2020 New Brunswick general election

2020 New Brunswick general election

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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	66.14% ( 1.20 pp) [ citation needed ]
First party Second party   Leader Blaine Higgs Kevin Vickers Party Progressive Conservative Liberal Leader since October 22, 2016 April 24, 2019 Leader's seat Quispamsis Ran in Miramichi (lost) Last election 22 seats, 31.89% 21 seats, 37.80% Seats before 20 20 Seats won 27 17 Seat change 7 3 Popular vote 147,790 129,025 Percentage 39.34% 34.35% Swing 7.45% 3.45%   Third party Fourth party   Leader David Coon Kris Austin Party Green People's Alliance Leader since September 22, 2012 June 5, 2010 Leader's seat Fredericton South Fredericton-Grand Lake Last election 3 seats, 11.88% 3 seats, 12.58% Seats before 3 3 Seats won 3 2 Seat change 1 Popular vote 57,252 34,526 Percentage 15.24% 9.19% Swing 3.36% 3.39%
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are determined by popular vote for each riding.
Premier before election Blaine Higgs Progressive Conservative Premier after election Blaine Higgs Progressive Conservative

The 2020 New Brunswick general election was held on September 14, 2020, to elect members of the 60th New Brunswick Legislature. The Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick, led by Blaine Higgs, won a majority government.

The writs of election were issued by Lieutenant Governor Brenda Murphy on August 17, 2020, after a request was made by Premier Blaine Higgs to dissolve the legislature.

The election was scheduled to take place on October 17, 2022, as determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Legislative Assembly Act, which requires a general election to be held every four years on the third Monday in October. ^[1] However, Premier Higgs called a snap election after negotiations failed with the other parties that would have avoided an election until the fixed date in 2022 or the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. ^[2]

At 8:55 p.m. ADT, CBC News declared a Progressive Conservative majority government. ^[3]

Background

Aftermath of the 2018 election

Further information: 2018 New Brunswick general election § Aftermath

The 2018 provincial election resulted in no party winning a majority of seats in the legislature for the first time since the 1920 provincial election. On election night, Blaine Higgs claimed victory for the Progressive Conservative Party, saying his team had received a mandate from New Brunswickers; however, Liberal Party leader and incumbent premier Brian Gallant stated his intention to remain in office with a minority government by securing support on a vote-by-vote basis. ^[4] Over the following days, Lieutenant Governor Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau met with both leaders and gave permission to Gallant to continue in office and attempt to seek the confidence of the Legislative Assembly; ^[5] while Higgs was told that if Gallant was unable to secure the confidence of the Assembly, Higgs would be called on to form government. ^[6]

After the election, both Kris Austin of the People's Alliance and David Coon of the Green Party were noncommittal in their support. ^{[7] [8]} Gallant pursued a partnership with the Green Party and ruled out any arrangement with the Progressive Conservative Party or People's Alliance because Gallant did not believe that they shared the Liberal Party’s “values”. ^[9] Higgs initially ruled out any formal agreements with other parties, but later said that a four-year agreement would be ideal for stability. ^[10] On September 28, 2018, Austin agreed to support a Progressive Conservative minority government on a "bill-by-bill basis" for eighteen months, though no formal agreement was made. ^[11]

On November 2, 2018, the Progressive Conservatives introduced a motion of no confidence in the Legislative Assembly, resulting in a 25–23 vote against the Liberals. Subsequently, Gallant resigned as Premier and recommended to the Lieutenant Governor that Higgs be given the opportunity to form government. ^[12] Higgs' minority government was sworn into office on November 9, 2018. ^[13]

On November 15, 2018, Gallant announced his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party. ^[14] He was succeeded by Kevin Vickers on April 24, 2019. ^[15]

