2019 Indian general election in West Bengal

2019 Indian general election in West Bengal

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All 42 West Bengal seats in the Lok Sabha
Opinion polls
Turnout	81.76% ( 0.46 pp)
First party Second party   Leader Mamata Banerjee Dilip Ghosh Party AITC BJP Alliance NDA Leader since 1998 2014 Leader's seat Did not contest Medinipur Last election 39.8%, 34 seats 17%, 2 seats Seats won 22 18 Seat change 12 16 Popular vote 24,757,345 23,028,517 Percentage 43.3% 40.7% Swing 3.48 pp 22.76 pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury Surjya Kanta Mishra Party INC CPI(M) Alliance UPA LF Leader since 2015 2011 Leader's seat Baharampur Did not contest Last election 9.7%, 4 seats 23%, 2 seats Seats won 2 0 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 3,210,491 3,594,283 Percentage 5.67% 6.33% Swing 4.03 pp 16.66 pp
West Bengal
Prime Minister before election Narendra Modi BJP Prime Minister after election Narendra Modi BJP

The 2019 Indian general election were held in India between April and May 2019 to constitute the 17th Lok Sabha. ^{[1] [2]}

Surveys and Polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

Vote share

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
		AITC	Left Front	UPA	NDA
Jan 2019	Republic TV - C Voter	43.7%	14.4%	9.6%	31.8%	11.9%

Seat projections

Poll Type	Date published	Polling agency					Lead
			AITC	UPA	Left Front	NDA
Exit poll [3] [4]		ABP - Nielson	24	2	0	16	8
		Times Now - VMR	28	2	1	11	17
		Republic TV- Jan Ki Baat	29	2	0	11	18
		India Today - AxisMyIndia [5]	19–22	0–1	0	19-23	1
		NewsX - CNX	26	2	0	14	8
		News24 - Today's Chanakya	23	1	0	18	5
Opinion poll	06 Apr 2019	India TV - CNX [6]	28	1	1	12	16
	05 Apr 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat [7]	25	3	1	13	12
	Mar 2019	ABP News- Nielsen [8]	31	3	–	8	23
	Jan 2019	Spick Media [9]	30	4	0	8	22
	Jan 2019	Republic TV - C Voter	34	1	0	7	27
	Nov 2018	Spick Media [10]	32	4	1	5	27
	Nov 2018	ABP News - C Voter [11]	32	1	–	9	23

Candidates

Trinamool Congress

On 12 March 2019, party president Mamata Banerjee announced the party candidates for the election. ^[12] 41% of the candidates were women. Notable exclusions from the list were the party's general secretary Subrata Bakshi and Sugata Bose. Bose did not get permission from Harvard University, where he is a professor, to contest the election. ^[13] Notable inclusions were Bengali actresses Mimi Chakraborty and Nusrat Jahan. ^[14]

