Stockout

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Stockout of dog food Regallucke Hundefutter-102329.jpg
Stockout of dog food

A stockout, or out-of-stock (OOS) event is an event that causes inventory to be exhausted. While out-of-stocks can occur along the entire supply chain, the most visible kind are retail out-of-stocks in the fast-moving consumer goods industry (e.g., sweets, diapers, fruits). Stockouts are the opposite of overstocks, where too much inventory is retained.

Contents

Extent

According to a study by researchers Thomas Gruen and Daniel Corsten, the global average level of out-of-stocks within retail fast-moving consumer goods sector across developed economies was 8.3% in 2008. [1] This means that shoppers would have a 42% chance of fulfilling a ten-item shopping list without encountering a stockout. Despite the initiatives designed to improve the collaboration of retailers and their suppliers, such as Efficient Consumer Response (ECR), and despite the increasing use of new technologies such as radio-frequency identification (RFID) and point-of-sales data analytics, this situation has improved little over the past decades. [2]

Causes

Recent surveys on retail out-of-stocks suggest that instore operations are fundamental to reducing retail out-of-stocks. [3] Around 70-90% of stockouts are caused by defective shelf replenishment practices, as opposed to the 10-30% resulting from the upstream supply chain, such as a shortage of supply from a supplier. [4] This broad knowledge offers retailers the opportunity to improve on-shelf availability through internal measures. However, it requires a detailed understanding of the causes of out-of-stocks.

A shortage of working capital may limit the value of orders that can be placed each month. This could be caused by poor cash flow management or other inventory issues such as too much cash tied up in high levels of excess.

Shopper response

Stockouts frustrate shoppers and force them to take a number of corrective actions that are beyond the retailer's control. Understanding how consumers respond to stockouts is therefore the starting point for retailers who wish to improve on-shelf availability. [5] When shoppers are unable to find an item that they had intended to purchase, they might switch stores, purchase substitute items (brand switch, size switch, category switch), postpone their purchase or decide not to buy the item at all. [6] Although these responses differ in severity, each entails negative consequences for retailers. Stockouts cause lost sales, dissatisfy shoppers, diminish store loyalty, jeopardize marketing efforts, and obstruct sales planning, because substitution disguises true demand. Moreover, shopper surveys reveal stockouts to currently be the most prevalent annoyance to shoppers. Shoppers spend a considerable amount of time looking for and asking for out-of-stock items. [7] Shopper response to stockouts has been investigated by researchers with respect to cognitive response (e.g. perceived availability), affective response (e.g. store satisfaction), behavioral response (e.g. brand switching) and aggregated response in terms of category sales effects. [8] Studies find shopper response to out-of stocks depends on brand-related antecedents (e.g. brand equity), product and category-related antecedents (hedonic level), store-related antecedents (e.g. service or price-oriented), shopper-related antecedents (e.g. shopper age) and situational antecedents (e.g. purchase urgency). [9]

Impact

Depending on the shopper response to an out-of-stock, manufacturer and retailer incur various losses. [10] Both manufacturer and retailer face a direct loss of the potential sale when a consumer faces an out-of-stock because the shopper purchases the item at another store or does not purchase it at all. Additionally, when a substitution is made, the retailer also loses an additional portion of the potential sale because the shopper tends to switch to smaller and/or cheaper substitutes. [3] In addition to the direct losses, both the retailer and the manufacturer incur additional indirect losses due to decreased customer satisfaction that results in less overall reliance on the particular retailers and brands. When an out-of-stock leads to purchase at another store, this provides the consumer an opportunity to try a different store. Consumer behavior theory argues that trial precedes adoption, and, thus, an out-of-stock sets the stage for possible permanent store switching. When an out-of-stock leads to purchase of a competing brand, the consumer trial can lead to possible permanent brand switching as well. [3] Research findings show that a typical retailer loses about 4 percent of sales due to having items out-of-stock. A loss of sales of 4 percent translates into an earnings per share loss of about $0.012 (1.2 cents) for the average firm in the grocery retailing sector, where the average earnings per share, already is about $0.25 (25 cents) per year. [3]

Identifying and reducing retail out-of-stocks

Identification of stock levels can reduce out-of-stocks. [11] The traditional method is to perform a manual audit of the store and manually look for "gaps" on the shelves. Due to differing sales velocities and replenishment schedules, the effectiveness of manual stockout audits depends heavily on their frequency and timing, and on avoiding human counting errors. [3] A second method makes use of point-of-sale data or, more specifically, scanner data. Based upon historical sales data, the latency period between sales is taken as a gauge of whether an item is on the shelf. It is a preferred method for investigating fast-selling retail items, such as soda cans. [12] Out-of-stocks may also be identified by using inventory data, depending on its accuracy. [13] Finally, various types of technology, such as RFID, shelf stoppers and weight or light sensors, can be used. However, these technologies are so far not equipped to monitor the condition of the retail items (e.g. undamaged labels).