Speculation of an early election

The PC minority government's seat total dropped to 20 after the death of MLA Greg Thompson on September 10, 2019 and the resignation of Deputy Premier Robert Gauvin on February 14, 2020. ^[16] Gauvin's resignation came after the PC government announced health reforms, including the nightly closure of six hospital emergency rooms across the province as a cost reduction measure. ^[16] Despite the Progressive Conservatives quickly backtracking on their proposals, the Liberals and the Greens said that they would not support the government at the next confidence vote, while the People's Alliance specifically did not rule out a vote of non-confidence. ^{[16] [17] [18]} The next confidence vote was scheduled for March 20, 2020 to approve the PC government's proposed budget for the upcoming fiscal year; ^[19] however, by that time, the People's Alliance decided to continue supporting the government and Green MLAs were allowed to vote freely on the budget. ^[19] Furthermore, after COVID-19 was declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020, all parties decided to co-operate with each other—thus, avoiding a spring election. ^[20]

By the summer, however, COVID-19 cases had stayed low for several weeks and Premier Blaine Higgs began to hint at the possibility of a fall election, arguing that stability was required for the next phase of the pandemic and economic recovery. ^[21] The Progressive Conservatives carried out candidate riding nominations on August 8, 2020, continuing speculation of when an election might be called. ^[22] On the following Monday, Higgs made an offer to the opposition parties to avoid an election until 2022 or the end of the pandemic; ^[21] negotiations ultimately failed, however, and a snap election was called on August 17, 2020. ^[2]

Summary of seat changes

Changes in seats held (2018–2020)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Saint Croix	10 September 2019	Greg Thompson	█  PC	Death
Shediac Bay-Dieppe	7 October 2019	Brian Gallant	█  Liberal	Resignation
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou	14 February 2020	Robert Gauvin	█  PC	Left the party			█  Independent

Results

Summary of the 2020 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election

Party		Votes	%	+/–	Seats
					2018	Dissolution	Elected	Change
	Progressive Conservative	147,790	39.34	+7.45	22	20	27	+5
	Liberal	129,025	34.35	-3.45	21	20	17	-4
	Green	57,252	15.24	+3.36	3	3	3	±0
	People's Alliance	34,526	9.19	-3.39	3	3	2	-1
	New Democratic	6,220	1.66	-3.35	0	0	0	±0
	KISS	139	0.04	-0.06	0	0	0	±0
	Independents	685	0.18	-0.56	0	1	0	±0
Vacant					–	2	–	–
Total		375,637	100.00	–	49	49	49	0
Valid votes		375,637	99.66
Invalid/blank votes		1,266	0.34
Total votes		376,903	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		569,862	66.14
Source: GNB Archived 2020-09-16 at the Wayback Machine

Popular vote PC   39.34% Liberal   34.35% Green   15.24% People's Alliance   9.19% New Democratic   1.66% Others   0.22%

Seats summary PC   55.10% Liberal   34.69% Green   6.12% People's Alliance   4.08%

Incumbent MLAs who were defeated

Party		Name	Riding	Year elected	Seat held by party since	Defeated by	Party
	Liberal	Monique LeBlanc	Moncton East	2014	2014	Daniel Allain		Progressive Conservative
		Stephen Horsman	Fredericton North	2014	2014	Jill Green
		Andrew Harvey	Carleton-Victoria	2014	2014	Margaret Johnson
	People's Alliance	Rick DeSaulniers	Fredericton-York	2018	2018	Ryan Cullins

Results by region

Party name			Northern	Miramichi	Southeastern	Southern	Capital Region	Upper River Valley	Total
	Progressive Conservative	Seats	0	1	7	11	6	2	27
		Popular vote	18.35%	33.81%	37.92%	57.46%	45.03%	33.63%	39.34%
	Liberal	Seats	8	1	5	–	–	3	17
		Popular vote	66.63%	31.38%	36.19%	16.66%	14.35%	51.13%	34.35%
	Green	Seats	–	–	2	–	1	–	3
		Popular vote	14.93%	5.08%	18.26%	11.76%	22.83%	6.50%	15.24%
	People's Alliance	Seats	–	1	–	–	1	–	2
		Popular vote	0.00%	27.78%	5.39%	10.53%	16.41%	7.83%	9.19%
	New Democratic	Seats	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
		Popular vote	0.00%	1.74%	1.99%	3.26%	1.32%	0.54%	1.66%
	Other	Seats	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
		Popular vote	0.09%	0.22%	0.25%	0.34%	0.06%	0.37%	0.22%
Total seats			8	3	14	11	8	5	49