List of candidates

#	Constituency	Reserved for (SC/ST/None)	Candidates Name
			All India Trinamool Congress	Indian National Congress	Left Front	Bharatiya Janata Party
1	Cooch Behar	SC	Paresh Chandra Adhikary	Priya Roy Choudhury	Gobinda Chandra Roy (AIFB)	Nisith Pramanik
2	Alipurduars	ST	Dasrath Tirkey	Mohan Lal Basumuta	Mili Oraon (RSP)	John Barla
3	Jalpaiguri	SC	Bijoy Chandra Barman	Mani Kumar Darnal	Bhagirath Chandra Roy (CPI(M))	Jayanta Ray
4	Darjeeling	None	Amar Singh Rai	Shankar Malakar	Saman Pathak (CPI(M))	Raju Singh Bisht
5	Raiganj	None	Kanaia Lal Agarwal	Deepa Dasmunshi	Mohammed Salim (CPI(M))	Deboshree Chaudhary
6	Balurghat	None	Arpita Ghosh	Sadik Sarkar	Ranen Barman (RSP)	Sukanta Majumdar
7	Maldaha Uttar	None	Mausam Noor	Isha Khan Chowdhury	Biswanath Ghosh (CPI(M))	Khagen Murmu
8	Maldaha Dakshin	None	Moazzem Hossain	Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury	CPI(M) supports INC	Sreerupa Mitra Chaudhury
9	Jangipur	None	Khalilur Rehman	Abhijit Mukherjee	Md. Zulfikar Ali (CPI(M))	Mafuja Khatun
10	Baharampur	None	Apurba Sarkar	Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury	Saikh Id Mohammad (RSP)	Krishna Juardar Arya
11	Murshidabad	None	Abu Taher Khan	Abu Hena	Badaruddoza Khan (CPI(M))	Humayun Kabir
12	Krishnanagar	None	Mahua Moitra	Intaj Ali Shah	Dr. Shantanu Jha (CPI(M))	Kalyan Chaubey
13	Ranaghat	SC	Rupaali Biswas	Minati Biswas	CA Rama Biswas (CPI(M))	Jagannath Sarkar
14	Bangaon	SC	Mamata Bala Thakur	Sourav Prasad	Alakesh Das (CPI(M))	Shantanu Thakur
15	Barrackpur	None	Dinesh Trivedi	Mohammad Alam	Gargi Chatterjee (CPI(M))	Arjun Singh
16	Dum Dum	None	Sougata Roy	Saurav Saha	Nepaldev Bhattacharya (CPI(M))	Samik Bhattacharya
17	Barasat	None	Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar	Subrota (Rashu) Dutta	Haripada Biswas (AIFB)	Mrinal Kanthi Debnath
18	Basirhat	None	Nusrat Jahan	Quazi Abdur Rahim	Pallab Sengupta (CPI)	Sayantan Basu
19	Jaynagar	SC	Pratima Mondal	Tapan Mondal	Subhas Naskar (RSP)	Ashok Kandari
20	Mathurapur	SC	Choudhury Mohan Jatua	Krittibas Sardar	Dr. Sarat Chandra Haldar (CPI(M))	Shyamaprasad Halder
21	Diamond Harbour	None	Abhishek Banerjee	Soumya Aich Roy	Dr. Fuad Halim (CPI(M))	Nilanjan Roy
22	Jadavpur	None	Mimi Chakraborty	INC supports CPI(M)	Adv. Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya (CPI(M))	Anupam Hazra
23	Kolkata Dakshin	None	Mala Roy	Mita Chakraborty	Dr. Nandini Mukherjee (CPI(M))	Chandra Kumar Bose
24	Kolkata Uttar	None	Sudip Bandyopadhyay	Syed Shahid Imam	Kaninika Bose (Ghosh) (CPI(M))	Rahul Sinha
25	Howrah	None	Prasun Banerjee	Suvra Ghosh	Adv. Sumitro Adhikary (CPI(M))	Rantideb Sen Gupta
26	Uluberia	None	Sajda Ahmed	Shoma Ranisree Roy	Dr. Maksuda Khatun (CPI(M))	Joy Banerjee
27	Serampore	None	Kalyan Banerjee	Debabrata Biswas	CA Tirthankar Ray (CPI(M))	Debajit Sarkar
28	Hooghly	None	Ratna De (Nag)	Pratul Saha	Pradip Saha (CPI(M))	Locket Chatterjee
29	Arambagh	SC	Aparupa Poddar	Jyoti Das	Sakti Mohan Malik (CPI(M))	Tapan Roy
30	Tamluk	None	Dibyendu Adhikari	Lakshman Chandra Seth	Sk. Ibrahim Ali (CPI(M))	Siddhartha Naskar
31	Contai	None	Sisir Adhikari	Dipak Kumar Das	Paritosh Pattanayak (CPI(M))	Debasish Samant
32	Ghatal	None	Dev	Khandakar Mohammad Saifullah	Tapan Ganguli (CPI)	Bharati Ghosh
33	Jhargram	ST	Birbaha Soren	Jagyeswar Hembram	Deblina Hembram (CPI(M))	Kunar Hembram
34	Medinipur	None	Manas Bhunia	Sambhunath Chatterjee	Biplab Bhatta (CPI)	Dilip Ghosh
35	Purulia	None	Mriganko Mahato	Nepal Mahato	Bir Singh Mahato (AIFB)	Jyotirmoy Mahto
36	Bankura	None	Subrata Mukherjee	Did Not Contest	Dr. Amiya Patra (CPI(M))	Subhash Sarkar
37	Bishnupur	SC	Shyamal Santra	Narayan Chandra Khan	Sunil Khan (CPI(M))	Saumitra Khan
38	Bardhaman Purba	SC	Sunil Kumar Mandal	Siddhartha Majumder	Iswar Chandra Das (CPI(M))	Paresh Chandra Das
39	Bardhaman-Durgapur	None	Mamtaz Sanghamita	Ranajit Mukherjee	Abhas Ray Chaudhuri (CPI(M))	S. S. Ahluwalia
40	Asansol	None	Moon Moon Sen	Biswarup Mondal	Gouranga Chatterjee (CPI(M))	Babul Supriyo
41	Bolpur	SC	Asit Kumar Mal	Abhijit Saha	Dr. Ram Chandra Dome (CPI(M))	Ram Prashad Das
42	Birbhum	None	Shatabdi Roy	Imam Hossain	Dr. Md. Rezaul Karim (CPI(M))	Dudh Kumar Mondal

