2028 Bavarian state election

Next Bavarian state election

←  2023 2028 (2028) Next →
All 203 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria (including 23 overhang and leveling seats) 102 seats needed for a majority
Party CSU FW AfD Last election 85 seats, 37.0% 37 seats, 15.8% 32 seats, 14.6%   Party Greens SPD Last election 32 seats, 14.4% 17 seats, 8.4%
Incumbent Government Third Söder cabinet CSU—FW

Elections to the Landtag of Bavaria will be held in 2028.

Opinion polls

Party polling

Polling firm [1]	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CSU	FW	AfD	Grüne	SPD	FDP	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
Civey	28 Nov – 12 Dec 2024	5,001	42	12	14	12	7	3	1	4	5	28
Civey	1–15 Nov 2024	5,008	44	11	12	11	8	2	1	4	7	32
Civey	11–18 Oct 2024	5,001	42	12	14	11	7	–	–	–	14	28
INSA	7–14 Oct 2024	1,000	43	11	18	10	8	–	–	5	5	25
GMS	11–16 Sep 2024	1,048	42	11	12	10	7	2	1	6	9	30
Civey	5–12 Sep 2024	5,002	42	13	15	12	7	2	1	–	8	27
Civey	9–16 Aug 2024	5,002	42	13	14	11	8	3	1	–	8	28
Forsa	22 Jul – 2 Aug 2024	1,036	43	12	13	11	8	2	–	4	7	30
Civey	11–18 Jul 2024	5,004	42	13	14	11	8	3	1	–	8	28
Civey	7–14 Jun 2024	5,004	41	13	14	13	8	3	1	–	7	27
Civey	3–10 May 2024	5,005	41	14	14	13	7	3	1	–	7	27
GMS	30 Apr – 6 May 2024	1,023	41	15	11	13	7	2	2	3	6	26
Civey	4–11 Apr 2024	5,002	42	14	13	13	7	–	–	–	11	28
Civey	8–15 Mar 2024	5,001	42	14	13	14	7	2	1	–	7	28
Civey	9–16 Feb 2024	5,001	40	13	14	14	8	–	–	–	11	26
GMS	31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024	1,018	42	15	13	12	6	2	1	3	6	27
Infratest dimap	11–15 Jan 2024	1,161	40	13	15	13	7	3	–	–	9	25
Civey	4–11 Jan 2024	5,000	41	13	14	14	8	–	–	–	10	27
GMS	27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024	1,002	41	16	14	13	6	3	1	–	6	25
Civey	8–15 Dec 2023	4,999	41	13	14	14	8	–	–	–	10	27
Civey	10–17 Nov 2023	5,001	40	13	13	14	9	3	2	–	6	26
2023 state election	8 Oct 2023	–	37.0	15.8	14.6	14.4	8.4	3.0	1.5	–	5.3	21.2

References

1. "Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Bayern". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 2022-05-07.