Kate Marvel

Last updated
Kate Marvel
Kate Marvel.jpg
Alma mater UC Berkeley (BA)
Trinity College, Cambridge (PhD)
Scientific career
Fields Climate science

Climate modeling

Science communication
Institutions Columbia University, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Carnegie Institution for Science
Website www.marvelclimate.com

Kate Marvel is a climate scientist and science writer based in New York City. She is a senior scientist at Project Drawdown [1] and was formerly an associate research scientist at NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies [2] and Columbia Engineering's Department of Applied Physics and Mathematics.

Contents

Education and early career

Marvel attended the University of California at Berkeley, where she received her Bachelor of Arts degree in physics and astronomy in 2003. She received her PhD in 2008 in theoretical physics from University of Cambridge as a Gates Scholar and member of Trinity College. Following her PhD, she shifted her focus to climate science and energy as a Postdoctoral Science Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University and at the Carnegie Institution for Science in the Department of Global Ecology. [3] [4] She continued that trajectory as a postdoctoral fellow at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory before joining the research faculty at NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University. [5] [6] Marvel left the Goddard Institute at the end of 2022.

Research

Marvel's current research centers on climate modeling to better predict how much the Earth's temperature will rise in the future. [7] [8] [9] This work led Marvel to investigate the effects of cloud cover on modeling rising temperatures, which has proved an important variable in climate models. [10] [11] Clouds can play a double-edged role in mitigating or amplifying the rate of global warming. On one hand, clouds reflect solar energy back into space, serving to cool the planet; on the other, clouds can trap the planet's heat and radiate back onto Earth's surface. While computer models have difficulty simulating the changing patterns of cloud cover, improved satellite data can begin to fill in the gaps. [12] [13]

Marvel has also documented shifting patterns of soil moisture from samples taken around the world, combining them with computer models and archives of tree rings, to model the effects of greenhouse gas production on patterns of global drought. [14] [15] [16] In this study, which was published in the journal Nature in May 2019, Marvel and her colleagues were able to distinguish the contribution of humans from the effects of natural variation of weather and climate. [17] [18] They found three distinct phases of drought in the data: a clear human fingerprint on levels of drought in the first half of the 20th century, followed by a decrease in drought from 1950 to 1975, followed by a final rise in levels of drought in the 1980s and beyond. The mid-century decrease in drought correlated with the rise in aerosol emissions, which contribute to rising levels of smog that may have reflected and blocked sunlight from reaching the Earth, altering patterns of warming. The subsequent rise of drought correlated with the decrease in global air pollution, which occurred in the 1970s and 1980s due to the passage of legislation like the United States Clean Air Act, suggesting that aerosol pollution may have had a moderating effect on drought. [15]

Marvel has also studied practical limitations in renewable energy as a Postdoctoral Scholar at the Carnegie Institution for Science. [4] [19] At the 2017 TED conference, following computer theorist Danny Hillis's talk proposing geoengineering strategies to mitigate global warming, Marvel was brought on stage to share why she believes geoengineering may cause more harm than good in the long run. [20]

Public engagement

Marvel is a science communicator whose efforts center on communicating about the impacts of climate change. She has been a guest on popular science shows like StarTalk and BRIC Arts Media TV, speaking about her expertise in climate change and the need to act on climate. [21] [22] She has also spoken about her path to becoming a scientist for the science-inspired storytelling series, The Story Collider . [23] Marvel has also appeared on the TED Main Stage, giving a talk at the 2017 TED conference about the double-edged effect clouds can have on global warming. [24]

Marvel's writing has been featured in On Being and Nautilus. She was a regular contributor to Scientific American with her column "Hot Planet", [25] [26] [27] which launched in June 2018 and apparently ended in November 2020; the column focused on climate change, covering the science behind global warming, policies, and human efforts in advocacy. Marvel contributed to All We Can Save, [28] a collection of essays authored by women involved in the climate movement. [29] [30]

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Climate variability and change</span> Change in the statistical distribution of climate elements for an extended period

Climate variability includes all the variations in the climate that last longer than individual weather events, whereas the term climate change only refers to those variations that persist for a longer period of time, typically decades or more. Climate change may refer to any time in Earth's history, but the term is now commonly used to describe contemporary climate change, often popularly referred to as global warming. Since the Industrial Revolution, the climate has increasingly been affected by human activities.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Cloud feedback</span> Type of climate change feedback mechanism

Cloud feedback is a type of climate change feedback that has been difficult to quantify in contemporary climate models. It can affect the magnitude of internally generated climate variability or they can affect the magnitude of climate change resulting from external radiative forcings. Cloud representations vary among global climate models, and small changes in cloud cover have a large impact on the climate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Sulfate</span> Oxyanion with a central atom of sulfur surrounded by 4 oxygen atoms

