2012 United States presidential election in Colorado

Last updated

2012 United States presidential election in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
Turnout71.17% Decrease2.svg [1]
  President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
Nominee Barack Obama Mitt Romney
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Massachusetts
Running mate Joe Biden Paul Ryan
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,323,1021,185,243
Percentage51.45%46.09%

Colorado Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Colorado took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Colorado voters chose nine electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Obama and Biden carried Colorado with 51.45% of the popular vote to Romney's and Ryan's 46.09%, thus winning the state's nine electoral votes by a 5.36% margin. [2]

Contents

As in 2008, the key to Obama's victory was Democratic dominance in the Denver area, sweeping not just the city but also the heavily populated suburban counties around Denver, particularly Adams, Arapahoe, and Jefferson counties; as well as winning Larimer County, home to Fort Collins. Obama also took nearly 70% of the vote in Boulder County, home to Boulder; and won Chaffee County, which he had lost to McCain in 2008. Romney's most populated county wins were in El Paso County, where Colorado Springs is located; and Weld County, a suburb of Denver and home to Greeley.

This election solidified Colorado's transformation from a historically Republican-leaning state into a Democratic-leaning swing state. Obama's 2012 victory in the state, on the heels of his 2008 victory, marked the first time that the Democrats had carried Colorado in two consecutive elections since the landslide re-election of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, the first time that the state had voted Democratic in a close election since 1948, and the first time since 1964 that a sitting Democratic president carried Colorado.

Colorado served as the tipping-point state for Obama's overall victory in the presidential election; that is, the first state to give a candidate their 270th electoral vote when all states are arranged by their margins of victory. Colorado was also the tipping-point state for Obama's 2008 victory. This marks the second time in history that a president was elected and re-elected by winning the same tipping-point state, after Richard Nixon was carried to victory by Ohio twice in 1968 and 1972.

As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which rural Conejos County, Huerfano County, and Las Animas County have voted for the Democratic candidate. This is also the most recent presidential election where Colorado voted to the right of Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Nevada, Maine and New Hampshire.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed in the Colorado Democratic caucuses.

Republican caucuses

2012 Colorado Republican caucuses
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2008 February 7, 2012 (2012-02-07) 2016  
  Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
Candidate Rick Santorum Mitt Romney
Home state Pennsylvania Massachusetts
Delegate count614
Popular vote26,61423,012
Percentage40.3%34.9%

  Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg
Candidate Newt Gingrich Ron Paul
Home state Georgia Texas
Delegate count04
Popular vote8,4457,759
Percentage12.8%11.8%

Colorado Republican presidential caucus results, 2012.svg
Colorado results by county
  Rick Santorum
  Mitt Romney
  Newt Gingrich
  Tie

The Republican caucuses were held on "Republican Party Precinct Caucus Day" (February 7, 2012). [3] Caucus locations opened on 9 PM, February 7, 2012, [4] with 36 delegates at stake; 33 of which are tied to the caucuses while 3 are unpledged RNC delegates. [5] The event occurred alongside the Minnesota Republican caucuses as well the Missouri Republican primary. The race was widely expected to be won by Mitt Romney even on the day of the caucus, but a strong surge by Rick Santorum across all three races that day carried him to a close victory.

Colorado Republican caucus, February 7, 2012 [6]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate countConvention Results [7] [8]
MSNBC
[9]
GP
[10]
Rick Santorum 26,61440.31%666
Mitt Romney 23,01234.85%131413
Newt Gingrich 8,44512.79%000
Ron Paul 7,75911.75%300
Rick Perry 520.08%000
Jon Huntsman 460.07%000
Michele Bachmann 280.04%000
Others710.11%000
Unprojected delegates:1400
Unpledged delegates:01617
Totals:66,027100.00%363636
Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

Conventions

There is no formal system of allocating delegates to candidates in any step of the election process. At each meeting the participants decides what the best course of action is.
None of the 36 delegates are legally bound to vote for a candidate.[ citation needed ]

  • 12–13 April: Seven congressional conventions elects 3 National Convention delegates each and also elects delegates for the state convention.
  • 14 April: State convention elects 12 National Convention delegates.
Convention Results [7] [11]
Candidate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7thStateParty leadersTotal
Uncommitted22220114317
Mitt Romney 00101218013
Rick Santorum 1101201006
Total2112336

General election

Ballot access

On the campaign trail, President Obama watches as graduates toss their hats during the United States Air Force Academy commencement ceremony at Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy in Colorado Springs, May 23, 2012. Obama on May 23, 2012.jpg
On the campaign trail, President Obama watches as graduates toss their hats during the United States Air Force Academy commencement ceremony at Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy in Colorado Springs, May 23, 2012.

