1-3.615.818.4
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [51] 13–18 February 20161,81517102866-227-629
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [52] 12–14 January 20161,815199-1083-43427823
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [53] 5–10 December 20151,8462112--73-43--21821
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [54] 7–13 November 20151,8351910--83-43--211022
Ipsos Perú/El Comercio [55] 9–14 October 20151,8352012--74-54--20919

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