Results breakdown of the 2021 Canadian federal election

Last updated

2021 Canadian federal election
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg
  2019 September 20, 2021

All 338 seats in the House of Commons of Canada
170 seats needed for a majority
Turnout62.25%
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
Liberal Justin Trudeau 32.6%160+3
Conservative Erin O'Toole 33.7%119−2
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 7.6%320
New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 17.8%25+1
Green Annamie Paul 2.3%2−1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister beforePrime Minister after
Justin Trudeau in 2019 at the G7 (Biarritz) (48622478973) (cropped) (cropped) (cropped).jpg Justin Trudeau
Liberal
Justin Trudeau
Liberal
Justin Trudeau in 2019 at the G7 (Biarritz) (48622478973) (cropped) (cropped) (cropped).jpg

The 2021 Canadian federal election was held on September 20, 2021, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Canadian Parliament. The Liberal Party of Canada was returned once more with a minority of the seats, and the composition of the House saw very little change.

Contents

Summary

Conservative Party leader Erin O'Toole, furthest left, campaigning with candidates in Newfoundland Erin O'Toole campaigning with Clifford Small, Sharon Vokey & Carol Anstey.jpg
Conservative Party leader Erin O'Toole, furthest left, campaigning with candidates in Newfoundland

The election was described as being "like a game of tug of war in which the rope won." [1] The remarkable similarity of the seat results and those in 2019 may have reinforced voters' sentiments that the early election was unnecessary, and its meagre outcome has left its mark on the electorate. Both the Liberals and Conservatives saw marginal declines in their national shares of the votes.

Compared to 2019, Tory holds in Western Canada and Liberal ones in the GTA both declined, although one Conservative observer noted, "I am far more encouraged by the narrowing of margins in the suburbs, than I am discouraged or concerned by an Alberta MP only winning by 30,000 votes". [2]

The Green Party saw its share of the vote collapse to 2.3%, its lowest level since the 2000 federal election. Internal dissension and poor morale contributed to the decline, and Elizabeth May called for an inquiry to determine the underlying reasons for it. [3] Paul announced her resignation as party leader on September 27, [4] which took effect on November 14, after being officially accepted by the party's federal council. [5]

In late November, the Greens released a report indicating that they were facing imminent insolvency, and were considering closing the Ottawa office. [6] The party had lost 499 monthly donors since July 2021, and 6,259 members in the same length of time. [6]

The increase of the People's Party share from 1.6% to 4.9% may have cost the Conservatives at least ten ridings. [7] [8] [9] Votes obtained by individual PPC candidates were larger than the margin of victory in 21 ridings, where the Conservative candidate was in second place (12 in Ontario, five in BC, two in Alberta, one in Quebec and one in Newfoundland). Of those seats, 14 went to the Liberals, six to the NDP, and one to the Bloc. Observers noted that a significant amount of PPC support arose from non-Conservative voters. [10]

Eight ridings were won by a margin of 1% or less, and judicial recounts were requested in four of them. One riding flipped from the Bloc to the Liberals, [11] one Bloc victory was confirmed, [12] and two proceedings were terminated when it became obvious that no change would occur. [13] [14]

Synopsis of results

Canadian federal election results (September 20, 2021)
16011932252
LiberalConservativeBQNDPG
Expected arrangement of elected MPs in the House of Commons 20211016232343!44th Canadian Parliament.svg
Expected arrangement of elected MPs in the House of Commons
Cartogram of the 2021 Canadian federal election results using equal-area ridings Canadian Federal Election Cartogram 2021.svg
Cartogram of the 2021 Canadian federal election results using equal-area ridings
Results by riding — 2021 Canadian federal election [a 1]
Riding Prov/
Terr
2019 Winning partyTurnout
[a 2]
Votes [a 3]
PartyVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
Lib Con NDP BQ Green PPC IndOtherTotal
 
