2024 Brandenburg state election

Last updated
2024 Brandenburg state election
Flag of Brandenburg.svg
  2019 22 September 2024Next 

All 88 seats of the Landtag of Brandenburg
45 seats needed for a majority
 
Party SPD AfD CDU
Last election25 seats, 26.2%23 seats, 23.5%15 seats, 15.6%

 
Party Greens Left BVB/FW
Last election10 seats, 10.8%10 seats, 10.7%5 seats, 5.0%

Incumbent Government

Third Woidke cabinet
SPDCDUGreen



The next election to the Landtag of Brandenburg is scheduled for 22 September 2024.

Contents

Background

The 2019 Brandenburg state election resulted in the formation of the Third Woidke cabinet; a Kenya coalition of the SPD, CDU, and Greens. [1] The SPD became the strongest party with small losses, just ahead of the AfD, which gained many votes. The CDU lost significantly and fell from second to third place. Die Linke also lost significantly and ended up behind the Greens. Brandenburg United Civic Movements/Free Voters remained in state parliament with 5.0 percent. The FDP missed out with just 4.1 percent.

In the 2021 German federal election, the Social Democratic Party won all 10 constituencies across the state.

Opinion polls

Opinion polls Brandenburg 2024.svg
Local regression of polls conducted
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPD AfD CDU Grüne Linke BVB/FW FDP BSW OthersLead
Infratest dimap 4–8 Apr 20241,1612226188631074
Wahlkreisprognose 28 Mar7 Apr 20241,10021271575.55.529.57.56
INSA 14–22 Mar 20241,00019251987431236
INSA 8–15 Jan 20241,000172818864313310
Forsa 6–10 Jan 20241,00722321676534510
INSA 13–22 Nov 20231,00020271886331147
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Oct–1 Nov 20231,017273213.56.5762.55.55
21.522124.5542.521.570.5
Infratest dimap 8–11 Sep 20231,1602032188864412
Wahlkreisprognose 10–14 Aug 20231,003253015787265
2222136.55.55219.54.5Tie
INSA 26 Jun–3 Jul 20231,0002128189105367
IFM 22 May–1 Jun 20231,0002424171012842Tie
Infratest dimap 19–24 Apr 20231,20022232397556Tie
INSA 27 Mar–4 Apr 20231,00021251910105464
Wahlkreisprognose 7–13 Mar 202397823.52617986.5372.5
pmg – policy matters 28 Nov–15 Dec 20221,011272317795664
Wahlkreisprognose 6–18 Nov 20221,922262613.510873.56Tie
INSA 4–10 Oct 20221,00022251711105463
Infratest dimap 22–26 Sep 20221,165242418119446Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 20221,10026.52512126756.51.5
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 20221,00130191613664.55.511
Infratest dimap 21–24 Apr 20221,18230191810746311
Wahlkreisprognose 21–29 Mar 20221,0022920151168569
Forsa 9–17 Dec 20211,008281714111186511
Wahlkreisprognose 8–16 Dec 20211,0403419109787615
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Oct 20219803219.599.579.576.512.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 202129.518.115.39.08.59.310.311.4
Infratest dimap 25–30 Aug 20211,1573417138977517
Infratest dimap 12–15 May 20211,18323181616114755
Wahlkreisprognose 7–13 May 20212218141998553
Wahlkreisprognose 12–19 Mar 20212418141410.5955.56
Forsa 10–15 Dec 20201,00123162015126447
Infratest dimap 12–17 Nov 20201,00226192012113547
Wahlkreisprognose 30 Sep–7 Oct 20201,08923191713.512.57.525.54
INSA 29 Sep–6 Oct 20201,04321201716135441
Wahlkreisprognose 19–27 Aug 20202616.5191112735.57
Wahlkreisprognose 12–19 Jun 202028162210107346
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 May 202029.520237.57.5444.56.5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–8 Apr 2020282120.588635.57
Infratest dimap 31 Mar–4 Apr 20201,00027201912113447
Forsa 20–25 Feb 20201,00122181415157364
Infratest dimap 11–16 Nov 20191,00025221412125551
2019 state election 1 Sep 201926.223.515.610.810.75.04.14.12.7

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References

  1. "Who governs? These coalitions are likely in Saxony and Brandenburg". Handelsblatt (in German). 1 September 2019.

See also