Nationwide opinion polling for the 1976 United States presidential election

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This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1976 United States presidential election.

Contents

Presidential election

Jimmy Carter vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Jimmy
Carter (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Eugene
McCarthy (I)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197636%49%-15%13
Harris [2] Late January, 197637%48%-15%11
Harris [3] March, 197642%49%-9%7
Gallup [4] March 10–13, 197647%42%--11%5
Gallup [5] March 19–22, 197648%46%--6%2
Gallup [6] March 26–29, 197647%46%-2%5%1
Gallup [7] April 9–12, 197649%43%-2%6%6
Harris [3] April 9–15, 197647%43%-10%4
Gallup [8] April 30 – May 3, 197652%43%--5%9
Harris [9] June, 197653%40%--7%13
Gallup [10] June 11–14, 197655%37%-3%5%18
Gallup [11] June 25–28, 197653%36%--11%17
July 12–15: Democratic National Convention
Harris [12] July 16–19, 197662%27%5%-6%35
Gallup [13] July 16–19, 197662%29%--9%33
Harris [14] July 31 – August 4, 197661%32%--7%29
Gallup [15] August 6–9, 197657%32%-3%8%25
54%32%6%1%7%22
August 16–19: Republican National Convention
Harris [16] August 18–20, 197653%39%6%-2%14
Gallup [17] August 20–23, 197650%37%--13%13
Gallup [18] August 27–30, 197654%36%-2%8%18
Harris [19] September 24–25, 197650%41%--9%9
46%39%5%1%9%7
Gallup [20] September 24–27, 197651%40%4%1%4%11
Gallup [21] September 27 – October 4, 197647%45%1%1%6%2
Harris [14] October 7–11, 197647%42%--11%5
44%40%6%1%9%4
Gallup [22] October 8–11, 197648%42%2%2%6%6
Gallup [23] October 15–18, 197647%41%2%2%8%6
Harris [24] October 19–22, 197645%42%5%1%7%3
Gallup [25] October 22–25, 197649%44%2%1%4%5
Harris [26] October 23–26, 197645%44%4%-7%1
Gallup [27] October 28–30, 197646%47%2%1%4%1
Harris [28] October 29–31, 197646%45%3%1%5%1
Election ResultsNov. 2, 197650.08%48.02%0.91%0.99%-2.06

Hypothetical Polling

Jimmy Carter vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Jimmy
Carter (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Eugene
McCarthy (I)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197633%50%17%17
Harris [2] Late January, 197638%45%17%7
Harris [3] March, 197642%49%9%7
Harris [29] April 9–15, 197653%34%-13%19
Harris [9] June, 197658%35%-7%23
Gallup [30] June 11–14, 197661%33%1%5%28
Gallup [31] June 25–28, 197664%28%-8%36
Harris [12] July 16–19, 197664%25%5%-6%39
Gallup [32] July 16–19, 197663%28%-9%35
Harris [14] July 31 – August 4, 197667%26%--7%41
Gallup [33] August 6–9, 197663%28%1%8%35

Morris Udall vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Morris
Udall(D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [34] April 1–4, 197533%50%17%17

Scoop Jackson vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [35] December, 197341%43%16%2
Harris [36] March, 197445%45%10%0
Gallup [37] August 12–15, 197442%42%2%14%0
Harris [38] November 1–4, 197435%52%-13%17
Gallup [39] November 8–11, 197442%47%1%10%5
Harris [40] January 2–8, 197542%47%-11%5
Gallup [41] March 7–10, 197541%43%3%13%2
Harris [34] April 1–4, 197544%44%12%0
Gallup [42] May 30 – June 2, 197537%46%4%13%9
Harris [43] September, 197543%47%10%4
Gallup [44] October 31 – November 3, 197544%44%-12%0
Gallup [45] March 10–13, 197639%49%-12%10
Gallup [46] March 19–22, 197641%52%-7%11
Gallup [47] April 9–12, 197637%56%1%6%19

Scoop Jackson vs Spiro Agnew

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Spiro
Agnew (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [48] September 23–25, 197355%25%20%30

Scoop Jackson vs Nelson Rockefeller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Nelson
Rockefeller (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [49] January 2–8, 197550%36%14%14

Jerry Brown vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Jerry
Brown (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [43] September, 197530%53%17%23
Harris [3] April 9–15, 197648%38%14%10