Banff—Airdrie ABConCon43,67756.7%31,19540.5%69.4%9,57243,67712,4821,4055,8082,5691,47576,988
Battle River—Crowfoot ABConCon41,81971.3%36,05861.5%73.2%2,51541,8195,7615545,4402,57158,660
Bow River ABConCon35,67669.8%30,56859.8%63.5%3,86935,6764,7265,1081,75951,138
Calgary Centre ABConCon30,37551.3%12,78221.6%63.0%17,59330,3759,69497157559,208
Calgary Confederation ABConCon28,36746.0%10,80717.5%68.0%17,56028,36710,5612,2952,67017861,631
Calgary Forest Lawn ABConCon15,43444.5%5,82616.8%48.2%9,60815,4346,2546992,46818534,648
Calgary Heritage ABConCon30,87057.7%21,55040.3%66.4%8,96030,8709,3207662,68294453,542
Calgary Midnapore ABConCon39,14760.7%27,32142.4%68.1%7,94739,14711,8268683,93081264,530
Calgary Nose Hill ABConCon28,00155.6%17,69035.1%61.2%10,31128,0018,5006362,32462150,393
Calgary Rocky Ridge ABConCon36,03454.5%21,34132.3%66.3%14,69336,03410,7481,0523,00355466,084
Calgary Shepard ABConCon44,41160.4%32,30843.9%64.2%10,30344,41112,1031,3004,28422893073,559
Calgary Signal Hill ABConCon35,21759.0%24,11140.4%67.4%11,10635,2178,8631,0942,85956859,707
Calgary Skyview ABConLib20,09242.4%2,9816.3%54.9%20,09217,1117,6904321,72018420447,433
Edmonton Centre ABConLib16,56033.7%6151.3%62.8%16,56015,94514,1712,09437849,148
Edmonton Griesbach ABConNDP17,45740.5%1,5003.4%53.7%5,97915,95717,4575382,61751143,059
Edmonton Manning ABConCon20,21941.1%5,22010.6%55.4%10,46820,21914,9993,40713349,226
Edmonton Mill Woods ABConCon18,39237.9%1,8933.9%63.4%16,49918,39210,5532,89817248,514
Edmonton Riverbend ABConCon25,70245.1%11,53320.2%66.1%14,16925,70214,1547612,14256,928
Edmonton Strathcona ABNDPNDP31,69060.7%18,38035.2%69.4%3,94813,31031,6906342,36627552,223
Edmonton West ABConCon25,27845.1%11,08819.8%62.1%13,01625,27814,1903,35415155,989
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin ABConCon48,34055.7%30,08134.7%66.5%12,22948,34018,2597,67034586,843
Foothills ABConCon44,45669.2%37,33958.1%72.8%4,44144,4567,1178025,1112,28964,216
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake ABConCon29,24267.8%23,76155.1%56.5%3,06029,2424,3774235,48156743,150
Grande Prairie-Mackenzie ABConCon36,36168.4%29,89956.2%64.4%2,39736,3616,4625,4112,50953,140
Lakeland ABConCon36,55769.4%30,73058.3%68.0%2,61036,5575,5194645,8271,67452,651
Lethbridge ABConCon32,81755.6%21,43136.3%66.1%8,92832,81711,3864,0971,17956658,973
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner ABConCon31,64865.4%24,83251.3%61.5%3,51531,6486,8167254,4841,22648,414
Peace River—Westlock ABConCon29,48663.0%23,46750.1%63.2%2,43129,4866,0193645,9162,57346,789
Red Deer—Lacombe ABConCon39,80564.2%30,99950.0%66.2%3,70439,8058,8067,8935731,19861,979
Red Deer—Mountain View ABConCon40,68064.2%31,85450.3%71.1%4,08440,6808,8267,5812981,85163,320
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan ABConCon41,09257.6%26,35237.0%73.9%8,73041,09214,7407005,00428384971,398
St. Albert—Edmonton ABConCon29,65247.6%11,83619.0%66.3%11,18829,65217,8163,68462,340
Sturgeon River—Parkland ABConCon40,95761.6%28,42542.7%70.6%4,57940,95712,5326,6711,73766,476
Yellowhead ABConCon33,60366.2%27,12853.5%69.2%2,82933,6035,9776,4751,90850,792
Abbotsford BCConCon21,59747.9%10,69023.7%59.6%10,90721,5977,7291,5173,30045,050
Burnaby North—Seymour BCLibLib19,44539.5%5,12710.4%62.3%19,44512,53514,3181,5161,37049,184
Burnaby South BCNDPNDP16,38240.3%4,0219.9%51.1%12,3619,10416,3821,1751,29029640,608
Cariboo—Prince George BCConCon25,77150.8%15,44830.4%59.8%8,39725,77110,3231,8444,16021850,713
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola BCConCon30,56347.6%16,75026.1%64.6%13,29130,56313,8131,7554,78864,210
Chilliwack—Hope BCConCon23,98746.0%10,06019.3%61.4%8,85123,98713,9271,3914,00452,160
Cloverdale—Langley City BCConLib20,87739.2%1,6543.1%61.0%20,87719,22310,5872,56353,250
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BCLibLib21,45438.5%4,5478.2%60.1%21,45416,90714,9822,37355,716
Courtenay—Alberni BCNDPNDP30,61244.2%8,43112.2%65.8%9,27622,18130,6123,5903,46712469,250
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford BCNDPNDP26,96842.8%9,09814.4%64.4%10,32017,87026,9683,9223,95263,032
Delta BCLibLib22,10542.3%4,4108.5%67.5%22,10517,6959,5911,2441,29137952,305
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke BCNDPNDP28,05642.8%13,59020.7%64.4%14,46613,88528,0565,8912,99524965,542
Fleetwood—Port Kells BCLibLib21,35045.2%6,79714.4%58.7%21,35014,5538,9608921,28414647,185
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo BCConCon30,28143.0%9,85014.0%66.5%12,71730,28120,4312,5764,03341070,448
Kelowna—Lake Country BCConCon30,40945.3%12,64218.8%63.9%17,76730,40912,2042,0744,68867,142
Kootenay—Columbia BCConCon28,05643.2%4,0706.3%68.3%5,87928,05623,9862,5774,46764,965
Langley—Aldergrove BCConCon28,64345.7%12,07819.3%65.0%16,56528,64312,2881,7983,34162,635
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon BCConCon18,90843.8%8,31019.3%61.5%10,59818,9088,7091,8873,07343,175
Nanaimo—Ladysmith BCGrnNDP19,82628.8%1,1991.7%64.0%9,31418,62719,82617,6403,35868,765
New Westminster—Burnaby BCNDPNDP24,05448.8%12,36925.1%57.1%11,6859,71024,0542,0351,84049,324
North Island—Powell River BCNDPNDP23,83339.5%2,1633.5%65.4%7,92221,67023,8333,6562,79538760,263
North Okanagan—Shuswap BCConCon33,62646.4%19,69727.2%65.2%13,66633,62613,9293,9677,20972,397
North Vancouver BCLibLib26,75645.1%10,08517.0%66.1%26,75616,67111,7502,5981,54559,320
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge BCConCon19,37136.7%2,5024.8%64.4%13,17919,37116,8692,80045316152,833
Port Moody—Coquitlam BCConNDP19,36737.2%2,7625.3%62.7%14,23116,60519,3671,76612252,091
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies BCConCon29,88260.7%23,23547.2%62.1 %4,23629,8826,6471,6615,1381,63349,197
Richmond Centre BCConLib13,44039.3%7722.2%46.2%13,44012,6686,1961,10974834,161
Saanich—Gulf Islands BCGrnGrn24,64837.6%9,87315.1%70.4%12,05614,77511,95924,6481,94314165,522
Skeena—Bulkley Valley BCNDPNDP15,92142.6%2,4086.5%55.7%2,86613,51315,9211,4062,88879737,391
South Okanagan—West Kootenay BCNDPNDP27,59541.3%3,9205.8%65.6%8,15923,67527,5952,4854,86666,780
South Surrey—White Rock BCConCon24,15842.5%1,9923.5%65.0%22,16624,1588,3952,18656,905
Steveston—Richmond East BCConLib16,54342.5%3,4779.0%52.8%16,54313,0667,52586095538,949
Surrey Centre BCLibLib16,86243.9%6,23516.2%51.7%16,8628,09410,6278381,53942638,386
Surrey—Newton BCLibLib19,72153.9%10,18527.9%56.2%19,7215,7589,53696762836,610
Vancouver Centre BCLibLib20,87340.4%5,0049.7%57.0%20,87311,16215,8692,0301,68351,617
Vancouver East BCNDPNDP27,96956.4%18,17236.6%55.0%9,7975,39927,9693,8261,3821,21849,591
Vancouver Granville BCIndLib17,05034.4%4310.9%60.8%17,05013,28016,6191,4341,17749,560
Vancouver Kingsway BCNDPNDP20,99452.3%9,97224.9%54.1%11,0225,45620,9941,57586824340,158
Vancouver Quadra BCLibLib20,81443.6%7,02814.7%63.5%20,81413,7869,2202,92296347,705
Vancouver South BCLibLib19,91049.4%9,98824.8%54.8%19,9109,0609,9221,10428740,283
Victoria BCNDPNDP29,30143.9%11,10716.6%67.3%18,1949,15229,3017,4722,06556466,748
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country BCLibLib21,50033.9%2,4383.9%64.9%21,50019,06216,2654,1082,2991279863,459
Brandon—Souris MBConCon22,73359.6%14,89539.1%61.9%4,60822,7337,8382,98138,160
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley MBConCon18,11140.0%4601.0%69.7%17,65118,1116,9749471,59445,277
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski MBNDPNDP7,63242.6%3,11817.4%36.6%4,5144,3307,63255289917,927
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa MBConCon22,71859.0%17,04044.3%62.2%4,89222,7185,6788354,05233938,514
Elmwood—Transcona MBNDPNDP20,79149.7%9,02321.6%59.9%6,16911,76820,7916762,43541,839
Kildonan—St. Paul MBConCon18,37541.8%5,44112.4%66.1%12,93418,37510,3132,32543,947
Portage—Lisgar MBConCon23,81952.5%14,02930.9%67.0%4,96723,8196,0689,79071245,356
Provencher MBConCon24,29448.7%15,82331.7%67.5%8,47124,2946,2701,2738,2271,36649,901
