Opinion polling for the 2024 South Korean legislative election

Last updated

There have been several opinion polls conducted for the 2024 South Korean legislative election. For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee of Korea.

Contents

Constituency votes

7 day moving average curve of the polling for the constituency vote with a 7-day average bar chart. Constituency Polling for the 2024 Korean Legislative Election with a 7 day average.png
7 day moving average curve of the polling for the constituency vote with a 7-day average bar chart.

2024

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error
Polling firm DP PPP GJP NRP NFP RKP OthersInd.Und./
no ans.
Lead
10 Apr 2024 2024 elections 52.3445.760.370.680.70.156.58
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Research view 50.140.90.91.92.31.02.89.2
2-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 40361213184
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Everyresearch / NewsSpirit 48.837.71.71.91.63.74.711.1
1-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 4339122294
1-3 Apr 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 37391213172
1-2 Apr 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.936.61.73.72.95.33.99.3
30 Mar-2 Apr 20245,000±1.4 Hankook Researach / KBS 40330.4112237
30 Mar-1 Apr 20242,033±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 47.537.31.53.33.32.94.210.2
30-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 413003112411
30-31 Mar 20241,006±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 49.139.60.82.01.92.34.29.5
29-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Research view 51401321111
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 45.534.75.814.010.8
28-29 Mar 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 483512132913
25-28 Mar 20241,171±2.9 Korea Research / MBC 46322723714
26-27 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 43351222168
25-27 Mar 20244,041±1.5 Jowon C&I / Herald 45.440.11.03.63.04.61.75.3
25-26 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 46.238.31.72.93.83.63.47.9
24-26 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 40330212227
24-25 Mar 20241,003±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 433212231811
23-25 Mar 20242,015±2.2 JowonC&I / Straight News 46.838.41.04.13.13.03.78.4
23-24 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 50.435.30.74.52.43.03.715.1
22-23 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 49.137.70.53.73.93.02.111.4
21–22 Mar 20241,016±3.1 Rnsearch 47.839.51.53.33.02.52.28.3
18–20 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 32321215125Tie
18–19 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.536.71.64.81.59.32.65.11.8
17–19 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 363202142234
16–18 Mar 20242,027±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 47.039.61.43.72.43.03.07.4
16–18 Mar 20241,008±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 45.238.20.23.42.01.61.97.57.0
16–17 Mar 20241,023±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 44.939.01.63.62.73.94.25.9
15–16 Mar 20241,068±3.0 Rnsearch / Asia Today 43.939.81.04.04.33.33.64.1
13–14 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 47.040.61.23.92.81.63.06.4
12 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 39.041.60.83.82.25.43.43.82.6
9–11 Mar 20242,000±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 46.840.51.13.72.42.72.96.3
8–10 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 373803133.61
8–9 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 43.341.11.64.22.82.05.12.2
7–9 Mar 20242,009±2.2 Meta Voice / JTBC 373713142 [a] 15Tie
7–9 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 32350.31131.5 [b] 273
5–6 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 41.940.01.52.22.55.22.34.41.9
4–6 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 31351214244
4–5 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.240.91.64.22.25.42.05.62.7
3–4 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 39351313194
2–3 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 263312131327
3 March 2024 Rebuilding Korea Party established
26 Feb–1 Mar 20241,216±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 324521634919
26–27 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 39.643.71.33.82.24.61.43.64.1
25–27 Feb 20243,003±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 33350.42121.5 [c] 262
24–25 Feb 20241,021±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 32381415 [d] 206
22–23 Feb 20241,015±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 404113123101
22–23 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 37.944.31.64.61.74.91.63.46.4
19–21 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 3335133252
20 February 2024New Reform splits into New Reform and New Future
19–20 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.944.20.64.93.82.75.96.3
18–19 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 3436143232
16–18 Feb 20245,004±1.4 Realmeter / NewsSpirit 40.340.41.05.85.7 [e] 1.94.70.1
15–17 Feb 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Research / KBS 34330.431281
11–12 Feb 20241,004±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 3534163 [f] 211
9 February 2024New Future-New Reform merger
6–7 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 3636143219Tie
5–6 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.443.11.34.73.63.25.64.7
4 February 2024 New Future established as a short-lived political party
30 Jan – 3 Feb 20241,265±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 44302943814
30 January 2024 GreenJustice electoral alliance formed
27–29 Jan 20242,006±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 44.036.51.65.73.75.52.97.5
25–26 Jan 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 4339232124
22–23 Jan 20241,004±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.737.12.46.74.03.75.43.6
21–22 Jan 20241,000±3.0 Embrain Public / YTN 342917285
20 January 2024 New Reform established.
13–15 Jan 20242,002±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.434.71.59.74.34.92.57.7
10–12 Jan 20241,314±2.7 Korea Research / MBC 4533291012
8–9 Jan 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 36.7 37.31.67.83.94.38.30.6
7–8 Jan 20241,002±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 342916305
2 January 2024 Attempted assassination of Lee Jae-myung

