Bibile Polling Division

Bibile
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7°09′10″N81°22′39″E / 7.152790°N 81.377575°E / 7.152790; 81.377575
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	Uva Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Monaragala Electoral District
Area
• Total	1,339.63 km2 (517.23 sq mi)
Population  (2012) [1]
• Total	107,448
• Density	80/km2 (200/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-20A

The Bibile Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Monaragala Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bibile has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Bibile is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year	Bibile		Monaragala Electoral District		MAE [2]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [3]  %
2019		SLPP		SLPP	2.14%		SLPP	10.20%
2015		UPFA		UPFA	0.62%		NDF	13.12%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	1.63%		UPFA	9.29%
2005		UPFA		UPFA	1.29%		UPFA	5.35%
1999		PA		PA	1.89%		PA	1.19%
1994		PA		PA	1.46%		PA	0.77%
1988		UNP		UNP	2.46%		UNP	8.96%
1982		UNP		UNP	4.73%		UNP	1.49%
Matches/Mean MAE	7/8		7/8		2.03%	8/8		6.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [4]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLPP		44,351	63.05%		208,814	65.34%		6,924,255	52.25%
	NDF		21,914	31.15%		92,539	28.95%		5,564,239	41.99%
	NMPP		2,264	3.22%		11,235	3.52%		418,553	3.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,811	2.57%		7,016	2.20%		345,452	2.61%
Valid Votes		70,340		99.19%	319,604		99.07%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		573		0.81%	3,000		0.93%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		70,913		86.84%	322,604		88.02%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		81,662			366,524			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [5]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		37,987	60.72%		172,745	61.45%		5,768,090	47.58%
	NDF		23,704	37.89%		105,276	37.45%		6,217,162	51.28%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		874	1.40%		3,095	1.10%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		62,565		98.78%	281,116		98.79%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		775		1.22%	3,449		1.21%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		63,340		76.31%	284,565		79.90%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		83,003			356,146			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [6]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		34,523	67.22%		158,435	69.01%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		15,649	30.47%		66,803	29.10%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,185	2.31%		4,346	1.89%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		51,357		98.95%	229,584		99.02%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		544		1.05%	2,272		0.98%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		51,901		69.49%	231,856		73.94%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		74,692			313,554			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [7]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		28,663	55.54%		126,094	56.94%		4,887,152	50.29%
	UNP		22,103	42.83%		92,244	41.65%		4,706,366	48.43%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		846	1.64%		3,112	1.41%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		51,612		98.91%	221,450		98.82%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		567		1.09%	2,636		1.18%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		52,179		76.00%	224,086		78.54%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		68,660			285,327			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [8]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		21,890	49.11%		92,049	51.07%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		19,156	42.98%		73,695	40.89%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		2,337	5.24%		10,456	5.80%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,191	2.67%		4,045	2.24%		176,679	2.09%
Valid Votes		44,574		97.75%	180,245		97.74%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		1,028		2.25%	4,161		2.26%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		45,602		77.55%	184,406		78.39%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		58,803			235,252			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [9]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		24,271	61.50%		96,620	63.20%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		13,867	35.14%		52,026	34.03%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Ind 2		674	1.71%		1,966	1.29%		58,888	0.78%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		655	1.66%		2,257	1.48%		78,152	1.03%
Valid Votes		39,467		97.70%	152,869		97.46%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		928		2.30%	3,977		2.54%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		40,395		79.44%	156,846		77.23%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		50,852			203,102			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [10]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		9,091	60.73%		16,872	63.21%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLFP		5,507	36.79%		9,123	34.18%		2,289,857	44.95%
	SLMP		371	2.48%		697	2.61%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		14,969		96.72%	26,692		96.91%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		507		3.28%	851		3.09%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		15,476		35.91%	27,543		16.99%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		43,093			162,135			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bibile [11]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		16,821	55.59%		51,264	49.38%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		11,820	39.06%		44,115	42.49%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		1,180	3.90%		7,171	6.91%		273,428	4.19%
	LSSP		313	1.03%		882	0.85%		58,531	0.90%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		126	0.42%		389	0.37%		190,929	2.93%
