Opinion polling for the 2024 South Korean legislative election

Last updated

There have been several opinion polls conducted for the 2024 South Korean legislative election. For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee of Korea.

Contents

Constituency votes

7 day moving average curve of the polling for the constituency vote with a 7-day average bar chart. Constituency Polling for the 2024 Korean Legislative Election with a 7 day average.png
7 day moving average curve of the polling for the constituency vote with a 7-day average bar chart.

2024

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error		Polling firm DP PPP GJP NRP NFP RKP OthersInd.Und./
no ans.		Lead
10 Apr 2024 2024 elections 52.3445.760.370.680.7—0.15——6.58
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Research view 50.140.90.91.92.3—1.0—2.89.2
2-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 4036121—3—184
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Everyresearch / NewsSpirit 48.837.71.71.91.6—3.7—4.711.1
1-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 4339122—2—94
1-3 Apr 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 3739121—3—172
1-2 Apr 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.936.61.73.72.9—5.3—3.99.3
30 Mar-2 Apr 20245,000±1.4 Hankook Researach / KBS 40330.411—2—237
30 Mar-1 Apr 20242,033±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 47.537.31.53.33.3—2.9—4.210.2
30-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 4130031—1—2411
30-31 Mar 20241,006±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 49.139.60.82.01.9—2.3—4.29.5
29-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Research view 5140132—1—111
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 45.534.7————5.8—14.010.8
28-29 Mar 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 4835121—32913
25-28 Mar 20241,171±2.9 Korea Research / MBC 4632272—3—714
26-27 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 4335122—2—168
25-27 Mar 20244,041±1.5 Jowon C&I / Herald 45.440.11.03.63.0—4.6—1.75.3
25-26 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 46.238.31.72.93.8—3.6—3.47.9
24-26 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 4033021—2—227
24-25 Mar 20241,003±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 4332122—3—1811
23-25 Mar 20242,015±2.2 JowonC&I / Straight News 46.838.41.04.13.1—3.0—3.78.4
23-24 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 50.435.30.74.52.4—3.0—3.715.1
22-23 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 49.137.70.53.73.9—3.0—2.111.4
21–22 Mar 20241,016±3.1 Rnsearch 47.839.51.53.33.0—2.5—2.28.3
18–20 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 323212151—25Tie
18–19 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.536.71.64.81.59.32.6—5.11.8
17–19 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 363202142—234
16–18 Mar 20242,027±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 47.039.61.43.72.4—3.0—3.07.4
16–18 Mar 20241,008±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 45.238.20.23.42.0—1.61.97.57.0
16–17 Mar 20241,023±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 44.939.01.63.62.7—3.9—4.25.9
15–16 Mar 20241,068±3.0 Rnsearch / Asia Today 43.939.81.04.04.3—3.3—3.64.1
13–14 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 47.040.61.23.92.8—1.6—3.06.4
12 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 39.041.60.83.82.25.43.4—3.82.6
9–11 Mar 20242,000±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 46.840.51.13.72.4—2.7—2.96.3
8–10 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 3738031—3—3.61
8–9 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 43.341.11.64.22.8—2.0—5.12.2
7–9 Mar 20242,009±2.2 Meta Voice / JTBC 373713142 [lower-alpha 1] —15Tie
7–9 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 32350.31131.5 [lower-alpha 2] —273
5–6 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 41.940.01.52.22.55.22.3—4.41.9
4–6 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 31351214——244
4–5 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.240.91.64.22.25.42.0—5.62.7
3–4 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 3935131—3—194
2–3 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 263312131—327
3 March 2024 Rebuilding Korea Party established
26 Feb–1 Mar 20241,216±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 324521634—919
26–27 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 39.643.71.33.82.24.61.4—3.64.1
25–27 Feb 20243,003±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 33350.42121.5 [lower-alpha 3] —262
24–25 Feb 20241,021±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 3238141—5 [lower-alpha 4] —206
22–23 Feb 20241,015±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 4041131—23101
22–23 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 37.944.31.64.61.74.91.6—3.46.4
19–21 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 333513——3—252
20 February 2024New Reform splits into New Reform and New Future
19–20 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.944.20.64.9—3.82.7—5.96.3
18–19 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 343614——3—232
16–18 Feb 20245,004±1.4 Realmeter / NewsSpirit 40.340.41.05.8——5.7 [lower-alpha 5] 1.94.70.1
15–17 Feb 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Research / KBS 34330.43——1—281
11–12 Feb 20241,004±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 353416——3 [lower-alpha 6] —211
9 February 2024New Future-New Reform merger
6–7 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 3636143—2—19Tie
5–6 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.443.11.34.73.6—3.2—5.64.7
4 February 2024 New Future established as a short-lived political party
30 Jan – 3 Feb 20241,265±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 4430294—3—814
30 January 2024 Green–Justice electoral alliance formed
27–29 Jan 20242,006±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 44.036.51.65.73.7—5.5—2.97.5
25–26 Jan 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 43392———32124
22–23 Jan 20241,004±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.737.12.46.74.0—3.7—5.43.6
21–22 Jan 20241,000±3.0 Embrain Public / YTN 34291———7—285
20 January 2024 New Reform established.
13–15 Jan 20242,002±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.434.71.59.74.3—4.9—2.57.7
10–12 Jan 20241,314±2.7 Korea Research / MBC 45332———9—1012
8–9 Jan 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 36.7 37.31.67.83.9—4.3—8.30.6
7–8 Jan 20241,002±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 34291———6—305
2 January 2024 Attempted assassination of Lee Jae-myung

