Nationwide opinion polling for the 1976 United States presidential election

Main article: 1976 United States presidential election

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1976 United States presidential election.

Presidential election

Jimmy Carter vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Jimmy Carter (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Eugene McCarthy (I)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	36%	49%	-	—	15%	13
Harris [2]	Late January, 1976	37%	48%	-	—	15%	11
Harris [3]	March, 1976	42%	49%	-	—	9%	7
Gallup [4]	March 10–13, 1976	47%	42%	-	-	11%	5
Gallup [5]	March 19–22, 1976	48%	46%	-	-	6%	2
Gallup [6]	March 26–29, 1976	47%	46%	-	2%	5%	1
Gallup [7]	April 9–12, 1976	49%	43%	-	2%	6%	6
Harris [3]	April 9–15, 1976	47%	43%	-	—	10%	4
Gallup [8]	April 30 – May 3, 1976	52%	43%	-	-	5%	9
Harris [9]	June, 1976	53%	40%	-	-	7%	13
Gallup [10]	June 11–14, 1976	55%	37%	-	3%	5%	18
Gallup [11]	June 25–28, 1976	53%	36%	-	-	11%	17
July 12–15: Democratic National Convention
Harris [12]	July 16–19, 1976	62%	27%	5%	-	6%	35
Gallup [13]	July 16–19, 1976	62%	29%	-	-	9%	33
Harris [14]	July 31 – August 4, 1976	61%	32%	-	-	7%	29
Gallup [15]	August 6–9, 1976	57%	32%	-	3%	8%	25
		54%	32%	6%	1%	7%	22
August 16–19: Republican National Convention
Harris [16]	August 18–20, 1976	53%	39%	6%	-	2%	14
Gallup [17]	August 20–23, 1976	50%	37%	-	-	13%	13
Gallup [18]	August 27–30, 1976	54%	36%	-	2%	8%	18
Harris [19]	September 24–25, 1976	50%	41%	-	-	9%	9
		46%	39%	5%	1%	9%	7
Gallup [20]	September 24–27, 1976	51%	40%	4%	1%	4%	11
Gallup [21]	September 27 – October 4, 1976	47%	45%	1%	1%	6%	2
Harris [14]	October 7–11, 1976	47%	42%	-	-	11%	5
		44%	40%	6%	1%	9%	4
Gallup [22]	October 8–11, 1976	48%	42%	2%	2%	6%	6
Gallup [23]	October 15–18, 1976	47%	41%	2%	2%	8%	6
Harris [24]	October 19–22, 1976	45%	42%	5%	1%	7%	3
Gallup [25]	October 22–25, 1976	49%	44%	2%	1%	4%	5
Harris [26]	October 23–26, 1976	45%	44%	4%	-	7%	1
Gallup [27]	October 28–30, 1976	46%	47%	2%	1%	4%	1
Harris [28]	October 29–31, 1976	46%	45%	3%	1%	5%	1
Election Results	Nov. 2, 1976	50.08%	48.02%	0.91%	0.99%	-	2.06

Hypothetical Polling

Jimmy Carter vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Jimmy Carter (D)	Ronald Reagan (R)	Eugene McCarthy (I)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	33%	50%	—	—	17%	17
Harris [2]	Late January, 1976	38%	45%	—	—	17%	7
Harris [3]	March, 1976	42%	49%	—	—	9%	7
Harris [29]	April 9–15, 1976	53%	34%	-	—	13%	19
Harris [9]	June, 1976	58%	35%	-	—	7%	23
Gallup [30]	June 11–14, 1976	61%	33%	—	1%	5%	28
Gallup [31]	June 25–28, 1976	64%	28%	—	-	8%	36
Harris [12]	July 16–19, 1976	64%	25%	5%	-	6%	39
Gallup [32]	July 16–19, 1976	63%	28%	—	-	9%	35
Harris [14]	July 31 – August 4, 1976	67%	26%	-	-	7%	41
Gallup [33]	August 6–9, 1976	63%	28%	—	1%	8%	35

Morris Udall vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Morris Udall(D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [34]	April 1–4, 1975	33%	50%	—	17%	17

