2024 Inala state by-election

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2024 Inala state by-election
Flag of Queensland.svg
←  2020 16 March 2024 2024  →
Electoral district of Inala in the Queensland Legislative Assembly
Registered38,870
Turnout30,065 (77.3% Decrease2.svg 9.5)
 First partySecond party
  Labor Placeholder.png LNP Placeholder.png
Candidate Margie Nightingale Trang Yen
Party Labor Liberal National
Popular vote9,9547,834
Percentage37.3%29.4%
SwingDecrease2.svg 30.1Increase2.svg 12.8
TPP 56.7%43.3%
TPP swingDecrease2.svg 21.5Increase2.svg 21.5
ECQ-2017-Final-Inala.pdf
Map of boundaries
MP before election

Annastacia Palaszczuk
Labor

Elected MP

Margie Nightingale
Labor

A by-election for the electoral district of Inala in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland was held on 16 March 2024 following the resignation of former Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk from parliament, which was announced on 10 December 2023 and took effect on 31 December 2023. The by-election was held on the same day as the Ipswich West by-election and the statewide local government elections. [1]

Contents

Background

Seat details

The electoral district of Inala was established in 1990 following one vote one value electoral reforms by Wayne Goss and was contested for the first time at the 1992 Queensland state election. [2] Throughout its existence, Inala has been a stronghold for the Queensland Labor Party. The seat was initially held by Henry Palaszczuk, who had transferred from Archerfield, and he served as Inala's Member of Parliament until the 2006 Queensland state election, where he was succeeded by his daughter Annastacia Palaszczuk.

Inala has consistently been a safe seat for Labor, often the safest for the party in the state. In the 2012 Queensland state election Inala was one of only 7 seats retained by Labor. Palaszczuk experienced a significant decline in her primary vote and a 14% swing against her in the Two-party-preferred vote, this being the first time since the seat's establishment where Labor did not obtain a majority in the primary vote. Her margin of victory was reduced to 6.2%. Palaszczuk was subsequently appointed as Labor leader [3] and led the party back to government in the 2015 Queensland state election.

Under the Palaszczuk government, Inala reverted to its traditional status as a comfortably safe Labor seat. Palaszczuk was re-elected in Inala in 2015 with an increased majority of 25%, making it the second-safest seat in the state. Her lead was increased in the 2017 and 2020 elections to 26.1% and 28.1% respectively.

Demographics

Inala is located in the southwestern suburbs of Brisbane. According to the 2021 Australian Census, the electorate has a median age of 34, which is lower than both the state and national averages. 18.8% of the electorate hold a Bachelor's degree, which is lower than the state and national averages. The average personal weekly income is $659.

The electorate has a racially diverse demographic, including a significant percentage of Vietnamese Australians. Approximately 15.6 percent of households speak the Vietnamese language, and 14.4 percent of residents identify as having Vietnamese ancestry. [4]

Previous results

Two-party-preferred vote in Inala, 1992–2020
Election 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 2020
  Labor 76.40%68.90%77.40%71.50%81.00%76.30%71.50%56.90%75.12%76.10%78.17%
  Liberal/LNP 23.60%31.10%22.60%—19.00%23.70%28.50%43.10%24.88%23.90%21.83%
  Independent ———28.50%——————
GovernmentALPALPALPALPALPALPALPLNPALPALPALP
This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2020 Queensland state election § Inala.[ edit ]
2020 Queensland state election: Inala [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Annastacia Palaszczuk 19,88867.42−0.54
Liberal National Miljenka Perovic4,87916.54−4.15
Greens Peter Murphy2,2757.71−3.63
One Nation Scott Reid1,3414.55+4.55
Legalise Cannabis Nigel Quinlan7342.49+2.49
Independent Terry Jones1970.67+0.67
Civil Liberties & Motorists Michael Vidal1830.62+0.62
Total formal votes29,49795.10+2.25
Informal votes1,5214.90−2.25
Turnout 31,01886.85+0.27
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Annastacia Palaszczuk 23,05778.17+2.07
Liberal National Miljenka Perovic6,44021.83−2.07
Labor hold Swing +2.07