2023

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error		Polling firm DP PPP JP NRP NFP RKP OthersInd.Und./
no ans.		Lead
29–31 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Research view 46402———7—56
29–30 Dec 20231,001±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 33272128—3—156
28–29 Dec 20231,017±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 41383———33113
25–26 Dec 20231,015±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.438.61.8———5.53.68.13.8
18–19 Dec 20231,008±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 42333———34149
17–18 Dec 20231,006±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 34272———5—337
13–17 Dec 20231,508±2.5 Korea Research / MBC 41302———6—2111
11–12 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.636.73.2———6.03.48.15.9
7–8 Dec 20231,033±3.0 Gallup Korea / Kookmin Ilbo 39363———25163
28–30 Nov 20231,000±3.1 Research view 44403———6—74
28–29 Nov 20231,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.840.42.5———5.24.29.01.6
19–20 Nov 20231,000±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 39252———5—3014
18–20 Nov 20232,018±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 29.230.82.614.6—11.22.3—9.31.6
13–14 Nov 20231,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.637.91.6———8.13.38.52.7
4–5 Nov 20231,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 32332———5—281
30–31 Oct 20231,000±3.1 Research view 50343———6—716
30–31 Oct 20231,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.634.12.4———3.93.910.011.5
22–23 Oct 20231,004±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 39.727.31.6———2.9—28.512.4
16–17 Oct 20231,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.034.12.5———3.64.99.810.9
12–13 Oct 20231,013±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 42.032.84.0———2.33.615.29.2
2–3 Oct 20231,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 47.038.91.9———2.92.27.18.1
29–30 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Research view 50393———3—411
25–26 Sep 20231,002±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 38.929.81.4———3.1—26.89.1
18–19 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.638.13.1———2.63.910.73.5
4–5 Sep 20231,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.536.53.5———2.83.911.95.0
29–30 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Research view 44393———7—85
15 April 2020 2020 elections 49.9141.461.71———3.013.91—8.45

Proportional votes

7 day moving average curve of the polling for the proportional vote with a 7-day average bar chart. Proportional Polling for the 2024 Korean Legislative Election with a 7 day average.png
7 day moving average curve of the polling for the proportional vote with a 7-day average bar chart.