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital MBLibLib19,90843.8%7,15915.8%66.3%19,90812,7499,7676761,9782949745,469
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman MBConCon28,30857.1%18,70437.7%66.2%6,56728,3089,6041,3283,80049,607
Winnipeg Centre MBNDPNDP14,96250.3%6,51621.9%52.2%8,4463,81814,9627081,22958629,749
Winnipeg North MBLibLib16,44252.3%7,44423.7%50.8%16,4424,1268,9984181,31510931,408
Winnipeg South MBLibLib22,42347.5%6,45613.7%68.2%22,42315,9676,6326811,54247,245
Winnipeg South Centre MBLibLib22,21445.5%8,64817.7%69.8%22,21413,56610,0641,3411,35223448,771
Acadie—Bathurst NBLibLib27,81764.8%21,90151.0%64.8%27,8175,9164,9061,2032,53154942,922
Beauséjour NBLibLib27,31355.6%17,78736.2%68.0%27,3139,5265,3942,7983,72339149,145
Fredericton NBGrnLib16,31637.0%5021.1%67.2%16,31615,8145,5645,66631039244,062
Fundy Royal NBConCon21,46048.4%10,38523.4%66.7%11,07521,4606,2112,1893,44744,382
Madawaska—Restigouche NBLibLib16,85455.2%8,96229.4%61.6%16,8547,8921,8487861,8891,27730,546
Miramichi—Grand Lake NBLibCon14,21843.7%1,4564.4%67.3%12,76214,2182,2911,3931,83932,503
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe NBLibLib22,46049.1%11,76825.7%61.7%22,46010,6927,7741,9352,90145,762
New Brunswick Southwest NBConCon18,30950.0%9,55926.1%67.4%8,75018,3094,8931,5873,09036,629
Saint John—Rothesay NBLibLib17,37546.4%5,06013.5%59.3%17,37512,3154,8169481,99637,450
Tobique—Mactaquac NBConCon17,53651.0%9,31327.1%62.0%8,22317,5363,6561,6572,93039834,400
Avalon NLLibLib18,60850.1%5,87015.8%53.3%18,60812,7385,15164737,144
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity NLLibLib13,97246.6%1,6945.7%52.1%13,97212,2782,4841,25729,991
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame NLLibCon14,92746.9%2810.9%51.5%14,64614,9272,26131,834
Labrador NLLibLib4,11942.7%1,18912.3%48.3%4,1192,9302,2973079,653
Long Range Mountains NLLibLib16,17844.4 %1,8345.0%53.3%16,17814,3444,3471,57836,447
St. John's East NLNDPLib17,23945.2%4,14910.9%57.6%17,2397,11913,09072338,171
St. John's South—Mount Pearl NLLibLib19,47856.2%11,36532.8%53.0%19,4786,4478,11363834,676
Cape Breton—Canso NSLibLib18,28846.5%4,48311.4%65.6%18,28813,8055,6181,64939,360
Central Nova NSLibLib18,68246.2%5,62213.9%66.7%18,68213,0606,2254941,44536520340,474
Cumberland—Colchester NSLibCon18,60146.0%4,77911.8%60.1%13,82218,6014,9841,0451,68727840,417
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour NSLibLib24,20953.1%8,94219.6%61.2%24,20915,2671,3714,78145,628
Halifax NSLibLib21,90542.7%1,5583.0%68.1%21,9056,60120,3471,1281,06919851,248
Halifax West NSLibLib24,74448.5%12,41324.3%65.0%24,74411,24312,3311,1811,4478551,031
Kings—Hants NSLibLib20,19244.9%6,95815.5%63.4%20,19213,2348,6459401,94544,956
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook NSLibLib18,83841.3%6,79114.9%63.5%18,83812,04712,0129331,77645,606
South Shore—St. Margarets NSLibCon20,45440.9%1,8793.8%63.2%18,57520,4549,5411,43450,004
Sydney—Victoria NSLibLib14,25039.2%1,0842.9%61.6%14,25013,1667,2173761,17612736,312
West Nova NSConCon22,10450.4%8,67219.1%62.6%13,73222,1045,6452,39043,871
Ajax ONLibLib28,27956.8%15,04230.2%54.1%28,27913,2376,9881,25449,758
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing ONNDPNDP15,89540.2%5,01012.7%59.9%8,88810,88515,8957262,84028939,523
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill ONConLib20,76445.2%1,4603.1%55.0%20,76419,3043,5941,73450045,896
Barrie—Innisfil ONConCon25,23447.7%9,94218.8%59.1%15,29225,2348,3494,06052,935
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte ONConCon23,55545.1%7,41014.2%63.6%16,14523,5558,9103,62952,239
Bay of Quinte ONLibCon25,47941.3%2,9374.8%65.0%22,54225,4799,2841,3503,04561,700
Beaches—East York ONLibLib28,91956.6%17,40634.1%65.1%28,9197,33611,5131,3881,61316618151,116
Brampton Centre ONLibLib16,18947.7%5,16315.2%54.1%16,18911,0265,93282433,971
Brampton East ONLibLib22,12053.5%10,47325.3%54.6%22,12011,6476,5111,07341,351
Brampton North ONLibLib23,41254.3%10,12323.5%57.9%23,41213,2896,44843,149
Brampton South ONLibLib21,12051.0%8,52420.6%55.2%21,12012,5965,8941,82041,430
Brampton West ONLibLib25,78055.3%12,59427.0%54.3%25,78013,1866,0971,21832846,609
Brantford—Brant ONConCon26,67540.3%7,88011.9%59.9%18,79526,67512,9641,7595,63329666,122
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound ONConCon28,72749.2%13,98924.0%64.3%14,73828,7277,9391,7894,69752458,414
Burlington ONLibLib31,60245.7%5,8608.4%69.7%31,60225,7427,5071,3682,76412269,105
Cambridge ONLibLib20,86638.0%1,9903.6%61.3%20,86618,8769,3191,8603,93154,852
Carleton ONConCon35,35649.9%11,05815.6%74.6%24,29835,3568,1641,3271,72870,873
Chatham-Kent—Leamington ONConCon22,43540.9%6,75212.3%63.8%15,68322,4358,0078377,89254,854
Davenport ONLibLib19,93042.1%760.1%61.7%19,9304,77419,8541,0871,49916347,307
Don Valley East ONLibLib22,35659.9%13,59036.4%59.1%22,3568,7664,6181,58537,325
Don Valley North ONLibLib22,06754.4%9,96924.6%55.3%22,06712,0984,3047651,30140,535
Don Valley West ONLibLib24,79852.7%8,10317.2%66.3%24,79816,6953,8147618816547,014
Dufferin—Caledon ONConCon31,49048.0%11,62317.7%60.8%19,86731,4906,8662,7544,38920765,573
Durham ONConCon31,42346.4%11,15616.5%61.3%20,26731,42311,8653,72530015067,730
Eglinton—Lawrence ONLibLib24,05148.5%5,96912.1%61.8%24,05118,0824,5431,4901,44549,611
Elgin—Middlesex—London ONConCon31,47249.9%19,14630.4%65.3%12,32631,47210,0861,4177,42932863,058
Essex ONConCon28,74141.1%6,4639.3%66.9%10,81328,74122,2788656,92517218269,976
Etobicoke Centre ONLibLib27,63548.0%7,52713.1%64.1%27,63520,1085,8044,00357,550
Etobicoke North ONLibLib21,20159.6%12,33534.7%50.2%21,2018,8663,7081,47331635,564
Etobicoke—Lakeshore ONLibLib30,35547.4%9,89815.5%63.1%30,35520,4578,7751,3632,85725864,065
Flamborough—Glanbrook ONConCon24,37040.6%3,0205.1%65.6%21,35024,3709,4091,2543,68660,069
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell ONLibLib30,36246.1%8,38312.8%70.1%30,36221,9797,0221,3504,45831442265,907
Guelph ONLibLib29,38242.1%12,58718.0%66.3%29,38216,79514,7135,2503,18244969,771
Haldimand—Norfolk ONConCon29,66447.4%12,44019.9%67.2%17,22429,6648,3206,57081462,592
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock ONConCon35,41852.3%19,77329.2%66.5%15,64535,4189,7301,6964,76946367,721
Hamilton Centre ONNDPNDP20,10548.7%9,16422.2%56.4%10,9416,20920,1051,1052,6379918441,280
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek ONLibLib18,35836.9%4,4248.9%59.3%18,35813,93412,7481,0203,73349,793
Hamilton Mountain ONNDPLib16,54834.1%8421.7%60.6%16,54811,82815,7069743,09830648,460
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas ONLibLib27,84544.3%9,68315.4%71.2%27,84518,16212,4321,6612,58413762,821
Hastings—Lennox and Addington ONConCon24,65145.1%5,59510.2%66.1%19,05624,6516,0209713,13183854,667
Humber River—Black Creek ONLibLib19,53360.7%13,93443.3%49.6%19,5335,5995,2793881,25813032,187
Huron—Bruce ONConCon31,17050.9%15,15524.7%70.0%16,01531,1709,0564,43751961,197
Kanata—Carleton ONLibLib26,39441.8%2,0213.2%73.5%26,39424,3738,8221,7091,85863,156
Kenora ONConCon11,10342.6%3,30212.7%57.6%5,19011,1037,8013641,62526,083
Kingston and the Islands ONLibLib27,72441.1%7,94911.8%69.2%27,72416,01919,7751,6732,31467,505
King—Vaughan ONLibCon22,53445.1%1,0762.2%49.0%21,45822,5343,2346202,14949,995
Kitchener Centre ONLibGrn17,87234.9%5,33510.4%62.9%8,29712,5378,93817,8723,38115451,179
Kitchener South—Hespeler ONLibLib18,59637.5%9472.0%62.0%18,59617,6498,0791,7103,35111915049,654
Kitchener—Conestoga ONLibLib20,02539.3%5771.1%68.3%20,02519,4485,9481,8423,69050,953
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex ONConCon29,43148.5%16,87927.8%67.0%12,55229,43111,1071,0356,56760,692
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston ONConCon30,76148.9%14,14422.5%70.1%16,61730,7619,8281,6643,83021162,911
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes ONConCon29,95050.5%15,01525.3%68.5%14,93529,9508,8632,1343,39459,276
London North Centre ONLibLib22,92139.1%7,03212.0%62.2%22,92115,88915,6111,2972,90258,620