Detailed analysis

Position attained in seats contested

Party		Seats	Second	Third	Fourth
	Liberal	17	17	9	6
	Progressive Conservative	27	14	8	–
	Green	3	12	24	8
	People's Alliance	2	6	7	18
	New Democratic	–	–	1	5
	Other	–	–	–	2

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results

Parties		Seats
█  Progressive Conservative	█  Liberal	26
█  Progressive Conservative	█  Green	8
█  Progressive Conservative	█  People's Alliance	7
█  Liberal	█  Green	7
█  People's Alliance	█  Liberal	1
Total		49

Campaign

Election call and initial reaction

At his election announcement, Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs blamed the Liberals for the failure of negotiations that would have avoided an election until 2022 or the end of the pandemic. ^[23] In response, Liberal leader Kevin Vickers and Green Party leader David Coon criticized Higgs for calling an election during a pandemic. ^[23] Vickers insisted that the negotiations would have given unlimited power to Higgs and the PCs, and an election should have been held after the end of the pandemic. ^[23] Meanwhile, People's Alliance leader Kris Austin asked New Brunswickers to vote for his party to ensure accountability of the next government by electing another minority legislature. ^{[2] [23]}

Impact of COVID-19

From the outset of the campaign, Higgs was asked about the potential impact of COVID-19 on the election. ^[2] He initially caused confusion when he said that he would be able to suspend the election, if necessary, ^[2] even though New Brunswick's Chief Electoral Officer Kim Poffenroth said that an election could not be stopped after it had been called. ^[2] Additionally, Higgs suggested that he could turn to the COVID-19 emergency order declared by the province under the Emergency Measures Act (EMA), despite the fact that election timelines are exempt from the EMA. ^[2] However, he remained firm that he did not intend to suspend the election. ^[2] Higgs also shared that, because of COVID-19, PC candidates were instructed to avoid door-to-door campaigning and mailbox flyers during the election. ^{[2] [23]}

Candidate controversies

Roland Michaud, PC candidate in Victoria-La Vallée, was ordered to withdraw from the election by Blaine Higgs after a transphobic meme posted on Michaud's Facebook page became public; ^[24] Michaud chose to remain and run as an independent. ^[25] He remained on the ballot with his original affiliation because the papers had already been printed, as did other repudiated candidates.

John Wayne Gardner, Liberal candidate in Saint Croix, was ousted by party leader Kevin Vickers after an anti-LGBTQ2I tweet from 2017 came to light; Gardner announced later the same day that he would continue to run as an independent. ^[26]

Louis Bérubé, PC candidate in Restigouche West, was allowed to remain as party candidate after transphobic social media comments mentioned in a 2016 Acadie Nouvelle story ^[27] resurfaced. ^[28] The party cited Bérubé's earlier apologies for his comments and his successful vetting before running for the Green Party in the 2019 election as reasons for his retention.

Heathere Collins, PANB candidate in Memramcook-Tantramar, was dropped by party leader Kris Austin after 2019 anti-Muslim Tweets came to light. ^[29] The candidate, whose Elections NB registration disagreed with her Twitter account about how to spell her first name, remained in the election.