Valid Votes		30,260		98.51%	103,821		98.53%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		458		1.49%	1,553		1.47%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		30,718		85.58%	105,374		82.45%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		35,895			127,799			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bibile has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Bibile is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year	Bibile		Monaragala Electoral District		MAE [12]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [13]  %
2015		UPFA		UPFA	1.19%		UNP	4.90%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	2.20%		UPFA	14.46%
2004		UPFA		UPFA	1.75%		UPFA	7.25%
2001		UNP		PA	1.22%		UNP	2.68%
2000		PA		PA	0.84%		PA	2.68%
1994		PA		PA	3.10%		PA	2.20%
1989		UNP		UNP	6.17%		UNP	5.86%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/7		5/7		2.35%	7/7		5.72%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [14]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		29,867	51.63%		138,136	52.53%		4,732,664	42.48%
	UNP		25,220	43.60%		110,372	41.97%		5,098,916	45.77%
	JVP		2,557	4.42%		13,626	5.18%		544,154	4.88%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		199	0.34%		854	0.32%		59,382	0.53%
Valid Votes		57,843		95.95%	262,988		96.59%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		2,442		4.05%	9,291		3.41%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		60,285		72.63%	272,279		80.13%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		83,003			339,797			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [15]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		28,575	78.15%		120,634	75.64%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		6,172	16.88%		28,892	18.12%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		1,610	4.40%		9,018	5.65%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		206	0.56%		947	0.59%		34,793	0.43%
Valid Votes		36,563		92.80%	159,491		94.02%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		2,837		7.20%	10,149		5.98%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		39,400		52.75%	169,640		54.04%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		74,692			313,931			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [16]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		27,149	59.63%		117,456	61.14%		4,223,126	45.70%
	UNP		17,851	39.21%		71,067	36.99%		3,486,792	37.73%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		527	1.16%		3,590	1.87%		610,805	6.61%
Valid Votes		45,527		93.33%	192,113		93.75%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		3,255		6.67%	12,816		6.25%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		48,782		73.99%	204,929		78.00%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		65,934			262,742			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [17]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		20,258	44.65%		80,549	43.00%		4,086,026	45.62%
	PA		19,423	42.81%		81,805	43.67%		3,330,815	37.19%
	JVP		4,823	10.63%		21,987	11.74%		815,353	9.10%
	NLF		538	1.19%		1,745	0.93%		45,901	0.51%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		329	0.73%		1,247	0.67%		78,691	0.88%
Valid Votes		45,371		91.80%	187,333		92.30%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		4,053		8.20%	15,638		7.70%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		49,424		78.69%	202,971		82.08%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		62,810			247,280			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [18]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		22,011	49.11%		91,404	49.69%		3,899,329	45.33%
	UNP		19,022	42.44%		75,900	41.27%		3,451,765	40.12%
	JVP		2,783	6.21%		13,159	7.15%		518,725	6.03%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,001	2.23%		3,468	1.89%		263,775	3.07%
Valid Votes		44,817		N/A	183,931		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [19]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		18,546	47.86%		77,955	50.40%		3,887,805	48.94%
	UNP		18,526	47.80%		67,753	43.81%		3,498,370	44.04%
	IND4		1,104	2.85%		6,592	4.26%		6,592	0.08%
	SLPF		422	1.09%		1,896	1.23%		90,078	1.13%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		156	0.40%		467	0.30%		65,439	0.82%
Valid Votes		38,754		90.35%	154,663		90.46%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		4,140		9.65%	16,305		9.54%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		42,894		84.35%	170,968		84.15%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		50,852			203,178			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bibile [20]			Monaragala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		16,362	58.68%		46,313	52.42%		2,838,005	50.71%
	SLFP		10,361	37.16%		38,640	43.73%		1,785,369	31.90%
	USA		815	2.92%		2,149	2.43%		141,983	2.54%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		344	1.23%		1,250	1.41%		304,781	5.45%
Valid Votes		27,882		87.45%	88,352		87.76%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		4,002		12.55%	12,317		12.24%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		31,884		74.72%	100,669		62.17%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		42,671			161,927			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Bibile Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (93.5%) . In comparison, the Monaragala Electoral District (which contains the Bibile Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.9%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Bibile ^[1]

   Sinhalese (93.5%)

   Moor (5.5%)

  Other (1.0%)

Religion

The Bibile Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (93.2%) . In comparison, the Monaragala Electoral District (which contains the Bibile Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (94.6%) ^[1]

Religion in Bibile ^[1]

   Buddhist (93.2%)

   Muslim (5.6%)

  Other (1.3%)

References

1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the Monaragala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the Monaragala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.