2023

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error
Polling firm DP PPP JP NRP NFP RKP OthersInd.Und./
no ans.
Lead
29–31 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Research view 46402756
29–30 Dec 20231,001±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 332721283156
28–29 Dec 20231,017±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 4138333113
25–26 Dec 20231,015±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.438.61.85.53.68.13.8
18–19 Dec 20231,008±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 4233334149
17–18 Dec 20231,006±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 342725337
13–17 Dec 20231,508±2.5 Korea Research / MBC 4130262111
11–12 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.636.73.26.03.48.15.9
7–8 Dec 20231,033±3.0 Gallup Korea / Kookmin Ilbo 3936325163
28–30 Nov 20231,000±3.1 Research view 44403674
28–29 Nov 20231,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 38.840.42.55.24.29.01.6
19–20 Nov 20231,000±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 3925253014
18–20 Nov 20232,018±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 29.230.82.614.611.22.39.31.6
13–14 Nov 20231,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.637.91.68.13.38.52.7
4–5 Nov 20231,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 323325281
30–31 Oct 20231,000±3.1 Research view 503436716
30–31 Oct 20231,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.634.12.43.93.910.011.5
22–23 Oct 20231,004±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 39.727.31.62.928.512.4
16–17 Oct 20231,002±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.034.12.53.64.99.810.9
12–13 Oct 20231,013±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 42.032.84.02.33.615.29.2
2–3 Oct 20231,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 47.038.91.92.92.27.18.1
29–30 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Research view 503933411
25–26 Sep 20231,002±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 38.929.81.43.126.89.1
18–19 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.638.13.12.63.910.73.5
4–5 Sep 20231,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.536.53.52.83.911.95.0
29–30 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Research view 44393785
15 April 2020 2020 elections 49.9141.461.713.013.918.45

Proportional votes

7 day moving average curve of the polling for the proportional vote with a 7-day average bar chart. Proportional Polling for the 2024 Korean Legislative Election with a 7 day average.png
7 day moving average curve of the polling for the proportional vote with a 7-day average bar chart.