Polling

Incumbent Barack Obama started off with a wide lead in polls ranging from 1 to 13 points, which continued throughout the early summer of 2012. On August 6, Romney won his first poll, 50% to 45%. Throughout the rest of the summer, and September, with the exception of a few points, Obama won almost every poll but narrowly. In October, Romney gained momentum and the race throughout October was essentially tied, with neither candidate taking a significant lead. The last week before the election, Obama gained momentum and won each of the 4 pre-election polls. The average of the last 3 pre-election polls showed Obama leading Romney 49.7% to 46.3%. [12] The final pre-election poll showed Obama leading Romney 52% to 46%, which was accurate compared to the results. Washington Post rated this race "Toss-Up." [13] [14]

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Colorado
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent)1,323,10251.45%9
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 1,185,24346.09%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 35,5451.38%0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 7,5080.29%0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer6,2340.24%0
Peace & Freedom Roseanne Barr Cindy Sheehan 5,0590.20%0
UnaffiliatedJill Ann ReedTom Cary2,5890.10%0
Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 1,2600.05%0
OthersOthers1,0280.04%0
America's Party Thomas Hoefling Jonathan D. Ellis6790.03%0
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva Filberto Ramirez Jr.3170.01%0
Socialist Stewart Alexander Alex Mendoza 3080.01%0
American Third Position Merlin Miller Harry Bertram2660.01%0
Socialist Workers James Harris Alyson Kennedy 1920.01%0
Socialist Equality Jerry White Phyllis Scherrer1890.01%0
Totals2,569,518100.00%9