Results

Results by alliance or party

22	18	2
AITC	BJP	INC

Vote Share (By alliance)

   AITC (43.7%)

   BJP (40.6%)

   LF (7.5%)

   INC (5.7%)

  Others (2.5%)

Parties/ Alliance				Popular vote			Seats
				Votes	%	±pp	Contested	Won	+/−
	AITC			24,756,985	43.7%	4.64%	42	22	12
	BJP			23,028,343	40.6%	22.2%	42	18	16
	LF
			CPI(M)	3,594,283	6.3%		31	0	2
			AIFB	239,218	0.4%		3	0
			RSP	2,08,275	0.4%		4	0
			CPI	2,27,695	0.4%		3	0
		Total		4,269,471	7.5%	16.72%	41	0	2
	INC			3,210,485	5.7%	4.09%	40	2	2
	Others			1,941,029	2.5%
Total				57,206,313	100%

Constituency-wise Results

^[15]

#	Constituency	Turnout [16]	Winner	Party		Margin
1	Cooch Behar	84.08	Nisith Pramanik		Bharatiya Janata Party	54,231
2	Alipurduars	83.79	John Barla		Bharatiya Janata Party	2,43,989
3	Jalpaiguri	86.51	Jayanta Kumar Roy		Bharatiya Janata Party	1,84,004
4	Darjeeling	78.80	Raju Singh Bisht		Bharatiya Janata Party	4,13,443
5	Raiganj	79.82	Debasree Chaudhuri		Bharatiya Janata Party	60,574
6	Balurghat	83.69	Sukanta Majumder		Bharatiya Janata Party	33,293
7	Maldaha Uttar	80.39	Khagen Murmu		Bharatiya Janata Party	84,288
8	Maldaha Dakshin	81.24	Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury		Indian National Congress	8,222
9	Jangipur	80.72	Khalilur Rahman		All India Trinamool Congress	2,45,782
10	Baharampur	79.41	Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury		Indian National Congress	80,696
11	Murshidabad	84.29	Abu Taher Khan		All India Trinamool Congress	2,26,417
12	Krishnanagar	83.75	Mahua Moitra		All India Trinamool Congress	63,218
13	Ranaghat	84.26	Jagannath Sarkar		Bharatiya Janata Party	2,33,428
14	Bangaon	82.64	Shantanu Thakur		Bharatiya Janata Party	1,11,594
15	Barrackpore	76.91	Arjun Singh		Bharatiya Janata Party	14,857
16	Dum Dum	76.92	Saugata Roy		All India Trinamool Congress	53,002
17	Barasat	81.26	Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar		All India Trinamool Congress	1,09,983
18	Basirhat	85.43	Nusrat Jahan		All India Trinamool Congress	3,50,369
19	Jaynagar	82.29	Pratima Mondal		All India Trinamool Congress	3,16,775
20	Mathurapur	84.86	Choudhury Mohan Jatua		All India Trinamool Congress	2,03,974
21	Diamond Harbour	81.98	Abhishek Banerjee		All India Trinamool Congress	3,20,594
22	Jadavpur	79.11	Mimi Chakraborty		All India Trinamool Congress	2,95,239
23	Kolkata Dakshin	69.82	Mala Roy		All India Trinamool Congress	1,55,192
24	Kolkata Uttar	65.83	Sudip Bandyopadhyay		All India Trinamool Congress	1,27,095
25	Howrah	74.83	Prasun Banerjee		All India Trinamool Congress	1,03,695
26	Uluberia	81.18	Sajda Ahmed		All India Trinamool Congress	2,15,359
27	Srerampore	78.54	Kalyan Banerjee		All India Trinamool Congress	98,536
28	Hooghly	82.57	Locket Chatterjee		Bharatiya Janata Party	73,362
29	Arambagh	83.44	Aparupa Poddar		All India Trinamool Congress	1,142
30	Tamluk	85.38	Dibyendu Adhikari		All India Trinamool Congress	1,90,165
31	Kanthi	85.83	Sisir Adhikari		All India Trinamool Congress	1,11,668