London West ONLibLib25,30836.9%3,0354.4%68.5%25,30822,27316,8583,40977368,621
London—Fanshawe ONNDPNDP22,33643.4%9,85019.1%56.6%11,88212,48622,3364,71851,422
Markham—Stouffville ONLibLib29,77351.0%9,03312.5%60.8%29,77320,7404,9611,0491,86958,392
Markham—Thornhill ONLibLib23,70961.5%13,57335.2%55.7%23,70910,1363,22281364838,528
Markham—Unionville ONConLib21,95848.6%2,9896.7%52.0%21,95818,9593,0011,30645,224
Milton ONLibLib28,50351.5%10,19018.4%62.6%28,50318,3134,9251,2802,36555,386
Mississauga Centre ONLibLib25,71954.2%12,32926.0%56.3%25,71913,3905,3318632,12847,431
Mississauga East—Cooksville ONLibLib22,80650.0%8,08417.7%55.6%22,80614,7224,6782,93332910745,575
Mississauga—Erin Mills ONLibLib25,86651.0%8,77817.3%58.6%25,86617,0885,1788291,71150,672
Mississauga—Lakeshore ONLibLib25,28444.9%3,5236.2%63.8%25,28421,7615,4881,2652,3679456,259
Mississauga—Malton ONLibLib21,76652.8%9,14122.2%54.1%21,76612,6255,77181127541,248
Mississauga—Streetsville ONLibLib23,69847.3%6,56713.1%58.7%23,69817,1316,1861,0481,85121050,124
Nepean ONLibLib29,62045.1%7,43611.4%70.8%29,62022,18410,7861,3181,84065,748
Newmarket—Aurora ONLibLib24,20843.8%3,0355.5%60.6%24,20821,1736,3381,0152,29626055,290
Niagara Centre ONLibLib20,57635.0%2,2523.8%63.5%20,57618,32414,0861,1234,67058,779
Niagara Falls ONConCon26,81037.9%3,1604.4%62.2%23,65026,81012,8711,3705,94870,649
Niagara West ONConCon25,20645.6%8,39115.2%71.6%16,81525,2067,0641,6023,93365755,277
Nickel Belt ONLibLib17,35335.2%3,9288.0%63.8%17,35313,42513,1378484,55849,321
Nipissing—Timiskaming ONLibLib18,40538.8%3,3017.0%63.2%18,40515,10410,4933,49447,496
Northumberland—Peterborough South ONConCon31,01544.5%7,67911.0%70.0%23,33631,0159,8091,7643,81369,737
Oakville ONLibLib28,13746.1%3,7076.1%68.3%28,13724,4305,3731,09061,000
Oakville North—Burlington ONLibLib30,91046.8%5,8198.8%66.9%30,91025,0916,5741,0192,42966,023
Orléans ONLibLib39,10151.9%17,40123.1%71.2%39,10121,70010,9831,2332,04622075,283
Oshawa ONConCon22,40939.7%6,33011.2%56.4%13,04422,40916,0798644,02956,425
Ottawa Centre ONLibLib33,82545.5%9,27312.5%77.2%33,82511,65024,5522,1151,60513246274,341
Ottawa South ONLibLib29,03848.8%13,54122.8%66.7%29,03815,49711,5141,4011,89814459,492
Ottawa West—Nepean ONLibLib25,88945.1%9,41616.4%68.5%25,88916,47311,1631,6421,90832757,402
Ottawa—Vanier ONLibLib28,46249.0%14,75925.4%65.8%28,46211,61113,7031,8161,85515742758,031
Oxford ONConCon29,14647.0%16,42626.5%65.2%12,72029,14611,3251,6836,59547961,948
Parkdale—High Park ONLibLib22,30742.5%1,7053.3%65.8%22,3076,81520,6029571,64222052,543
Parry Sound-Muskoka ONConCon26,60047.9%14,58626.3%65.0%12,01426,6009,3393,0994,1841699555,500
Perth Wellington ONConCon26,98448.6%13,30024.0%65.8%13,68426,9849,5525,35755,577
Peterborough—Kawartha ONLibCon27,40239.0%2,7383.9%70.1%24,66427,40213,3021,5533,07321870,212
Pickering—Uxbridge ONLibLib27,27146.9%6,29510.8%62.2%27,27120,9767,5922,32858,167
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke ONConCon28,96749.5%16,70428.5%66.8%11,33528,96712,2631,1114,46937358,518
Richmond Hill ONLibLib21,78447.7%4,0698.9%55.6%21,78417,7153,9951,36380545,662
Sarnia—Lambton ONConCon26,29246.2%14,30225.1%67.2%10,97526,29211,9908486,35943556,899
Sault Ste. Marie ONLibLib15,23137.9%2470.6%61.2%15,23114,9848,0411,92340,179
Scarborough Centre ONLibLib23,12857.6%13,30933.2%54.8%23,1289,8195,4791,47226340,161
Scarborough North ONLibLib21,17866.6%15,17947.7%50.6%21,1785,9993,51476336131,815
Scarborough Southwest ONLibLib24,82357.5%15,84236.7%56.8%24,8238,9816,9241,0681,25911743,172
Scarborough—Agincourt ONLibLib20,71256.5%10,18227.5%53.2%20,71210,6303,67963197836,630
Scarborough-Guildwood ONLibLib22,94461.1%14,94639.8%58.0%22,9447,9985,0911,09624018137,550
Scarborough—Rouge Park ONLibLib28,70262.8%19,07441.7%61.3%28,7029,6286,0681,32245,720
Simcoe North ONConCon27,38343.0%8,05112.6%63.2%19,33227,3839,9581,9034,82221063,608
Simcoe—Grey ONConCon36,24947.3%14,92919.5%63.6%21,32036,24910,1402,9695,55038276,610
Spadina—Fort York ONLibLib18,99138.9%2,1574.4%54.6%18,9919,87516,8341,6451,47648,821
St. Catharines ONLibLib22,06937.8%3,0515.2%64.9%22,06919,01812,2941,0913,86058,332
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry ONConCon29,25555.6%16,81232.0%62.1%12,44329,2555,8041,2303,92152,653
Sudbury ONLibLib15,87134.5%2,3025.0%62.3%15,87112,74713,5699402,73511145,973
Thornhill ONConCon25,68751.3%7,51915.0%58.8%18,16825,6873,0418442,32250,062
Thunder Bay—Rainy River ONLibLib13,65534.3%1,9845.0%61.7%13,65511,67111,3425712,62139,860
Thunder Bay—Superior North ONLibLib16,89340.7%5,64913.6%63.6%16,89310,03511,2447352,46511141,483
Timmins-James Bay ONNDPNDP12,13235.1%2,7397.9%55.4%8,5089,39312,1324,53734,570
Toronto Centre ONLibLib23,07150.4%11,16224.4%57.4%23,0715,57111,9093,9211,04729845,817
Toronto—Danforth ONLibLib25,21448.4%7,65914.7%65.8%25,2146,54717,5551,0231,28212339852,142
Toronto—St. Paul's ONLibLib26,42949.2%12,84223.9%65.6%26,42913,5879,0363,2141,43253,698
University—Rosedale ONLibLib22,45147.5%10,53022.3%61.3%22,4519,47311,9211,9741,17224447,235
Vaughan—Woodbridge ONLibLib21,69946.0%2,6805.7%58.9%21,69919,0193,2654532,56715947,162
Waterloo ONLibLib26,92645.1%10,39817.4%69.4%26,92616,52811,3602,0382,80259,654
Wellington—Halton Hills ONConCon35,25752.1%16,87324.9%67.3%18,38435,2577,0502,6064,35967,656
Whitby ONLibLib27,37544.1%5,1048.2%61.5%27,37522,2718,7669722,68262,066
Willowdale ONLibLib21,04351.2%7,12717.3%54.8%21,04313,9164,2318121,10241,104
Windsor West ONNDPNDP21,54144.2%8,01716.4%53.4%13,5249,41521,5414,06015348,693
Windsor—Tecumseh ONLibLib18,13431.8%6691.1%60.9%18,13414,60517,4656825,92716456,977
York Centre ONLibLib17,43047.3%3,4819.5%53.4%17,43013,9493,7531,72636,858
York South—Weston ONLibLib21,64456.1%13,86135.9%51.1%21,6447,7836,5178721,75438,570
York—Simcoe ONConCon24,90050.0%10,43121.0%53.7%14,46924,9006,8003,66249,831
Cardigan PELibLib11,17550.6%4,35819.7%72.7%11,1756,8172,1681,06472514522,094
Charlottetown PELibLib8,91946.7%2,98715.6%71.1%8,9195,9322,0481,83236919,100
Egmont PELibLib9,04046.2%2,95215.1%69.3%9,0406,0881,6881,77197419,561
Malpeque PELibLib9,91241.8%2,0768.7%75.4%9,9127,8361,8983,38168023,707
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou QCBQBQ10,78437.9%3,40011.9%44.9%7,3844,5083,32310,7844421,07292328,436
Abitibi—Témiscamingue QCBQBQ23,12050.6%12,01726.5%56.5%11,0135,3392,79423,1207481,5381,13345,685
Ahuntsic-Cartierville QCLibLib26,40252.4%15,29030.4%64.2%26,4024,2475,84411,1121,4911,31350,409
Alfred-Pellan QCLibLib24,51647.8%11,11721.7%66.6%24,5166,9883,94613,3999401,46751,256
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation QCLibLib19,37138.3%1,5293.0%61.2%19,3716,5473,39017,8422,77768650,613
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QCBQBQ19,77659.8%12,68138.3%56.6%7,0952,9121,50119,77696582633,075
Beauce QCConCon27,51448.3%17,15230.1%66.7%7,01827,5141,6548,64448610,3621,30256,980
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—Charlevoix QCBQBQ19,27038.4%3,3016.5%65.6%10,36515,9692,24219,27073388122744950,136
Beauport—Limoilou QCBQBQ15,14631.1%9822.0%65.0%12,37814,1645,07515,1461,02585648,644
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel QCBQBQ27,40354.8%18,95237.9%63.5%8,4518,4042,55027,4037701,2141,21550,007
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis QCConCon32,23851.0%17,56927.8%66.8%10,07432,2383,18414,6699183061,79363,182
Beloeil—Chambly QCBQBQ34,67853.1%19,17629.4%68.7%15,5025,6615,52434,6781,2941,3161,34965,324
Berthier—Maskinongé QCBQBQ19,33935.2%9372.2%65.0%8,4036,00718,40219,3395481,49675054,945
Bourassa QCLibLib22,30360.4%15,39641.7%56.6%22,3032,5872,9566,9076791,34915136,932
Brome—Missisquoi QCLibLib21,48835.0%1970.4%66.3%21,4889,9613,82821,2911,4661,9821451,31061,471
Brossard—Saint-Lambert QCLibLib28,32654.1%17,88534.2%63.8%28,3266,2765,44210,4411,28858352,356
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles QCConCon25,62344.7%11,38619.9%68.7%11,32625,6233,44614,2379721,29644957,349
