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Riding of Milton | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 27.72% ( 14.99) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A by-election was held in the provincial riding of Milton in Ontario on May 2, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Parm Gill in order to run in the 45th Canadian federal election. [1]
It was held the same day as the 2024 Lambton—Kent—Middlesex provincial by-election. [2]
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Source | PC | Liberal | NDP | Green | Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling type | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaison Strategies | April 25, 2024 | [11] | 39% | 41% | 9% | 5% | 6% | ±4.71% | 433 | IVR | 2% |
| Mainstreet Research | April 18, 2024 | [12] | 43% | 43% | 6% | 6% | 3% | ±5.3% | 348 | Telephone | Tie |
| Liaison Strategies | March 28, 2024 | [13] | 39% | 39% | 10% | 5% | 6% | ±4.62% | 451 | IVR | Tie |
| Ontario provincial by-election, May 2, 2024: Milton Resignation of Parm Gill | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ** Preliminary results — Not yet official ** | ||||||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Zee Hamid | 12,880 | 47.04 | +3.97 | ||||
| Liberal | Galen Naidoo Harris | 10,473 | 38.25 | -0.50 | ||||
| New Democratic | Edie Strachan | 1,851 | 6.76 | -2.94 | ||||
| New Blue | John Spina | 1,102 | 4.02 | -0.03 | ||||
| Green | Kyle Hutton | 755 | 2.76 | -1.38 | ||||
| Ontario Party | Frederick Weening | 111 | 0.41 | |||||
| Family Rights | Tony Walton | 101 | 0.37 | |||||
| Independent | John Turmel | 64 | 0.23 | |||||
| Independent | Arabella Vida | 42 | 0.15 | |||||
| Total valid votes | 27,379 | |||||||
| Total rejected ballots | ||||||||
| Turnout | 27.72 | -14.99 | ||||||
| Eligible voters | 98,785 | |||||||
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | +2.24 | ||||||
| 2022 Ontario general election : Milton | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
| Progressive Conservative | Parm Gill | 16,766 | 43.07 | +1.40 | ||||
| Liberal | Sameera Ali | 15,086 | 38.75 | +8.92 | ||||
| New Democratic | Katherine Cirlincione | 3,777 | 9.70 | −12.54 | ||||
| Green | Oriana Knox | 1,612 | 4.14 | −0.88 | ||||
| New Blue | John Spina | 1,579 | 4.06 | |||||
| Consensus Ontario | Masood Khan | 107 | 0.27 | |||||
| Total valid votes | 38,927 | 99.41 | ||||||
| Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | 231 | 0.59 | -0.32 | |||||
| Turnout | 39,158 | 42.70 | -13.40 | |||||
| Eligible voters | 91,696 | |||||||
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | −3.76 | ||||||
Source(s)
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