See also

Related Research Articles

Supermarket Large format of grocery store

A supermarket is a self-service shop offering a wide variety of food, beverages and household products, organized into sections. This kind of store is larger and has a wider selection than earlier grocery stores, but is smaller and more limited in the range of merchandise than a hypermarket or big-box market. In everyday U.S. usage, however, "grocery store" is synonymous with supermarket, and is not used to refer to other types of stores that sell groceries.

Shopping Buying goods

Shopping is an activity in which a customer browses the available goods or services presented by one or more retailers with the potential intent to purchase a suitable selection of them. A typology of shopper types has been developed by scholars which identifies one group of shoppers as recreational shoppers, that is, those who enjoy shopping and view it as a leisure activity.

Retail Sale of goods and services from individuals or businesses to the end-user

Retail is the sale of goods and services to consumers, in contrast to wholesaling, which is sale to business or institutional customers. A retailer purchases goods in large quantities from manufacturers, directly or through a wholesaler, and then sells in smaller quantities to consumers for a profit. Retailers are the final link in the supply chain from producers to consumers. Shopping generally refers to the act of buying products. Sometimes this is done to obtain final goods, including necessities such as food and clothing; sometimes it takes place as a recreational activity. Recreational shopping often involves window shopping and browsing: it does not always result in a purchase.

Distribution (marketing) Making products available to customers

Distribution is one of the four elements of the marketing mix. Distribution is the process of making a product or service available for the consumer or business user who needs it. This can be done directly by the producer or service provider or using indirect channels with distributors or intermediaries. The other three elements of the marketing mix are product, pricing, and promotion.

Sales promotion is one of the elements of the promotional mix. The primary elements in the promotional mix are advertising, personal selling, direct marketing and publicity/public relations. Sales promotion uses both media and non-media marketing communications for a pre-determined, limited time to increase consumer demand, stimulate market demand or improve product availability. Examples include contests, coupons, freebies, loss leaders, point of purchase displays, premiums, prizes, product samples, and rebates.

Pricing Process of determining what a company will receive in exchange for its products

Pricing is the process whereby a business sets the price at which it will sell its products and services, and may be part of the business's marketing plan. In setting prices, the business will take into account the price at which it could acquire the goods, the manufacturing cost, the marketplace, competition, market condition, brand, and quality of product.

Consumer behaviour Study of individuals, groups, or organizations and all the activities associated with consuming

Consumer behavior is the study of individuals, groups, or organizations and all the activities associated with the purchase, use and disposal of goods and services. Consumer behaviour consists of how the consumer's emotions, attitudes and preferences affect buying behaviour. Consumer behaviour emerged in the 1940–1950s as a distinct sub-discipline of marketing, but has become an interdisciplinary social science that blends elements from psychology, sociology, social anthropology, anthropology, ethnography, marketing and economics.

Online shopping Form of electronic commerce

Online shopping is a form of electronic commerce which allows consumers to directly buy goods or services from a seller over the Internet using a web browser or a mobile app. Consumers find a product of interest by visiting the website of the retailer directly or by searching among alternative vendors using a shopping search engine, which displays the same product's availability and pricing at different e-retailers. As of 2020, customers can shop online using a range of different computers and devices, including desktop computers, laptops, tablet computers and smartphones.

Fast-moving consumer goods Products that are sold quickly and at a relatively low cost

Fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), also known as consumer packaged goods (CPG), are products that are sold quickly and at a relatively low cost. Examples include non-durable household goods such as packaged foods, beverages, toiletries, candies, cosmetics, over-the-counter drugs, dry goods, and other consumables.

Planogram

Planograms, also known as plano-grams, plan-o-grams, schematics and POGs, are visual representations of a store's products or services on display. They are considered a tool for visual merchandising. According to the Merriam-Webster Dictionary, a planogram is "a schematic drawing or plan for displaying merchandise in a store so as to maximize sales." The effectiveness of the planogram can be measured by the sales volume generated from the specific area being diagrammed.

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Retail marketing

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Visual merchandising Marketing technique emphasizing 3D model displays

Visual Merchandising is the practice in the retail industry of optimizing the presentation of products and services to better highlight their features and benefits. The purpose of such visual merchandising is to attract, engage, and motivate the customer towards making a purchase.

Electronic shelf label Shelf labels that use e-ink or LCD displays instead of paper

An electronic shelf label (ESL) system is used by retailers for displaying product pricing on shelves. The product pricing is automatically updated whenever a price is changed under the control of a central server. Typically, electronic display modules are attached to the front edge of retail shelving.