By county

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Adams 100,64956.90%70,97240.12%5,2722.98%29,67716.78%176,893
Alamosa 3,81156.75%2,70540.28%1992.97%1,10616.47%6,715
Arapahoe 153,90553.90%125,58843.99%6,0232.11%28,3179.91%285,516
Archuleta 2,67939.78%3,87257.50%1832.72%-1,193-17.72%6,734
Baca 46722.17%1,55974.03%803.80%-1,092-51.86%2,106
Bent 81541.97%1,07555.36%522.67%-260-13.39%1,942
Boulder 125,09169.69%49,98127.84%4,4272.47%75,11041.85%179,499
Broomfield 16,96651.62%15,00845.67%8912.71%1,9585.95%32,865
Chaffee 5,08648.61%5,07048.46%3062.93%160.15%10,462
Cheyenne 17215.74%88981.34%322.92%-717-65.60%1,093
Clear Creek 3,11954.31%2,43042.31%1943.38%68912.00%5,743
Conejos 2,21353.96%1,83544.75%531.29%3789.21%4,101
Costilla 1,34072.95%44624.28%512.77%89448.67%1,837
Crowley 53535.62%92461.52%432.86%-389-25.90%1,502
Custer 86831.97%1,78865.86%592.17%-920-33.89%2,715
Delta 4,62229.02%10,91568.54%3882.44%-6,293-39.52%15,925
Denver 222,01873.41%73,11124.18%7,2892.41%148,90749.23%302,418
Dolores 33426.83%85969.00%524.17%-525-42.17%1,245
Douglas 61,09436.35%104,39762.11%2,5931.54%-43,303-25.76%168,084
Eagle 12,79256.43%9,41141.52%4652.05%3,38114.91%22,668
El Paso 111,81938.54%170,95258.91%7,4042.55%-59,133-20.37%290,175
Elbert 3,60325.41%10,26672.41%3092.18%-6,663-47.00%14,178
Fremont 6,70432.84%13,17464.53%5382.63%-6,470-31.69%20,416
Garfield 11,30546.32%12,53551.36%5682.32%-1,230-5.04%24,408
Gilpin 1,89256.68%1,34640.32%1003.00%54616.36%3,338
Grand 3,68445.00%4,25351.95%2503.05%-569-6.95%8,187
Gunnison 5,04458.20%3,34138.55%2823.25%1,70319.65%8,667
Hinsdale 22938.17%35358.83%183.00%-124-20.66%600
Huerfano 1,95352.46%1,64644.21%1243.33%3078.25%3,723
Jackson 21625.47%60070.75%323.78%-384-45.28%848
Jefferson 159,29651.21%144,19746.36%7,5592.43%15,0994.85%311,052
Kiowa 11814.37%67782.46%263.17%-559-68.09%821
Kit Carson 83822.64%2,78575.23%792.13%-1,947-52.59%3,702
La Plata 15,48952.85%12,79443.65%1,0253.50%2,6959.20%29,308
Lake 1,83960.49%1,09836.12%1033.39%74124.37%3,040
Larimer 92,74751.47%82,37645.72%5,0572.81%10,3715.75%180,180
Las Animas 3,44550.20%3,26347.55%1542.25%1822.65%6,862
Lincoln 55224.14%1,68773.76%482.10%-1,135-49.62%2,287
Logan 2,71229.72%6,17967.72%2332.56%-3,467-38.00%9,124
Mesa 23,84632.69%47,47265.08%1,6292.23%-23,626-32.39%72,947
Mineral 29144.77%34452.92%152.31%-53-8.15%650
Moffat 1,33021.56%4,69576.12%1432.32%-3,365-54.56%6,168
Montezuma 4,54236.87%7,40160.08%3753.05%-2,859-23.21%12,318
Montrose 6,13830.49%13,55267.32%4402.19%-7,414-36.83%20,130
Morgan 3,91236.30%6,60261.26%2632.44%-2,690-24.96%10,777
Otero 3,64744.52%4,38253.49%1631.99%-735-8.97%8,192
Ouray 1,64651.41%1,48146.25%752.34%1655.16%3,202
Park 3,86241.23%5,23655.90%2682.87%-1,374-14.67%9,366
Phillips 58825.96%1,63772.27%401.77%-1,049-46.31%2,265
Pitkin 6,84967.98%3,02430.01%2022.01%3,82537.97%10,075
Prowers 1,51931.24%3,23066.42%1142.34%-1,711-35.18%4,863
Pueblo 42,55155.68%31,89441.74%1,9742.58%10,65713.94%76,419
Rio Blanco 56816.86%2,72480.85%772.29%-2,156-63.99%3,369
Rio Grande 2,47844.79%2,91852.74%1372.47%-440-7.95%5,533
Routt 7,54756.67%5,46941.07%3012.26%2,07815.60%13,317
Saguache 1,86563.61%96432.88%1033.51%90130.73%2,932
San Juan 26652.57%21241.90%285.53%5410.67%506
San Miguel 2,99270.30%1,15427.11%1102.59%1,83843.19%4,256
Sedgwick 41931.32%88165.84%382.84%-462-34.52%1,338
Summit 9,34761.04%5,57136.38%3942.58%3,77624.66%15,312
Teller 4,33332.16%8,70264.59%4383.25%-4,369-32.43%13,473
Washington 46818.06%2,07680.12%471.82%-1,608-62.06%2,591
Weld 49,05042.18%63,77554.84%3,4662.98%-14,725-12.66%116,291
Yuma 98721.56%3,49076.25%1002.19%-2,503-54.69%4,577
Total1,323,10251.45%1,185,24346.09%63,5012.47%137,8595.36%2,571,846
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold Colorado County Flips 2012.svg
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Obama won 4 of 7 congressional districts including one held by a Republican. [15]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st 28.83%69% Diana DeGette
2nd 39.51%57.92% Jared Polis
3rd 51.8%45.77% Scott Tipton
4th 58.5%39.22% Cory Gardner
5th 59.12%38.3% Doug Lamborn
6th 46.5%51.56% Mike Coffman
7th 41.26%56.09% Ed Perlmutter

See also

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References

  1. "Election Results 2012" (PDF). sos.state.co.us. Retrieved July 14, 2020.
  2. "2012 General Election". Colorado Department of State. Retrieved November 22, 2012.
  3. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 10, 2011. Retrieved August 16, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  4. "Colorado GOP moves up 2012 caucuses to Feb. 7". Denver Post. Associated Press. September 24, 2011. Retrieved October 3, 2011.
  5. "Republican Delegate Allocation". The Green Papers. Retrieved December 3, 2011.
  6. "2012 Colorado GOP Presidential Caucus Results". Colorado Republican Party . Archived from the original on February 10, 2012. Retrieved February 9, 2012.
  7. 1 2 "National Delegate Results". cologop.org. Colorado Republican Party. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
  8. The Republic,CO GOP Assembly Archived 2012-04-18 at the Wayback Machine (April 22, 2012)
  9. "Republican Caucuses " (May 7, 2012). MSNBC.
  10. "Republican Caucus"
  11. Bartels, Lynn (April 14, 2012). "Colorado Republicans split delegate votes between Romney, unified Paul and Santorum supporters". denverpost.com. Denver Post. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
  12. "2012 - Colorado: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolitics".
  13. "Pundit accountability: The official 2012 election prediction thread - The Washington Post". The Washington Post .
  14. "2012 - Colorado: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolitics".
  15. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".