Châteauguay—Lacolle QCLibLib18,02937.0%1262.3%18,0295,5383,75218,0178011,82172548,683
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord QCConCon17,22841.0%3,2017.6%65.4%7,67617,2281,94414,02748264942,006
Compton—Stanstead QCLibLib21,18836.7%3,5076.1%67.6%21,18810,0874,28817,6811,6232,16718657657,796
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle QCLibLib25,23352.4%17,69136.7%59.2%25,2335,7546,2417,5421,3512,02048,141
Drummond QCBQBQ23,86646.6%14,25227.8%61.3%9,6149,1795,70923,8664192,40251,189
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine QCLibLib17,09946.4%2,6187.1%57.5%17,0993,0101,35814,48162128936,858
Gatineau QCLibLib26,26750.0%13,98926.6%63.8%26,2675,7524,50812,2787832,26464552,497
Hochelaga QCLibLib18,19738.1%3,1086.5%61.6%18,1972,2219,72315,0899651,08143047,706
Honoré-Mercier QCLibLib29,03360.0%21,12543.7%64.1%29,0335,0863,5377,9087342,0238848,409
Hull—Aylmer QCLibLib26,89252.5%18,56936.3%66.5%26,8925,5076,4838,3231,4591,86414357851,249
Joliette QCBQBQ30,91355.0%18,18232.3%62.3%12,7315,3143,10030,9131,1261,7711,24356,198
Jonquière QCBQBQ19,03641.9%5,81312.8%63.2%9,54613,2232,55919,03673837245,474
La Pointe-de-l'Île QCBQBQ23,83546.7%7,32714.4%62.3%16,5083,4274,95423,8351,39995751,080
La Prairie QCBQBQ25,86243.7%5,3929.1%67.8%20,4705,8784,31725,8629831,5329859,140
Lac-Saint-Jean QCBQBQ25,46650.7%12,56725.0%60.7%9,37112,8991,63725,46682450,197
Lac-Saint-Louis QCLibLib32,47756.3%21,56637.4%69.7%32,47710,9117,6793,0781,8681,71257,725
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun QCLibLib20,33042.9%9,86920.8%60.8%20,3303,5309,16810,4611,4391,60083247,360
Laurentides—Labelle QCBQBQ32,13350.1%16,16725.2%62.1%15,9666,7703,90732,1331,5702,4321801,16564,123
Laurier—Sainte-Marie QCLibLib16,96138.0%2,2815.1%56.8%16,9611,50014,6809,1149927587459744,676
Laval—Les Îles QCLibLib24,75848.9%15,10229.8%61.9%24,7588,9633,8899,6567602,57150,597
Lévis—Lotbinière QCConCon32,73151.6%18,99129.9%70.3%9,28632,7314,49713,7408561,66163663,407
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne QCLibLib19,40040.4%2,4745.1%59.9%19,4003,9864,95716,9261,1701,40912247,970
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert QCBQBQ23,57941.2%1,6492.9%67.6%21,9303,9644,55323,5791,5991,35825257,235
Louis-Hébert QCLibLib22,93338.3%6,68611.1%74.3%22,93314,3324,33716,2471,57337859,800
Louis-Saint-Laurent QCConCon33,09851.6%20,02931.2%67.8%11,22833,0983,37013,0699071,3371,08964,098
Manicouagan QCBQBQ18,41952.6%10,77930.8%50.2%6,5457,6401,50918,41988735,000
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin QCLibLib22,99244.1%6,93713.3%67.3%22,9926,1204,46116,0551,50999052,127
Mégantic—L'Érable QCConCon26,12156.3%16,80336.2%65.5%6,32926,1211,3089,3185921,67740368046,428
Mirabel QCBQBQ29,37646.5%14,53423.0%63.7%14,8428,5105,22129,3761,4122,5691,18263,112
Montarville QCBQBQ26,01145.3%6,03710.5%74.7%19,9745,4604,80926,0111,21857,472
Montcalm QCBQBQ27,37853.2%17,18233.4%57.0%10,1966,0113,21827,3781,3172,2581,07451,452
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup QCConCon24,11850.4%11,56824.2%62.1%8,36124,1181,59712,5501,18647,812
Mount Royal QCLibLib23,28457.7%13,39533.2%57.3%23,2849,8893,3811,5851,0831,0518940,362
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount QCLibLib24,51053.8%15,75734.6%62.7%24,5106,4128,7532,4071,8351,49817645,591
Outremont QCLibLib16,71445.4%7,13519.4%57.2%16,7142,8829,5795,5351,1988199336,820
Papineau QCLibLib22,84850.3%12,54527.6%63.5%22,8482,19810,3036,8301,4481,06419953345,423
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères QCBQBQ29,97854.3%15,69628.4%68.9%14,2824,8704,26129,9781,07877755,246
Pierrefonds—Dollard QCLibLib29,29656.0%18,40335.2%64.7%29,29610,8936,0344,1411,94252,306
Pontiac QCLibLib26,89943.4%14,09522.8%65.6%26,89912,8046,82410,4241,7112,81353262,007
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier QCConCon33,65751.6%18,13227.8%69.0%10,06833,6573,22315,5251,6151,12865,216
Québec QCLibLib18,13235.4%3,3086.4%67.6%18,1329,2396,65214,8241,18285530751,191
Repentigny QCBQBQ30,84851.7%14,34824.1%66.0%16,5005,3284,48430,8482,54159,701
Richmond—Arthabaska QCConCon28,51349.9%14,36325.1%66.3%8,54328,5132,55014,1502,0581,34557,159
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques QCBQBQ20,65749.0%10,17524.1%61.0%10,4825,5692,64120,6577001,46762242,138
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles QCBQBQ21,64540.6%2,8105.3%65.4%18,8355,4793,85221,6459721,4681,11553,366
Rivière-du-Nord QCBQBQ29,94352.2%17,17629.9%59.1%12,7676,8033,95829,9432,1641,69457,329
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie QCNDPNDP26,70848.6%13,97025.4%67.9%12,7382,19926,70811,7511,30828454,988
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot QCBQBQ25,16547.5%13,13524.8%65.6%12,0307,1666,17025,1651,05553,031
Saint-Jean QCBQBQ27,24346.0%10,59317.9%66.1%16,6507,5444,30827,2431,2622,20359,210
Saint-Laurent QCLibLib22,05659.1%15,15440.6%57.4%22,0566,9024,0592,9721,18214637,317
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel QCLibLib29,01069.4%24,62958.9%57.5%29,0104,3813,4603,3951,56841,814
Saint-Maurice—Champlain QCLibLib23,91342.4%6,97312.3%61.6%23,91310,1392,84916,9407312411,52456,337
Salaberry—Suroît QCBQBQ29,09347.8%12,54320.6%62.7%16,5507,4764,52929,0932,2071,01060,865
Shefford QCBQBQ24,99741.9%5,0298.4%65.2%19,9687,2343,17324,9971,0592,0731,12259,626
Sherbrooke QCLibLib21,83037.5%4,9828.5%65.6%21,8307,4908,10716,8481,6701,45378758,185
Terrebonne QCBQBQ24,27041.2%6,79511.6%66.4%17,4756,1833,91324,2708471,5943,86480358,949
Thérèse-De Blainville QCBQBQ21,52641.2%3,1306.0%63.7%18,3965,7733,82721,5261,0181,38636252,288
Trois-Rivières QCBQBQ17,13629.5%830.2%64.2%16,63717,0534,68017,1367541,11573558,110
Vaudreuil—Soulanges QCLibLib30,00146.5%15,69324.3%66.9%30,00110,5566,78014,3081,6311,28864,564
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs QCLibLib24,97850.5%15,73731.8%57.0%24,9786,1389,2416,1761,3431,29125649,423
Vimy QCLibLib25,31649.8%13,50526.6%58.9%25,3166,8294,73111,8112,17550,862
Battlefords—Lloydminster SKConCon21,33668.7%17,61856.7%61.7%1,74821,3363,7182371,8472,16231,048
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek SKConCon28,19268.6%22,58455.0%70.3%2,06628,1925,6083793,7911,05341,089
Cypress Hills—Grasslands SKConCon24,51871.5%20,91461.0%69.4%1,49224,5183,6042842,8261931,36034,277
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River SKConCon10,03648.8%4,50321.9%44.8%5,53310,0363,5482151,00224020,574
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan SKConCon24,86960.4%16,89441.0%69.7%2,52624,8697,9754384,71266441,184
Prince Albert SKConCon22,34064.9%17,12649.8%60.2%3,65322,3405,2143642,38846634,425
Regina—Lewvan SKConCon21,37546.8%5,61212.3%67.2%6,31021,37515,7635601,63545,643
Regina—Qu'Appelle SKConCon20,40061.9%13,52141.0%60.0%3,34420,4006,8796681,66832,959
Regina—Wascana SKConCon19,26149.9%8,87123.0%63.9%10,39019,2616,9756221,35238,600
Saskatoon West SKConCon15,37945.4%2,0516.1%55.9%2,77815,37913,3283572,06433,906
Saskatoon—Grasswood SKConCon22,76049.9%9,04019.8%68.7%6,46022,76013,7205562,10845,604
Saskatoon—University SKConCon20,38948.0%5,34712.6%69.2%4,60820,38915,0424051,77829542,517
Souris—Moose Mountain SKConCon30,04976.4%26,47867.3%77.0%1,63630,0493,1073,57197739,340
Yorkton—Melville SKConCon23,79468.7%19,55556.5%66.5%2,18723,7944,2396143,22759734,658
Northwest Territories TerrLibLib5,38738.2%8295.9%47.2%5,3872,0314,5583281,79114,095
Nunavut TerrNDPNDP3,42747.7%84911.8%34.1%2,5781,1843,4277,189
Yukon TerrLibLib6,47133.3%1,3757.0%64.7%6,4715,0964,3548462,63919,406
  = application for judicial recount
  = judicial recount terminated
  = results as certified by a judge
  1. "September 20, 2021 General Election Election Results". elections.ca. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
  2. including spoilt ballots
  3. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Post-election pendulum

