2008 Bavarian state election

Last updated
2008 Bavarian state election
Flag of Bavaria (lozengy).svg
  2003 28 September 2008 2013  

All 187 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria
94 seats needed for a majority
Turnout10,612,275 (58.1%)
Increase2.svg 1.0%
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Dr-guenther-beckstein2.jpg 8247ri-Franz Maget.jpg Hubert Aiwanger.JPG
Leader Günther Beckstein Franz Maget  [ de ] Hubert Aiwanger
Party CSU SPD FW
Last election124 seats, 60.7%41 seats, 19.6%0 seats, 4.0%
Seats won923921
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 32Decrease2.svg 2Increase2.svg 21
Popular vote4,603,9601,972,4371,085,896
Percentage43.4%18.6%10.2%
SwingDecrease2.svg 17.3%Decrease2.svg 1.0%Increase2.svg 6.2%

 Fourth partyFifth party
  2008-10-24 Sepp Daxenberger 1086.jpg Martin Zeil (2010).JPG
Leader Sepp Daxenberger Martin Zeil
Party Greens FDP
Last election15 seats, 7.7%0 seats, 2.6%
Seats won1916
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 4Increase2.svg 16
Popular vote999,111847,227
Percentage9.4%8.0%
SwingIncrease2.svg 1.7%Increase2.svg 5.4%

2008 Bavarian state election.svg
Results for the single-member constituencies.

Minister-President before election

Günther Beckstein
CSU

Elected Minister-President

Horst Seehofer
CSU

The 2008 Bavarian state election was held on 28 September 2008 to elect the members of the Landtag of Bavaria. The result was a historic defeat for the Christian Social Union (CSU), which had governed with a majority uninterrupted since 1962, and had won over 60% of the vote in the 2003 election. Despite polling suggesting that the party would retain its majority with losses, it suffered a 17% swing and came up two seats short of a majority, its worst result since 1954. Minister-President and CSU leader Günther Beckstein subsequently resigned from both posts, and the Landtag elected Horst Seehofer as his successor after the CSU and Free Democratic Party (FDP) came to a coalition agreement.

Contents

The Free Voters of Bavaria entered the Landtag for the first time with 10% of the vote; the FDP also won seats for the first time in 14 years. The Left competed in its first Bavarian election, recording a modest result of 4.3%, but failing to win any seats.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 15th Landtag of Bavaria.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2003 result
Votes (%)Seats
CSU Christian Social Union in Bavaria
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern
Christian democracy Günther Beckstein 60.7%
124 / 180
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Franz Maget19.6%
41 / 180
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politics Sepp Daxenberger 7.7%
15 / 180