Scoop Jackson vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Scoop Jackson (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [35]	December, 1973	41%	43%	—	16%	2
Harris [36]	March, 1974	45%	45%	—	10%	0
Gallup [37]	August 12–15, 1974	42%	42%	2%	14%	0
Harris [38]	November 1–4, 1974	35%	52%	-	13%	17
Gallup [39]	November 8–11, 1974	42%	47%	1%	10%	5
Harris [40]	January 2–8, 1975	42%	47%	-	11%	5
Gallup [41]	March 7–10, 1975	41%	43%	3%	13%	2
Harris [34]	April 1–4, 1975	44%	44%	—	12%	0
Gallup [42]	May 30 – June 2, 1975	37%	46%	4%	13%	9
Harris [43]	September, 1975	43%	47%	—	10%	4
Gallup [44]	October 31 – November 3, 1975	44%	44%	-	12%	0
Gallup [45]	March 10–13, 1976	39%	49%	-	12%	10
Gallup [46]	March 19–22, 1976	41%	52%	-	7%	11
Gallup [47]	April 9–12, 1976	37%	56%	1%	6%	19

Scoop Jackson vs Spiro Agnew

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Scoop Jackson (D)	Spiro Agnew (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [48]	September 23–25, 1973	55%	25%	—	20%	30

Scoop Jackson vs Nelson Rockefeller

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Scoop Jackson (D)	Nelson Rockefeller (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [49]	January 2–8, 1975	50%	36%	—	14%	14

Jerry Brown vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Jerry Brown (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [43]	September, 1975	30%	53%	—	17%	23
Harris [3]	April 9–15, 1976	48%	38%	—	14%	10

George Wallace vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	George Wallace (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [50]	March 3–8, 1974	36%	55%	—	9%	19
Gallup [51]	August 12–15, 1974	37%	51%	4%	8%	14
Harris [38]	November 1–4, 1974	30%	61%	-	9%	31
Gallup [52]	November 8–11, 1974	39%	53%	3%	5%	14
Gallup [53]	March 7–10, 1975	39%	49%	4%	8%	10
Harris [54]	May, 1975	31%	60%	—	9%	29
Harris [55]	December, 1975	30%	56%	—	14%	26
Gallup [56]	April 9–12, 1976	26%	66%	4%	4%	40

George Wallace vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	George Wallace (D)	Ronald Reagan (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [55]	December, 1975	27%	57%	—	16%	30

Sargent Shriver vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sargent Shriver (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [43]	September, 1975	40%	52%	—	8%	12

Lloyd Bentsen vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Lloyd Bentsen (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [38]	November 1–4, 1974	24%	57%	-	19%	33
Harris [34]	April 1–4, 1975	38%	47%	—	15%	9

Birch Bayh vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Birch Bayh (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [43]	September, 1975	31%	52%	—	17%	21
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	36%	49%	—	15%	13

Birch Bayh vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Birch Bayh (D)	Ronald Reagan (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	35%	49%	—	16%	14

Hubert Humphrey vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Hubert Humphrey (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [34]	April 1–4, 1975	45%	47%	—	8%	2
Gallup [57]	August 15–18, 1975	40%	52%	4%	4%	12
Harris [43]	September, 1975	42%	48%	—	10%	8
Gallup [58]	October 3–6, 1975	42%	50%	3%	5%	8
Harris [59]	November 24 – December 1, 1975	52%	41%	—	7%	11
Gallup [60]	December 5–8, 1975	39%	51%	3%	7%	12
Harris [1]	December, 1975	48%	40%	-	12%	8
Gallup [61]	January 2–5, 1976	46%	48%	2%	4%	2
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1975	49%	45%	-	6%	4
Gallup [62]	January 23–26, 1976	47%	47%	-	6%	0
Harris [3]	March, 1976	48%	47%	—	5%	1
Gallup [63]	March 10–13, 1976	43%	48%	-	9%	5
Gallup [64]	March 19–22, 1976	46%	49%	-	5%	3
Gallup [65]	March 26–29, 1976	46%	50%	1%	3%	4
Gallup [66]	April 9–12, 1976	48%	46%	2%	4%	2
Harris [3]	April 9–15, 1976	47%	46%	—	7%	1
Gallup [67]	May 21–24, 1976	46%	45%	-	9%	1

Hubert Humphrey vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Hubert Humphrey (D)	Ronald Reagan (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [59]	November 24 – December 1, 1975	50%	43%	—	7%	7
Gallup [68]	December 5–8, 1975	41%	50%	3%	6%	9
Harris [1]	December, 1975	48%	41%	-	11%	7
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	48%	45%	-	7%	3
Gallup [69]	January 23–26, 1976	47%	45%	-	6%	2
Gallup [70]	May 21–24, 1976	52%	42%	-	6%	10