2024

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error
Polling firm DAK PFP GJP LUP NRP NFP RKP OthersUnd./
no ans.
Lead
10 Apr 2024 2024 elections 26.6936.672.142.263.611.7024.252.689.98
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Research view 19.033.12.04.93.928.13.65.45.0
2-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 18282242221226
2-3 Apr 20241,004±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 16.329.61.45.95.63.430.34.13.50.7
2-3 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Everyresearch / NewsSpirit 20.126.52.94.73.64.327.73.96.41.2
1-3 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 21303342242136
1-3 Apr 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 1531131233238
1-2 Apr 20241,000±3.1 Realmeter/ Media Tribune 19.431.12.04.35.02.828.23.04.02.9
1-2 Apr 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 18.829.71.65.45.73.527.83.04.61.9
1-2 Apr 20241,002±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 20.232.41.73.74.326.15.85.86.3
30 Mar-2 Apr 20245,000±1.4 Hankook Researach / KBS 1728131223266
30 Mar-1 Apr 20242,033±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 18.330.42.25.63.430.14.25.80.3
30-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 14241141251291
30-31 Mar 20241,006±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 22.235.12.13.72.524.73.56.210.4
29-31 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Research view 183234531351
29-30 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Flower Research 19.731.12.25.63.628.83.95.22.3
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 20.629.82.83.03.00.924.02.014.15.8
28-29 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 19.030.20.95.04.04.429.51.55.40.7
28-29 Mar 20241,011±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 24312232241117
27-28 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 253024428342
26-28 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 223422422201312
25-28 Mar 20241,171±2.9 Korea Research / MBC 2125347325112Tie
26-27 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 23282232201205
25-27 Mar 20244,041±1.5 Jowon C&I / Herald 19.635.01.34.73.627.64.04.27.4
25-26 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 21.230.62.24.83.85.627.02.12.83.6
24-26 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 1826132222274
24-25 Mar 20241,003±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 2028122253203
23-25 Mar 20242,015±2.2 JowonC&I / Straight News 19.331.62.25.43.629.53.05.52.1
23-24 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 21.628.12.06.23.429.14.05.61.0
22-23 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 21.6 31.51.34.14.228.73.74.82.8
21–22 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 20.129.83.12.84.14.627.71.95.92.1
21–22 Mar 20241,016±3.1 Rnsearch 21.033.91.54.43.826.74.34.27.2
19-21 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gallup Korea 23301252220157
18–20 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 1627132192308
18–19 Mar 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 18.734.22.35.42.329.23.44.55.0
17–19 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 18 29131211258
18–19 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 18.534.82.03.82.627.52.68.27.3
16–18 Mar 20242,027±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 19.235.31.74.43.330.22.83.15.1
16–18 Mar 20241,008±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 17.933.61.74.12.029.83.37.63.8
16–17 Mar 20241,023±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 18.031.72.95.54.229.43.05.32.3
15–16 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Everyresearch / NewsSpirit 20.631.32.13.05.24.724.43.94.76.9
15–16 Mar 20241,068±3.0 Rnsearch / Asia Today 20.233.62.75.32.825.43.56.58.2
14–15 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 18.031.12.74.24.94.026.82.16.24.3
13–14 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 19.734.21.44.83.228.32.36.15.9
12–14 Mar 20241,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 243421421901410
12 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 20.139.91.12.64.22.423.92.33.516.0
9–11 Mar 20242,000±2.2 JowonC&I / Straight News 21.037.42.15.03.326.11.93.111.3
8–10 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 21311311532410
8–9 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Flower Research 21.332.32.45.52.925.84.15.76.5
8–9 Mar 20241,005±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 21.735.22.35.33.922.42.86.412.8
7–9 Mar 20242,009±2.2 Meta Voice / JTBC 21322421921911
7–9 Mar 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Researach / KBS 16321311712915
5–7 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 25372521511312
5–6 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Rnsearch 22.937.21.42.93.022.95.34.514.3
4–6 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 172824114319
4–5 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 22.738.61.95.84.220.33.13.415.9
3–4 Mar 20241,004±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 2130242154249
2–3 Mar 20241,000±3.1 Metrix / Yonhap News 14281321313814
3 March 2024 Rebuilding Korea Party established
26 Feb–1 Mar 20241,216±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 2826392134132
26–27 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 25.640.91.85.43.416.23.03.715.3
25–27 Feb 20243,003±1.8 Hankook Research / KBS 233213191299
24–25 Feb 20241,021±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 27343616227
23–24 Feb 20241,009±3.1 Flower Research 30.635.12.14.93.617.02.44.34.5
22–23 Feb 20241,015±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 3439362795
22–23 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Fntoday, The Public 28.941.41.75.72.313.32.64.012.5
19–21 Feb 20241,005±3.1 Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Researach 2533266298
20 February 2024New Reform splits into New Reform and New Future
19–20 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 26.839.72.36.513.04.96.912.9
18–19 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 2531277296
16–18 Feb 20245,004±1.4 Realmeter / NewsSpirit 36.536.43.03.48.63.78.30.1
16–17 Feb 20241,002±3.1 Flower Research 35.434.61.57.213.63.04.60.8
15–17 Feb 20243,000±1.8 Hankook Research / KBS 2830152322
11–12 Feb 20241,004±3.1 Meta Voice / JTBC 2930283 [g] 281
9 February 2024New Future-New Reform merger
6–7 Feb 20241,001±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 29323643223
4 February 2024 New Future established as a short-lived political party
30 Jan–3 Feb 20241,265±2.8 Korea Research / MBC 38285938910
30 January 2024 GreenJustice electoral alliance formed
29–30 Jan 20241,004±3.1 Gallup Korea / The Segye Times 33353846112
21–22 Jan 20241,000±3.0 Embrain Public / YTN 2927312292
20 January 2024 New Reform established
10–12 Jan 20241,314±2.7 Korea Research / MBC 2926311514153
2 January 2024 Attempted assassination of Lee Jae-myung.

2023

Fieldwork dateSample sizeMargin
of error
Polling firm DAK PFP GJP LUP OthersUnd./
no ans.
Lead
28–29 Dec 20231,017±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 364065124
13–17 Dec 20231,508±2.5 Korea Research / MBC 3428711206
5–7 Dec 20231,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 37377317Tie
7–9 Nov 20231,001±3.0 Gallup Korea 363964163
10–12 Oct 20231,002±3.1 Gallup Korea 373864151
5–7 Sep 20231,000±3.1 Gallup Korea 403673144
15 April 2020 2020 elections 33.3633.849.671.8421.290.48

See also

Notes

References