The sulfate or sulphate ion is a polyatomic anion with the empirical formula SO2−4. Salts, acid derivatives, and peroxides of sulfate are widely used in industry. Sulfates occur widely in everyday life. Sulfates are salts of sulfuric acid and many are prepared from that acid.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Global dimming</span> Reduction in the amount of sunlight reaching Earths surface

Global dimming is a decline in the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface, a measure also known as global direct solar irradiance. It was observed soon after the first systematic measurements of solar irradiance began in the 1950s, and continued until 1980s, with an observed reduction of 4–5% per decade, even though solar activity did not vary more than the usual at the time. Instead, global dimming had been attributed to an increase in atmospheric particulate matter, predominantly sulfate aerosols, as the result of rapidly growing air pollution due to post-war industrialization. After 1980s, reductions in particulate emissions have also caused a "partial" reversal of the dimming trend, which has sometimes been described as a global brightening. This reversal is not yet complete, and it has also been globally uneven, as some of the brightening over the developed countries in the 1980s and 1990s had been counteracted by the increased dimming from the industrialization of the developing countries and the expansion of the global shipping industry, although they have also been making rapid progress in cleaning up air pollution in the recent years.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Roy Spencer (meteorologist)</span>

Roy Warren Spencer is an American meteorologist. He is a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, and the U.S. Science Team leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E) on NASA's Aqua satellite. He has served as senior scientist for climate studies at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center. He is known for his satellite-based temperature monitoring work, for which he was awarded the American Meteorological Society's Special Award. Spencer disagrees with the scientific consensus that most global warming in the past 50 years is the result of human activity, instead believing that anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have caused some warming, but that influence is small compared to natural variations in global average cloud cover.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">James Hansen</span> American physicist (born 1941)

James Edward Hansen is an American adjunct professor directing the Program on Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. He is best known for his research in climatology, his 1988 Congressional testimony on climate change that helped raise broad awareness of global warming, and his advocacy of action to avoid dangerous climate change. In recent years, he has become a climate activist to mitigate the effects of global warming, on a few occasions leading to his arrest.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Climate sensitivity</span> Change in Earths temperature caused by changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations

Climate sensitivity is a measure of how much Earth's surface will warm for a doubling in the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. In technical terms, climate sensitivity is the average change in global mean surface temperature in response to a radiative forcing, which drives a difference between Earth's incoming and outgoing energy. Climate sensitivity is a key measure in climate science, and a focus area for climate scientists, who want to understand the ultimate consequences of anthropogenic global warming.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Climate of Mars</span> Climate patterns of the terrestrial planet

The climate of Mars has been a topic of scientific curiosity for centuries, in part because it is the only terrestrial planet whose surface can be easily directly observed in detail from the Earth with help from a telescope.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Extraterrestrial atmosphere</span> Area of astronomical research

The study of extraterrestrial atmospheres is an active field of research, both as an aspect of astronomy and to gain insight into Earth's atmosphere. In addition to Earth, many of the other astronomical objects in the Solar System have atmospheres. These include all the gas giants, as well as Mars, Venus and Titan. Several moons and other bodies also have atmospheres, as do comets and the Sun. There is evidence that extrasolar planets can have an atmosphere. Comparisons of these atmospheres to one another and to Earth's atmosphere broaden our basic understanding of atmospheric processes such as the greenhouse effect, aerosol and cloud physics, and atmospheric chemistry and dynamics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Andrew Dessler</span> Climate scientist (born 1964)

Andrew Emory Dessler is a climate scientist. He is Professor of Atmospheric Sciences and holder of the Reta A. Haynes Chair in Geoscience at Texas A&M University. He is also the Director of the Texas Center for Climate Studies. His research subject areas include climate impacts, global climate physics, atmospheric chemistry, climate change and climate change policy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Antarctica cooling controversy</span> Part of the public debate in the global warming controversy

The Antarctica cooling controversy was the result of an apparent contradiction in the observed cooling behavior of Antarctica between 1966 and 2000, which became part of the public debate in the global warming controversy, particularly between advocacy groups of both sides in the public arena including politicians, as well as the popular media. In contrast to the popular press, there is no similar controversy within the scientific community, as the small observed changes in Antarctica are consistent with the small changes predicted by climate models, and because the overall trend since comprehensive observations began is now known to be one of warming. Observations unambiguously show the Antarctic Peninsula to be warming. The trends elsewhere show both warming and cooling but are smaller and dependent on season and the timespan over which the trend is computed.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Tipping points in the climate system</span> Large and possibly irreversible changes in the climate system

In climate science, a tipping point is a critical threshold that, when crossed, leads to large, accelerating and often irreversible changes in the climate system. If tipping points are crossed, they are likely to have severe impacts on human society and may accelerate global warming. Tipping behavior is found across the climate system, for example in ice sheets, mountain glaciers, circulation patterns in the ocean, in ecosystems, and the atmosphere. Examples of tipping points include thawing permafrost, which will release methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, or melting ice sheets and glaciers reducing Earth's albedo, which would warm the planet faster.

