Principle of effective demand

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The principle of effective demand is that the aggregate demand function and the aggregate supply function intersect each other at the point of effective demand and that this point can be consistent with a state of under-employment and under-capacity utilization. [1] Another way of expressing this, in pre-Keynesian terminology, is to say that "demand creates its own supply" which gives primacy to a shifting demand function that can be insufficient to give an economy full employment in the long term, in contrast to Say's law which insists "supply creates its own demand" and doesn't allow the possibility of long term unemployment as the supply figure is always, by definition, a fixed amount that demand will match.

According to Keynes it is the principle of effective demand that determines the level of output and employment in a country.

In chapter 3 of John Maynard Keynes's book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money , he defines the concept of effective demand as the point of intersection of these two aggregate functions - at this point of intersection, the aggregate demand becomes "effective". [2]

The importance of the term 'effective demand' to Keynesian Economics in general is shown in the fourth paragraph of the chapter, where he states that this concept of effective demand, i.e. the intersection of the supply and demand functions, is the "substance of the General Theory" and says that "the succeeding chapters will be largely occupied with examining the various factors upon which these two functions depend."

Colin Rogers claimed that "the principle of effective demand is the key to understanding both the theoretical claims presented in the General Theory and Keynes’s post-war policy proposals." [3] However, the interpretation of chapter 3 (The Principle of Effective Demand) of The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money remains confused.

Despite its importance, the chapter is known to be hard to interpret coherently. [4] [5] Different interpretations have been presented, but this points to some incoherence. Colin Rogers claimed that "What is missing is an appreciation of the principle of effective demand" as a theory of monetary economy. [6] More recently, a symposium on the notion and interpretations of "Effective Demand: Securing the Foundations – A Symposium" was held as the 5th "Dijon" Post-Keynesian Conference at Roskilde University on 13th and 14 May 2011, in which Mark Hayes, Jochen Hartwig, and Olivier Allain participated, and was published in Review of Political Economy in 2013. Although the symposium was animated, the three participants could not arrive at a unified interpretation. Olivier Allain pointed out that "[the General Theory] faces a closure difficulty between the macroeconomic outcomes and the microeconomic behaviour of firms." [7] Mark Hayes claimed that "We still need to agree by what mechanism individual entrepreneurs form a collective and mutually consistent state of expectation in the General Theory." [8] Yoshinori Shiozawa proposed a new interpretation from a different angle based on his new theory of value, reformulating the principle as a behavioral principle of firms, thus turning the principle into a microeconomic law. [9] He claimed that the concepts of aggregate demand and supply functions were the origin of all such confusions, including those of Keynes himself.

See also

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Keynesian economics are the various macroeconomic theories and models of how aggregate demand strongly influences economic output and inflation. In the Keynesian view, aggregate demand does not necessarily equal the productive capacity of the economy. It is influenced by a host of factors that sometimes behave erratically and impact production, employment, and inflation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Macroeconomics</span> Study of an economy as a whole

Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that deals with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. This includes regional, national, and global economies. Macroeconomists study topics such as output/GDP and national income, unemployment, price indices and inflation, consumption, saving, investment, energy, international trade, and international finance.

Post-Keynesian economics is a school of economic thought with its origins in The General Theory of John Maynard Keynes, with subsequent development influenced to a large degree by Michał Kalecki, Joan Robinson, Nicholas Kaldor, Sidney Weintraub, Paul Davidson, Piero Sraffa and Jan Kregel. Historian Robert Skidelsky argues that the post-Keynesian school has remained closest to the spirit of Keynes' original work. It is a heterodox approach to economics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">IS–LM model</span> Macroeconomic model relating interest rates and asset market