The robustness of the margins of victory for each party can be summarized in electoral pendulums. These are not necessarily a measure of the volatility of the respective riding results. The following tables show the margins over the various 2nd-place contenders, for which one-half of the value represents the swing needed to overturn the result. Actual seat turnovers in the 2021 election are noted for reference.

  = seats that changed hands in the election
Post-election pendulum - 2021 Canadian federal election
Liberal (160 seats)
Margins 5% or less
Châteauguay—Lacolle QC BQ
Davenport ON NDP0.1
Brome—Missisquoi QC BQ0.4
Sault Ste. Marie ON Con0.6
Vancouver Granville BC NDP0.9
Fredericton NB Con1.1
Kitchener—Conestoga ON Con1.1
Windsor—Tecumseh ON NDP1.1
Edmonton Centre AB Con1.3
Hamilton Mountain ON NDP1.7
Kitchener South—Hespeler ON Con2.0
Richmond Centre BC Con2.2
Sydney—Victoria NS Con2.9
Halifax NS NDP3.0
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation QC BQ3.0
Cloverdale—Langley City BC Con3.1
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill ON Con3.1
Kanata—Carleton ON Con3.2
Parkdale—High Park ON NDP3.3
Cambridge ON Con3.6
Niagara Centre ON Con3.8
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country BC Con3.9
London West ON Con4.4
Spadina—Fort York ON NDP4.4
Long Range Mountains NL Con5.0
Sudbury ON NDP5.0
Thunder Bay—Rainy River ON Con5.0
Margins 5%–10%
Laurier—Sainte-Marie QC NDP5.1
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne QC BQ5.1
St. Catharines ON Con5.2
Newmarket—Aurora ON Con5.5
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity NL Con5.7
Vaughan—Woodbridge ON Con5.7
Northwest Territories Terr NDP5.9
Oakville ON Con6.1
Compton—Stanstead QC BQ6.1
Mississauga—Lakeshore ON Con6.2
Calgary Skyview AB Con6.3
Québec QC BQ6.4
Hochelaga QC BQ6.5
Markham—Unionville ON Con6.7
Nipissing—Timiskaming ON Con7.0
Yukon Terr Con7.0
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine QC BQ7.1
Nickel Belt ON Con8.0
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BC Con8.2
Whitby ON Con8.2
Burlington ON Con8.4
Delta BC Con8.5
Sherbrooke QC BQ8.5
Malpeque PE Con8.7
Oakville North—Burlington ON Con8.8
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek ON Con8.9
Richmond Hill ON Con8.9
Steveston—Richmond East BC Con9.0
York Centre ON Con9.5
Vancouver Centre BC NDP9.7
Margins 10%–20%
Burnaby North—Seymour BC NDP10.4
Pickering—Uxbridge ON Con10.8
St. John's East NL NDP10.9
Louis-Hébert QC BQ11.1
Cape Breton—Canso NS Con11.4
Nepean ON Con11.4
Kingston and the Islands ON NDP11.8
London North Centre ON Con12.0
Eglinton—Lawrence ON Con12.1
Labrador NL Con12.3
Saint-Maurice—Champlain QC BQ12.3
Markham—Stouffville ON Con12.5
Ottawa Centre ON NDP12.5
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell ON Con12.8
Etobicoke Centre ON Con13.1
Mississauga—Streetsville ON Con13.1
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin QC BQ13.3
Saint John—Rothesay NB Con13.5
Thunder Bay—Superior North ON NDP13.6
Winnipeg South MB Con13.7
Central Nova NS Con13.9
Fleetwood—Port Kells BC Con14.4
Vancouver Quadra BC Con14.7
Toronto—Danforth ON NDP14.7
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook NS Con14.9
Egmont PE Con15.1
Brampton Centre ON Con15.2
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas ON Con15.4
Kings—Hants NS Con15.5
Etobicoke—Lakeshore ON Con15.5
Charlottetown PE Con15.6
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital MB Con15.8
Avalon NL Con15.8
Surrey Centre BC NDP16.2
Ottawa West—Nepean ON Con16.4
North Vancouver BC Con17.0
Don Valley West ON Con17.2
Mississauga—Erin Mills ON Con17.3
Willowdale ON Con17.3
Waterloo ON Con17.4
Winnipeg South Centre MB Con17.7
Mississauga East—Cooksville ON Con17.7
Guelph ON Con18.0
Milton ON Con18.4
Outremont QC NDP19.4
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour NS NDP19.6
Cardigan PE Con19.7
Margins > 20%
Brampton South ON Con20.6
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun QC BQ20.8
Alfred-Pellan QC BQ21.7
Mississauga—Malton ON Con22.2
University—Rosedale ON NDP22.3
Ottawa South ON Con22.8
Pontiac QC Con22.8
Orléans ON Con23.1
Brampton North ON Con23.5
Winnipeg North MB NDP23.7
Toronto—St. Paul's ON Con23.9
Halifax West NS NDP24.3
Vaudreuil—Soulanges QC BQ24.3
Toronto Centre ON NDP24.4
Don Valley North ON Con24.6
Vancouver South BC NDP24.8
Brampton East ON Con25.3
Ottawa—Vanier ON NDP25.4
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe NB Con25.7
Mississauga Centre ON Con26.0
Gatineau QC BQ26.6
Vimy QC BQ26.6
Brampton West ON Con27.0
Scarborough—Agincourt ON Con27.5
Papineau QC NDP27.6
Surrey—Newton BC NDP27.9
Madawaska—Restigouche NB Con29.4
Laval—Les Îles QC BQ29.8
Ajax ON Con30.2
Ahuntsic-Cartierville QC BQ30.4
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs QC NDP31.8
St. John's South—Mount Pearl NL NDP32.8
Scarborough Centre ON Con32.2
Mount Royal QC Con33.2
Beaches—East York ON NDP34.1
Brossard—Saint-Lambert QC BQ34.2
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount QC NDP34.6
Etobicoke North ON Con34.7
Markham—Thornhill ON Con35.2
Pierrefonds—Dollard QC Con35.2
York South—Weston ON Con35.9
Beauséjour NB Con36.2
Hull—Aylmer QC BQ36.3
Don Valley East ON Con36.4
Scarborough Southwest ON Con36.7
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle QC BQ36.7
Lac-Saint-Louis QC Con37.4
Scarborough-Guildwood ON Con39.8
Saint-Laurent QC Con40.6
Scarborough—Rouge Park ON Con41.7
Bourassa QC BQ41.7
Humber River—Black Creek ON Con43.3
Honoré-Mercier QC BQ43.7
Scarborough North ON Con47.7
Acadie—Bathurst NB Con51.0
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel QC Con58.9
NDP (25 seats)
Margins 5% or less
Nanaimo—Ladysmith BC Con1.7
Edmonton Griesbach AB Con3.4
North Island—Powell River BC Con3.5
Margins 5%–10%
Port Moody—Coquitlam BC Con5.3
South Okanagan—West Kootenay BC Con5.8
Skeena—Bulkley Valley BC Con6.5
Timmins-James Bay ON Con7.9
Burnaby South BC Lib9.9
Margins 10%–20%
Nunavut Terr Lib11.8
Courtenay—Alberni BC Con12.2
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing ON Con12.7
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford BC Con14.4
Windsor West ON Lib16.4
Victoria BC Lib16.6
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski MB Lib17.4
London—Fanshawe ON Con19.1
Margins > 20%
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke BC Lib20.7
Elmwood—Transcona MB Con21.6
Winnipeg Centre MB Lib21.9
Hamilton Centre ON Lib22.2
Vancouver Kingsway BC Lib24.9
New Westminster—Burnaby BC Lib25.1
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie QC Lib25.4
Edmonton Strathcona AB Con35.2
Vancouver East BC Lib36.6
Conservative (119 seats)
Margins 5% or less
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame NL Lib0.9
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley MB Lib1.0
King—Vaughan ON Lib2.2
South Surrey—White Rock BC Lib3.5
South Shore—St. Margarets NS Lib3.8
Edmonton Mill Woods AB Lib3.9
Peterborough—Kawartha ON Lib3.9
Miramichi—Grand Lake NB Lib4.4
Niagara Falls ON Lib4.4
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge BC NDP4.8
Bay of Quinte ON Lib4.8
Margins 5%–10%
Flamborough—Glanbrook ON Lib5.1
Saskatoon West SK NDP6.1
Kootenay—Columbia BC NDP6.3
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord QC BQ7.6
Essex ON NDP9.3
Margins 10%–20%
Hastings—Lennox and Addington ON Lib10.2
Edmonton Manning AB NDP10.6
Northumberland—Peterborough South ON Lib11.0
Oshawa ON NDP11.2
Cumberland—Colchester NS Lib11.8
Brantford—Brant ON Lib11.9
Chatham-Kent—Leamington ON Lib12.3
Regina—Lewvan SK NDP12.3
Kildonan—St. Paul MB Lib12.4
Simcoe North ON Lib12.6
Saskatoon—University SK NDP12.6
Kenora ON NDP12.7
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo BC NDP14.0
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte ON Lib14.2
Thornhill ON Lib15.0
Niagara West ON Lib15.2
Carleton ON Lib15.6
Durham ON Lib16.5
Calgary Forest Lawn AB Lib16.8
Calgary Confederation AB Lib17.5
Dufferin—Caledon ON Lib17.7
Kelowna—Lake Country BC Lib18.8
Barrie—Innisfil ON Lib18.8
St. Albert—Edmonton AB NDP19.0
West Nova NS Lib19.1
Chilliwack—Hope BC NDP19.3
Langley—Aldergrove BC Lib19.3
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon BC Lib19.3
Simcoe—Grey ON Lib19.5
Edmonton West AB NDP19.8
Saskatoon—Grasswood SK NDP19.8
Haldimand—Norfolk ON Lib19.9
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles QC BQ19.9
Margins > 20%
Edmonton Riverbend AB Lib20.2
York—Simcoe ON Lib21.0
Calgary Centre AB Lib21.6
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River SK Lib21.9
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston ON Lib22.5
Regina—Wascana SK Lib23.0
Fundy Royal NB Lib23.4
Abbotsford BC Lib23.7
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound ON Lib24.0
Perth Wellington ON Lib24.0
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup QC BQ24.2
Huron—Bruce ON Lib24.7
Wellington—Halton Hills ON Lib24.9
Sarnia—Lambton ON NDP25.1
Richmond—Arthabaska QC BQ25.1
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes ON Lib25.3
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola BC NDP26.1
New Brunswick Southwest NB Lib26.1
Parry Sound-Muskoka ON Lib26.3
Oxford ON Lib26.5
Tobique—Mactaquac NB Lib27.1
North Okanagan—Shuswap BC NDP27.2
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex ON Lib27.8
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis QC BQ27.8
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier QC BQ27.8
(federal electoral district)|Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke ON NDP28.5
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock ON Lib29.2
Lévis—Lotbinière QC BQ29.9
Beauce QC PPC30.1
Cariboo—Prince George BC NDP30.4
Elgin—Middlesex—London ON Lib30.4
Portage—Lisgar MB PPC30.9
Louis-Saint-Laurent QC BQ31.2
Provencher MB Lib31.7
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry ON Lib32.0
Calgary Rocky Ridge AB Lib32.3
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin AB NDP34.7
Calgary Nose Hill AB Lib35.1
Mégantic—L'Érable QC BQ36.2
Lethbridge AB NDP36.3
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan AB NDP37.0
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman MB NDP37.7
Brandon—Souris MB NDP39.1
Calgary Heritage AB NDP40.3
Calgary Signal Hill AB Lib40.4
Banff—Airdrie AB NDP40.5
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan SK NDP41.0
Regina—Qu'Appelle SK NDP41.0
Calgary Midnapore AB NDP42.4
Sturgeon River—Parkland AB NDP42.7
Calgary Shepard AB NDP43.9
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa MB NDP44.3
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies BC NDP47.2
Prince Albert SK NDP49.8
Red Deer—Lacombe AB NDP50.0
Peace River—Westlock AB NDP50.1
Red Deer—Mountain View AB NDP50.3
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner AB NDP51.3
Yellowhead AB PPC53.5
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek SK NDP55.0
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake AB PPC55.1
Grande Prairie-Mackenzie AB NDP56.2
Yorkton—Melville SK NDP56.5
Battlefords—Lloydminster SK NDP56.7
Foothills AB NDP58.1
Lakeland AB PPC58.3
Bow River AB PPC59.8
Cypress Hills—Grasslands SK NDP61.0
Battle River—Crowfoot AB NDP61.5
Souris—Moose Mountain SK PPC67.3
Bloc Québécois (32 seats)
Margins 5% or less
Trois-Rivières QC Con0.2
Beauport—Limoilou QC Con2.0
Berthier—Maskinongé QC NDP2.2
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert QC Lib2.9
Margins 5%–10%
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles QC Lib5.3
Thérèse-De Blainville QC Lib6.0
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—Charlevoix QC Con6.5
Shefford QC Lib8.4
La Prairie QC Lib9.1
Margins 10%–20%
Montarville QC Lib10.5
Terrebonne QC Lib11.6
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou QC Lib11.9
Jonquière QC Con12.8
La Pointe-de-l'Île QC Lib14.4
Saint-Jean QC Lib17.9
Margins > 20%
Salaberry—Suroît QC Lib20.6
Mirabel QC Lib23.0
Repentigny QC Lib24.1
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques QC Lib24.1
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot QC Lib24.8
Lac-Saint-Jean QC Con25.0
Laurentides—Labelle QC Lib25.2
Abitibi—Témiscamingue QC Lib26.5
Drummond QC Lib27.8
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères QC Lib28.4
Beloeil—Chambly QC Lib29.4
Rivière-du-Nord QC Lib29.9
Manicouagan QC Con30.8
Joliette QC Lib32.3
Montcalm QC Lib33.4
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel QC Lib37.9
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QC Lib38.3
Green (2 seats)
Kitchener Centre ON Con10.4
Saanich—Gulf Islands BC Con15.1

