2023 Mulgrave state by-election

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2023 Mulgrave state by-election
Flag of Victoria (Australia).svg
  2022 18 November 2023 2026  

Electoral district of Mulgrave in the Victorian Legislative Assembly
Registered47,142
Turnout38,156 (80.94%) Increase2.svg 3.3%
 First partySecond party
  Labor Placeholder.png
IND
Candidate Eden Foster Ian Cook
Party Labor Independent
Popular vote14,4816,780
Percentage40.18%18.81%
SwingDecrease2.svg 10.82Increase2.svg 0.80
TCP 56.49%43.51%
TCP swingDecrease2.svg 4.34Increase2.svg 4.34

 Third partyFourth party
  Liberal Placeholder.png Greens placeholder-01.png
CandidateCourtney MannRhonda Garad
Party Liberal Greens
Popular vote7,8172,153
Percentage21.69%5.97%
SwingIncrease2.svg 4.50Increase2.svg 0.89

2023 Mulgrave (Vic.) state by-election results by postcode.svg
Results of the by-election by postcode

MP before election

Daniel Andrews
Labor

Elected MP

Eden Foster
Labor

One of the ten polling places for the by-election Mulgrave by-election polling place Springvale, November 2023 2.jpg
One of the ten polling places for the by-election

The 2023 Mulgrave state by-election was held on 18 November 2023 to elect the next member for Mulgrave in the Victorian Legislative Assembly, following the resignation of Australian Premier and incumbent MP Daniel Andrews. [1]

Contents

Background

Resignation of Daniel Andrews

At a media conference on 26 September 2023, Daniel Andrews announced his resignation as premier, leader of the Victorian Labor Party, and member for Mulgrave, to take effect the following day. The resignation came exactly 10 months into his four year elected term as member for Mulgrave. He cited thoughts of life following his premiership, which he felt meant "it is time to go". [2] [3]

Following the 2022 Victorian state election Daniel Andrews had committed to govern and remain in Parliament for a full four year term. [4]

Seat details

Mulgrave has been represented in the Victorian Legislative Assembly on two separate occasions. Its first appearance as an electoral district was during the 1958 Victorian state election, when it was captured by Ray Wiltshire of the Victorian Liberal Party. At the time, Mulgrave was regarded as a secure stronghold for the Liberal Party as its two-party-preferred vote never reached below 60 per cent. Wiltshire continued to serve as the Member of Parliament (MP) for Mulgrave until the 1967 Victorian state election, when the district was abolished. Subsequently, it was replaced by Syndal which Wiltshire represented until his retirement in 1976. The electorate was reestablished at the 2002 Victorian state election, replacing Dandenong North and won by Daniel Andrews who had held the seat up until his resignation in 2023.

Demographics

At the 2021 Australian census, Mulgrave had a median age of 40, slightly higher than the state and the rest of Australia. The electorate also boasts a significant population with Chinese ancestry comprising 17% of its residents, compared to the state where the rate is 6%. There are also large Vietnamese and Greek communities. Furthermore, 30% of Mulgrave's residents have attained a bachelor's degree or higher, and the median weekly personal income stands at $693. [5]

Two-party-preferred vote in Mulgrave, 2002–2022
Election 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
  Labor 66.20%65.60%58.48%54.50%62.71%60.20%
  Liberal 33.80%35.40%41.52%45.50%37.30%39.80%
GovernmentALPALPL/NPALPALPALP

2022 results

2022 Victorian state election: Mulgrave [6] [7] [8] [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Daniel Andrews 19,36551.0−8.5
Independent Ian Cook6,83818.0+18.0
Liberal Michael Piastrino6,52817.2−11.0
Greens Robert Lim1,9305.1−1.3
Freedom Aidan McLindon 8242.2+2.2
Family First Jane Foreman7492.0+2.0
Animal Justice David Mould4191.1+0.9
Democratic Labour Maree Wood3270.9−1.3
Independent Fotini Theodossopoulou3050.8+0.8
Independent Andrew King1730.4+0.4
Ind. (PIBCI) Joseph Toscano 1550.4+0.4
Independent Anne Moody1460.4+0.4
Independent Howard Lee 1200.3+0.3
Independent Ezra J. D. Isma920.2+0.2
Total formal votes37,92491.2−2.7
Informal votes3,6508.7+2.7
Turnout 41,57488.4+3.3
Notional two-party-preferred count
Labor Daniel Andrews 22,97660.2−5.6
Liberal Michael Piastrino15,19139.8+5.6
Two-candidate-preferred result
Labor Daniel Andrews 23,07060.8−5.0
Independent Ian Cook14,85439.2+39.2
Labor hold Swing −5.0

Candidates

Election poster for the Labor Party Mulgrave by-election Labor poster November 2023.jpg
Election poster for the Labor Party
PartyCandidateBackground
Libertarian Ethelyn KingCandidate for South-East Metro at the 2022 Victorian election. [10]
Sustainable Australia Celeste AckerlyStudent [11]
Independent Ian CookFormer businessman and candidate for Mulgrave at the 2022 Victorian election. [12]
Family First Jane ForemanCandidate for Mulgrave at the 2022 Victorian election. [13]
Liberal Courtney MannPolitical staffer, educator, and candidate for Mulgrave at the 2010 Victorian election. [14]
Victorian Socialists Kelly CvetkovaRetail worker, student and candidate for Thomastown at the 2022 Victorian election. [15]
Greens Rhonda Garad Greater Dandenong Councillor [16]
Labor Eden FosterMayor of Greater Dandenong [17]
Independent Tina TheodossopoulouLandscaper and candidate for Mulgrave at the 2022 Victorian election. [18]
Animal Justice Bronwyn Currie Perennial candidate, HR consultant and activist. [19]

