Opinion polling for the September 2015 Greek legislative election

Last updated

In the run up to the Greek legislative election of September 2015 , various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 25 January 2015, to the day the next election was held, on 20 September 2015.

Election polling

Vote

Graphical summary
Local regression trend line of poll results from 25 January to 20 September 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party. OpinionPollingGreeceLegislativeElectionSep2015.svg
Local regression trend line of poll results from 25 January to 20 September 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party.
Poll results

The tables below list nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who were undecided or said they would abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding these numbers from the totals offered through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 151 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample size SYRIZA flags.svg Nea Dimokratia Logo small.svg Meandros flag.svg Potami Logo of the Communist Party of Greece.svg ANEL PASOK logo 2012.svg KIDISO Logotupo tes Enose Kentroon.svg Laiki-enotita.logo.png Lead
September 2015 legislative election20 Sep 201535.5
145
28.1
75
7.0
18
4.1
11
5.6
15
3.7
10
6.3
17
3.4
9
2.9
0
7.4
Singular Logic [1] 20 Sep 2015 (21:00)?35.5
145
28.0
75
7.1
19
4.0
10
5.5
15
3.7
10
6.4
17
3.4
9
2.8
0
7.5
Metron–Alco–GPO–Opinion–Marc–MRB
[2]
20 Sep 2015 (20:30)8,00034.6–
37.0
26.8–
29.2
5.6–
6.8
3.8–
4.8
5.7–
6.9
2.6–
3.4
5.5–
6.7
3.3–
4.3
2.5–
3.3
7.8
Kapa Research/To Vima [3] 20 Sep 2015 (20:00)5,00033.8
144
28.5
75
7.2
20
4.0
10
5.8
15
3.9
10
6.9
17
3.5
9
2.9
0
5.3
Metron–Alco–GPO–Opinion–Marc–MRB
[4] [5] [6]
20 Sep 2015 (20:00)8,00033.0–
35.0

139/143
28.5–
30.0
75/80
7.0–
8.0
18/22
4.0–
4.5
10/12
5.5–
6.5
12/15
3.0–
4.0
8/10
6.0–
7.0
16/20
3.0–
4.0
8/10
2.5–
3.0
0
4.5–
5.0
Kapa Research/To Vima [3] [7] 20 Sep 2015 (19:00)5,00032.0
133/136
29.5
77/79
7.0
18/19
5.0
13
6.4
17
3.5
9
6.6
17/18
3.0
0/8
3.2
8/9
2.5
PAMAK [8] 20 Sep 2015 (19:00)?31.0–
35.0
29.0–
33.0
6.0–
8.0
3.5–
5.5
5.0–
7.0
2.5–
4.5
5.0–
7.0
2.5–
4.5
2.5–
3.5
2.0
Pulse RC/Action24 [9] [10] 20 Sep 2015 (19:00)?29.5–
34.5
28.5–
33.5
5.0–
8.0
4.5–
7.5
4.5–
7.5
1.5–
4.5
5.0–
8.0
2.0–
5.0
2.0–
5.0
1.0
Metron–Alco–GPO–Opinion–Marc–MRB
[11] [12]
20 Sep 2015 (19:00)8,00030.0–
34.0