32	Ghatal	82.74	Deepak Adhikari (Dev)		All India Trinamool Congress	1,07,973
33	Jhargram	85.71	Kunar Hembram		Bharatiya Janata Party	11,767
34	Medinipur	84.24	Dilip Ghosh		Bharatiya Janata Party	88,952
35	Purulia	82.38	Jyotirmoy Singh Mahato		Bharatiya Janata Party	2,04,732
36	Bankura	83.25	Subhas Sarkar		Bharatiya Janata Party	1,74,333
37	Bishnupur	87.34	Saumitra Khan		Bharatiya Janata Party	78,047
38	Bardhaman Purba	84.78	Sunil Kumar Mondal		All India Trinamool Congress	89,311
39	Bardhaman-Durgapur	82.67	S. S. Ahluwalia		Bharatiya Janata Party	2,439
40	Asansol	76.62	Babul Supriyo		Bharatiya Janata Party	1,97,637
41	Bolpur	85.74	Asit Kumar Mal		All India Trinamool Congress	1,06,402
42	Birbhum	85.34	Shatabdi Roy		All India Trinamool Congress	88,924

Constituency wise alliance or party votes

#	Constituency	TMC votes	NDA votes	UPA votes	LF votes	Win Margin
1	Cooch Behar	677,363	731,594	28,215	46,648	54,231
2	Alipurduars	506,815	750,804	27,427	54,010	243,989
3	Jalpaiguri	576,141	760,145	28,488	76,054	184,004
4	Darjeeling	336,624	750,067	65,186	50,524	413,443
5	Raiganj	451,078	511,652	83,662	183,039	60,574
6	Balurghat	506,024	539,317	36,783	72,990	33,293
7	Maldaha Uttar	425,236	509,524	305,270	50,401	84,288
8	Maldaha Dakshin	351,353	436,048	444,270	-	8,222
9	Jangipur	562,838	317,056	255,836	95,501	245,782
10	Baharampur	510,410	143,038	591,147	13,362	80,696
11	Murshidabad	604,346	247,809	377,929	180,793	226,417
12	Krishnanagar	614,872	551,654	38,305	120,222	63,218
13	Ranaghat	549,825	783,254	23,297	97,771	233,428
14	Bangaon	576,028	687,622	22,618	90,122	1,11,594
15	Barrackpore	458,137	472,994	15,746	117,456	14,857
16	Dum Dum	512,062	459,060	29,097	167,590	53,002
17	Barasat	648,444	538,275	37,277	124,068	109,983
18	Basirhat	782,078	431,709	104,183	68,316	350,369
19	Jaynagar|	761,206	444,427	18,758	67,913	316,775
20	Mathurapur	726,828	522,854	32,324	92,417	203,974
21	Diamond Harbour	791,127	470,533	19,828	93,941	320,594
22	Jadavpur	688,472	393,233	-	302,264	295,239
23	Kolkata Dakshin	573,119	417,927	42,618	140,275	155,192
24	Kolkata Uttar	474,891	347,796	26,093	71,080	127,095
25	Howrah	576,711	473,016	32,107	105,547	103,695
26	Uluberia	694,945	479,586	27,568	81,314	215,359
27	Srerampore	637,707	539,171	32,509	152,281	98,536
28	Hooghly	598,086	671,448	25,374	121,588	73,362
29	Arambagh	649,929	648,787	25,128	100,520	1,142
30	Tamluk	724,433	534,268	16,001	136,129	190,165
31	Kanthi	711,872	600,204	16,851	76,185	1,11,668
32	Ghatal	717,959	609,986	32,793	97,062	1,07,973
33	Jhargram	614,816	626,583	20,754	75,680	11,767
34	Medinipur	596,481	685,433	20,807	62,319	88,952
35	Purulia	463,375	668,107	84,477	68,464	204,732
36	Bankura	500,986	675,319	20,472	100,282	174,333
37	Bishnupur	578,972	657,019	17,932	102,615	78,047
38	Bardhaman Purba	640,834	551,523	38,472	175,920	89,311
39	Bardhaman-Durgapur	595,937	598,376	38,516	161,329	2,439
40	Asansol	435,741	633,378	21,038	87,608	197,637
41	Bolpur	699,172	592,769	30,112	91,964	106,402
42	Birbhum	654,070	565,153	75,451	96,763	88,924