This is a list of climate change topics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Stratospheric aerosol injection</span> Putting particles in the stratosphere to reflect sunlight to limit global heating

Stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of solar geoengineering to reduce global warming. This would introduce aerosols into the stratosphere to create a cooling effect via global dimming and increased albedo, which occurs naturally from volcanic winter. It appears that stratospheric aerosol injection, at a moderate intensity, could counter most changes to temperature and precipitation, take effect rapidly, have low direct implementation costs, and be reversible in its direct climatic effects. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concludes that it "is the most-researched [solar geoengineering] method, with high agreement that it could limit warming to below 1.5 °C (2.7 °F)." However, like other solar geoengineering approaches, stratospheric aerosol injection would do so imperfectly and other effects are possible, particularly if used in a suboptimal manner.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">History of climate change science</span> Aspect of the history of science

The history of the scientific discovery of climate change began in the early 19th century when ice ages and other natural changes in paleoclimate were first suspected and the natural greenhouse effect was first identified. In the late 19th century, scientists first argued that human emissions of greenhouse gases could change Earth's energy balance and climate. The existence of the greenhouse effect, while not named as such, was proposed as early as 1824 by Joseph Fourier. The argument and the evidence were further strengthened by Claude Pouillet in 1827 and 1838. In 1856 Eunice Newton Foote demonstrated that the warming effect of the sun is greater for air with water vapour than for dry air, and the effect is even greater with carbon dioxide.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Climate change feedback</span> Feedback related to climate change

Climate change feedbacks are effects of global warming that amplify or diminish the effect of forces that initially cause the warming. Positive feedbacks enhance global warming while negative feedbacks weaken it. Feedbacks are important in the understanding of climate change because they play an important part in determining the sensitivity of the climate to warming forces. Climate forcings and feedbacks together determine how much and how fast the climate changes. Large positive feedbacks can lead to tipping points—abrupt or irreversible changes in the climate system—depending upon the rate and magnitude of the climate change.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Judith Curry</span> American climatologist (born c. 1953)

Judith A. Curry is an American climatologist and former chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology. Her research interests include hurricanes, remote sensing, atmospheric modeling, polar climates, air-sea interactions, climate models, and the use of unmanned aerial vehicles for atmospheric research. She was a member of the National Research Council's Climate Research Committee, published over a hundred scientific papers, and co-edited several major works. Curry retired from academia in 2017 at age 63, coinciding with her public climate change skepticism.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Cynthia Rosenzweig</span> American agronomist and climatologist

Cynthia E. Rosenzweig is an American agronomist and climatologist at NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, located at Columbia University, "who helped pioneer the study of climate change and agriculture." She is an adjunct senior research scientist at the Columbia Climate School and has over 300 publications, over 80 peer-reviewed articles, has authored or edited eight books. She has also served in many different organizations working to develop plans to manage climate change, at the global level with the IPCC as well as in New York City after Hurricane Sandy.

Amy C. Clement is an atmospheric and marine scientist studying and modeling global climate change at the University of Miami's Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Effects of climate change on the water cycle</span>

The effects of climate change on the water cycle are profound and have been described as an intensification or a strengthening of the water cycle. This effect has been observed since at least 1980. One example is the intensification of heavy precipitation events. This has important negative effects on the availability of freshwater resources, as well as other water reservoirs such as oceans, ice sheets, atmosphere and land surface. The water cycle is essential to life on Earth and plays a large role in the global climate and the ocean circulation. The warming of our planet is expected to cause changes in the water cycle for various reasons. For example, warmer atmosphere can contain more water vapor which has effects on evaporation and rainfall.