Opinion polls

Voting Intentions in New Brunswick since the 2018 Election

Polling firm	Last day of polling	Link	PC	Liberal	PA	Green	NDP
Election 2020	September 14, 2020	HTML	39.34	34.35	9.19	15.24	1.66
Forum Research Inc.	September 13, 2020	HTML	37	30	8	21	4
Mainstreet Research	September 12, 2020	HTML	37	30	7	21	4
EKOS	September 12, 2020	HTML	32	32	10	18	4
Oraclepoll Research	September 3, 2020	PDF	42	33	2	18	6
MQO Research	August 30, 2020	HTML	43	27	5	17	6
Mainstreet Research	August 27, 2020	PDF	38	32	7	19	4
Leger/Acadie Nouvelle	August 26, 2020	PDF	40	32	7	13	6
Narrative Research	August 23, 2020	HTML	44	33	2	14	7
Angus Reid	May 24, 2020	HTML	39	26	13	17	4
Narrative Research	May 20, 2020	HTML	48	30	3	15	5
Innovative Research Group	May 7, 2020	PDF	33	37	6	13	10
Narrative Research	March 12, 2020	HTML	39	28	4	20	8
MQO Research	February 27, 2020	PDF	37	31	4	21	4
Narrative Research	November 22, 2019	HTML	37	31	3	21	7
Narrative Research	August 23, 2019	PDF [ permanent dead link ]	36	29	8	18	6
Narrative Research	June 13, 2019	HTML	42	25	6	18	8
MQO Research	May 6, 2019	PDF	40	30	5	20	3
24 April 2019	Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party
Corporate Research Associates	February 19, 2019	PDF	42	29	9	14	6
MQO Research	February 10, 2019	PDF	46	32	8	11	3
Mainstreet Research	January 15, 2019	HTML	40.2	27.3	12.4	15	4.5
Corporate Research Associates	November 24, 2018	PDF Archived 2018-12-15 at the Wayback Machine	30	35	12	17	6
9 November 2018	Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government.
MQO Research	November 5, 2018	PDF	36	29	11	21	3
2 November 2018	Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote
Mainstreet Research	November 2, 2018	HTML	33.7	33.7	12.7	15.7	3
Election 2018	September 24, 2018	HTML	31.89	37.80	12.58	11.88	5.01

Candidates

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they would not seek re-election:

• Brian Kenny, Liberal MLA for Bathurst West-Beresford since 2014, and previously MLA for Bathurst from 2003 to 2014. ^[30]
• Bruce Northrup, Progressive Conservative MLA for Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins since 2014, and previously MLA for Kings East from 2006 to 2014. ^[31]
• Gerry Lowe, Liberal MLA for Saint John Harbour since 2018. ^[32]
• Carl Urquhart, Progressive Conservative MLA for Carleton-York since 2014, and previously MLA for York from 2006 to 2014. ^[33]
• Stewart Fairgrieve, Progressive Conservative MLA for Carleton since 2015. ^[34]

Legend

• bold denotes cabinet minister, speaker or party leader
• † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
• # denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district

NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick ^[35]

Northern

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Progressive Conservatives		Liberal		Green		PANB		NDP		Other
Restigouche West		Louis Bérubé 1247 15.4%		Gilles LePage 5022 62.2%		Charles Thériault 1755 21.7%						Travis Pollock (KISS) 56 0.7%		Gilles LePage
Campbellton-Dalhousie		Charles D. Stewart 1369 19.7%		Guy H. Arseneault 4540 65.2%		Marie-Christine Allard 1054 15.1%								Guy Arseneault
Restigouche-Chaleur		Louis Robichaud 1149 16.7%		Daniel Guitard 3823 55.7%		Marie Larivière 1896 27.6%								Daniel Guitard
Bathurst West-Beresford		Anne Bard-Lavigne 1985 29.7%		René Legacy 3730 55.8%		Pierre Duguay-Boudreau 965 14.4%								Brian Kenny† [36]
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore		Amanda Keast 1568 24.0%		Denis Landry 4163 63.8%		Robert Kryzsko 798 12.2%								Denis Landry
Caraquet		Kevin J. Haché 985 12.0%		Isabelle Thériault 5928 72.3%		Marie-Christine Haché 1290 15.7%								Isabelle Thériault
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou		Jean-Gérard Chiasson 714 8.8%		Eric Mallet 6834 83.8%		Marie Leclerc 609 7.5%								Robert Gauvin#
Tracadie-Sheila		Diane Carey 2059 23.2%		Keith Chiasson 6175 69.5%		Chris LeBlanc 645 7.3%								Keith Chiasson

