Horowpothana Polling Division

Last updated
Horowpothana
Horowpothana Polling Division Sri Lanka.svg
Coordinates: 8°26′19″N80°48′31″E / 8.438491°N 80.808644°E / 8.438491; 80.808644
Country Sri Lanka
Province North Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District Anuradhapura Electoral District
Area
  Total1,485.32 km2 (573.49 sq mi)
Population
 (2012) [1]
  Total124,321
  Density84/km2 (220/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code EC-17B

The Horowpothana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Anuradhapura Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Contents

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Horowpothana has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Horowpothana is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Horowpothana Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE [2]  % Sri Lanka MAE [3]  %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.67% SLPP 1.79%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.60% NDF 5.27%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.18% UPFA 7.02%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.33% UPFA 3.42%
1999 PA PA 0.86% PA 1.93%
1994 PA PA 1.11% PA 2.74%
1988 SLFP SLFP 7.32% UNP 15.55%
1982 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 3.46%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.31% 8/8 5.15%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [4] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 36,698 54.42% 342,223 58.97% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 27,274 40.44% 202,348 34.87% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,967 2.92% 22,879 3.94% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,499 2.22% 12,896 2.22% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 67,438 99.29% 580,346 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 484 0.71% 4,916 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,922 85.81% 585,262 85.76% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 79,155 682,450 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [5] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,847 52.90% 281,161 53.59% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 27,662 45.95% 238,407 45.44% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.15% 5,065 0.97% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 60,201 99.23% 524,633 99.15% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 468 0.77% 4,500 0.85% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 60,669 74.81% 529,133 77.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 81,099 680,877 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [6] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,622 65.05% 298,448 66.32% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 17,054 32.99% 143,761 31.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,011 1.96% 7,829 1.74% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 51,687 99.32% 450,038 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 356 0.68% 3,785 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 52,043 70.72% 453,823 73.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 73,590 616,186 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [7] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,330 53.72% 231,040 55.08% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 22,027 44.94% 182,956 43.62% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 654 1.33% 5,438 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 49,011 99.03% 419,434 98.92% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 481 0.97% 4,563 1.08% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,492 72.71% 423,997 75.41% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 68,066 562,259 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [8] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,075 53.55% 189,073 54.14% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 17,732 41.15% 139,180 39.86% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,579 3.66% 14,612 4.18% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 701 1.63% 6,336 1.81% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 43,087 98.42% 349,201 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 690 1.58% 6,949 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 43,777 74.48% 356,150 75.63% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 58,774 470,907 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [9] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,000 65.19% 200,146 63.99% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,287 33.31% 107,342 34.32% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 599 1.50% 5,309 1.70% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 39,886 98.56% 312,797 98.05% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 581 1.44% 6,205 1.95% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 40,467 77.86% 319,002 76.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 51,975 418,857 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [10] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 7,038 62.99% 73,154 55.15% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 4,023 36.01% 56,951 42.94% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 112 1.00% 2,529 1.91% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 11,173 97.86% 132,634 98.36% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 244 2.14% 2,207 1.64% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 11,417 26.69% 134,841 40.18% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 42,773 335,551 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horowpothana [11] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,259 48.85% 117,873 49.84% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,029 41.71% 102,973 43.54% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,719 8.71% 13,911 5.88% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 227 0.73% 1,766 0.75% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 31,234 98.90% 236,523 99.04% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 347 1.10% 2,294 0.96% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 31,581 86.15% 238,817 84.68% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 36,657 282,018 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Horowpothana has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Horowpothana is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Horowpothana Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE [12]  % Sri Lanka MAE [13]  %
2015 UNP UPFA 2.55% UNP 2.47%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.79% UPFA 3.44%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.96% UPFA 6.68%
2001 UNP UNP 0.92% UNP 2.39%
2000 PA PA 2.26% PA 1.25%
1994 PA PA 0.31% PA 3.38%
1989 UNP UNP 0.46% UNP 5.60%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 6/7 1.32% 7/7 3.60%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [14] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,086 47.87% 213,072 44.85% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 25,089 46.04% 229,856 48.39% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,707 4.97% 28,701 6.04% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 616 1.13% 3,418 0.72% 80,543 0.72%
Valid Votes 54,498 93.99% 475,047 94.28% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,421 5.90% 28,462 5.65% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 57,984 71.50% 503,845 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 81,099 636,733 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [15] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,499 65.58% 221,204 66.52% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,186 28.43% 80,360 24.17% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,790 5.00% 18,129 5.45% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 1.00% 12,845 3.86% 30,824 0.38%
Valid Votes 35,832 94.05% 332,538 93.55% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,268 5.95% 22,930 6.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 38,100 51.77% 355,468 57.35% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 73,590 619,845 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [16] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,924 56.63% 212,943 57.22% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 18,231 41.42% 148,612 39.94% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 500 1.14% 8,034 2.16% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 358 0.81% 2,536 0.68% 51,070 0.55%
Valid Votes 44,013 95.02% 372,125 94.59% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,309 4.98% 21,281 5.41% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 46,322 70.74% 393,406 76.52% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 65,482 514,149 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [17] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,699 47.37% 165,055 45.93% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 18,007 41.21% 149,393 41.57% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,454 10.19% 40,005 11.13% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 537 1.23% 4,891 1.36% 108,710 1.21%
Valid Votes 43,697 94.92% 359,344 94.78% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,340 5.08% 19,796 5.22% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,037 73.79% 379,140 77.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 62,393 489,776 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [18] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,196 44.61% 169,424 48.30% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 18,084 42.02% 144,662 41.24% 3,451,765 40.12%
NUA 2,885 6.70% 9,369 2.67% 185,593 2.16%
JVP 2,295 5.33% 21,274 6.06% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 575 1.34% 6,042 1.72% 245,927 2.86%
Valid Votes 43,035 N/A 350,771 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [19] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,825 55.54% 180,454 55.19% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 17,966 43.72% 142,084 43.45% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 307 0.75% 4,446 1.36% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 41,098 96.36% 326,984 95.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,552 3.64% 14,620 4.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 42,650 82.06% 341,604 81.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 51,975 418,959 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horowpothana [20] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,563 56.97% 92,726 56.39% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 7,275 39.24% 64,010 38.92% 1,785,369 31.90%
IND 464 2.50% 4,057 2.47% 12,285 0.22%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 238 1.28% 3,652 2.22% 300,186 5.36%
Valid Votes 18,540 94.30% 164,445 92.03% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,121 5.70% 14,245 7.97% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 19,661 46.60% 178,690 53.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 42,195 334,073 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Horowpothana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (84.1%) and a significant Moor population (15.6%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Horowpothana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.0%) [1]

Ethnicity in Horowpothana [1]

   Sinhalese (84.1%)
   Moor (15.6%)
  Other (0.3%)

Religion

The Horowpothana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.8%) and a significant Muslim population (15.6%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Horowpothana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (90.1%) [1]

Religion in Horowpothana [1]

   Buddhist (83.8%)
   Muslim (15.6%)
  Other (0.6%)

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horowpothana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.