127/137
28.5–
32.5
73/83
6.5–
8.0
16/22
4.0–
5.5
10/14
5.5–
7.0
14/18
3.0–
4.0
8/10
5.5–
7.0
14/18
3.2–
4.2
9/12
2.5–
3.5
8/9
1.5
Kapa Research/To Vima [13] 17–18 Sep 20151,20133.029.96.85.46.03.26.33.43.33.1
MRB/Star [14] 17–18 Sep 2015?31.831.97.16.05.12.85.93.63.30.1
PAMAK/Skai [15] 17–18 Sep 20151,08334.031.07.05.05.52.05.53.53.53.0
Palmos Analysis/tvxs [16] 17–18 Sep 2015?32.531.57.54.57.02.55.53.04.01.0
MRB/Star [17] 17–18 Sep 2015?31.730.66.66.05.73.25.74.03.91.1
GPO/Mega TV [18] 16–18 Sep 20151,20032.429.56.95.56.53.46.83.24.42.9
Rass/iefimerida [19] 16–18 Sep 20151,00231.730.97.54.66.12.86.73.43.40.8
Marc/Alpha TV [20] 15–18 Sep 20151,75431.7
135
30.4
81
6.9
18
5.9
16
5.8
15
2.9
0
5.8
15
4.0
11
3.3
9
1.3
ProRata/EfSyn [21] 17 Sep 20151,00332.028.58.06.06.53.06.04.03.03.5
Metron Analysis/ANT1 [22] 16–17 Sep 20151,20431.7
132
31.2
80
7.1
18
5.8
15
6.0
15
3.0
8
6.0
15
3.1
8
3.4
9
0.5
Bridging Europe [23] 15–17 Sep 20151,03131.727.87.14.76.72.65.32.45.83.9
Metrisi/Eleftheros Typos [24] [25] 15–17 Sep 2015?30.732.36.35.36.13.15.83.53.61.6
Pulse RC/To Pontiki [26] 15–17 Sep 20151,60530.530.57.56.06.02.57.53.03.5Tie
Interview/Vergina TV [27] 15–17 Sep 20151,00030.533.05.55.06.52.56.54.52.52.5
Alco/NewsIT [28] 15–17 Sep 20151,00030.730.37.55.27.03.05.74.53.70.4
AUTH [29] 14–17 Sep 2015?31.129.67.84.95.82.36.13.05.41.5
Public Issue [30] [31] 14–17 Sep 20151,00933.0
139
30.0
81
7.0
19
4.5
12
6.5
18
2.5
0
8.0
22
2.5
0
3.5
9
3.0
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [32] 15–16 Sep 2015?31.6
84
31.9
134
6.7
18
5.9
16
6.2
16
2.7
0
5.2
14
3.6
9
3.4
9
0.3
E-Voice/dikaiologitika.gr [33] 15–16 Sep 20151,00732.628.58.15.75.63.55.62.94.74.1
Kapa Research/To Vima [34] 15–16 Sep 20151,00731.330.77.25.45.93.26.43.53.80.6
ProRata/EfSyn [35] 15 Sep 20151,00033.028.09.06.06.03.06.03.53.55.0
GPO/Ethnikos Kirikas [36] 14–15 Sep 20151,06031.531.56.84.85.83.46.83.43.6Tie
PAMAK/Skai [37] 14–15 Sep 20152,21431.532.07.05.56.02.55.54.03.00.5
Pulse RC/Action24 [38] 14–15 Sep 20151,25830.030.57.56.06.02.57.53.04.00.5
Data RC/pelop.gr [39] 11–14 Sep 20151,06331.732.76.75.66.33.26.93.13.21.0
Metron Analysis/ANT1 [40] 10–14 Sep 20151,40331.6
80/130
31.6
80/130
7.2
18
5.9
15
6.2
16
3.0
8
5.3
13
3.9
10
3.8
10
Tie
Pulse RC/To Pontiki [41] 10–11 Sep 20151,20430.030.07.56.06.02.57.04.04.5Tie
Palmos Analysis/tvxs [42] 10–11 Sep 20151,00433.5
135
30.5
77
7.0
18
5.5
14
5.0
13
3.5
9
6.0
15
4.5
11
3.0
8
3.0
GPO/Mega TV [43] 10–11 Sep 20151,20030.430.17.65.16.73.57.03.94.20.3
Bridging Europe [44] 9–11 Sep 20151,02832.824.67.85.96.62.63.82.87.88.2
PAMAK/Skai [45] 9–11 Sep 20152,00131.030.07.55.56.52.06.05.03.51.0
Kapa Research/To Vima [46] 9–10 Sep 20151,00829.729.27.85.66.63.56.84.04.70.5
Alco/Proto Thema [47] [48] 8–10 Sep 20151,00030.6
128/130
29.7
75/78
7.8
20
4.8
12/13
7.4
19/20
3.1
0/8
6.2
16
4.7
12
4.0
10/11
0.9
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [49] 8–10 Sep 20151,20631.7
131
31.3
80
6.2
16
5.5
14
5.9
15
3.0
8
5.2
13
5.9
15