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Trinamool Congress to Bharatiya Janata Party

• Bangaon
• Alipurduars
• Balurghat
• Bankura
• Barrackpore
• Bishnupur
• Cooch Behar
• Jalpaiguri
• Hooghly
• Medinipur
• Ranaghat
• Purulia

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Indian National Congress to Trinamool Congress

• Jangipur

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Indian National Congress to Bharatiya Janata Party

• Maldaha Uttar

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Communist Party of India Marxist to Bharatiya Janata Party

• Raiganj

Lok Sabha seats that flipped from Communist Party of India Marxist to Trinamool Congress

• Murshidabad

Impact

There has been a major political shift from the left to the right in the 2019 general elections in West Bengal. The Statesman says, “Making an aggressive penetration in Bengal for the first time since its inception in 1980, BJP alone has dramatically increased its vote share close to 40 percent this time. Thus, it has virtually made the CPI-M into a mere marginalised political party and at the same time the saffron party set a strong challenge before the Trinamool Congress hardly two years ahead of the Assembly elections scheduled in 2021 in the state.” This obviously is the most important impact of the general elections in the state visible in the voting pattern right across the state, irrespective of who won or lost a particular seat. ^{[17] [18]}

Analysis

Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

2019 Lok Sabha in West Bengal by Assembly Segment

Party		2016 West Bengal Vidhan Sabha election	West Bengal Vidhan Sabha segments (as of 2019 India Lok Sabha election) [19] [20]	2021 West Bengal Vidhan Sabha election
	BJP	3	126	77
	INC	44	14	0
	TMC	211	154	215
	Left Front	32	0	0
	Others	1	0	2
Total		294

Postal Ballot wise lead of Parties

Party		No. of Constituencies
	All India Trinamool Congress	2
	Left Front	1
	Bharatiya Janata Party	39
	Indian National Congress	0
Total		42

TMC won 3 out of 3 assembly seats in the next assembly by-elections in November 2019. Even the seat of State BJP president Dilip Ghosh which fell vacant due to Dilip Ghosh's win in Loksabha election, Kharagpur Sadar was won by TMC by a lead of 22,000 votes. TMC was trailing in that seat by 158,000 votes in 2019 general elections. ^{[21] [22] [23] [24] [25]}

Region-Wise Results

Region	Total seats	All India Trinamool Congress		Bharatiya Janata Party		Indian National Congress		Communist Party of India (Marxist)		Others
East Bengal (Ganges Delta Region)	10	7	3	3	3	0		0		0
North Bengal	8	3	1	3	3	2	2	0	2	0
Northern Hills	4	0	3	4	3	0		0		0
West Bengal (Rarh Region)	10	3	7	7	4	0		0		0
South Bengal	10	9	1	1		0		0		0
Total	42	22	12	18	16	2	2	0	2	0