The IS–LM model, or Hicks–Hansen model, is a two-dimensional macroeconomic model which is used as a pedagogical tool in macroeconomic teaching. The IS–LM model shows the relationship between interest rates and output in the short run in a closed economy. The intersection of the "investment–saving" (IS) and "liquidity preference–money supply" (LM) curves illustrates a "general equilibrium" where supposed simultaneous equilibria occur in both the goods and the money markets. The IS–LM model shows the importance of various demand shocks on output and consequently offers an explanation of changes in national income in the short run when prices are fixed or sticky. Hence, the model can be used as a tool to suggest potential levels for appropriate stabilisation policies. It is also used as a building block for the demand side of the economy in more comprehensive models like the AD–AS model.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">John Hicks</span> British economist (1904–1989)

Sir John Richard Hicks was a British economist. He is considered one of the most important and influential economists of the twentieth century. The most familiar of his many contributions in the field of economics were his statement of consumer demand theory in microeconomics, and the IS–LM model (1937), which summarised a Keynesian view of macroeconomics. His book Value and Capital (1939) significantly extended general-equilibrium and value theory. The compensated demand function is named the Hicksian demand function in memory of him.

<i>The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money</i> 1936 book by John Maynard Keynes

The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money is a book by English economist John Maynard Keynes published in February 1936. It caused a profound shift in economic thought, giving macroeconomics a central place in economic theory and contributing much of its terminology – the "Keynesian Revolution". It had equally powerful consequences in economic policy, being interpreted as providing theoretical support for government spending in general, and for budgetary deficits, monetary intervention and counter-cyclical policies in particular. It is pervaded with an air of mistrust for the rationality of free-market decision making.

In economics, aggregate demand (AD) or domestic final demand (DFD) is the total demand for final goods and services in an economy at a given time. It is often called effective demand, though at other times this term is distinguished. This is the demand for the gross domestic product of a country. It specifies the amount of goods and services that will be purchased at all possible price levels. Consumer spending, investment, corporate and government expenditure, and net exports make up the aggregate demand.

In classical economics, Say's law, or the law of markets, is the claim that the production of a product creates demand for another product by providing something of value which can be exchanged for that other product. So, production is the source of demand. In his principal work, A Treatise on Political Economy, Jean-Baptiste Say wrote: "A product is no sooner created, than it, from that instant, affords a market for other products to the full extent of its own value." And also, "As each of us can only purchase the productions of others with his own productions – as the value we can buy is equal to the value we can produce, the more men can produce, the more they will purchase."

In economics, effective demand (ED) in a market is the demand for a product or service which occurs when purchasers are constrained in a different market. It contrasts with notional demand, which is the demand that occurs when purchasers are not constrained in any other market. In the aggregated market for goods in general, demand, notional or effective, is referred to as aggregate demand. The concept of effective supply parallels the concept of effective demand. The concept of effective demand or supply becomes relevant when markets do not continuously maintain equilibrium prices.

The neoclassical synthesis (NCS), neoclassical–Keynesian synthesis, or just neo-Keynesianism was a neoclassical economics academic movement and paradigm in economics that worked towards reconciling the macroeconomic thought of John Maynard Keynes in his book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936). It was formulated most notably by John Hicks (1937), Franco Modigliani (1944), and Paul Samuelson (1948), who dominated economics in the post-war period and formed the mainstream of macroeconomic thought in the 1950s, 60s, and 70s.

New classical macroeconomics, sometimes simply called new classical economics, is a school of thought in macroeconomics that builds its analysis entirely on a neoclassical framework. Specifically, it emphasizes the importance of rigorous foundations based on microeconomics, especially rational expectations.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Paul Davidson (economist)</span> American macroeconomist (born 1930)

Paul Davidson is an American macroeconomist who has been one of the leading spokesmen of the American branch of the post-Keynesian school in economics. He is a prolific writer and has actively intervened in important debates on economic policy from a position critical of mainstream economics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Keynesian cross</span> Concept in economics

The Keynesian cross diagram is a formulation of the central ideas in Keynes' General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. It first appeared as a central component of macroeconomic theory as it was taught by Paul Samuelson in his textbook, Economics: An Introductory Analysis. The Keynesian cross plots aggregate income and planned total spending or aggregate expenditure.