Candidates

PartyCandidateNotes
Independent Linh Nguyen
Independent Democrats Chris SimpsonProject manager and tradesman; former member of Master Builders Queensland [6]
Independent Progressive Edward CarrollState leader of the unregistered Queensland Progressives; also endorsed by the Fusion Party [7]
Legalise Cannabis Nigel QuinlanCandidate for Inala in 2004 for the Greens and 2020 [8]
  Liberal National Trang YenActing chief financial officer of Trade Investment Queensland; former government bureaucrat [9]
Independent Nayda Hernandez
Greens Navdeep Singh Sidhu [10]
Labor Margie NightingaleFormer teacher and policy advisor to Deputy Premier, Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment Cameron Dick

Labor

William Bowe from the Poll Bludger and the "Feeding the Chooks" column in The Australian , suggested Jon Persley, Annastacia Palaszczuk's deputy chief of staff, as a potential successor candidate for the 2024 Inala state by-election. However, concerns arose about representation due to the multicultural demographics of the electorate, a point highlighted by The Australian. [11] In January 2024, Persley told The Australian that he would not be contesting for preselection due to Labor's gender quota rules being a 'big factor'. Margie Nightingale, a former teacher and current policy adviser to Treasurer Cameron Dick, [12] won the preselection instead and was elected as the new MP for Inala at the by-election.

Results

2024 Inala state by-election [13] [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Margie Nightingale 10,21637.23−30.19
Liberal National Trang Yen8,05929.37+12.83
Greens Navdeep Singh Sidhu2,79010.17+2.46
Independent Linh Nguyen2,5029.12+9.12
Independent Nayda Hernandez1,3204.81+4.81
Legalise Cannabis Nigel Quinlan1,0463.81+1.32
Independent Democrat Chris Simpson9863.60+3.60
Independent Progressives Edward Carroll5191.89+1.89
Total formal votes27,43891.26−3.84
Informal votes2,6278.74+3.84
Turnout 30,06577.35−9.50
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Margie Nightingale 15,54456.65−21.52
Liberal National Trang Yen11,89443.35+21.52
Labor hold Swing −21.52

See also

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References

  1. ↑ Remeikis, Amy (10 December 2023). "Queensland premier Annastacia Palaszczuk retires from politics". Guardian Australia. Archived from the original on 12 December 2023.
  2. ↑ Green, Antony. "Inala By-election - BCC Election 2024". abc.net.au. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  3. ↑ Madigan, Michael (28 March 2012). "New ALP leader Annastacia Palaszszuk apologises for the sale of public assets, the cause for Labor's ballot disaster". couriermail.com.au. Archived from the original on 16 April 2012. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  4. ↑ Australian Bureau of Statistics (28 June 2022). "Inala". 2021 Census QuickStats. Retrieved 11 December 2023. OOjs UI icon edit-ltr-progressive.svg
  5. ↑ 2020 State General Election – Inala – District Summary, ECQ.
  6. ↑ "Vote 1 Chris Simpson Candidate for Inala". chrissimpsonqld.com.au. Suite 2, 10 Kittyhawk Avenue, Inala QLD 4077. Archived from the original on 17 March 2024. Retrieved 5 February 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: location (link)
  7. ↑ Miller, Owen (21 February 2024). "Fusion Backs Heath McKenzie for Dunkley By-Election". Drummoyne NSW: Fusion Party. Archived from the original on 17 March 2024. In Queensland, Fusion is also endorsing an Independent candidate - Ed Carroll - who comes from the Australian Progressives, as a candidate in the Inala state by-election on 16 March 2024.
  8. ↑ "2024 Inala by-election". lcqparty.org. Legalise Cannabis Queensland. Archived from the original on 17 March 2024. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  9. ↑ Johnson, Hayden (2 February 2024). "Premier's bureaucrat to run for LNP in Inala as Palaszczuk dodges hustings" . The Courier-Mail. Retrieved 3 February 2024. 28-year public servant Trang Yen, who worked in the Department of State Development under Mr Miles, was on Friday endorsed as the LNP's Inala candidate.
  10. ↑ "Navdeep Singh | Candidate for the Inala by-election on 16 March". greens.org.au. Archived from the original on 17 March 2024. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  11. ↑ Bowe, William (10 December 2023). "Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns". pollbludger.net. Archived from the original on 12 December 2023. Retrieved 11 December 2023.
  12. ↑ Lynch, Lydia (1 January 2024). "Woman tipped to replace Annastacia Palaszczuk in ultra-safe Labor seat of Inala" . The Australian .
  13. ↑ "2024 Inala State By-election". Electoral Commission Queensland. 16 March 2024. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  14. ↑ Green, Antony (28 March 2024). "Inala By-election". ABC Elections. ABC. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
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