Estonian parliamentary election, 2019

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Estonian parliamentary election, 2019
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←  2015 3 March 20192023 →
101 seats in the Riigikogu
51 seats are needed for a majority
 First partySecond partyThird party
  RE Kaja Kallas.jpg RK Juri Ratas.jpg Jevgeni Ossinovski.jpg
Leader Kaja Kallas [1] Jüri Ratas Jevgeni Ossinovski [2]
Party Reform Centre Social Democratic
Last election30 seats, 27.7%27 seats, 24.8%15 seats, 15.2%
 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Helir-Valdor.jpg Nopic.jpg Mart Helme.jpg
Leader Helir-Valdor Seeder [3] Kaul Nurm [4] Mart Helme
Party Pro Patria Free Party Conservative People's
Last election14 seats, 13.7%8 seats, 8.7%7 seats, 8.1%
Estonian Electoral Districts Blank.png
Electoral districts
Prime Minister before election

Jüri Ratas
Centre

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections will be held in Estonia on 3 March 2019.

Estonia Republic in Northern Europe

Estonia, officially the Republic of Estonia, is a country in Northern Europe. It is bordered to the north by the Gulf of Finland with Finland on the other side, to the west by the Baltic Sea with Sweden on the other side, to the south by Latvia (343 km), and to the east by Lake Peipus and Russia (338.6 km). The territory of Estonia consists of a mainland and 2,222 islands in the Baltic Sea, covering a total area of 45,227 km2 (17,462 sq mi), water 2,839 km2 (1,096 sq mi), land area 42,388 km2 (16,366 sq mi), and is influenced by a humid continental climate. The official language of the country, Estonian, is the second most spoken Finnic language.

Contents

Electoral system

The 101 members of the Riigikogu are elected by proportional representation in twelve multi-member constituencies. Seats are allocated using a modified D'Hondt method. Parties have to pass a nationwide threshold of 5%, but if the number of votes cast for an individual candidate exceeds or equals the simple quota (obtained by dividing the number of valid votes cast in the electoral district by the number of mandates in the district), they are elected. [5]

Riigikogu parliament of Estonia

The Riigikogu is the unicameral parliament of Estonia. All important state-related questions pass through the Riigikogu. In addition to approving legislation, the Riigikogu appoints high officials, including the Prime Minister and Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, and elects the President. The Riigikogu also ratifies significant foreign treaties that impose military and proprietary obligations, bring about changes in law, etc.; approves the budget presented by the government as law and monitors the executive power.

Proportional representation (PR) characterizes electoral systems in which divisions in an electorate are reflected proportionately in the elected body. If n% of the electorate support a particular political party, then roughly n% of seats will be won by that party. The essence of such systems is that all votes contribute to the result - not just a plurality, or a bare majority. The most prevalent forms of proportional representation all require the use of multiple-member voting districts, as it is not possible to fill a single seat in a proportional manner. In fact, the implementations of PR that achieve the highest levels of proportionality tend to include districts with large numbers of seats.

The D'Hondt method or the Jefferson method is a highest averages method for allocating seats, and is thus a type of party-list proportional representation. The method described is named in the United States after Thomas Jefferson, who introduced the method for proportional allocation of seats in the United States House of Representatives in 1791, and in Europe after Belgian mathematician Victor D'Hondt, who described it in 1878 for proportional allocation of parliamentary seats to the parties. There are two forms: closed list and an open list.