Vote shares

Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2019)
Party20212019Change (pp)
  Conservative
33.74%
34.34%
-0.60
 
  Liberal
32.62%
33.12%
-0.50
 
  New Democratic
17.83%
15.98%
1.851.85
 
  Bloc Québécois
7.64%
7.63%
0.010.01
 
  People's
4.94%
1.64%
3.303.3
 
  Green
2.33%
6.55%
-4.22
 
 Other
0.90%
0.67%
0.230.23
 
Vote shares of 1st-place candidates in the 2015, 2019 and 2021 elections to the Canadian House of Commons, grouped in increments of 5% Parlcan 1stplace 2015-2021.svg
Vote shares of 1st-place candidates in the 2015, 2019 and 2021 elections to the Canadian House of Commons, grouped in increments of 5%
Turnouts for Canadian federal elections (2015-2021), grouped in increments of 5% Parlcan turnout 2015-2021.svg
Turnouts for Canadian federal elections (2015-2021), grouped in increments of 5%
Margins of victory for Canadian federal elections (2015-2021), grouped in increments of 5% Cdn Parliament election margins 2015-2021.svg
Margins of victory for Canadian federal elections (2015-2021), grouped in increments of 5%

Results analysis

Seats gained, identified by party Canada Election 2021 Results Map Gains.svg
Seats gained, identified by party
Doughnut chart of popular vote and seat counts Canadian election 2021 seat and vote shares.svg
Doughnut chart of popular vote and seat counts
The disproportionality of parliamentary seats won in the 2021 election was 13.40 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly favourable to the Liberals but adverse to the NDP. Gallagher index Canadian federal election 2021.svg
The disproportionality of parliamentary seats won in the 2021 election was 13.40 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly favourable to the Liberals but adverse to the NDP.
Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
LibConNDPBQGrnPPC
Liberal 1043224160
Conservative 584597119
New Democratic 121325
Bloc Québécois 256132
Green 2
Total9512578337338
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
PartiesSeats
  Liberal   Conservative 162
  Conservative   New Democratic 58
  Liberal   Bloc Québécois 49
  Liberal   New Democratic 44
  Conservative   Bloc Québécois 15
  Conservative   People's 7
  Conservative   Green 2
  New Democratic   Bloc Québécois 1
Total338
Party rankings (1st to 5th place)
Party1st2nd3rd4th5th
Liberal 1609559222
Conservative 1191257716
New Democratic 2578173602
Bloc Québécois 323376
Green 2431160
People's 71719678
Maverick 1117
Ind, NA316
Free 10

Seats that changed hands

Elections to the 44th Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2019–2021
Party2019Gain from (loss to)2021
LibConNDPBQGrnInd
Liberal 1577(7)21(1)1160
Conservative 1217(7)(2)119
New Democratic 24(2)2125
Bloc Québécois 3232
Green 31(1)(1)2
Independent 1(1)
Total3388(11)9(7)2(3)2(1)1338

The following seats changed allegiance from the 2019 election.

Defeated MPs

Of the 22 seats that changed hands, four were open seats where the MPs chose to retire, and one was where the MP crossed the floor in June and was re-elected under a new banner; the other 17 went down to defeat.

MPs defeated (2021)
PartyRidingMPPosition heldFirst electedDefeated byParty
  Conservative Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Leona Alleslev Deputy Leader of the Opposition (2019–2020)2015 Leah Taylor Roy   Liberal
  Conservative Calgary Skyview Jag Sahota 2019 George Chahal   Liberal
  Conservative Cloverdale—Langley City Tamara Jansen 2019 John Aldag   Liberal
  Conservative Edmonton Centre James Cumming Critic for COVID-19 economic recovery2019 Randy Boissonnault   Liberal
  Conservative Markham—Unionville Bob Saroya 2015 Paul Chiang   Liberal
  Conservative Richmond Centre Alice Wong 2008 Wilson Miao   Liberal
  Conservative Steveston—Richmond East Kenny Chiu 2019 Parm Bains   Liberal
  Conservative Edmonton Griesbach Kerry Diotte 2015 Blake Desjarlais   New Democratic
  Conservative Port Moody—Coquitlam Nelly Shin 2019 Bonita Zarrillo   New Democratic
  Liberal Bay of Quinte Neil Ellis Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food (2019–2021)2015 Ryan Williams   Conservative
  Liberal Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame Scott Simms Chair of the Standing Committee on Canadian Heritage 2004 Clifford Small   Conservative
  Liberal Cumberland—Colchester Lenore Zann 2019 Stephen Ellis   Conservative
  Liberal King—Vaughan Deb Schulte Minister of Seniors 2015 Anna Roberts   Conservative
  Liberal Peterborough—Kawartha Maryam Monsef Minister for Women and Gender Equality
Minister of Rural Economic Development
2015 Michelle Ferreri   Conservative
  Liberal South Shore—St. Margarets Bernadette Jordan Minister of Fisheries, Oceans, and the Canadian Coast Guard 2015 Rick Perkins   Conservative
  Liberal Kitchener Centre Raj Saini 2015 Mike Morrice   Green
  Green Nanaimo—Ladysmith Paul Manly 2019 Lisa Marie Barron   New Democratic

Open seats that changed hands

Of the 31 seats open at dissolution, four were won by a non-incumbent party:

Open seats taken by candidates of other parties (2021)
PartyCandidateIncumbent retiring from the HouseRidingWon byParty
  Liberal Lisa Harris Pat Finnigan Miramichi—Grand Lake Jake Stewart   Conservative
  New Democratic Malcolm Allen Scott Duvall Hamilton Mountain Lisa Hepfner   Liberal
  New Democratic Mary Shortall Jack Harris St. John's East Joanne Thompson   Liberal
  Independent Jody Wilson-Raybould Vancouver Granville Taleeb Noormohamed   Liberal

Disavowed candidates

Below are the candidates who were disavowed by their parties and/or voluntarily ceased campaigning after candidate registration closed, remaining on the ballot with their original party affiliation.

CandidateElectoral districtProvince or territoryDate announcedReasonPlaced
  Raj Saini Kitchener Centre Ontario September 4, 2021Ongoing sexual harassment allegations [15] 4th
 Lisa Robinson Beaches—East York Ontario September 10, 2021Alleged Islamophobic tweet (2018) [16] [lower-alpha 2] 3rd
 Sidney Coles Toronto—St. Paul's Ontario September 15, 2021Antisemitic tweets (2021) [17] 3rd
 Daniel Osborne Cumberland—Colchester Nova Scotia September 15, 2021Antisemitic tweets (2019) [17] 3rd
  Kevin Vuong Spadina—Fort York Ontario September 17, 2021Sexual assault charge (dropped in 2019) and failure to disclose same to the party [18] 1st (elected)
 Michael Lariviere Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Ontario September 20, 2021Unspecified; probably associating proof-of-vaccination systems with Nazism at election debate [19] 5th

MPs standing under a different political affiliation

Jenica Atwin, who was elected as the Green Party candidate in Fredericton in 2019, switched party affiliation to the Liberal Party in June 2021, and was re-elected as a Liberal. Two MPs elected in 2019 contested the election but left their party affiliation blank when they registered; however, both failed to be re-elected.

Outgoing MP2019 party2019 riding2021 affiliation2021 ridingOutcome
Jenica Atwin   Green Fredericton   Liberal Fredericton Won
Michel Boudrias   Bloc Québécois Terrebonne  No Affiliation Terrebonne Lost
Derek Sloan   Conservative Hastings—Lennox and Addington  No Affiliation Banff—Airdrie Lost

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Significant vote tallies for independent and minor party candidates
RidingCandidateVotesPlaced
Banff—Airdrie AB  Maverick Tariq Elnaga1,4756th
Banff—Airdrie AB No Affiliation Derek Sloan 2,0205th
Battle River—Crowfoot AB  Maverick Jeff Golka2,3936th
Bow River AB  Maverick Orrin Bliss1,3685th
Foothills AB  Maverick Josh Wylie2,2895th
Grande Prairie-Mackenzie AB  Maverick Ambrose Ralph2,1955th
Lethbridge AB  Independent Kim Siever1,1795th
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner AB  Maverick Geoff Shoesmith1,2265th
Peace River—Westlock AB  Maverick Colin Krieger2,5734th
Red Deer—Mountain View AB  Maverick Mark Wilcox1,6405th
Sturgeon River—Parkland AB  Maverick Jeff Dunham1,2405th
Yellowhead AB  Maverick Todd Muir1,7615th
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies BC  Maverick David Jeffers1,5806th
Provencher MB  Independent Rick Loewen1,3665th
Madawaska—Restigouche NB  Free Louis Bérubé1,2775th
Alfred-Pellan QC  Free Dwayne Cappelletti1,2775th
Beauce QC  Free Chantale Giguère1,0966th
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel QC  Free André Blanchette1,2155th
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis QC  Free Raymond Arcand1,7935th
Drummond QC  Free Josée Joyal1,7285th
Laurentides—Labelle QC  Free Michel Leclerc1,1657th
Louis-Saint-Laurent QC  Free Mélanie Fortin1,0896th
Mirabel QC  Free Ariane Croteau1,1827th
Repentigny QC  Free Pierre Duval2,0255th
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques QC  Independent Noémi Bureau-Civil1,4675th
Rivière-du-Nord QC  Free Marie-Eve Damour1,0366th
Saint-Jean QC  Free Jean-Charles Cléroux1,7905th
Terrebonne QC No Affiliation Michel Boudrias 3,8645th
Vaudreuil—Soulanges QC  Free Ginette Destrempes1,2886th
Battlefords—Lloydminster SK  Maverick Ken Rutherford2,1623rd
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek SK  Maverick Diane Pastoor1,0535th
Cypress Hills—Grasslands SK  Maverick Mark Skagen1,3605th
Northwest Territories Terr  Independent Jane Groenewegen 1,7914th
Yukon Terr  Independent Jonas Jacot Smith [20] 2,6394th