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CSU SPD Grüne FW FDP Linke ÖDP OthersLead
2008 state election 28 Sep 200843.418.69.410.28.04.32.04.1 [a] 24.8
GMS 20–21 Sep 20081,01048191077414 [b] 29
Emnid 10–18 Sep 20081,01049208785329
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 16–18 Sep 20081,10547208894427
Infratest dimap 15–17 Sep 20081,00047219784426
Forsa 8–12 Sep 20081,10150199864431
GMS 6–8 Sep 20081,00649191157423 [c] 30
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jul 20081,03850209764430
Infratest dimap 24–28 Jul 20081,00048229584426
Emnid 23 Jun–17 Jul 2008~50051199759 [d] 32
TNS Infratest 3–8 Jul 20081,000482111584327
GMS 8–9 Jul 20081,0065020845526 [e] 30
GMS 2–6 Jun 20081,0094920955525 [f] 29
Infratest dimap 28–30 Apr 20081,000482310564425
mifm München 21–23 Apr 20081,000442011993424
mifm München 4–14 Apr 20081,00140191211114321
GMS 8–14 Apr 20081,0105120104641431
GMS 31 Mar–6 Apr 20081,512502110454629
Emnid 13–27 Feb 2008~500511911364632
mifm München 31 Jan–7 Feb 20081,000502011473530
Infratest dimap 3–7 Jan 20081,000522110263631
Emnid 10 Dec 2007–2 Jan 200880054201064634
GMS 2–3 Jan 20081,0045621934313 [g] 34
GMS 12–17 Dec 20071,01055209453435
Forsa 5–27 Nov 20071,00256179344739
mifm München 29 Oct–7 Nov 20071,00053.819.19.91.773.25.334.7
GMS 21–22 Oct 20071,00154231034312 [h] 31
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Sep 20071,14356229443234
mifm München 7–15 Sep 20071,0035317103731.74.9 [i] 36
Forsa 29 Aug–17 Sep 20071,00357199243638
Forsa 28–30 Jul 20071,00258179343641
TNS Infratest 17–19 Jul 20071,00054221153532
dimap 13–19 Jul 20071,00058181144540
GMS 13–18 Jun 20071,01054189483436
Forsa 4–14 Jun 20071,00156169363740
Forsa 25 Apr–8 May 20071,03656179363639
Forsa 19 Mar–2 Apr 20071,01254209343734
Infratest dimap 22–25 Mar 20071,002532310262430
GMS 5–8 Mar 20071,0125320947214 [j] 33
Forsa 15–26 Feb 20071,00253199363734
GMS 22–25 Jan 20071,0115222947222 [k] 30
Infratest dimap 19–20 Jan 20071,000522497828
Infratest dimap 15 Jan 20071,0005024118726
Forsa 10–12 Jan 20071,00749229364727
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–13 Jan 20071,1424527109918
Infratest dimap 3–4 Jan 20071,000542297832
Forsa 27–29 Dec 20061,00954189354736
GMS 18–23 Dec 20061,00654201028222 [l] 34
Forsa 24 Nov–5 Dec 20061,026561710254639
Forsa 23 Oct–7 Nov 20061,00454199273635
GMS 6–8 Oct 20061,0025322838312 [m] 31
Forsa 18 Sep–4 Oct 20061,00654189283636
Infratest dimap 28 Sep–1 Oct 20061,000492410281625
Forsa 20 Aug–5 Sep 20061,00558161063742
Forsa 3–12 Jul 20061,004561610364540
GMS 9–14 Jun 20061,0025418112.082.54.536
Forsa 12–17 May 20061,002521893103534
Emnid 20 Apr–9 May 20061,0005323951030
Forsa 22–24 Feb 20061,00352219463531
Infratest dimap 12–15 Jan 20061,000532210272 [n] 431
Forsa 4–11 Jan 20061,11449241063 [o] 8 [p] 25
Peinelt 17 Nov–9 Dec 20051,06745.921.58.64.211.88.0 [q] 24.4
GMS 17–21 Dec 20051,0015622744214 [r] 34
Infratest dimap 15–16 Nov 20051,000452410113721
Forsa 4–7 Nov 20051,00149219948 [s] 28
Infratest dimap 21–24 Jul 20051,0005918944641
Infratest dimap 5–9 Jan 20051,0005622105734
Infratest dimap 21–25 Jul 20041,0005817125841
GMS 17–20 Mar 20041,00961.019.010.01.53.00.52.03.0 [t] 42
Infratest dimap 2–5 Jan 20041,000621993743
2003 state election 21 Sep 200360.719.67.74.02.62.03.4 [u] 41.1

Election result

2008 Landtag of Bavaria.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Christian Social Union (CSU)4,603,96043.38-17.392-32
Social Democratic Party (SPD)1,972,43718.59-1.039-2
Free Voters of Bavaria (FW)1,085,89610.23+6.221+21
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)999,1119.41+1.719+4
Free Democratic Party (FDP)847,2277.98+5.416+16
The Left (Linke)461,7554.35New0New
Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP)212,2002.000±0
The Republicans (REP)146,0731.38-0.90±0
National Democratic Party (NPD)123,3991.16+1.20±0
Bavaria Party (BP)116,4641.10+0.30±0
Pensioners' Party (RRP)19,7600.19New0New
The Violets (Violetten)15,4650.15New0New
Citizens' Bloc (BB)7,3060.070±0
Civil Rights Movement Solidarity (BüSo)1,2220.01-0.10±0
Total10,612,275100.00187
Popular vote
CSU
43.38%
SPD
18.59%
FW
10.23%
B'90/GRÜNE
9.41%
FDP
7.98%
DIE LINKE
4.35%
Other
6.06%
Landtag seats
CSU
49.19%
SPD
20.86%
FW
11.23%
B'90/GRÜNE
10.16%
FDP
8.56%

See also

Notes

  1. 1.4% REP, 2.7% Other
  2. 1% Right-wing parties, 3% Other
  3. 1% Right-wing parties, 2% Other
  4. 2% Right-wing parties, 7% Other
  5. 2% Right-wing parties, 4% Other
  6. 2% Right-wing parties, 3% Other
  7. 1% Right-wing parties, 2% Other
  8. 1% Right-wing parties, 1% Other
  9. 2.3% REP, 1.1% BP, 1.5% Other
  10. 1% Right-wing parties, 3% Other
  11. 1% Right-wing parties, 1% Other
  12. 1% Right-wing parties, 1% Other
  13. 1% Right-wing parties, 1% Other
  14. WASG
  15. WASG
  16. 3% Right-wing parties, 5% Other
  17. 4.3% REP, 3.7% Other
  18. 2% Right-wing parties, 2% Other
  19. 3% Right-wing parties, 5% Other
  20. 1.0% REP, 2.0% Other
  21. 2.2% REP, 1.2% Other

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References