2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

Last updated

2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia
Flag of Washington, D.C.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout66.9% [1] Increase2.svg
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote30
Popular vote317,32318,586
Percentage92.15%5.40%

District of Columbia Presidential Election Results by Ward, 2020.svg
DC President 2020.svg
Biden
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

The District of Columbia participated in the 2020 United States presidential election with the other 50 states on Tuesday, November 3. [2] District of Columbia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. The District of Columbia has three electoral votes in the Electoral College. [3] Prior to the election, Biden was considered to be all but certain to win D.C.

Contents

The nation's capital is overwhelmingly Democratic and has voted for the Democratic nominee by massive margins in every presidential election it has participated in, ever since it was first granted electors by the passage of the Twenty-third Amendment in 1961. Biden's 86.75-point margin of victory was virtually identical to that secured by Hillary Clinton in 2016. [4] Nevertheless, the District shifted very slightly to the right compared with the previous election, making Biden the first non-incumbent Democrat since 1988 to win D.C. by a smaller margin than in the previous cycle. Along with six states, [lower-alpha 1] it was one of just seven jurisdictions where Trump improved on his 2016 margins.

Primary elections

The District of Columbia held primary elections on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of the district's 19 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention. [5]

Democratic primary

2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary - Results by ward (shaded).svg
Popular vote share by ward
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary - Results by precinct (shaded).svg
Popular vote share by precinct
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
  Biden—>90%
2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary [6]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [7] [8]
Joe Biden 84,09375.9719
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)14,22812.851
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)11,11610.04
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)4420.40
Write-in votes8090.73
Total110,688100%20

General election

Final predictions

SourceRanking
The Cook Political Report [9] Solid D
Inside Elections [10] Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe D
Politico [12] Solid D
RCP [13] Solid D
Niskanen [14] Safe D
CNN [15] Solid D
The Economist [16] Safe D
CBS News [17] Likely D
270towin [18] Safe D
ABC News [19] Solid D
NPR [20] Likely D
NBC News [21] Solid D
538 [22] Solid D

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020November 3, 202090.8%5.8%3.4%

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020495 (LV)± 6%5% [lower-alpha 4] 94%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020969 (LV)9%89%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020343 (LV)12%86%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020252 (LV)16%83%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020290 (LV)8%91%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020151 (LV)11%87%3%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
317,323 92.15 +1.29
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
18,5865.40+1.31
Write-in 3,1370.91–1.19
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
2,0360.59–0.99
DC Statehood Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
1,7260.50–0.87
Independent Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
8550.25+0.25
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
6930.20+0.20
Total votes344,356 100.00 +1.60

Results by ward

[24]

CountyBidenBiden
%
TrumpTrump
%
OthersOthers
%
Total
Ward 139,04193.7%1,7254.1%2980.7%41,064
Ward 229,07888.4%2,9188.9%3701.1%32,366
Ward 339,39789.1%3,7058.4%4911.1%43,593
Ward 442,48993.8%1,9134.2%3080.7%44,710
Ward 543,32094.0%1,7693.8%3230.7%45,412
Ward 656,71990.1%4,3376.9%8571.4%61,913
Ward 736,38294.8%1,1343.0%2700.7%37,786
Ward 830,89794.0%1,0853.3%2200.7%32,202

Notes

  1. Those states were Arkansas, California, Florida, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah, as well as Washington, D.C.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

See also

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References

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Further reading