Miramichi

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Progressive Conservatives		Liberal		Green		PANB		NDP		Other
Miramichi Bay-Neguac		Robert Trevors 2751 33.7%		Lisa Harris 3561 43.6%		Curtis Bartibogue 825 10.1%		Thomas L'Huillier 898 11.0%		Douglas Mullin 139 1.7%				Lisa Harris
Miramichi		Charles Barry 1508 19.3%		Kevin Vickers 2239 28.6%		Joshua Shaddick 398 5.1%		Michelle Conroy 3527 45.1%		Eileen Clancy Teslenko 92 1.2%		Tristan Sutherland (Ind.) 54 0.7%		Michelle Conroy
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin		Jake Stewart 3887 48.0%		Josh McCormack 1760 21.7%				Art O'Donnell 2268 28.0%		Glenna Hanley 188 2.3%				Jake Stewart

Southeastern

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Progressive Conservatives		Liberal		Green		PANB		NDP		Other
Kent North		Stephen Robertson 1363 16.1%		Bertrand LeBlanc 2933 34.6%		Kevin Arseneau 4021 47.5%						Roger Richard (Ind.) 154 1.8%		Kevin Arseneau
Kent South		Raymond (Bou) Duplessis 2817 30.2%		Benoit Bourque 5148 55.2%		Eva P. Rehak 996 10.7%		Lisa Godin 243 2.6%		Sue Shedd 118 1.3%				Benoît Bourque
Shediac Bay-Dieppe		Mathieu Gérald Caissie 2971 30.6%		Robert Gauvin 5839 60.1%				Phillip Coombes 371 3.8%		Delphine Daigle 528 5.4%				Vacant
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé		Marie-Paule Martin 1820 19.7%		Jacques LeBlanc 4949 53.7%		Gilles Cormier 2453 26.6%								Jacques LeBlanc
Memramcook-Tantramar		Carole Duguay 1678 20.4%		Maxime Bourgeois 2902 35.3%		Megan Mitton 3425 41.6%		Heathere Collins [lower-alpha 1] 192 2.3%				Jefferson George Wright (Ind.) 34 0.4%		Megan Mitton
Dieppe		Patricia Arsenault 1680 22.1%		Roger Melanson 4564 60.2%		Mélyssa Boudreau 1142 15.1%				Pamela Boudreau 200 2.6%				Roger Melanson
Moncton East		Daniel Allain 3525 45.2%		Monique LeBlanc 2759 35.4%		Phylomène Zangio 989 12.7%		Michel Norman Guitare 378 4.8%		Christopher Wanamaker 153 2.0%				Monique LeBlanc
Moncton Centre		Jean Poirier 1642 26.1%		Rob McKee 2448 38.9%		Carole Chan 1725 27.4%		Aaron Richter 308 4.9%		James Caldwell 168 2.7%				Rob McKee
Moncton South		Greg Turner 2734 42.1%		Tyson Milner 1966 30.3%		Josephine Watson 1245 19.2%		Marilyn Crossman-Riel 331 5.1%		Rebecca Rogers 220 3.4%				Cathy Rogers† [37]
Moncton Northwest		Ernie Steeves 4111 51.5%		Mark Black 2448 30.7%		Laura Sanderson 702 8.8%		Shawn Soucoup 493 6.2%		Cyprien Okana 229 2.9%				Ernie Steeves
Moncton Southwest		Sherry Wilson 3679 52.1%		René Ephestion 1561 22.1%		Claire Kelly 927 13.1%		Susan Matthews 667 9.5%		Juliana McIntosh 224 3.2%				Sherry Wilson
Riverview		R. Bruce Fitch 4695 60.1%		Heath Johnson 1281 16.4%		Rachel Pletz 800 10.2%		Troy Berteit 778 10.0%		John Nuttall 261 3.3%				R. Bruce Fitch
Albert		Mike Holland 5040 62.3%		Kelley Nagle 921 11.4%		Jenny O'Neill 1056 13.1%		Sharon Buchanan 977 12.1%				James Wilson (Ind.) 90 1.1%		Mike Holland
Gagetown-Petitcodiac		Ross Wetmore 4773 59.1%		John (Jake) Urquhart 867 10.7%		Marilyn Merritt-Gray 1003 12.4%		Craig Dykeman 1303 16.1%		Ryan Jewkes 131 1.6%				Ross Wetmore