George Wallace vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
George
Wallace (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [50] March 3–8, 197436%55%9%19
Gallup [51] August 12–15, 197437%51%4%8%14
Harris [38] November 1–4, 197430%61%-9%31
Gallup [52] November 8–11, 197439%53%3%5%14
Gallup [53] March 7–10, 197539%49%4%8%10
Harris [54] May, 197531%60%9%29
Harris [55] December, 197530%56%14%26
Gallup [56] April 9–12, 197626%66%4%4%40

George Wallace vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
George
Wallace (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [55] December, 197527%57%16%30

Sargent Shriver vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sargent
Shriver (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [43] September, 197540%52%8%12

Lloyd Bentsen vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Lloyd
Bentsen (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [38] November 1–4, 197424%57%-19%33
Harris [34] April 1–4, 197538%47%15%9

Birch Bayh vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Birch
Bayh (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [43] September, 197531%52%17%21
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197636%49%15%13

Birch Bayh vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Birch
Bayh (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197635%49%16%14

Hubert Humphrey vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Hubert
Humphrey (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [34] April 1–4, 197545%47%8%2
Gallup [57] August 15–18, 197540%52%4%4%12
Harris [43] September, 197542%48%10%8
Gallup [58] October 3–6, 197542%50%3%5%8
Harris [59] November 24 – December 1, 197552%41%7%11
Gallup [60] December 5–8, 197539%51%3%7%12
Harris [1] December, 197548%40%-12%8
Gallup [61] January 2–5, 197646%48%2%4%2
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197549%45%-6%4
Gallup [62] January 23–26, 197647%47%-6%0
Harris [3] March, 197648%47%5%1
Gallup [63] March 10–13, 197643%48%-9%5
Gallup [64] March 19–22, 197646%49%-5%3
Gallup [65] March 26–29, 197646%50%1%3%4
Gallup [66] April 9–12, 197648%46%2%4%2
Harris [3] April 9–15, 197647%46%7%1
Gallup [67] May 21–24, 197646%45%-9%1

Hubert Humphrey vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Hubert
Humphrey (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [59] November 24 – December 1, 197550%43%7%7
Gallup [68] December 5–8, 197541%50%3%6%9
Harris [1] December, 197548%41%-11%7
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197648%45%-7%3
Gallup [69] January 23–26, 197647%45%-6%2
Gallup [70] May 21–24, 197652%42%-6%10

Robert Byrd vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Robert
Byrd (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [43] September, 197536%49%15%13

Edward Kennedy vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [35] November, 197344%48%8%4
Harris [36] March, 197449%45%6%4
Gallup [71] May 10–13, 197450%39%4%7%11
Harris [72] July, 197447%46%7%1
Gallup [73] August 16–19, 197433%57%-10%24
Harris [34] April 1–4, 197550%43%7%7
Harris [74] May 19–23, 197546%48%6%2
Gallup [75] May 30 – June 2, 197545%44%5%6%1
Harris [76] June, 197543%50%7%7
Gallup [77] August 18–21, 197550%43%3%4%7
Harris [43] September, 197546%48%6%2
Gallup [78] October 3–6, 197548%44%4%4%4
Harris [1] December, 197549%41%-10%8
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197650%46%-4%4

Edward Kennedy vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [79] June, 197350%44%6%6
Gallup [80] October 5–8, 197350%43%2%5%7
Harris [74] March, 197451%43%6%8
Harris [79] May, 197452%38%10%14
Harris [74] May 19–23, 197553%40%7%13
Harris [1] December, 197549%41%-10%8
Harris [1] January 5–14, 197650%44%-6%6

Edward Kennedy vs Charles Percy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Charles
Percy (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [81] June, 197344%46%10%2

Edward Kennedy vs Howard Baker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Howard
Baker (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [82] July 18–22, 197344%45%11%1

Edward Kennedy vs Spiro Agnew

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Spiro
Agnew (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [83] October, 197251%43%6%8
Gallup [84] October 1–21, 197251%29%8%12%22
Harris [48] May, 197351%43%6%8
Harris [83] June, 197350%42%8%8
Harris [48] September 23–25, 197357%31%12%26

Edward Kennedy vs John Connally

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
John
Connally (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [83] June, 197349%45%6%4

Edward Kennedy vs Nelson Rockefeller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Nelson
Rockefeller (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [79] June, 197351%41%8%10