Athanasios "Tom" Asimakopulos was a Canadian economist, who was the "William Dow Professor of Political Economy" in the Department of Economics, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. His monograph, Keynes's General Theory and Accumulation, reviews important areas of Keynes's General Theory and the theories of accumulation of two of his most distinguished followers, Roy Harrod and Joan Robinson.

"Supply creates its own demand" is the formulation of Say's law. The rejection of this doctrine is a central component of The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936) and a central tenet of Keynesian economics. See Principle of effective demand, which is an affirmative form of the negation of Say's law.

Don Patinkin was an American-born Israeli monetary economist, and the President of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

The wage unit is a unit of measurement for monetary quantities introduced by Keynes in his 1936 book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. A value expressed in wage units is equal to its price in money units divided by the wage of a man-hour of labour.

John Hicks's 1937 paper Mr. Keynes and the "Classics"; a suggested interpretation is the most influential study of the views presented by J. M. Keynes in his General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money of February 1936. It gives "a potted version of the central argument of the General Theory" as an equilibrium specified by two equations which dominated Keynesian teaching until Axel Leijonhufvud published a critique in 1968. Leijonhufvud's view that Hicks misrepresented Keynes's theory by reducing it to a static system was in turn rejected by many economists who considered much of the General Theory to be as static as Hicks portrayed it.

Keynes's theory of wages and prices is contained in the three chapters 19-21 comprising Book V of The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Keynes, contrary to the mainstream economists of his time, argued that capitalist economies were not inherently self-correcting. Wages and prices were "sticky", in that they were not flexible enough to respond efficiently to market demand. An economic depression for instance, would not necessarily set off a chain of events leading back to full employment and higher wages. Keynes believed that government action was necessary for the economy to recover.

Mark Gerard Hayes, pen-name M. G. Hayes, was a British-Irish economist and former banker. As an economist, he wrote mainly on the economics of John Maynard Keynes and on the economic implications of Catholic social thought. He was a Quondam Fellow in Economics of Robinson College, Cambridge, and published two books on the economics of Keynes and several scholarly articles and chapters on both his areas of research. From 2006-2016 he was the Secretary of the Post-Keynesian Economics Society.

References

  1. Harcourt, Geoffrey; Riach, Peter (2006). The General Theory. Vol. 1. Routledge. p. 95. ISBN   0415406994.
  2. Harcourt, Geoffrey; Riach, Peter (2006). The General Theory. Vol. 1. Routledge. p. 93. ISBN   0415406994.
  3. Rogers, Colin (2010) "The principle of effective demand: the key to understanding the General Theory". In Robert W. Dimand, Robert A. Mundell, and Alessandro Vercelli (eds.) Keynes's General Theory After Seventy Years, London and Basingstoke, Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN   0230235999
  4. Hartwig, Jochen (2007). "Keynes vs. The Post Keynesians on the Principle of Effective Demand" (PDF). The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 14 (4): 725–739. doi:10.1080/09672560701695554. S2CID   219645544.
  5. Hartwig, Jochen (2022). "The evolution of Patinkin's interpretation of Keynes' principle of effective demand". The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 29 (3): 505–522. doi: 10.1080/09672567.2022.2037683 . S2CID   246804211.
  6. Rogers, Colin (2017) "The principle of effective demand and the state of post Keynesian monetary economics". Chapter 9 (pp. 208-227) in Louis-Philippe Rochon and Sergio Rossi (eds.) Advances in Endogenous Money Analysis Edward Elgar. ISBN   9781845429430
  7. Allain, Olivier (2013). "Effective Demand: Securing the Foundations". Review of Political Economy. 25 (4): 653–660. doi:10.1080/09538259.2013.837331. S2CID   67780577.
  8. Hayes, M.G. (2013). "Effective Demand: Securing the Foundations". Review of Political Economy. 25 (4): 661–671. doi:10.1080/09538259.2013.837329. S2CID   219715414.
  9. Shiozawa, Yoshinori (2021). "The Principle of Effective Demand: A New Formulation". The Review of Keynesian Studies. 3. doi:10.34490/revkeystud.3.0_67.