Southern

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Progressive Conservatives		Liberal		Green		PANB		NDP		Other
Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins		Tammy Scott-Wallace 4366 56.3%		Cully Robinson 971 12.5%		Tim Thompson 969 12.5%		Jim Bedford 1321 17.0%		Jonas Lanz 129 1.7%				Bruce Northrup† [38]
Hampton		Gary E. Crossman 4351 60.5%		Carley Parish 1084 15.1%		John Carl Sabine 816 11.4%		Sharon Bradley-Munn 687 9.6%		Alex White 251 3.5%				Gary Crossman
Quispamsis		Blaine M. Higgs 5697 68.1%		Robert Hunt 1225 14.6%		Addison Fach 528 6.3%		Sara Hall 414 4.9%		Caitlin Grogan 501 6.0%				Blaine Higgs
Rothesay		Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming 4265 61.3%		Jason Hickey 1463 21.0%		Ann McAllister 719 10.3%		Mike Griffin 413 5.9%				Neville (NB) Barnett (Ind.) 44 0.6% Liz Kramer (Ind.) 56 0.6%		Ted Flemming
Saint John East		Glen Savoie 3507 56.4%		Phil Comeau 1639 26.3%		Gerald Irish 394 6.3%		Patrick Kemp 434 7.0%		Josh Floyd 248 4.0%				Glen Savoie
Portland-Simonds		Trevor A. Holder 3170 55.1%		Tim Jones 1654 28.8%		Stefan Warner 483 8.4%		Darella (Lindsay) Jackson 282 4.9%		Erik Heinze-Milne 164 2.9%				Trevor Holder
Saint John Harbour		Arlene Dunn 2181 41.4%		Alice (Ms McKim) McKim 1207 22.9%		Brent Harris 1224 23.2%		Tony Gunn 186 3.5%		Courtney Pyrke 309 5.9%		Mike (Dok) Cyr (Ind.) 47 0.9% Arty Watson (Ind.) 114 2.2%		Gerry Lowe† [39]
Saint John Lancaster		K. Dorothy Shephard 3560 54.2%		Sharon Teare 1471 22.4%		Joanna Killen 938 14.3%		Paul Seelye 394 6.0%		Don Durant 201 3.1%				Dorothy Shephard
Kings Centre		Bill Oliver 4583 61.5%		Paul Adams 911 12.2%		Bruce Dryer 1006 13.5%		William Edgett 693 9.3%		Margaret Anderson Kilfoil 254 3.4%				Bill Oliver
Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West		Andrea Anderson-Mason 4740 66.5%		Tony Mann 726 10.2%		Lois P. Mitchell 686 9.6%		Vincent P. Edgett 688 9.6%		Sharon R. Greenlaw 291 4.1%				Andrea Anderson-Mason
Saint Croix		Kathy Bockus 3570 45.2%		John Wayne Gardner [lower-alpha 1] 401 5.1%		Kim Reeder 1238 15.7%		Rod Cumberland 2546 32.2%		Brad McKinney 147 1.9%				Vacant

