David Shor | |
---|---|
Born | 1991 (age 32–33) |
Nationality | American |
Alma mater | Florida International University |
Occupations | |
Employers |
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Political party | Democratic Party |
David Shor (born 1991) [1] is an American data scientist and political consultant known for analyzing political polls. [2] He serves as head of data science with Blue Rose Research [1] in New York City, [3] and is a senior fellow with the Center for American Progress Action Fund. [4] Shor describes himself as a socialist and advised a number of liberal political action committees during the 2020 United States elections. [5] [6]
Shor grew up in Miami, Florida, in a Sephardic Jewish family. [7] He holds a mathematics degree from Florida International University. [8] Shor was a precocious child and gifted in mathematics, starting his undergraduate degree at the age of 13 and finishing at the age of 17. [9] Shor was awarded the Math in Moscow scholarship in fall 2009. [10]
Shor joined the Barack Obama 2012 presidential campaign at the age of 20, [11] working on the Chicago-based team that tracked internal and external polls and developed forecasts. [12] The team Shor worked with developed a polling forecasting model, known as "The Golden Report", [13] that projected Obama's vote share within one percentage point in eight of the nine battleground states. [14] New York Magazine described Shor as the "in-house Nate Silver" of the Obama campaign. [5] [15]
(((David Shor))) @davidshor Post-MLK-assasination[sic] race riots reduced Democratic vote share in surrounding counties by 2%, which was enough to tip the 1968 election to Nixon. Non-violent protests *increase* Dem vote, mainly by encouraging warm elite discourse and media coverage. http://omarwasow.com/Protests_on_Voting.pdf
May 28, 2020 [16]
Shor then worked as a senior data scientist with Civis Analytics in Chicago [9] for seven years, [17] where he operated the company's web-based survey. [18] On May 28, 2020, Shor tweeted a summary of an academic study by Omar Wasow, a black political scientist at Princeton University, that argued riots following Martin Luther King Jr.'s assassination likely tipped the 1968 presidential election in Richard Nixon's favor. [19] Some critics argued that Shor's tweet, which was posted during the height of the George Floyd protests, could be interpreted as criticism of the Black Lives Matter movement. [20] Jonathan Chait wrote in New York Magazine that "At least some employees and clients on Civis Analytics complained that Shor’s tweet threatened their safety." [21] Shor apologized for the tweet on May 29, and he was fired from Civis Analytics a few days later. [21]
Shor's firing has been cited as an example of "the excesses of so-called cancel culture." [22] [23] Political scientist and journalist Yascha Mounk wrote that Shor had been "punished for doing something that most wouldn’t even consider objectionable." [24] Vox editor and columnist Matthew Yglesias condemned the idea "that it’s categorically wrong for a person — or at least a white person — to criticize on tactical or other grounds anything being done in the name of racial justice," which he claimed was common among Shor's progressive critics. [25]
Since 2020, his work at Blue Rose Research aims to develop a data-based model to predict the outcome of future elections on the basis of simulations, designed in particular to advise the Democratic Party in campaign strategies. [26] Shor is an advocate for what he terms "popularism", the idea that Democrats should campaign on a strategy of focusing on issues that enjoy electoral popularity, such as focusing on economic issues over polarizing social and cultural issues. [26] [27] Some political analysts, including Michael Podhorzer, have criticized his work for a lack of transparency regarding his methods and data sources. [26]
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