Party how to vote Cards

Preferences as listed on each parties how to vote card
Party LBT SAP Ian C. FFV LIB VS GRN ALP T.T. AJ
Libertarian 1242107536
Sustainable Australia 6136655664
Ian Cook213398749
Family First 34148108510
Liberal 455166927
Victorian Socialists 108910133102
Greens 8910921293
Labor 7107844185
Tina Theodossopoulou5625791018
Animal Justice 978732471

[20]

Results

2023 Mulgrave state by-election [21] [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Eden Foster 14,48140.18−10.82
Liberal Courtney Mann7,81721.69+4.50
Independent Ian Cook6,78018.81+0.80
Greens Rhonda Garad2,1535.97+0.89
Victorian Socialists Kelly Cvetkova1,3153.65+3.65
Family First Jane Foreman1,1113.08+1.11
Libertarian Ethelyn King1,0462.90+2.90
Independent Tina Theodossopoulou6621.84+1.04
Animal Justice Bronwyn Currie4031.12+1.12
Sustainable Australia Celeste Ackerly2760.77+0.77
Total formal votes36,04494.46+3.13
Informal votes2,1125.54−3.13
Turnout 38,15680.94−7.46
Notional two-party-preferred count
Labor Eden Foster 19,70454.67−5.53
Liberal Courtney Mann16,34045.33+5.53
Two-candidate-preferred result
Labor Eden Foster 20,36356.49−4.34
Independent Ian Cook15,68143.51+4.34
Labor hold Swing −4.34

See also

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References

  1. Eddie, Rachel; Carmody, Broede (26 September 2023). "Daniel Andrews to stand down as Victorian premier immediately". The Age . Retrieved 26 September 2023.
  2. Ore, Adeshola (26 September 2023). "Daniel Andrews resignation: Anthony Albanese 'surprised' by announcement". The Guardian . Retrieved 26 September 2023.
  3. Bennett, Emily (26 September 2023). "How Australians reacted to the resignation of Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews". Nine News . Retrieved 26 September 2023.
  4. Durkin, Patrick; McCubbing, Gus (27 November 2022). "Emboldened Andrews promises to lead progressive march with PM" . Archived from the original on 17 November 2023. Retrieved 31 October 2023. Mr Andrews said he was committed to govern for a full, four-year term after securing a clear majority in the Victorian state election, despite suffering a statewide swing of almost 6 per cent against Labor.
  5. Australian Bureau of Statistics (28 June 2022). "Mulgrave (South-Eastern Metropolitan)". 2021 Census QuickStats. Retrieved 28 September 2023. OOjs UI icon edit-ltr-progressive.svg
  6. Green, Antony (11 January 2023). "VIC22 – 2-Party Preferred Results and Swings by District". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 28 January 2023.
  7. VIC 2021 Final Redistribution, ABC News. [Retrieved 1 January 2023.
  8. Mulgrave District results, Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  9. Full preference distributions – 2022 State election, Victorian Electoral Commission. [Retrieved 17 June 2023.
  10. Limbrick, David [@_davidlimbrick] (17 October 2023). "I'm proud to announce that Ethelyn King is the very first Libertarian Party candidate, running for the seat of Mulgrave" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 17 November 2023 via Twitter.
  11. "2023 Mulgrave by-election - 18 November 2023". Sustainable Australia Party (Press release). Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  12. "I Cook Foods boss says 'the people of Mulgrave have been neglected by the Premier for years'" . Herald Sun.
  13. Shelton, Lyle (24 October 2023). "Media release: Cost of living, protecting kids is Family First's focus in Mulgrave". Family First Party Australia (Press release). Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  14. Hevesi, Bryant (26 October 2023). "Mulgrave by-election: Former candidate and John Pesutto staffer Courtney Mann wins preselection for the Liberal Party". Sky News Australia . Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  15. "Announcing our candidate for the Mulgrave by-election". Victorian Socialists (Press release). 29 September 2023. Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  16. "Local Councillor Rhonda Garad Announced As Greens' Mulgrave Candidate, The Real Opposition This Election". Australian Greens Victoria (Press release). 19 October 2023. Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  17. Lucadou-Wells, Cam (6 October 2023). "Mayor running for Mulgrave". Dandenong Star Journal. Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  18. "Tina Theodossopoulou, one of ten independents in the Mulgrave by-election". Neos Kosmos . 12 November 2023. Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  19. "Announcing Bronwyn Currie for Mulgrave!". Animal Justice Party (Press release). 2 November 2023. Archived from the original on 17 November 2023.
  20. VEC. "Mulgrave District by-election how-to-vote card archive". www.vec.vic.gov.au. Retrieved 21 January 2024.
  21. "Results - Mulgrave by-election 2023". ABC News.
  22. "Mulgrave District by-election results". Victorian Electoral Commission.