Edmund Muskie vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [38] November 1–4, 197442%49%-9%7
Gallup [85] November 8–11, 197445%48%1%6%3
Harris [40] January 2–8, 197545%46%-9%1
Gallup [86] March 7–10, 197541%47%4%8%6
Harris [87] April 1–4, 197545%45%-10%0
Harris [43] September, 197544%49%7%5
Gallup [88] December 5–8, 197534%54%3%9%20

Edmund Muskie vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [89] December 5–8, 197534%56%2%8%22

Edmund Muskie vs Nelson Rockefeller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Nelson
Rockefeller (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [49] January 2–8, 197550%38%12%12

Walter Mondale vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Walter
Mondale (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [38] November 1–4, 197431%53%-16%22

Walter Mondale vs Spiro Agnew

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Walter
Mondale (D)
Spiro
Agnew (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [48] May, 197337%44%19%7
Harris [48] September 23–25, 197351%27%22%24

William Proxmire vs Gerald Ford

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
William
Proxmire (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [43] September, 197531%52%17%21

Scoop Jackson vs Gerald Ford vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
George
Wallace (A)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [90] October 31 – November 3, 197532%37%21%-10%5

George Wallace vs Gerald Ford vs Fred Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
George
Wallace (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Fred
Harris (I)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [55] December, 197527%39%23%-11%12

Hubert Humphrey vs Gerald Ford vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Hubert
Humphrey (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
George
Wallace (A)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [91] August 15–18, 197532%41%20%2%5%9
Gallup [92] October 3–6, 197533%39%24%2%5%6
Gallup [93] January 2–5, 197637%36%23%1%3%1

Edward Kennedy vs Gerald Ford vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
George
Wallace (A)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [94] May 30 – June 2, 197539%34%19%2%6%5
Gallup [95] August 17–21, 197540%34%18%2%3%6
Harris [96] November, 197537.5%37.5%20%-4%0

Edward Kennedy vs Gerald Ford vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Ronald
Reagan (C)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [97] April, 197538% [a] 30% [b] 23% [c] -9%8
Harris [96] November, 197541%34%21%-4%7

Edmund Muskie vs Gerald Ford vs Ronald Reagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Ronald
Reagan (C)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Harris [87] April 1–4, 197439%29%21%-11%10

Notes

  1. Running with John Glenn
  2. Running with Nelson Rockefeller
  3. Running with George Wallace

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Democrats Edge Ford, Reagan". Chicago Tribune.
  2. 1 2 "Key Groups Giving Slip To Reagan". Chicago Tribune.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Two Democrats Ahead Of Ford". The Atlanta Constitution.
  4. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 668.
  5. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 674.
  6. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 678.
  7. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 745.
  8. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 758.
  9. 1 2 "Carter's Well Ahead Of Both GOP Foes". Muncie Evening Press.
  10. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 774.
  11. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 795.
  12. 1 2 "Carter Lead Over Ford Isn't Really That Huge". Asbury Park Press.
  13. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 802.
  14. 1 2 3 "Ford, But Not Reagan, Moving Up On Carter". Chicago Tribune.
  15. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 815.
  16. "McCarthy Cuts Into Carter's Lead". Asbury Park Press.
  17. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 851.
  18. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 852.
  19. "Carter Ahead, But Ford Gaining". Lexington Herald-Leader.
  20. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 864.
  21. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 877.
  22. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 878.
  23. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 886.
  24. "Carter's Leading Ford, But..." The Ithaca Journal.
  25. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 894.
  26. "Harris Survey: Carter's Lead Shrinks To 45-44%". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  27. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 900.
  28. "Survey: Carter Clings To One-Point Lead". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  29. "Carter Favored Over GOP Foes". Democrat and Chronicle.
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  35. 1 2 "Vice President Ford Pulls Ahead Of Kennedy In Presidential Poll". The Sacramento Bee.
  36. 1 2 "Kennedy Now Leading Ford In A Trial Test For 1976". Muncie Evening Press.
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  38. 1 2 3 4 5 "Ford Leading All Democrats". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
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  43. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Ford Tops Potential Opponents In '76 Run". The Minneapolis Star.
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  81. "Percy Edges Kennedy In Head-On Test". Chicago Tribune.
  82. "Kennedy Loses Test To Baker". Chicago Tribune.
  83. 1 2 3 "Kennedy Ahead For '76". Johnson City Press.
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  96. 1 2 "Reagan Stronger As Independent". Democrat and Chronicle.
  97. "Kennedy-Glenn Ticket Runs First". Imperial Beach Star-News.