Nationwide opinion polling for the 1940 United States presidential election

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This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1940 United States presidential election .

Contents

Presidential election

Franklin Roosevelt vs Wendell Willkie

Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Franklin Roosevelt
  Wendell Willkie
  Undecided
Poll SourceField Date(s)Sample SizeFranklin Roosevelt
Democratic		Wendell Willkie
Republican		OthersUndecidedLeading by
(points)
Election ResultsNovember 5, 194054.7%44.8%0.5%-10.0
Gallup Poll News ServiceNovember 2, 19403,094 (A)51.1%47.4%0.4%1.1%3.7
Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 24, 194010,325 (A)47.7%44.2%0.2%7.9%3.5
Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 23, 19403,161 (A)48.2%43.5%0.3%8.00%4.7
Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 22, 194011,860 (A)49.9%41.8%0.4%7.9%8.1
Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 19, 19405,525 (A)48.3%45.1%0.5%6.2%3.2
Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 9, 19403,134 (A)50.0%41.4%0.6%7.9%8.6
Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 5, 19406,221 (A)46.7%45.6%0.4%7.5%1.1
Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 30, 19403,089 (A)48.8%42.0%0.3%8.8%6.8
Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 20, 19402,957 (A)48.3%40.7%0.1%11.0%7.6
Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 14, 19407,489 (A)47.6%42.4%0.5%9.5%5.2
Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 3, 19404,536 (A)42.7%42.8%0.3%14.2%0.1
Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 21, 19403,117 (A)43.2%43.6%0.3%12.2%0.4
Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 9, 19403,117 (A)40.3%43.8%0.6%13.8%3.5
Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 8, 19405,790 (A)42.1%46.0%0.9%11.1%3.9
Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 31, 19403,060 (A)43.6%45.8%0.3%10.3%2.2
Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 19, 19403,117 (A)42.7%43.4%0.5%13.4%0.7
Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 16, 19401,626 (A)44.3%43.1%0.3%12.4%1.2
Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 11, 19402,490 (A)46.4%39.8%-13.8%6.6
Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 3, 19403,121 (A)42.0%45.7%-12.3%3.6
Gallup Poll News ServiceJun 11, 19403,091 (A)52.7%29.9%-17.3%22.9
Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 29, 19403,159 (A)54.5%29.3%-15.9%25.2