3.3
8
0.4
Public Issue [50] [51] 5–10 Sep 20151,00931.031.07.04.56.52.08.03.04.0Tie
ProRata/EfSyn [52] [53] 7–9 Sep 20151,30034.528.58.05.05.53.05.54.03.06.0
ProRata/HellasNet [54] 5–9 Sep 20151,30034.028.58.05.05.53.05.54.03.05.5
Pulse RC/Action24 [55] 7–8 Sep 20151,31930.530.07.56.06.52.07.04.04.00.5
GPO/Ethnikos Kirikas [56] 3–4 Sep 20151,07130.030.57.45.45.73.66.84.54.80.5
MRB/Star [57] 3–4 Sep 20151,00329.629.67.15.45.92.76.14.64.3Tie
Pulse RC/bankingnews.gr [58] 2–4 Sep 20151,10830.029.57.06.06.03.06.54.54.50.5
Public Issue [59] 1–4 Sep 20151,00228.5
75
30.0
129
7.0
18
5.5
15
7.5
20
2.0
0
8.0
21
3.5
9
5.0
13
1.5
Marc/Ethnos [60] 1–4 Sep 20151,03230.429.97.46.36.03.55.44.54.50.5
Kapa Research/To Vima [61] 2–3 Sep 2015?30.029.37.45.86.03.46.64.05.30.7
PAMAK/Skai [62] 1–3 Sep 20151,04130.030.07.56.06.51.55.05.04.5Tie
Bridging Europe [63] 1–3 Sep 20151,02332.624.07.47.16.82.43.82.97.58.6
Pulse RC/To Pontiki [64] 1–2 Sep 20151,10530.029.57.56.06.03.06.54.05.00.5
AUTH [65] 31 Aug–2 Sep 2015?27.128.29.65.35.52.14.24.88.61.1
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [66] 31 Aug–2 Sep 20151,20729.6
79
30.4
131
6.5
17
6.0
16
6.5
17
2.6
0
5.0
14
5.1
14
4.3
12
0.8
GPO/Mega TV [67] 31 Aug–2 Sep 2015?30.530.96.75.66.23.76.53.94.90.4
Alco/NewsIT [68] 31 Aug–2 Sep 20151,00029.228.77.85.56.92.65.34.64.90.5
Pulse RC/Action24 [69] [70] [71] 31 Aug–1 Sep 20151,10830.529.57.56.06.03.06.01.03.55.01.0
Alco/Proto Thema [72] 25–28 Aug 20151,00029.327.48.16.66.13.15.31.63.95.21.9
Marc/Alpha TV [73] 25–28 Aug 2015?31.228.66.87.15.23.75.44.74.72.6
E-Voice/HellasNet [74] 26–27 Aug 2015?32.026.97.15.44.84.24.03.54.85.1
PAMAK/Skai [75] 25–27 Aug 20151,10029.025.56.57.07.02.55.55.56.03.5
MRB/Agora [76] 25–27 Aug 20151,00829.627.47.56.75.72.84.75.75.12.2
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [77] 24–27 Aug 2015?29.0
129
27.8
75
8.3
23
6.7
18
5.9
16
2.3
0
5.4
15
4.9
13
4.1
11
1.2
Kapa Research/To Vima [78] 25–26 Aug 20151,00531.527.97.86.35.83.54.63.85.53.6
ProRata/EfSyn [79] 25–26 Aug 20151,00031.026.08.55.56.52.56.04.04.55.0
Rass/To Paron [80] 24–26 Aug 20151,00329.526.87.07.26.82.83.85.26.42.7
Bridging Europe [81] 24–26 Aug 20151,01533.422.87.47.77.23.03.63.27.610.6
Interview/Vergina TV [82] 24–25 Aug 2015?29.026.57.06.55.54.05.55.05.52.5
Bridging Europe [83] 22–24 Jul 20151,01041.223.17.37.96.55.13.718.1
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [84] 20–21 Jul 2015?41.221.96.67.55.13.44.41.64.019.3
Palmos Analysis/EfSyn [85] 15–17 Jul 20151,00442.5
164
21.5
58
6.5
17
8.0
22
5.5
16
3.0
8
6.0
17
21.0
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [86] 8–9 Jul 2015?45.622.65.16.34.53.25.01.34.123.0
Marc [73] 3 Jul 2015?40.524.95.06.25.23.75.63.015.6
ProRata [79] 2 Jul 2015?42.024.08.06.56.52.53.02.518.0
Alco/Proto Thema [87] 24–26 Jun 20151,00038.625.56.36.36.13.94.61.82.313.1
Public Issue [88] [89] 11–17 Jun 20151,00647.519.56.56.55.54.04.52.028.0
ProRata/Sto Kokkino [90] 15–16 Jun 20151,00643.017.57.57.55.04.04.01.54.025.5