Results by province

Proportion of seats and votes won in each province/territory, by party (2021)
ProvinceLiberalConservativeNDPBlocGreenPeople's
Ontario
78 / 121
37 / 121
5 / 121
1 / 121
39.3%
2,532,446 [21]
34.9%
2,249,485 [21]
17.8%
1,151,788 [21]
2.2%
143,218 [21]
5.5%
352,076 [21]
Quebec
35 / 78
10 / 78
1 / 78
32 / 78
0 / 78
33.6%
1,361,291 [21]
18.6%
755,548 [21]
9.8%
395,959 [21]
32.1%
1,301,758 [21]
1.5%
61,730 [21]
2.7%
109,046 [21]
British Columbia
15 / 42
13 / 42
13 / 42
1 / 42
27.0%
602,248 [21]
33.2%
741,043 [21]
29.2%
650,606 [21]
5.3%
117,951 [21]
4.9%
109,676 [21]
Alberta
2 / 34
30 / 34
2 / 34
0 / 34
15.5%
300,099 [21]
55.3%
1,073,103 [21]
19.1%
370,344 [21]
0.9%
17,573 [21]
7.4%
142,673 [21]
Manitoba
4 / 14
7 / 14
3 / 14
0 / 14
27.9%
159,498 [21]
39.2%
224,168 [21]
23.0%
131,830 [21]
1.7%
9,518 [21]
7.6%
43,603 [21]
Saskatchewan
0 / 14
14 / 14
0 / 14
0 / 14
10.6%
54,685 [21]
59.0%
304,392 [21]
21.1%
108,611 [21]
1.1%
5,734 [21]
6.6%
34,164 [21]
Nova Scotia
8 / 11
3 / 11
0 / 11
0 / 11
42.3%
206,812 [21]
29.4%
143,764 [21]
22.1%
108,092 [21]
1.9%
9,189 [21]
4.0%
19,481 [21]
New Brunswick
6 / 10
4 / 10
0 / 10
0 / 10
42.4%
168,817 [21]
33.6%
133,794 [21]
11.9%
47,564 [21]
5.2%
20,505 [21]
6.1%
24,370 [21]
Newfoundland and Labrador
6 / 7
1 / 7
0 / 7
0 / 7
47.7%
103,062 [21]
32.5%
70,213 [21]
17.4%
37,550 [21]
2.4%
5,142 [21]
Prince Edward Island
4 / 4
0 / 4
0 / 4
0 / 4
46.2%
38,956 [21]
31.6%
26,673 [21]
9.2%
7,712 [21]
9.6%
8,048 [21]
3.2%
2,738 [21]
Northern Canada [lower-alpha 4]
2 / 3
0 / 3
1 / 3
0 / 3
35.3%
14,446 [21]
20.4%
8,332 [21]
35.2%
12,395 [21]
Total
160 / 338
119 / 338
25 / 338
32 / 338
2 / 338
0 / 338
32.6%
5,556,629
33.7%
5,747,410
17.8%
3,036,348
7.6%
1,301,758
2.3%
396,988
4.9%
840,993
Turnout by province (2021 vs 2019)
Province20212019Change (pp)
Ontario
61.8%
66.3%
-4.5
 
Quebec
62.4%
67.3%
-4.9
 
British Columbia
60.4%
66.0%
-5.6
 
Alberta
64.6%
69.2%
-4.6
 
Manitoba
61.9%
64.3%
-2.4
 
Saskatchewan
64.4%
72.6%
-8.2
 
Nova Scotia
63.2%
69.8%
-6.6
 
New Brunswick
64.2%
72.1%
-7.9
 
Newfoundland and Labrador
52.1%
58.8%
-6.7
 
Prince Edward Island
71.4%
74.0%
-2.6
 

Ontario

Results in Ontario (2021 vs 2019)
PartySeats
2019GainedLost2021
Liberal 792-378
Conservative 363-237
New Democratic 6-15
Green 11
Total121
Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2019)
Party20212019Change (pp)
  Liberal
39.3%
41.6%
-2.3
 
  Conservative
34.9%
33.1%
1.81.8
 
  New Democratic
17.8%
16.8%
1.01
 
  People's
5.5%
1.6%
3.93.9
 
  Green
2.2%
6.2%
-4.0
 
 Other
0.3%
0.2%
0.10.1
 

Quebec

Results in Quebec (2021 vs 2019)
PartySeats
2019GainedLost2021
Liberal 3535
Bloc Québécois 3232
Conservative 1010
New Democratic 11
Total78
Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2019)
Party20212019Change (pp)
  Liberal
33.6%
34.3%
-0.7
 
  Bloc Québécois
32.1%
32.4%
-0.3
 
  Conservative
18.6%
16.0%
2.62.6
 
  New Democratic
9.8%
10.8%
-1.0
 
  People's
2.7%
1.5%
1.21.2
 
  Green
1.5%
4.5%
-3.0
 
  Free
1.1%
New1.11.1
 
 Other
0.6%
0.1%
0.50.5
 

British Columbia

Results in BC (2021 vs 2019)
PartySeats
2019GainedLost2021
Conservative 17-413
Liberal 11415
New Democratic 11213
Green 2-11
Independent 1-1
Total42
Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2019)
Party20212019Change (pp)
  Conservative
33.2%
34.0%
-0.8
 
  New Democratic
29.2%
24.4%
4.84.8
 
  Liberal
27.0%
26.2%
0.80.8
 
  Green
5.3%
12.5%
-7.2
 
  People's
4.9%
1.7%
3.23.2
 
 Other
0.4%
0.9%
-0.5
 

Alberta

Results in Alberta (2021 vs 2019)
PartySeats
2019GainedLost2021
Conservative 33-330
Liberal 22
New Democratic 112
Total34
Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2019)
Party20212019Change (pp)
  Conservative
55.3%
69.0%
-13.7
 
  New Democratic
19.1%
11.6%
7.57.5
 
  Liberal
15.5%
13.8%
1.71.7
 
  People's
7.4%
2.2%
5.25.2
 
  Maverick
1.3%
New1.31.3
 
  Green
0.9%
2.8%
-1.9
 
 Other
0.5%
0.8%
-0.3
 

Post-election analysis

Elections Canada

Elections Canada reported the following general characteristics of voter turnout in the election, compared to 2019: [22] [23]

Estimated voter turnout %, by age and sex, all Canada (2021 v 2019)
Age groupAll votersMaleFemale
20212019Change (pp)20212019Change (pp)20212019Change (pp)
First-time voters44.753.68.9Decrease2.svg41.349.78.4Decrease2.svg48.357.79.4Decrease2.svg
Not first time47.454.26.8Decrease2.svg43.750.26.5Decrease2.svg51.358.47.1Decrease2.svg
1824 yrs46.753.97.2Decrease2.svg43.149.96.8Decrease2.svg50.558.07.5Decrease2.svg
2534 yrs52.858.45.6Decrease2.svg49.955.55.6Decrease2.svg55.861.35.5Decrease2.svg
3544 yrs59.064.65.6Decrease2.svg57.562.75.2Decrease2.svg60.566.45.9Decrease2.svg
4554 yrs63.868.14.3Decrease2.svg62.566.74.2Decrease2.svg65.069.54.5Decrease2.svg
5564 yrs68.373.35.0Decrease2.svg66.771.95.2Decrease2.svg69.874.64.8Decrease2.svg
6574 yrs74.979.14.2Decrease2.svg74.378.94.6Decrease2.svg75.679.23.6Decrease2.svg
75 yrs +65.968.62.7Decrease2.svg67.772.34.6Decrease2.svg64.365.71.4Decrease2.svg
All ages62.267.04.8Decrease2.svg60.665.54.9Decrease2.svg63.868.54.7Decrease2.svg

Together with Statistics Canada through its Labour Force Survey, analysis was undertaken in both 2019 and 2021 as to the reasons people gave for not voting: [24] [25]

Reasons for not voting, %, 2021 (vs 2019, where applicable)
Reason for not votingTotal Non-VotersYouth, aged 18–24Indigenous living off reserveImmigrant (>10 years)Immigrant (10 years or less)
20212019Change (pp)20212019Change (pp)20212019Change (pp)20212021
Everyday life reasons43.345.92.6Decrease2.svg42.145.73.6Decrease2.svg38.440.82.4Decrease2.svg48.644.7
Political reasons39.141.92.8Decrease2.svg36.339.12.8Decrease2.svg41.747.65.9Decrease2.svg34.522.4
Electoral process reasons7.15.41.7Increase2.svg12.28.24.0Increase2.svg6.36.90.6Decrease2.svg6.916.5
Reasons related to COVID-192.2New0.8NewN/A3.1N/A
All other reasons8.36.81.5Increase2.svg8.67.01.6Increase2.svg11.34.86.5Increase2.svg6.813.2

From polling firms after Election Day

Per Ipsos

Ipsos 2021 election day poll [26]
Social groupLiberalConservativeNDPBlocGreenPPCOther
Actual results
Total vote3234187251
Gender
Male3137165271
Female33321910331
Age
1834382425525
35543232189262
55+2843147341

Notes and references

Notes

  1. The Green MP elected in 2019 defected to the Liberals months before the 2021 election.
  2. Robinson claims the Twitter account was fake and reported to Durham police in 2018 after the tweet was made.
  3. The Greens did not run a candidate in Newfoundland and Labrador.
  4. (Yukon, Northwest Territories, and Nunavut).
  5. The Greens did not run a candidate in Nunavut.
  6. The People's Party did not run a candidate in any of the Canadian Territories.

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