2024

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error		Polling firm DAK PFP GJP LUP NRP NFP RKP OthersUnd./
no ans.		Lead
10 Apr 2024 2024 elections 26.6936.672.142.263.611.7024.252.68—9.98
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Research view 19.033.12.0—4.93.928.13.65.45.0
2-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 18282242221226
2-3 Apr 20241,004±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 16.329.61.45.95.63.430.34.13.50.7
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Everyresearch / NewsSpirit 20.126.52.94.73.64.327.73.96.41.2
1-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 21303342242136
1-3 Apr 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 15311—31233238
1-2 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Realmeter/ Media Tribune 19.431.12.04.35.02.828.23.04.02.9
1-2 Apr 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 18.829.71.65.45.73.527.83.04.61.9
1-2 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 20.232.41.7—3.74.326.15.85.86.3
30 Mar-2 Apr 20245,000±1.4 Hankook Researach / KBS 17281—31223266
30 Mar-1 Apr 20242,033±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 18.330.42.2—5.63.430.14.25.80.3
30-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 14241141251291
30-31 Mar 20241,006±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 22.235.12.1—3.72.524.73.56.210.4
29-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Research view 18323—4531351
29-30 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Flower Research 19.731.12.2—5.63.628.83.95.22.3
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 20.629.82.83.03.00.924.02.014.15.8
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 19.030.20.95.04.04.429.51.55.40.7
28-29 Mar 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 24312232241117
27-28 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 25302—4428342
26-28 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 223422422201312
25-28 Mar 20241,171±2.9 Korea Research / MBC 2125347325112Tie
26-27 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 23282232201205
25-27 Mar 20244,041±1.5 Jowon C&I / Herald 19.635.01.3—4.73.627.64.04.27.4
25-26 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 21.230.62.24.83.85.627.02.12.83.6
24-26 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 18261—32222274
24-25 Mar 20241,003±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 20281—22253203
23-25 Mar 20242,015±2.2 JowonC&I / Straight News 19.331.62.2—5.43.629.53.05.52.1
23-24 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 21.628.12.0—6.23.429.14.05.61.0
22-23 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 21.6 31.51.3—4.14.228.73.74.82.8
21–22 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 20.129.83.12.84.14.627.71.95.92.1
21–22 Mar 20241,016±3.1 Rnsearch 21.033.91.5—4.43.826.74.34.27.2
19-21 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 23301252220157
18–20 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 16271—32192308
18–19 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 18.734.22.3—5.42.329.23.44.55.0
17–19 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 18 291—31211258
18–19 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 18.534.82.0—3.82.627.52.68.27.3
16–18 Mar 20242,027±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 19.235.31.7—4.43.330.22.83.15.1
16–18 Mar 20241,008±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 17.933.61.7—4.12.029.83.37.63.8
16–17 Mar 20241,023±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 18.031.72.9—5.54.229.43.05.32.3
15–16 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Everyresearch / NewsSpirit 20.631.32.13.05.24.724.43.94.76.9
15–16 Mar 20241,068±3.0 Rnsearch / Asia Today 20.233.62.7—5.32.825.43.56.58.2
14–15 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 18.031.12.74.24.94.026.82.16.24.3
13–14 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 19.734.21.4—4.83.228.32.36.15.9
12–14 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 243421421901410
12 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 20.139.91.12.64.22.423.92.33.516.0
9–11 Mar 20242,000±2.2 JowonC&I / Straight News 21.037.42.1—5.03.326.11.93.111.3
8–10 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 21311—311532410
8–9 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Flower Research 21.332.32.4—5.52.925.84.15.76.5
8–9 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 21.735.22.3—5.33.922.42.86.412.8
7–9 Mar 20242,009±2.2 Meta Voice / JTBC 21322—421921911
7–9 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 16321—311712915
5–7 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 25372—521511312
5–6 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 22.937.21.4—2.93.022.95.34.514.3
4–6 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 17282—4114—319
4–5 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 22.738.61.9—5.84.220.33.13.415.9
3–4 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 21302—42154249
2–3 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 14281—321313814
3 March 2024 Rebuilding Korea Party established
26 Feb–1 Mar 20241,216±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 28263—92134132
26–27 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 25.640.91.8—5.43.416.23.03.715.3
25–27 Feb 20243,003±1.8 Hankook Research / KBS 23321—3191299
24–25 Feb 20241,021±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 27343—61—6227
23–24 Feb 20241,009±3.1 Flower Research 30.635.12.1—4.93.617.02.44.34.5
22–23 Feb 20241,015±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 34393—62—795
22–23 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 28.941.41.7—5.72.313.32.64.012.5
19–21 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 25332—6——6298
20 February 2024New Reform splits into New Reform and New Future
19–20 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 26.839.72.3—6.5—13.04.96.912.9
18–19 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 25312—7——7296
16–18 Feb 20245,004±1.4 Realmeter / NewsSpirit 36.536.43.03.48.6——3.78.30.1
16–17 Feb 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 35.434.61.5—7.2—13.63.04.60.8
15–17 Feb 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Research / KBS 28301—5——2322
11–12 Feb 20241,004±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 29302—8——3 [lower-alpha 7] 281
9 February 2024New Future-New Reform merger
6–7 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 29323—64—3223
4 February 2024 New Future established as a short-lived political party
30 Jan–3 Feb 20241,265±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 38285—93—8910
30 January 2024 Green–Justice electoral alliance formed
29–30 Jan 20241,004±3.1 Gallup Korea / The Segye Times 33353—84—6112
21–22 Jan 20241,000±3.0 Embrain Public / YTN 29273————12292
20 January 2024 New Reform established
10–12 Jan 20241,314±2.7 Korea Research / MBC 29263—115—14153
2 January 2024 Attempted assassination of Lee Jae-myung.

2023

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error		Polling firm DAK PFP GJP LUP OthersUnd./
no ans.		Lead
28–29 Dec 20231,017±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 36406—5124
13–17 Dec 20231,508±2.5 Korea Research / MBC 34287—11206
5–7 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 37377—317Tie
7–9 Nov 20231,001±3.0 Gallup Korea 36396—4163
10–12 Oct 20231,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 37386—4151
5–7 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 40367—3144
15 April 2020 2020 elections 33.3633.849.671.8421.29—0.48

See also

Notes

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Legislative Assembly elections were held in Delhi on 8 February 2020 to elect 70 members of the Delhi Legislative Assembly. Voters turnout was recorded at 62.82%, a decline of 4.65% from the previous assembly election in Delhi but 2.2% more than the 2019 Indian general election in Delhi. The term of the assembly elected in 2015 expired on 22 February 2020. The Aam Aadmi Party, led by Arvind Kejriwal won 62 seats to claim an absolute majority in the elections.

In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island councils in the Balearic Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.

In the run up to the November 2019 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities and constituencies in Spain during the term of the 13th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 28 April 2019, to the day the next election was held, on 10 November 2019.

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Andalusia are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Aragon are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castilla–La Mancha are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.

References

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