Robert Byrd vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Robert Byrd (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [43]	September, 1975	36%	49%	—	15%	13

Edward Kennedy vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [35]	November, 1973	44%	48%	—	8%	4
Harris [36]	March, 1974	49%	45%	—	6%	4
Gallup [71]	May 10–13, 1974	50%	39%	4%	7%	11
Harris [72]	July, 1974	47%	46%	—	7%	1
Gallup [73]	August 16–19, 1974	33%	57%	-	10%	24
Harris [34]	April 1–4, 1975	50%	43%	—	7%	7
Harris [74]	May 19–23, 1975	46%	48%	—	6%	2
Gallup [75]	May 30 – June 2, 1975	45%	44%	5%	6%	1
Harris [76]	June, 1975	43%	50%	—	7%	7
Gallup [77]	August 18–21, 1975	50%	43%	3%	4%	7
Harris [43]	September, 1975	46%	48%	—	6%	2
Gallup [78]	October 3–6, 1975	48%	44%	4%	4%	4
Harris [1]	December, 1975	49%	41%	-	10%	8
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	50%	46%	-	4%	4

Edward Kennedy vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Ronald Reagan (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [79]	June, 1973	50%	44%	—	6%	6
Gallup [80]	October 5–8, 1973	50%	43%	2%	5%	7
Harris [74]	March, 1974	51%	43%	—	6%	8
Harris [79]	May, 1974	52%	38%	—	10%	14
Harris [74]	May 19–23, 1975	53%	40%	—	7%	13
Harris [1]	December, 1975	49%	41%	-	10%	8
Harris [1]	January 5–14, 1976	50%	44%	-	6%	6

Edward Kennedy vs Charles Percy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Charles Percy (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [81]	June, 1973	44%	46%	—	10%	2

Edward Kennedy vs Howard Baker

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Howard Baker (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [82]	July 18–22, 1973	44%	45%	—	11%	1

Edward Kennedy vs Spiro Agnew

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Spiro Agnew (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [83]	October, 1972	51%	43%	—	6%	8
Gallup [84]	October 1–21, 1972	51%	29%	8%	12%	22
Harris [48]	May, 1973	51%	43%	—	6%	8
Harris [83]	June, 1973	50%	42%	—	8%	8
Harris [48]	September 23–25, 1973	57%	31%	—	12%	26

Edward Kennedy vs John Connally

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	John Connally (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [83]	June, 1973	49%	45%	—	6%	4

Edward Kennedy vs Nelson Rockefeller

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Nelson Rockefeller (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [79]	June, 1973	51%	41%	—	8%	10

Edmund Muskie vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edmund Muskie (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [38]	November 1–4, 1974	42%	49%	-	9%	7
Gallup [85]	November 8–11, 1974	45%	48%	1%	6%	3
Harris [40]	January 2–8, 1975	45%	46%	-	9%	1
Gallup [86]	March 7–10, 1975	41%	47%	4%	8%	6
Harris [87]	April 1–4, 1975	45%	45%	-	10%	0
Harris [43]	September, 1975	44%	49%	—	7%	5
Gallup [88]	December 5–8, 1975	34%	54%	3%	9%	20

Edmund Muskie vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edmund Muskie (D)	Ronald Reagan (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Gallup [89]	December 5–8, 1975	34%	56%	2%	8%	22

Edmund Muskie vs Nelson Rockefeller

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edmund Muskie (D)	Nelson Rockefeller (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [49]	January 2–8, 1975	50%	38%	—	12%	12

Walter Mondale vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Walter Mondale (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [38]	November 1–4, 1974	31%	53%	-	16%	22

Walter Mondale vs Spiro Agnew

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Walter Mondale (D)	Spiro Agnew (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [48]	May, 1973	37%	44%	—	19%	7
Harris [48]	September 23–25, 1973	51%	27%	—	22%	24

William Proxmire vs Gerald Ford

Poll source	Date(s) administered	William Proxmire (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [43]	September, 1975	31%	52%	—	17%	21

Scoop Jackson vs Gerald Ford vs George Wallace

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Scoop Jackson (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	George Wallace (A)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Gallup [90]	October 31 – November 3, 1975	32%	37%	21%	-	10%	5