References

  1. "Kate Marvel, Ph.D." Project Drawdown.
  2. "NASA GISS: Katherine D. Marvel". www.giss.nasa.gov. Retrieved 2020-12-15.
  3. "FSI | CISAC - Katherine D. Marvel". cisac.fsi.stanford.edu. Retrieved 2018-06-28.
  4. 1 2 Marvel, Kate; Kravitz, Ben; Caldeira, Ken (February 2013). "Geophysical limits to global wind power". Nature Climate Change. 3 (2): 118–121. Bibcode:2013NatCC...3..118M. doi:10.1038/nclimate1683.
  5. "LLNL scientists find precipitation, global warming link". Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. 2013-11-11. Retrieved 2018-06-30.
  6. "Scientist Kate Marvel Provides Some Answers on Climate Change and Sustainability". Columbia News. 2017-11-13. Retrieved 2018-06-28.
  7. Marvel, Kate; Pincus, Robert; Schmidt, Gavin A.; Miller, Ron L. (2018). "Internal Variability and Disequilibrium Confound Estimates of Climate Sensitivity From Observations". Geophysical Research Letters. 45 (3): 1595–1601. Bibcode:2018GeoRL..45.1595M. doi:10.1002/2017gl076468. OSTI   1537310.
  8. Caldwell, Peter M.; Zelinka, Mark D.; Taylor, Karl E.; Marvel, Kate (15 January 2016). "Quantifying the Sources of Intermodel Spread in Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity". Journal of Climate. 29 (2): 513–524. Bibcode:2016JCli...29..513C. doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-15-0352.1 .
  9. Schmidt, Gavin A.; Severinghaus, Jeff; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Alley, Richard B.; Broecker, Wallace; Brook, Ed; Etheridge, David; Kawamura, Kenji; Keeling, Ralph F.; Leinen, Margaret; Marvel, Kate; Stocker, Thomas F. (July 2017). "Overestimate of committed warming". Nature. 547 (7662): E16–E17. Bibcode:2017Natur.547E..16S. doi:10.1038/nature22803. PMC   5885753 . PMID   28703191.
  10. "Silver linings: the climate scientist who records cloud behaviour". the Guardian. 2017-08-18. Retrieved 2018-06-30.
  11. Marvel, Kate; Zelinka, Mark; Klein, Stephen A.; Bonfils, Céline; Caldwell, Peter; Doutriaux, Charles; Santer, Benjamin D.; Taylor, Karl E. (15 June 2015). "External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends". Journal of Climate. 28 (12): 4820–4840. Bibcode:2015JCli...28.4820M. doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-14-00734.1 .
  12. Marvel, Kate (14 November 2017). "The Cloud Conundrum". Scientific American. 317 (6): 72–77. Bibcode:2017SciAm.317f..72M. doi:10.1038/scientificamerican1217-72. PMID   29145378.
  13. "The Effect of Clouds on Climate: A Key Mystery for Researchers - Yale E360". e360.yale.edu. Retrieved 2018-06-30.
  14. Schwartz, John (1 May 2019). "In a Warming World, Evidence of a Human 'Fingerprint' on Drought (Published 2019)". The New York Times.
  15. 1 2 Temple, James. "Cleaning up the air we breathe might actually be making droughts worse". MIT Technology Review. Retrieved 2019-10-17.
  16. "Climate change has influenced global drought risk for 'more than a century'". Carbon Brief. 2019-05-01. Retrieved 2019-10-17.
  17. Merzdorf, Jessica (July 9, 2019). "A Drier Future Sets the Stage for More Wildfires". Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet. NASA.
  18. Marvel, Kate; Cook, Benjamin I.; Bonfils, Céline J. W.; Durack, Paul J.; Smerdon, Jason E.; Williams, A. Park (May 2019). "Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence". Nature. 569 (7754): 59–65. Bibcode:2019Natur.569...59M. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1149-8. OSTI   1593565. PMID   31043729. S2CID   141488431.
  19. Marvel, K.; Agvaanluvsan, U. (December 2010). "Random matrix theory models of electric grid topology". Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications. 389 (24): 5838–5851. Bibcode:2010PhyA..389.5838M. doi:10.1016/j.physa.2010.08.009.
  20. "'You terrify me': TED speakers duke it out over a plan to release massive amounts of chalk into the atmosphere". Business Insider. Retrieved 2018-06-30.
  21. "SEASON PREMIERE: Our Changing Climate, with Bill Nye - StarTalk All-Stars". StarTalk Radio Show by Neil deGrasse Tyson. Retrieved 2018-06-28.
  22. BRIC TV (2018-05-03), Climate Change is Real With Dr. Kate Marvel and the Brooklyn Bridal Business | 112BK , retrieved 2018-06-30
  23. "Origin Stories: Stories about paths to becoming a scientist". The Story Collider. Retrieved 2018-06-30.
  24. Marvel, Kate, Can clouds buy us more time to solve climate change? , retrieved 2018-06-30
  25. "We Need Courage, Not Hope, To Face Climate Change". The On Being Project. Retrieved 2018-06-30.
  26. Marvel, Kate. "The Parallel Universes of a Woman in Science". Nautilus.
  27. Marvel, Kate. "Welcome to Scientific American 's New Climate Science Column". Scientific American Blog Network. Retrieved 2018-06-28.
  28. "Contributors". All We Can Save. Retrieved 2020-12-15.
  29. Martinko, Katherine. "'All We Can Save: Truth, Courage, and Solutions for the Climate Crisis' (Book Review)". Treehugger. Retrieved 2020-12-15.
  30. Goodell, Jeff (2020-09-22). "A Conversation With Climate Scientist Kate Marvel". Rolling Stone. Retrieved 2020-12-15.