Franklin Roosevelt vs Bruce Barton

Franklin Roosevelt vs Thomas Dewey

Franklin Roosevelt vs Herbert Hoover

Franklin Roosevelt vs Alf Landon

Franklin Roosevelt vs Robert Taft

Franklin Roosevelt vs Arthur Vandenberg

James Farley vs Thomas Dewey

James Farley vs Robert Taft

James Farley vs Arthur Vandenberg

John Garner vs Thomas Dewey

John Garner vs Robert Taft

John Garner vs Arthur Vandenberg

Harry Hopkins vs Thomas Dewey

Cordell Hull vs Thomas Dewey

Cordell Hull vs Robert Taft

Cordell Hull vs Arthur Vandenberg

Cordell Hull vs Wendell Willkie

Paul McNutt vs Robert Taft

Paul McNutt vs Arthur Vandenberg

Paul McNutt vs Wendell Willkie

Henry Wallace vs Thomas Dewey

Henry Wallace vs Robert Taft

Franklin Roosevelt vs Thomas Dewey vs John Garner

Polling for the Republican Presidential Nomination

Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Wendell Willkie
  Thomas Dewey
  Robert Taft
  Arthur Vandenberg
  Herbert Hoover
  Undecided
Poll sourceDate
Others
Undecided
Leading by
(points)
Gallup [1] November 27, 1938-33%18%18%6%6%-5%-----17%- [lower-alpha 13] 15
Gallup [2] February 17, 1939-14.04%8.32%10.92%2.08%3.64%2.08%--2.08%---8.84%48%3.12
Gallup [3] March 22, 1939-23.00%5.98%6.90%2.30%1.84%0.92%0.92%-----4.14%54%16.10
Gallup [4] May 10, 1939-31.86%8.85%7.67%2.36%1.77%1.77%0.59%0.59%0.59%--0.59%2.36%41%16.10
Gallup [5] July 7, 1939-47%13%19%6%4%3%1%1%2%---4%- [lower-alpha 13] 28
Gallup [6] August 13, 1939-26.55%8.26%14.75%3.54%1.77%1.18%-1.18%----1.77%41%11.80
Gallup [7] October 13, 1939-33.54%14.62%23.22%3.54%3.44%2.58%-0.86%-0.86%0.86%-2.58%14%10.32
Gallup [8] November 10, 1939-39%18%26%5%3%3%1%--1%1%-4%- [lower-alpha 13] 13
-44%31%25%----------- [lower-alpha 13] 13
Gallup [9] January 7, 1940-37.80%6.93%10.08%3.15%0.63%0.63%0.63%0.63%----1.89%37%27.72
Gallup [10] May 8, 19402.16%48.24%8.64%10.08%1.44%--------2.16%28%38.16
Gallup [11] May 17, 19403.70%45.88%10.36%9.62%1.48%--------2.96%26%35.52
Gallup [12] May 31, 19406.80%38.08%10.88%8.16%1.36%--------2.72%32%27.20
Gallup [13] June 12, 194013.43%41.08%10.27%9.48%1.56%0.79%-------2.37%21%27.65
Gallup [14] June 21, 194019.14%31.02%5.28%5.28%3.96%--------1.32%34%11.88
Gallup [15] July 8, 194044%29%13%----------14%- [lower-alpha 13] 15

Polling for the Democratic Presidential Nomination

Poll sourceDate
Others
Undecided
Leading by
(points)
Gallup [16] July 31, 1938-23%12%16%5%2%---2%3%--3%--5%25%- [lower-alpha 13] 7
Gallup [17] March 26, 1939-42%10%10%5%2%---2%-8%2%3%---14%- [lower-alpha 13] 32
Gallup [18] May 21, 1939-50%13%9%3%3%---2%2%3%2%2%---11%- [lower-alpha 13] 37
Gallup [19] June 14, 1939-23.03%5.88%7.84%1.47%1.47%---0.49%1.47%2.45%0.98%----3.43%51%15.19
Gallup [20] August 4, 1939-46%12%12%13%2%---1%1%3%1%----8%- [lower-alpha 13] 33
Gallup [21] September 13, 1939-45%10%10%21%2%---1%-1%1%----9%- [lower-alpha 13] 24
Gallup [22] November 6, 193983%8%3%1%3%------------2%- [lower-alpha 13] 75
-45%13%8%18%3%---2%--1%-2%1%-8%- [lower-alpha 13] 75
Gallup [23] January 3, 194058.85%9.75%1.50%0.75%3.00%0.75%-----------0.75%25%49.10
-27.84%3.84%2.40%8.16%------------5.76%52%19.68
Gallup [24] February 19, 194058.50%7.50%4.50%0.75%1.50%-0.75%----------1.50%25%51.00
-20.00%12.50%4.00%5.50%0.50%2.00%0.50%1.50%--------2.20%50%7.50
Gallup [25] May 15, 1940-11.55%25.85%8.80%3.30%-2.20%0.55%0.55%--------2.20%45%14.30
Gallup [26] July 1, 194076.36%1.66%2.49%0.83%0.83%------------0.83%17%73.87
-11.96%24.44%6.24%4.68%-1.56%0.56%0.56%--------2.08%48%12.48

Notes

  1. ↑ Running-mate is Fiorello La Guardia
  2. ↑ Running-mate is Robert Taft
  3. ↑ Running-mate is Fiorello La Guardia
  4. ↑ Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  5. ↑ Running-mate is James Farley
  6. ↑ Running-mate is Arthur Vandenberg
  7. ↑ Running-mate is Robert Jackson
  8. ↑ Running-mate is Robert Taft
  9. ↑ Running-mate is Robert Jackson
  10. ↑ Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  11. ↑ Running-mate is James Farley
  12. ↑ Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 On occasion it seems that Gallup would not mention how many of those polled were Undecided, and would subsequently only announce the results of those who were Decided on a candidate. Possibly this information is in the Gallup Brain Archives.

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References

  1. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 127.
  2. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 140.
  3. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 146.
  4. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 153.
  5. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 164.
  6. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 173.
  7. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 185.
  8. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 189.
  9. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 199.
  10. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 222.
  11. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 224.
  12. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 226.
  13. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 228.
  14. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 229.
  15. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 231.
  16. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 112.
  17. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 147.
  18. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 155.
  19. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 159.
  20. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 171.
  21. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 180.
  22. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 189.
  23. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 199.
  24. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 208.
  25. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 224.
  26. ↑ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 230.
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