GPO/Mega TV [91] 15 Jun 2015?39.726.06.26.86.14.23.63.113.7
Metrisi/Proto Thema [92] 10–12 Jun 2015?37.628.25.87.16.25.93.69.4
Marc/Alpha TV [93] 7–10 Jun 20151,00141.223.66.07.66.34.53.91.32.217.6
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [94] 6 Jun 2015?45.021.45.37.45.23.83.52.11.323.6
PAMAK/Skai [95] 3–6 Jun 20151,05843.020.57.07.06.03.54.522.5
Alco/NewsIT [96] 3–4 Jun 20151,00039.225.66.06.65.64.04.31.22.013.6
Metrisi/Proto Thema [97] 28–29 May 2015?37.827.45.87.26.06.03.510.4
Metrisi/Proto Thema [98] 20–22 May 20151,10838.027.25.87.15.96.03.510.8
Public Issue [99] [100] 13–19 May 20151,01348.521.06.05.56.03.54.027.5
PAMAK/Skai [101] 13–15 May 20151,02345.019.07.57.55.03.53.526.0
Rass/To Paron [102] 5–7 May 20151,00243.723.35.07.25.85.14.01.820.4
MRB/Real News [103] 5–7 May 20151,00641.824.25.96.76.44.73.51.22.517.6
Marc/EfSyn [104] [105] 5–7 May 20151,00141.624.16.27.75.74.73.61.51.717.5
Palmos Analysis/SBC TV [106] 5–6 May 20151,03644.5
170
20.5
55
6.5
18
8.5
23
5.0
14
4.0
11
3.5
9
24.0
ProRata/Sto Kokkino [107] 4–6 May 20151,00047.518.56.06.56.03.53.51.52.029.0
Metrisi/Proto Thema [108] 28–30 Apr 2015?39.127.85.66.55.85.83.911.3
GPO/Mega TV [109] 29 Apr 2015?40.624.46.17.26.15.64.42.016.2
Marc/Alpha TV [110] 25–28 Apr 20151,00141.324.16.16.75.94.93.21.61.717.2
Alco/Proto Thema [111] 20–23 Apr 20151,00042.726.06.06.16.14.33.91.816.7
Kapa Research/To Vima [112] 21–22 Apr 20151,00741.024.16.38.15.65.14.316.9
Metrisi/Proto Thema [113] 14–16 Apr 2015?39.427.55.96.35.95.63.511.9
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [114] [115] 2–4 Apr 2015?45.620.95.57.55.03.84.31.72.224.7
Metrisi/Proto Thema [116] 31 Mar–2 Apr 2015?40.327.06.26.25.85.53.313.3
Metrisi/iefimerida [117] 17–20 Mar 20151,00840.926.86.75.95.94.83.114.1
Palmos Analysis/SBC TV [118] 17–19 Mar 20151,00651.5
192
20.5
56
4.5
12
5.0
14
5.5
15
4.0
11
2.5
0
31.0
Marc/Alpha TV [119] 18 Mar 2015?44.823.45.44.85.55.02.82.01.621.4
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [120] [121] 16–18 Mar 2015?47.821.16.15.64.54.43.42.22.126.7
Interview/Vergina TV [122] 16–17 Mar 20151,00046.419.86.74.96.05.63.726.6
MRB/Star [123] 27 Feb–2 Mar 20151,00946.221.55.76.05.96.03.22.124.7
Metron Analysis/Parapolitika [124] 24–25 Feb 2015?47.620.75.96.44.74.33.41.62.826.9
Marc/Alpha TV [125] 12–13 Feb 20151,00549.420.05.15.05.25.13.02.22.029.4
January 2015 legislative election 25 Jan 201536.3
149
27.8
76
6.3
17
6.1
17
5.5
15
4.8
13
4.7
13
2.5
0
1.8
0
8.5

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References

  1. "Κυβέρνηση πλειοψηφίας ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - ΑΝΕΛ με 155 έδρες". tvxs (in Greek). 20 September 2015.
  2. "Exit Poll Βουλευτικών εκλογών 20/09/2015" (PDF). Metron Analysis (in Greek). 20 September 2015.
  3. 1 2 "Πρωτιά ΣΥΡΙΖΑ με 5 μονάδες δείχνει το exit poll της ΚΑΠΑ Research για το vima.gr". To Vima (in Greek). 20 September 2015.
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