References

1. Election results 2019: Bengal votes for the BJP, breaks many stereotypes, The Hindu BusinessLine, 23 May 2019.
2. WB Election Result Highlights: BJP creates history in Bengal, livemint, 24 May 2019.
3. "WB Exit Polls 2019 Highlights: Didi to rule but BJP set to make massive gains". Live Mint. 19 May 2019.
4. "West Bengal exit poll 2019 for Lok Sabha Elections". Business Insider. 19 May 2019.
5. "India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019: Data points to a clear gain for BJP in West Bengal". India Today. 19 May 2019. Retrieved 15 September 2021.
6. IndiaTV (6 April 2019). "पूरे India का ओपिनियन पोल सभी 543 Lok Sabha Seats पर - IndiaTv-CNX Opinion Poll 2019" – via YouTube.
7. "Jan Ki Baat (@jankibaat1) - Twitter". twitter.com.
8. "BJP in West Bengal: BJP may win 8, Trinamool to shine in West Bengal: ABP-Nielsen". m.economictimes.com. Archived from the original on 2019-04-06. Retrieved 2019-11-01.
9. Network, Spick Media (21 February 2019). "#BJP shows improvement at #WestBengal. Ruling Trinamool Congress to stay as Single Largest Party in state. #LokSabhaElections2019 @AITCofficial : 30 (38.56%) @BJP4Bengal : 08 (19.44%) @INCWestBengal : 04 (15.39%) #Others : 00 (26.61%) : #FON #FOWB #AITC #BJP #CPIM #Congresspic.twitter.com/6IyDl0cvMZ". Twitter . Retrieved 26 February 2019.
10. "Fate of West Bengal : Spick Media - IE Tech - Fate of Nation survey - Fate of west bengal (august - september, 2018)" (PDF). Img1.wsimg.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 November 2018. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
11. न्यूज, एबीपी (1 November 2018). "अभी देश का मूड पीएम मोदी के साथ, यूपी में महागठबंधन नहीं बना तो एनडीए को 300 सीट: एबीपी न्यूज-सी वोटर सर्वे". Abpnews.abplive.in. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
12. "Mamata releases TMC list for all 42 WB seats; alleges attempt to bribe voters". The Economic Times. 12 March 2019. Retrieved 17 March 2019.
13. Rakshit, Avishek (12 March 2019). "Lok Sabha polls 2019: Trinamool Congress' election list out, 41% women". Business Standard . Retrieved 17 March 2019.
14. Kumar, Sweety. "Lok Sabha polls: TMC's two new faces from Tollywood caught in middle of a social media storm". The Indian Express . Retrieved 17 March 2019.
15. "33. Constituency wise detailed result". Electoral Commission of India. Electoral Commission of India. Retrieved 18 December 2021.
16. Final voter turnout of Phase 1 and Phase 2 of the Lok Sabha Elections 2019, The Election Commission of India (20 April 2019, updated 4 May 2019)
17. "West Bengal election results 2019: left veers into political oblivion". The Statesman, 24 May 2019. Retrieved 30 May 2019.
18. "Analysis: In West Bengal, Left's vote-reduction will benefit BJP but to what extent?". The Hindu 23 May 2018. Retrieved 30 May 2019.
19. Lok Sabha results: Numbers point to tough fight ahead in West Bengal assembly polls
20. "PC and AC wise Result | Chief Electoral Officer - (CEO), West Bengal" . Retrieved 4 September 2021.
21. "আজ ৩ কেন্দ্রের ফল, আশা-আশঙ্কায় সব দল". Bartaman (in Bengali). 28 November 2019. Retrieved 16 September 2021.
22. "উপ-নির্বাচনে সবুজ ঝড় | ভরাডুবি বিজেপির". Bartaman (in Bengali). 28 November 2019. Retrieved 16 September 2021.
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