Phantom inventory is a common expression for goods that an inventory accounting system considers to be on-hand at a storage location but are not available. This could be due to the items being moved without recording the change in the inventory accounting system, breakage, theft, data entry errors or deliberate fraud. The resulting discrepancy between the online inventory balance and physical availability can delay automated reordering and lead to out-of-stock incidents.

Shopper marketing is "a discipline that focuses on the customer experience and the customer journey."In shopper marketing, manufacturers target portions of their marketing investment at specific retailers or retail environments. Such targeting is dependent on the congruency of objectives, targets and strategies between the manufacturer and a given retailer or a given type of retail environment.

Return fraud is the act of defrauding a retail store by means of the return process. There are various ways in which this crime is committed. For example, the offender may return stolen merchandise to secure cash, steal receipts or receipt tape to enable a falsified return, or use somebody else's receipt to try to return an item picked up from a store shelf. Return abuse is a form of "friendly fraud" where someone purchases products without intending to keep them. Perhaps the best-known form of this abuse is "wardrobing" or "free renting" – in which the person makes a purchase, use the product(s), and then returns the merchandise.

Retail apocalypse Period in the 2010s where many American brick and mortar retail stores have closed or struggled

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The retail format influences the consumer's store choice and addresses the consumer's expectations. At its most basic level, a retail format is a simple marketplace, that is; a location where goods and services are exchanged. In some parts of the world, the retail sector is still dominated by small family-run stores, but large retail chains are increasingly dominating the sector, because they can exert considerable buying power and pass on the savings in the form of lower prices. Many of these large retail chains also produce their own private labels which compete alongside manufacturer brands. Considerable consolidation of retail stores has changed the retail landscape, transferring power away from wholesalers and into the hands of the large retail chains.

References

  1. Gruen, Thomas W. and Corsten, Daniel (2008), A Comprehensive Guide to Retail Out-of-Stock Reduction in the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods Industry, Washington, DC, ISBN   978-3-905613-04-9
  2. Aastrup, J. and Kotzab, H. (2010), "Forty years of out-of-stock research – and shelves are still empty", International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research, Vol. 20 No. 1, pp. 147-64.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 Gruen, Thomas W., Daniel Corsten and Sundar Bharadwaj (2002), Retail Out of Stocks: A Worldwide Examination of Causes, Rates, and Consumer Responses, Washington, D.C.: Grocery Manufacturers of America
  4. McKinnon, A.C., Mendes, D. and Nabateh, M. (2007), "In-store logistics: an analysis of on-shelf availability and stockout response for three product groups", International Journal of Logistics: Research and Applications, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 251-68.
  5. Rajaram, K. and Tang, C.S. (2001), "The impact of product substitution on retail merchandising", European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 135 No. 3, pp. 582-601.
  6. Campo, K., Gijsbrechts, E. and Nisol, P. (2003), "The impact of retailer stockouts on whether, how much, and what to buy", International Journal of Research in Marketing, Vol. 20 No. 3, pp. 273-86.
  7. EMFI (2008), Consumer Trends, Leusden, The Netherlands.
  8. Zinn, W. and Liu, P.C. (2008), "A comparison of actual and intended consumer behavior in response to retail stockouts", Journal of Business Logistics, Vol. 29 No. 2, pp. 141-59.
  9. Sloot, L.M., Verhoef, P.C. and Franses, P.H. (2005), "The impact of brand equity and the hedonic level of products on consumer stock-out reactions", Journal of Retailing, Vol. 81 No. 1, pp. 15-34.
  10. Ehrenthal, J.C.F., Gruen, T. W., & Hofstetter, J. S. (2012). Value-attenuation in distribution networks: Insights from a service dominant-logic perspective on retail out-of-stocks. Presented at 2012 AMA Winter Marketing Educator’s Conference, St.Petersburg, FL, USA. http://itsoutofstock.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/WE_AMA2012_Vale-attenuation_EhrenthalGruenHofstetter.pdf
  11. Ehrenthal, J.C.F., & Stölzle, W. (2011). Improving On-Shelf Availability Through Store-Level Root Cause Analysis: LOG-HSG.
  12. Papakiriakopoulos, D., Pramatari, K. and Doukidis, G. (2009), "A decision support system for detecting products missing from the shelf based on heuristic rules", Decision Support Systems, Vol. 46, pp. 685-94.
  13. Raman, A., DeHoratius, N. and Ton, Z. (2001), "Execution: the missing link in retail operations", California Management Review, Vol. 43 No. 3, pp. 136-52.