Capital Region

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Progressive Conservatives		Liberal		Green		PANB		NDP		Other
Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton		Mary E. Wilson 3374 44.3%		Steven Burns 2072 27.2%		Gail Costello 1306 17.1%		Craig Rector 745 9.8%		Natasha M. Akhtar 127 1.7%				Mary E. Wilson
Fredericton-Grand Lake		Roy Wiggins 2479 30.6%		Eldon Hunter 749 9.3%		Ken Washburn 1005 12.4%		Kris Austin 3759 46.4%		Greg Cook 87 1.1%		Grenville Woollacott (KISS) 18 0.2%		Kris Austin
New Maryland-Sunbury		Jeff Carr 5342 57.8%		Chris Pelkey 1048 11.3%		Jen Smith 1463 15.8%		Morris Shannon 1254 13.6%		Chris Thompson 141 1.5%				Jeff Carr
Fredericton South		Brian MacKinnon 2342 30.0%		Nicole Picot 895 11.5%		David Coon 4213 54.0%		Wendell Betts 234 3.0%		Geoffrey Noseworthy 117 1.5%				David Coon
Fredericton North		Jill Green 3227 41.1%		Stephen Horsman 1464 18.7%		Luke Randall 2464 31.4%		Allen Price 591 7.5%		Mackenzie Thomason 100 1.3%				Stephen Horsman
Fredericton-York		Ryan Cullins 3730 42.4%		Randy McKeen 872 9.9%		Melissa Fraser 2110 24.0%		Rick DeSaulniers 1991 22.6%		Steven J. LaForest 68 0.8%		Gerald Bourque (KISS) 24 0.3%		Rick DeSaulniers
Fredericton West-Hanwell		Dominic Cardy 4726 52.9%		Chris Duffie 1510 16.9%		Susan Jonah 1745 19.5%		Mel Keeling 825 9.2%		Armand Cormier 131 1.5%				Dominic Cardy
Carleton-York		Richard Ames 4750 57.8%		Robert Kitchen 940 11.4%		Louise Comeau 890 10.8%		Gary Lemmon 1524 18.6%		Jarrett Oldenburg 110 1.3%				Carl Urquhart † [40]

Upper River Valley

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Progressive Conservatives		Liberal		Green		PANB		NDP		Other
Carleton		Bill Hogan 3536 47.9%		Theresa Blackburn 1239 16.8%		Greg Crouse 581 7.9%		Graham Gill 1909 25.8%		Shawn Oldenburg 80 1.1%		Andy Walton (KISS) 41 0.6%		Stewart Fairgrieve† [41]
Carleton-Victoria		Margaret Johnson 3330 45.2%		Andrew Harvey 2939 39.9%		Rowan Patrick Miller 372 5.1%		Terry Leigh Sisson 610 8.3%		Meriet Gray Miller 113 1.5%				Andrew Harvey
Victoria-La Vallée		Roland Michaud [lower-alpha 1] 2071 28.6%		Chuck Chiasson 4365 60.2%		Nathanaël Denis Lavoie 426 5.9%		André Jobin 292 4.0%				Danny Zolondek (Ind.) 92 1.3%		Chuck Chiasson
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre		Joanne Bérubé Gagné 1380 19.6%		Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours 5236 74.5%		Marco Morency 415 5.9%								Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours
Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston		Marie-Eve Castonguay 1763 25.6%		Francine Landry 4583 66.5%		Marie-Soleil Lussier 542 7.9%								Francine Landry

Notes

1. Candidate was publicly repudiated by his or her party but chose to remain in the election. Because ballot papers had already been printed candidate retained his or her original listed affiliation.

References

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Further reading

• Gillies, Jamie; Lewis, J.P.; Bateman, Thomas M.J. (2022). "The 2020 Provincial Election in New Brunswick: The First Canadian COVID-19 Election". Canadian Political Science Review. 16 (1): 22–31. ISSN   1911-4125.

External links

• Elections New Brunswick