George Wallace vs Gerald Ford vs Fred Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	George Wallace (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Fred Harris (I)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Gallup [55]	December, 1975	27%	39%	23%	-	11%	12

Hubert Humphrey vs Gerald Ford vs George Wallace

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Hubert Humphrey (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	George Wallace (A)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Gallup [91]	August 15–18, 1975	32%	41%	20%	2%	5%	9
Gallup [92]	October 3–6, 1975	33%	39%	24%	2%	5%	6
Gallup [93]	January 2–5, 1976	37%	36%	23%	1%	3%	1

Edward Kennedy vs Gerald Ford vs George Wallace

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	George Wallace (A)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Gallup [94]	May 30 – June 2, 1975	39%	34%	19%	2%	6%	5
Gallup [95]	August 17–21, 1975	40%	34%	18%	2%	3%	6
Harris [96]	November, 1975	37.5%	37.5%	20%	-	4%	0

Edward Kennedy vs Gerald Ford vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edward Kennedy (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Ronald Reagan (C)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [97]	April, 1975	38% [a]	30% [b]	23% [c]	-	9%	8
Harris [96]	November, 1975	41%	34%	21%	-	4%	7

Edmund Muskie vs Gerald Ford vs Ronald Reagan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Edmund Muskie (D)	Gerald Ford (R)	Ronald Reagan (C)	Other	Undecided	Margin
Harris [87]	April 1–4, 1974	39%	29%	21%	-	11%	10

Notes

1. Running with John Glenn
2. Running with Nelson Rockefeller
3. Running with George Wallace

References

1. "Democrats Edge Ford, Reagan". Chicago Tribune.
2. "Key Groups Giving Slip To Reagan". Chicago Tribune.
3. "Two Democrats Ahead Of Ford". The Atlanta Constitution.
4. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 668.
5. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 674.
6. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 678.
7. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 745.
8. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 758.
9. "Carter's Well Ahead Of Both GOP Foes". Muncie Evening Press.
10. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 774.
11. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 795.
12. "Carter Lead Over Ford Isn't Really That Huge". Asbury Park Press.
13. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 802.
14. "Ford, But Not Reagan, Moving Up On Carter". Chicago Tribune.
15. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 815.
16. "McCarthy Cuts Into Carter's Lead". Asbury Park Press.
17. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 851.
18. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 852.
19. "Carter Ahead, But Ford Gaining". Lexington Herald-Leader.
20. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 864.
21. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 877.
22. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 878.
23. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 886.
24. "Carter's Leading Ford, But..." The Ithaca Journal.
25. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 894.
26. "Harris Survey: Carter's Lead Shrinks To 45-44%". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
27. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 900.
28. "Survey: Carter Clings To One-Point Lead". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
29. "Carter Favored Over GOP Foes". Democrat and Chronicle.
30. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 776.
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33. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 816.
34. "Kennedy Leads For Presidency". The Tribune.
35. "Vice President Ford Pulls Ahead Of Kennedy In Presidential Poll". The Sacramento Bee.
36. "Kennedy Now Leading Ford In A Trial Test For 1976". Muncie Evening Press.
37. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 294.
38. "Ford Leading All Democrats". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
39. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 387.
40. "Ford Ahead Of Jackson And Muskie". Johnson City Press.
41. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 444.
42. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 526.
43. "Ford Tops Potential Opponents In '76 Run". The Minneapolis Star.
44. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 595.
45. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 668.
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48. "Agnew Slips Badly In Trial Heats". The Bradenton Herald.
49. "Rocky Falls Behind In Test For '76". Chicago Tribune.
50. "Wallace Trails Far Behind Ford In Match-Up For 1976". Muncie Evening Press.
51. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 296.
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54. "Wallace Support For Nomination In 1976 Slips". News-Journal.
55. "Wallace Support For Nomination In 1976 Slips". The Orlando Sentinel.
56. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 752.
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59. "Humphrey Has Big Lead Over Ford, Reagan". Muncie Evening Press.
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72. "Kennedy Now Leading Ford In A Trial Test For 1976". The Bradenton Herald.
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74. "Ford Leads Kennedy, Reagan In Trial Heats". Chicago Tribune.
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76. "Ford Lead Over Teddy Grows In '76 Sweep". Chicago Tribune.
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79. "Rocky, Reagan Trail Kennedy In '76 Test". The Times Record.
80. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 197.
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82. "Kennedy Loses Test To Baker". Chicago Tribune.
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