Opinion polls

Estonian Opinion Polling, 30 Day Moving Average, 2015-2019.png

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

DatePolling Firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE Green E200 OthersLeadGovt-Opposition
November 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 2333751153851045 – 39
November 2018 Kantar Emor 292511521738–441 – 48
October 2018 Kantar Emor 2825145216451344 – 46
October 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 28301252172–4247 – 47
September 2018 Kantar Emor 27251353203–4.7243 – 50
September 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 27281432173–6145 – 46
August 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 25271152194–7243 – 46
August 2018 Kantar Emor 29.823.812.75.24.721.22–0.6641.7 – 55.7
July 2018 Kantar Emor 30241353223–0.7642 – 55
June 2018 Kantar Emor 32231473175––944 – 52
June 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 2827954182–7141 – 50
May 2018 Kantar Emor 322111.95416.73–6.41137.9 – 52.7
May 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 3026953154–8440 – 48
April 2018 Kantar Emor 3021.610.65.85.819.16.1–18.438 – 54.9
April 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 3326643143–9736 – 50
8–21 Mar 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 31261053133–9541 – 47
8–14 Mar 2018 Kantar Emor 34.123.810.64.15.018.33.6–0.510.338.5 – 57.4
7–20 Feb 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 2727864143–11041 – 45
Feb 2018 Kantar Emor 34211167174–01338 – 58
15—29 Jan 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 26271154124–11143 – 42
18–25 Jan 2018 Kantar Emor 34.220.5114.55.418.44.5–1.513.736 – 58
8–14 Dec 2017 Kantar Emor 28221586174–0645 – 51
22 Nov–5 Dec 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 24291183123–10548 – 39
1–14 Nov 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 22271084133–13545 – 39
1–9 Nov 2017 Kantar Emor 29.026.015.17.05.114.43.1–0.3348.1 – 48.5
Oct 2017 Kantar Emor 27271674153–1050 – 46
26 Sep–10 Oct 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25291073134–9446 – 41
5–18 Sep 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25271284142–8247 – 43
8–14 Sep 2017 Kantar Emor 25.723.118.75.86.216.72.0–1.82.647.6 – 48,6
9–22 Aug 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 24291256124–8546 – 42
11–17 Aug 2017 TNS Emor 27.622.814.63.89.417.23.7–0.94.841.2 – 54.2
Jul 2017 TNS Emor 26.423.114.86.37.415.95.4–0.73.344.2 – 49.7
9–16 June 2017 TNS Emor 25.425.114.26.68.516.23–10.345.9 – 50.1
25 May–6 Jun 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 26261168103–10043 – 44
17–22 May 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 23.724.712.96.94.612.85.7–8.7144.5 – 41.1
12–18 May 2017 TNS Emor 27.521.817.85.69.913.43.7–0.35.745.2 – 50.8
25 Apr–9 May 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25261248143–8142 – 47
Apr 2017 TNS Emor 252515511145–1045 – 50
28 Mar–10 Apr 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 20301187132–91049 – 40
1–14 Mar 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 2529117783–10447 – 40
Mar 2017 TNS Emor 262715610142–0148 – 50
Feb 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 23291078102–11646 – 41
Feb 2017 TNS Emor 252716710132–0250 – 48
19–31 Jan 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 2531106791–11647 – 41
Dec 2016 TNS Emor 23261978114–2352 – 42
Dec 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 2032158681–101255 – 34
23 Nov 2016 Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in
Nov 2016 TNS Emor 232419911103–11N/A
Nov 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 2129139912––78N/A
9 Nov 2016 Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of no confidence in Riigikogu
Oct 2016 TNS Emor 222517815103–0347 – 50
Oct 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 2526127910––11144 – 45
Sep 2016 TNS Emor 222019912134–1250 – 45
Sep 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 2526127910––11144 – 45
Aug 2016 TNS Emor 28231589133–1551 – 45
Aug 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23241551013––10143 – 47
Jun 2016 TNS Emor 272117611143–1650 – 46
Jun 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 202810712132–8837 – 53
May 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21231241114––15237 – 48
Apr 2016 TNS Emor 232216715132–2146 – 50
Apr 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21251371214––8441 – 51
Mar 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23251361213––8242 – 50
Mar 2016 TNS Emor 232514615142–1243 – 54
Feb 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23291261211––7641 – 52
Feb 2016 TNS Emor 222216616133–2044 – 51
Jan 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 17261371312––12937 – 51
Dec 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 20251471310––11541 – 48
Dec 2015 TNS Emor 212516815113–1345 – 51
Nov 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 1733138119––91638 – 53
Nov 2015 TNS Emor 202316716123–1343 – 51
Oct 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 19271481410––8841 – 51
Sep 2015 TNS Emor 24241871773–1049 – 48
Sep 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 2129159116––9845 – 46
Aug 2015 TNS Emor 20251691793–2545 – 51
Jun 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 1628189156––81043 – 49
Jun 2015 TNS Emor 18261681993–1742 – 54
May 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 1831139147––81340 – 52
May 2015 TNS Emor 19261781883–1744 – 52
Apr 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 22261710127––6449 – 45
Mar 2015 TNS Emor 282416101291–0454 – 45
1 Mar 2015 Election Results 27.724.815.213.78.78.10.9–0.92.956,6 – 41,6

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References

  1. ↑ "Kaja Kallas elected Reform Party's first-ever chairwoman". ERR. 14 April 2018. Retrieved 30 April 2018.
  2. ↑ "Ossinovski valiti sotside uueks juhiks, Mikser loobus". Postimees. 30 May 2015. Retrieved 30 May 2015.
  3. ↑ "Helir-Valdor Seeder elected chairman of IRL". ERR. 13 May 2017. Retrieved 13 April 2017.
  4. ↑ "Fotod: Vabaerakond valis uueks esimeheks Kaul Nurme". ERR. Retrieved 30 September 2018.
  5. ↑ "Riigikogu Election Act". Riigi Teataja. 20 January 2015. Retrieved 1 April 2015.
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